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SMU

SMU 37 at Tulane 34

TULN
2020 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2020 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:07 · Ryan Wright punt for 42 yds , T.Q. Jackson returns for no gain to the SMU 45 T.Q. Jackson fumbled, recovered by Tulan
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingGarbage-time factor
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 5Pregame prior−19.3Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Time remaining+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:26: Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK) — SMU win probability +15.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:59: Michael Pratt run for 7 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +23.7 pts (now 70%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:12: Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 10 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK) — SMU win probability +31.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:30: Merek Glover 27 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +22.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Chris Naggar 34 yd FG GOOD — SMU win probability +21.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8SMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:07TULN 4th & 21 at TULN 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:32TULN 4th & 21 at TULN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:32SMU 4th & 5 at TULN 31, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:53TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:09SMU 4th & 10 at SMU 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:28TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:55SMU 4th & 13 at TULN 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    57.1%−3.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:44TULN 4th & 2 at SMU 17, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.4%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−6.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:16SMU 4th & 10 at SMU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:33TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−1.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:17SMU 4th & 10 at TULN 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−2.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−13.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:10TULN 4th & 15 at TULN 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−5.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:20SMU 4th & 20 at SMU 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−7.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:30TULN 4th & 8 at SMU 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−21.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−32.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:21SMU 4th & 11 at TULN 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−5.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%
    36% to make
    Punt
    45.7%−9.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:32TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:59SMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:26TULN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:43SMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:38TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:26SMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:59TULN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:12SMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.7%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:4330% → 31%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-7
30.3%
Michael Pratt sacked by Richard McBryde for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 17Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 17
OWN 17
+3
30.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 14
OWN 20
-7
30.7%
Michael Pratt sacked by Nelson Paul for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 13Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 21
OWN 13
0
30.9%
Ryan Wright punt for 42 yds , T.Q. Jackson returns for no gain to the SMU 45 T.Q. Jackson fumbled, recovered by TulanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:2331% → 33%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
31.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Amare Jones for 2 yds to the SMU 43Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+7
31.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Mykel Jones for 7 yds to the SMU 36Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+5
31.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
33.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Mykel Jones for 31 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 91 yds · 1:2667% → 68%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
33.0%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the SMU 14Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+12
33.3%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 12 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
33.3%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+42
33.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 42 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
31.8%
Danny Gray run for 32 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:2333% → 33%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
32.5%
Amare Jones run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+26
32.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Amare Jones for 26 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
33.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the SMU 43Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-10
33.6%
Pratt, Michael pass complete to Watts, Phat for 24 yards to the SMU19, PENALTY TULANE holding 10 yards to the TULANE47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 18
OWN 47
0
33.4%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 18
OWN 47
-3
33.2%
Michael Pratt run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 21
OWN 44
0
33.1%
Ryan Wright punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:4867% → 67%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
33.4%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 7 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
33.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Ulysses Bentley IV, broken up by Dorian WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+31
33.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 31 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
33.0%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
33.2%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
33.3%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q1 5:32
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+48
33.4%
Chris Naggar 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3333% → 33%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.2%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
33.2%
Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
32.9%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+47
33.0%
Ryan Wright punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TULANE 42 SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3166% → 65%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
34.0%
Tyler Lavine run for 1 yd to the SMU 28Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-5
34.2%
SMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 23Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 14
OWN 23
0
34.4%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 14
OWN 23
+4
34.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 4 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q1 2:09
4TH & 10
OWN 27
+8
35.1%
Chris Naggar punt for 58 yds , Amare Jones returns for 8 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:3234% → 35%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
34.3%
Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the Tulan 23Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+13
34.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 13 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
34.9%
Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
34.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Stephon HudersonSimilar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+3
34.3%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 0:28
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+5
35.1%
Ryan Wright punt for 61 yds , T.Q. Jackson returns for 5 yds to the SMU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:3064% → 64%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
35.7%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the SMU 7Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+5
35.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 5 yds to the SMU 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+23
35.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 23 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
34.7%
Tyler Lavine run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 34Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
35.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Ulysses Bentley IVSimilar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+41
35.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 41 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
33.5%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Danny GraySimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
33.6%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 3 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-6
34.2%
Shane Buechele sacked by Jeffery Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+45
36.4%
Chris Naggar 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10TD
15 plays · 72 yds · 5:1937% → 50%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-6
36.8%
Amare Jones run for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 22Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 16
OWN 22
+19
36.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 19 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
38.6%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 36Similar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+5
37.2%
Michael Pratt run for 5 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+8
37.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 8 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+14
38.7%
Phat Watts run for 14 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
40.2%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+25
40.2%
Stephon Huderson run for 25 yds to the SMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
40.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 9 yds to the SMU 3Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+2
40.9%
SMU Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the SMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
41.4%
Phat Watts run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 2Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
41.3%
Pratt, Michael pass incomplete, PENALTY SMU holding 1 yards to the SMU1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.Similar
Q2 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
41.7%
Michael Pratt run for no gain to the SMU 1Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.8%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:1751% → 65%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-11
48.7%
Shane Buechele run for 3 yds to the SMU 28 SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (-14 Yards) to the SMU 14Similar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 21
OWN 14
+37
49.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 37 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
46.4%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 7 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+6
46.6%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 6 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
47.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 11 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
46.0%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 30 SMU Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+15
47.8%
Buechele, Shane pass incomplete to Rice, Rashee, PENALTY TULANE pass interference 15 yards to the TULANE15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
46.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to TaMerik Williams for 6 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 4
OPP 9
-1
46.7%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 10Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
34.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 10 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 1:5639% → 47%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
38.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 6 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
39.1%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
38.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Sorrell BrownSimilar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+16
38.0%
Stephon Huderson run for 16 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
40.7%
Michael Pratt run for 6 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+8
41.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 8 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
41.8%
Pratt, Michael pass incomplete to Watts, Duece, PENALTY SMU pass interference 15 yards to the SMU25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.Similar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
43.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-1
43.7%
Michael Pratt sacked by Delano Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 23Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+6
41.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 6 yds to the SMU 17Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
46.7%
Merek Glover 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13END OF HALF
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:3959% → 63%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 5 yds to the SMU 30Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
40.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Tyler PageSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
41.8%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 6 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
40.7%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Tyler PageSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
41.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Ulysses Bentley IVSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+14
41.9%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
37.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 6 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3960% → 56%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.5%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-8
40.5%
Shane Buechele sacked by Patrick Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 19Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+6
42.5%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 6 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q3 13:16
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
43.6%
Chris Naggar punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the SMU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 1:3249% → 62%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
48.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 12 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
48.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+13
48.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 13 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
49.6%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
50.0%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+22
61.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 22 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4347% → 62%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+65
53.1%
Tyler Page pass complete to Rashee Rice for 55 yds to the TULANE 20 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (10 Yards) to the Tulan 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
53.2%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the Tulan 8Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
53.6%
Buechele, Shane pass incomplete to Page, Tyler, PENALTY TULANE pass interference 6 yards to the TULANE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q3 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
37.7%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4146% → 44%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
45.8%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Mykel JonesSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
45.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
44.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Christian DanielsSimilar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 6
OWN 23
-11
43.9%
Ryan Wright punt for 56 yds , T.Q. Jackson returns for a loss of 11 yards to the SMU 10 T.Q. Jackson fumbled, recovered by SMUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:5357% → 64%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
43.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 9 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+4
43.0%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 4 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
43.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 5 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+6
43.0%
Shane Buechele run for 6 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-15
43.1%
Buechele, Shane pass incomplete to Rice, Rashee, PENALTY SMU pass interference 15 yards to the SMU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 25
OWN 19
-4
44.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 15Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 29
OWN 15
+8
44.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 8 yds to the SMU 23Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 21
OWN 23
+61
46.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 61 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
39.0%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 5
OPP 11
0
38.7%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the Tulan 11Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
40.5%
Shane Buechele run for no gain to the Tulan 11Similar
Q3 3:21
4TH & 5
OPP 11
-5
43.1%
SMU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 16Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
36.2%
Chris Naggar 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 0:5037% → 34%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
37.3%
Michael Pratt run for no gain to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
36.6%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
35.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Amare Jones, broken up by Ar'mani JohnsonSimilar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 10
OWN 28
-5
34.1%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 23Similar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 15
OWN 23
+15
33.9%
Ryan Wright punt for 65 yds , Tyler Page returns for 15 yds to the SMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:4065% → 61%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
34.7%
Shane Buechele run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 26Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+1
35.9%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the SMU 27Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-10
37.2%
Shane Buechele sacked by Kevaris Hall for a loss of 10 yards to the SMU 17Similar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 20
OWN 17
+20
39.2%
Chris Naggar punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 42 SMU Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the SMU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:1143% → 70%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
43.2%
Amare Jones run for 14 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
45.5%
TULANE Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the SMU 28Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+1
44.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the SMU 27Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 14
OPP 27
0
42.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 14
OPP 27
-5
39.4%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 32Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 19
OPP 32
-10
39.4%
Pratt, Michael rush for 12 yards to the SMU20, PENALTY TULANE holding 10 yards to the SMU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 29
OPP 42
-10
38.4%
Pratt, Michael pass complete to Huderson, Stephon for 13 yards to the SMU29, PENALTY TULANE holding 10 yards to the TULANE48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 39
OWN 48
+42
37.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 42 yds to the SMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
46.0%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the SMU 7Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
69.7%
Michael Pratt run for 7 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 5:4339% → 78%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
60.6%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the SMU 21Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
61.7%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Tyler PageSimilar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+22
63.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 22 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
57.5%
Shane Buechele run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 3
50
+4
54.6%
Tyler Lavine run for 4 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
55.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 5 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+8
55.0%
Tyler Lavine run for 8 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
54.2%
Tyler Lavine run for 7 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+5
53.0%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
53.2%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 3 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+2
53.4%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+8
56.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 8 yds to the Tulan 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
53.9%
Tyler Lavine run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 10Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
22.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 10 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23FG
16 plays · 65 yds · 5:4035% → 61%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.8%
Amare Jones run for no gain to the Tulan 25Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
33.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 12 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
35.3%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+6
38.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 6 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
37.9%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+16
39.3%
Stephon Huderson run for 1 yd to the SMU 48 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
41.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 1 yd to the SMU 32Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
41.8%
Amare Jones run for no gain to the SMU 32Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+20
35.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 20 yds to the SMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
41.3%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the SMU 9Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-1
40.2%
Stephon Huderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 10Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
38.5%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
60.9%
Merek Glover 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 24MISSED FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 1:0449% → 51%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
50.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 22Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
51.6%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+40
54.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 40 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
41.2%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 11
OPP 39
0
42.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Danny GraySimilar
Q4 0:27
3RD & 11
OPP 39
0
44.6%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 11
OPP 39
+57
48.9%
Chris Naggar 57 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:1461% → 60%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
60.7%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+21
60.2%
Michael Pratt run for 21 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
63.3%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 45Similar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 15
OPP 45
0
60.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 15
OPP 45
0
60.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26Uncategorized
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:0065% → 58%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
64.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the SMU 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-8
64.7%
Michael Pratt sacked by Delano Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 31Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 16
OPP 31
-13
58.1%
Michael Pratt pass intercepted Brandon Crossley return for 13 yds to the SMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 27FG
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0060% → 74%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
40.5%
Tyler Lavine run for 5 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+1
40.5%
Tyler Lavine run for 1 yd to the Tulan 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+2
43.0%
Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
26.5%
Chris Naggar 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:12
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 10 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)
-31.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-26.5
TD · Q4 12:59
Michael Pratt run for 7 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)
+23.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com