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TEM

Temple 29 at Navy 31

NAVY
2020 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2020 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NAVY
modelNAVY aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playNAVY scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD-18.2NAVY 62.3%Anthony Russo run for 9 yds for a TD(Two-Point Conversion failed )AWAY 23 - HOME 28 · Q4 14:02
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:02 · Anthony Russo run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+22.5+11.30−11.3−22.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior−3.2Home team on offense+3.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Blowout margin+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:46: Nelson Smith run for 26 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK) — NAVY win probability +10.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:43: Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 7 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +13.3 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Deficit intensified by the shrinking clock).
  3. TD · Q3 1:09: Nelson Smith run for 22 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK) — NAVY win probability +18.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:02: Anthony Russo run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TEM win probability +18.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:02: Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout TEMPLE, clock 01:02 (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TEM win probability +12.8 pts (now 27%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NAVY made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:22NAVY 4th & 1 at TEM 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    43.5%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    41.8%−2.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:23TEM 4th & 8 at NAVY 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−3.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:57NAVY 4th & 6 at TEM 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    51.8%−1.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:49TEM 4th & 1 at NAVY 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    33.5%−0.5
    74% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−5.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:51TEM 4th & 13 at TEM 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−1.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:37NAVY 4th & 3 at NAVY 25, up 11
    Close callPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:02NAVY 4th & 3 at TEM 39, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    65.1%−4.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−3.9
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:33NAVY 4th & 1 at TEM 25, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.2%−5.0
    66% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−18.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:56NAVY 4th & 20 at TEM 33, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−4.8
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    78.6%−3.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:56TEM 4th & 3 at NAVY 42, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−2.5
    30% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−3.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NAVY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 5:22NAVY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:18NAVY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:54TEM Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:46NAVY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:43TEM Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:09NAVY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:02TEM Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    35.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    35.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:02TEM Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    22.4%−3.0
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    25.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NAVYDrive 1TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 9:3836% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
36.2%
CJ Williams run for 9 yds to the Navy 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
36.2%
Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
36.2%
Chance Warren run for 8 yds to the Navy 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+3
36.2%
Carlinos Acie run for 3 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
36.2%
Dalen Morris run for 1 yd to the Navy 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
36.2%
Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+6
36.2%
Nelson Smith run for 6 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
36.2%
Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+3
36.2%
Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+7
36.2%
Myles Fells run for 7 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
36.2%
Jamale Carothers run for 4 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+3
36.2%
Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+14
36.2%
Carlinos Acie run for 14 yds to the Temp 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
36.2%
Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Temp 5Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
36.2%
Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Temp 2Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
36.2%
Dalen Morris run for 1 yd to the Temp 1Similar
Q1 5:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.7%
Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2FG
18 plays · 75 yds · 5:5957% → 57%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
43.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+3
43.4%
Jadan Blue run for 3 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+16
43.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 16 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
42.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 9 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
42.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to David Martin-Robinson, broken up by John MarshallSimilar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+4
42.5%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
42.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the Navy 45Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+6
42.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 6 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
42.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 15 yds to the Navy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
41.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 6 yds to the Navy 18Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 4
OPP 18
-5
41.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (C.J. Perez) to the Navy 23Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-5
41.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (C.J. Perez) to the Navy 28Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 14
OPP 28
+20
42.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 20 yds to the Navy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
44.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Navy 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
44.4%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
45.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q2 14:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
43.3%
Will Mobley 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 3TD
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:0545% → 56%
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
45.0%
Jamale Carothers run for 5 yds to the Navy 48Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+18
45.2%
Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the NAVY 49 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Isaiah Graham-Mobley) to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
45.8%
Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-2
45.8%
Dalen Morris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 38 Dalen Morris fumbled, forced by Arnold Ebiketie, recovered by Navy Carlinos AcieSimilar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 14
OPP 38
+36
44.1%
Dalen Morris pass complete to CJ Williams for 36 yds to the Temp 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
45.8%
NAVY Penalty, false start (Mychal Cooper) to the Temp 7Similar
Q2 14:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
45.8%
Dalen Morris run for 4 yds to the Temp 3Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
45.8%
Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Temp 2Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
56.3%
Chance Warren run for 2 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 2:2446% → 55%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
54.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 18 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+32
53.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 17 yds to the NAVY 43 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, personal foul (Derek Atwaters) to the Navy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
51.1%
Tayvon Ruley run for 8 yds to the Navy 20Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+5
51.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 5 yds to the Navy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
51.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 13 yds to the Navy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
51.1%
Tayvon Ruley run for 1 yd to the Navy 1Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
51.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 7:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.7%
Anthony Russo run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 5TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:0849% → 64%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
48.5%
Dalen Morris run for 4 yds to the Navy 39Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+12
49.7%
Myles Fells run for 12 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
50.3%
Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
50.2%
Dalen Morris run for 2 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+1
49.7%
Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Temp 45Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 6
OPP 45
+12
50.2%
Dalen Morris pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 12 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
52.7%
Myles Fells run for 7 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+26
63.6%
Nelson Smith run for 26 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6INT
14 plays · 51 yds · 3:0139% → 37%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
60.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 1 yd to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+13
60.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 13 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
59.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 1 yd to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+4
59.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 4 yds to the Navy 48Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+18
59.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 18 yds to the Navy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
58.0%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
58.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 7 yds to the Navy 23Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+2
58.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 2 yds to the Navy 21Similar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+5
63.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Navy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-12
63.0%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted John Marshall return for 12 yds to the Navy 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 7END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
67.9%
Jamale Carothers run for 6 yds to the Navy 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:0934% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
66.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 6 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
66.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 8 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
65.0%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-3
65.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 38Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 13
OWN 38
0
71.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Randle JonesSimilar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 13
OWN 38
0
71.9%
Adam Barry punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
71.2%
Jamale Carothers run for 5 yds to the Navy 23Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-2
71.3%
Myles Fells run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 21Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+4
70.3%
Carlinos Acie run for 4 yds to the Navy 25Similar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
69.4%
Daniel Davies punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jadan Blue at the Temp 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:4427% → 44%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
72.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 7 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+3
71.5%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+30
71.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 15 yds to the NAVY 45 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, personal foul (John Marshall) to the Navy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
69.5%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the Navy 26Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+5
69.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Navy 21Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+3
70.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Navy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
69.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the Navy 17Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+10
69.0%
Anthony Russo run for 10 yds to the Navy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
69.0%
RUSSO,Anthony pass incomplete, PENALTY TEMPLE false start (BLUE,Jadan) 5 yards to the NAVY12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
69.5%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Navy 7Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
56.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 7 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 11TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3463% → 85%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
62.6%
Nelson Smith run for 16 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
64.8%
Nelson Smith run for 12 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
66.0%
Jamale Carothers run for 6 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
66.2%
Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
65.6%
Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
67.5%
Myles Fells run for 7 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
67.5%
Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
65.9%
Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Temp 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
84.8%
Nelson Smith run for 22 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0717% → 38%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.1%
Tayvon Ruley run for 6 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+45
81.5%
Tayvon Ruley run for 30 yds to the NAVY 39 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Michael McMorris) to the Navy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
78.4%
Tayvon Ruley run for 1 yd to the Navy 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+2
79.2%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Navy 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+12
80.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 12 yds to the Navy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
62.3%
Anthony Russo run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 13FG
18 plays · 26 yds · 9:0670% → 91%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
70.4%
Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the Navy 43Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
70.2%
Dalen Morris run for 5 yds to the Navy 48Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+6
70.1%
Nelson Smith run for 6 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
71.7%
Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+2
72.0%
Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+1
71.5%
Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Temp 39Similar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+5
69.4%
Chance Warren run for 5 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
73.2%
Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+4
73.5%
Myles Fells run for 4 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+3
71.8%
Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
82.4%
Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
85.9%
Dalen Morris run for 4 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-5
85.9%
Dalen Morris run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 24Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 11
OPP 24
-9
84.6%
Dalen Morris sacked by Isaiah Graham-Mobley for a loss of 9 yards to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 20
OPP 33
+50
91.1%
Bijan Nichols 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5411% → 27%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+22
87.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 22 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
85.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 5 yds to the Navy 44Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+2
83.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Navy 42Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
84.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Cameron KinleySimilar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 3
OPP 42
+5
86.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 5 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+35
84.6%
Branden Mack pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 35 yds to the Navy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
82.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the Navy 1Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.1%
Anthony Russo run for no gain to the Navy 1Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout TEMPLE, clock 01:02 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 15END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
89.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 11
OPP 37
-1
89.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:09
Nelson Smith run for 22 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)
+18.8
TD · Q4 14:02
Anthony Russo run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-18.2
TD · Q3 5:43
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 7 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
-13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com