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SMU

SMU 47 at Temple 23

TEM
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:36 · Adam Barry punt for 62 yds, downed at the SMU 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 87Pregame prior−22.5Home team on offense+3.1Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:32: Tayvon Ruley run for 3 yds for a TD (Rory Bell KICK) — TEM win probability +7.1 pts (now 25%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:58: Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 44 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK) — SMU win probability +9.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 1:14: Rory Bell 26 yd FG GOOD — TEM win probability +5.3 pts (now 30%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 14:54: Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 24 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar PAT MISSED) — SMU win probability +8.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:42: Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK) — SMU win probability +9.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 10 of 11SMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:10TEM 4th & 13 at TEM 33, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:24SMU 4th & 8 at TEM 33, up 1
    Close callWent for it · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    83.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    83.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00SMU 4th & 8 at midfield, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:48TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 28, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:54SMU 4th & 10 at SMU 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:08TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 36, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:13SMU 4th & 2 at TEM 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    70.6%−0.9
    68% to make
    Punt
    66.2%−5.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:41SMU 4th & 13 at TEM 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    56.9%−5.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:36TEM 4th & 22 at TEM 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−2.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:58TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:36SMU 4th & 6 at TEM 9, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−8.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:36TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.1%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:14TEM 4th & 8 at SMU 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−10.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:42TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.6%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:42TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 33, down 17
    Close callPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:17TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:32TEM 4th & 1 at SMU 39, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 14:47TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    14.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:10SMU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:32TEM Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:58SMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:54SMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:42SMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:17SMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:32SMU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:35TEM Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
14.1%
Trad Beatty pass complete to Randle Jones for 75 yds for a TD (Rory Bell PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 3:3186% → 85%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
14.1%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the SMU 16Similar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+8
14.1%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 8 yds to the SMU 24Similar
Q1 14:41
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+7
14.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 7 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
14.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 4 yds to the SMU 35Similar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
14.1%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:41
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+6
14.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 6 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+30
14.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 30 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
14.1%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
14.1%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+24
15.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 24 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
15.6%
Trad Beatty pass complete to Randle Jones for 11 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
15.7%
Tayvon Ruley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
15.6%
Trad Beatty pass incomplete to Randle Jones, broken up by Brandon StephensSimilar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-2
15.5%
Trad Beatty pass complete to Tayvon Ruley for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 13
OWN 33
+11
15.4%
Adam Barry punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 33 , Tyler Page returns for 11 yds to the SMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
16.5%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-2
16.6%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 31Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+34
16.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 34 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
16.2%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
16.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Tyler PageSimilar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
16.3%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Danny Gray, broken up by Linwood CrumpSimilar
Q1 9:24
4TH & 8
OPP 33
-6
16.6%
Shane Buechele sacked by Manny Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5TD
11 plays · 61 yds · 5:4518% → 25%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
17.5%
Re-al Mitchell pass complete to Jadan Blue for 4 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+9
17.7%
Re-al Mitchell run for 9 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
17.8%
Re-al Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 49Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+11
17.6%
Re-al Mitchell pass complete to De'Von Fox for 11 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
17.9%
Re-al Mitchell run for 15 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
18.0%
Tayvon Ruley run for 4 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+6
18.0%
Tayvon Ruley run for 6 yds to the SMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
18.0%
Re-al Mitchell pass complete to De'Von Fox for 7 yds to the SMU 6Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+1
18.0%
Re-al Mitchell run for 1 yd to the SMU 5Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+2
17.8%
Tayvon Ruley run for 2 yds to the SMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
24.9%
Tayvon Ruley run for 3 yds for a TD (Rory Bell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:3277% → 75%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
23.0%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 32Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+16
23.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 16 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
22.3%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 8
50
0
22.2%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
50
0
23.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
50
0
24.6%
Chris Naggar punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
25.4%
Trad Beatty pass incomplete to Jadan Blue, broken up by Donald ClaySimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+8
25.3%
Tayvon Ruley run for 8 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+3
25.1%
Tayvon Ruley run for 3 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
25.5%
Trad Beatty pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Brandon CrossleySimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
25.4%
Tayvon Ruley run for 5 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+4
25.1%
Trad Beatty run for 4 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 1
OWN 33
-5
24.9%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (M.J. Griffin) to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+11
24.5%
Adam Barry punt for 52 yds , Tyler Page returns for 11 yds to the SMU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
26.9%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-2
26.8%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 31Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
27.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for no gain to the SMU 31Similar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+12
28.1%
Chris Naggar punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 31 , Willie Erdman returns for 12 yds to the Temp 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
30.6%
Kyle Dobbins run for 5 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
31.4%
Re-al Mitchell pass incomplete to De'Von FoxSimilar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
30.4%
Re-al Mitchell pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Brandon CrossleySimilar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 5
OWN 36
+18
29.6%
Adam Barry punt for 40 yds , Tyler Page returns for 18 yds to the TEMPLE 46 SMU Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the SMU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 10FG
16 plays · 45 yds · 5:3271% → 66%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
29.0%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
29.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 5 yds to the SMU 37Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+6
29.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 6 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
28.5%
Shane Buechele run for 4 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+9
27.8%
Tyler Lavine run for 9 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
27.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 12 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-8
26.8%
Shane Buechele sacked by Arnold Ebiketie for a loss of 8 yards to the Temp 40Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 18
OPP 40
+15
28.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 15 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+1
27.5%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the Temp 24Similar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+4
28.3%
Tyler Lavine run for 4 yds to the Temp 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
26.7%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Tyler PageSimilar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
26.8%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 7 yds to the Temp 13Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
27.5%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Danny GraySimilar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 3
OPP 13
-10
37.5%
BUECHELE, Shane pass complete to GRAY, Danny for 13 yards to the TEMPLE0, clock 03:45, PENALTY SMU holding (MORRIS, Beau) 10 yards to the TEMPLE23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:41
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+40
33.6%
Chris Naggar 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 12 yds · 3:0534% → 35%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.6%
Trad Beatty pass complete to Jadan Blue for 1 yd to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
33.5%
Trad Beatty pass complete to Jadan Blue for 2 yds to the Temp 28 TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+21
32.6%
Trad Beatty pass complete to Branden Mack for 21 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-15
35.7%
BEATTY,Trad pass complete to BLUE,Jadan for 16 yards to the SMU35, out-of-bounds (DENBOW, Trevor), PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference (REAMS,Kadas) 15 yards to the TEMPLE34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 25
OWN 34
+6
33.5%
Tayvon Ruley run for 6 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 19
OWN 40
+5
33.9%
Tayvon Ruley run for 5 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 14
OWN 45
-8
35.7%
Trad Beatty sacked by Nelson Paul for a loss of 8 yards to the Temp 37Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 22
OWN 37
0
34.7%
Adam Barry punt for 62 yds, downed at the SMU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+9
39.0%
Tyler Lavine run for 9 yds to the SMU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:0265% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
34.7%
Shane Buechele run for 5 yds to the SMU 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
33.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 5 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
33.2%
Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+9
32.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 9 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
23.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 44 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
26.6%
Tayvon Ruley run for 7 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
28.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Isaac Moore) to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
26.8%
Re-al Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-1
26.1%
Re-al Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 28Similar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
25.0%
Adam Barry punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 15FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:2674% → 80%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
25.7%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 8 yds to the SMU 44Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
24.6%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 4 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
24.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 19 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
23.5%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 9 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+11
23.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 11 yds to the Temp 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
23.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 4 yds to the Temp 9Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
23.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
24.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Danny Gray, broken up by Linwood CrumpSimilar
Q3 8:36
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+27
20.4%
Chris Naggar 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16FG
17 plays · 67 yds · 7:2222% → 30%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
22.1%
Re-al Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
22.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (C.J. Perez) to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+9
21.9%
Trad Beatty pass complete to Kadas Reams for 9 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
21.8%
Trad Beatty pass complete to Jadan Blue for 12 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
24.0%
Trad Beatty pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Chevin CallowaySimilar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
23.3%
Re-al Mitchell run for 6 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
24.3%
Re-al Mitchell pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Richard McBrydeSimilar
Q3 8:36
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+6
22.8%
Re-al Mitchell pass complete to Branden Mack for 6 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
25.3%
Re-al Mitchell run for 7 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+11
25.4%
Re-al Mitchell pass complete to De'Von Fox for 11 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
26.6%
Re-al Mitchell run for 2 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+15
26.6%
Re-al Mitchell pass complete to Jadan Blue for 15 yds to the SMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
26.6%
Re-al Mitchell run for 1 yd to the SMU 9Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
26.6%
Tayvon Ruley run for 1 yd to the SMU 8Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
25.1%
Re-al Mitchell run for no gain to the SMU 8Similar
Q3 1:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
30.4%
Rory Bell 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2074% → 86%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
26.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 9 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
24.8%
Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
25.1%
Tyler Lavine run for 16 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+24
23.3%
Shane Buechele run for 24 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
14.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 24 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1216% → 15%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.2%
Re-al Mitchell pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
16.1%
Re-al Mitchell run for 8 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
16.3%
Tayvon Ruley run for 1 yd to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
14.7%
Re-al Mitchell run for no gain to the Temp 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:5486% → 96%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+27
13.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 27 yds to the Temp 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
13.7%
Tyler Lavine run for 5 yds to the Temp 2Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
4.4%
Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.2%
Re-al Mitchell pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
6.1%
Re-al Mitchell run for 8 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
6.5%
Re-al Mitchell pass incomplete to Kadas ReamsSimilar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
6.4%
Adam Barry punt for 48 yds, downed at the SMU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 2:3195% → 99%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
4.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 8 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+37
4.7%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 37 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
4.3%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the Temp 36Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
4.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Keke Burns for 3 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+33
1.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 33 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.5%
Kyle Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Temp 26Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
1.5%
Kyle Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
1.5%
Re-al Mitchell pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+24
1.5%
Adam Barry punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 49 , Tyler Page returns for 24 yds to the Temp 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 23TD
1 play · 49 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
0.2%
TaMerik Williams run for 49 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:570% → 1%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Tayvon Ruley run for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
0.2%
Tayvon Ruley run for 13 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
0.2%
Re-al Mitchell pass complete to De'Von Fox for 11 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
0.2%
Re-al Mitchell run for 3 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+4
0.2%
Re-al Mitchell run for 4 yds to the SMU 41Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+2
0.2%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q4 7:32
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+1
0.2%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
0.2%
Onasis Neely run for 7 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+6
0.2%
Onasis Neely run for 6 yds to the SMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
0.2%
Re-al Mitchell pass incomplete to Kadas ReamsSimilar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
0.2%
Re-al Mitchell pass complete to De'Von Fox for 6 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+5
0.2%
Edward Saydee run for 5 yds to the SMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
0.2%
Re-al Mitchell pass incomplete to Edward SaydeeSimilar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
0.2%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the SMU 11Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+11
0.8%
Re-al Mitchell pass complete to Aaron Jarman for 11 yds for a TD (Rory Bell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:42
Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)
-9.3
TD · Q3 12:58
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 44 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)
-9.2
TD · Q4 14:54
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 24 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar PAT MISSED)
-8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com