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MEM

Memphis 27 at SMU 30

SMU
2020 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2020 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playSMU scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:09 · Chris Naggar kickoff for 65 yds , Gabriel Rogers return for 9 yds to the Memph 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:51: Shane Buechele pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 85 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK) — SMU win probability +14.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:16: Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 8 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +10.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:30: Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 27 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +10.7 pts (now 39%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:53: Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 5 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +16.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:09: Chris Naggar 43 yd FG GOOD — SMU win probability +36.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8MEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:34SMU 4th & 6 at MEM 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:58MEM 4th & 5 at SMU 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:58SMU 4th & 4 at MEM 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    57.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:49MEM 4th & 7 at MEM 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00MEM 4th & 2 at MEM 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:16SMU 4th & 2 at SMU 33, up 14
    Close callPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:26SMU 4th & 19 at SMU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−2.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00MEM 4th & 12 at MEM 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−2.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:29SMU 4th & 6 at MEM 8, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    58.9%−8.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:48MEM 4th & 10 at SMU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:32SMU 4th & 13 at SMU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−6.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:49MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−4.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:20SMU 4th & 10 at SMU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−3.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:09SMU 4th & 3 at MEM 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−9.7
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−26.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:52SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:07SMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:51SMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:16MEM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:30MEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:53MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:2655% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
54.6%
TJ McDaniel run for 4 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
54.6%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
54.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 7 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
54.6%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 4 yds to the SMU 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+27
54.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 27 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
54.6%
Tyler Lavine run for 1 yd to the Memph 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+18
54.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 18 yds to the Memph 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
54.6%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 3 yds to the Memph 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+1
54.6%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the Memph 10Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
54.6%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Danny GraySimilar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
55.7%
Chris Naggar 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 2:3645% → 45%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.5%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
55.6%
Brady White pass complete to Rodrigues Clark for 7 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+15
55.5%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 15 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
55.1%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
55.2%
Rodrigues Clark run for 15 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
55.0%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+25
55.1%
Marquavius Weaver run for 12 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, personal foul (13 Yards) to the SMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
54.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 18Similar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 15
OPP 18
0
54.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte Coxie, broken up by Brandon StephensSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 15
OPP 18
+10
55.0%
Marquavius Weaver run for 10 yds to the SMU 8Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
55.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q1 7:58
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+26
54.8%
Riley Patterson 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0655% → 61%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
55.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 31 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
56.0%
Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+6
56.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 6 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 1
OPP 35
-3
55.9%
Shane Buechele run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 38Similar
Q1 7:58
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+6
55.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 6 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
56.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee Rice, broken up by Jacobi FrancisSimilar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-4
56.2%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 36Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 14
OPP 36
+26
55.4%
Shane Buechele run for 16 yds to the Memph 20 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) to the Memph 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
56.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 7 yds to the Memph 3Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
61.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
59.6%
Kylan Watkins run for 6 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-5
59.4%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 20Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+2
59.7%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 2 yds to the Memph 22Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
60.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte Coxie, broken up by Brandon StephensSimilar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 7
OWN 22
+53
60.4%
Adam Williams punt for 43 yds SMU Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the SMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:2060% → 67%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.3%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 3 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
60.3%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the SMU 30Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+70
66.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 70 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6INT
15 plays · 51 yds · 4:2435% → 33%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.4%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 4 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
65.2%
Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 28Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
65.6%
Brady White pass complete to Rodrigues Clark for 5 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+6
66.3%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 6 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
65.9%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 0
+10
64.5%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 10 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+23
65.4%
Brady White pass complete to Kameron Wilson for 23 yds to the SMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
65.3%
Marquavius Weaver run for 3 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
64.5%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to COXIE, Damonte, PENALTY SMU pass interference (CROSSLEY, B.) 7 yards to the SMU15, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
64.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 3 yds to the SMU 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+3
64.5%
Asa Martin run for 3 yds to the SMU 9Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 4
OPP 9
-15
67.1%
WHITE, Brady pass complete to AUSTIN, Calvin for 9 yards to the SMU0, clock 11:43, PENALTY MEM pass interference (CLEMONS, Jalil) 15 yards to the SMU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 19
OPP 24
0
66.6%
Brady White pass intercepted, touchback. Brandon Crossley return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:4769% → 84%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
69.2%
BENTLEY IV, U. rush for no gain to the SMU20 (PICKENS, Thomas), PENALTY SMU illegal use of hands (IKE, Danielson) 10 yards to the SMU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 20
OWN 10
0
69.0%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the SMU 10Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+5
68.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 5 yds to the SMU 15Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+85
83.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 85 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3519% → 32%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
81.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 8 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
79.8%
Marquavius Weaver run for 1 yd to the Memph 34Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
80.3%
Marquavius Weaver run for 4 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
80.2%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+16
80.4%
Rodrigues Clark run for 16 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+26
79.3%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 26 yds to the SMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
78.5%
Rodrigues Clark run for 12 yds to the SMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
78.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte Coxie, broken up by Brandon StephensSimilar
Q2 7:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
68.1%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 8 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr., broken up by Jacobi FrancisSimilar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 6 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
70.6%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q2 7:16
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+8
70.2%
Chris Naggar punt for 58 yds , Calvin Austin III returns for 8 yds to the Memph 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 2:0628% → 39%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
72.2%
Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the Memph 22Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
71.8%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 4 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+3
71.7%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the Memph 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+44
71.7%
Kylan Watkins run for 44 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
61.1%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 27 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0067% → 65%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+31
66.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 31 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
68.8%
Tyler Lavine run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 49Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
67.6%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr., broken up by Jacobi FrancisSimilar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 12
OWN 49
-2
66.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 47Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 14
OWN 47
-5
65.0%
SMU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SMU 42Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 19
OWN 42
+7
64.9%
Chris Naggar punt for 53 yds , Calvin Austin III returns for 7 yds to the Memph 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12INT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:3434% → 35%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
66.5%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 9 yds to the Memph 21Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 1
OWN 21
0
65.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin III, broken up by Brandon CrossleySimilar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+7
66.8%
Rodrigues Clark run for 7 yds to the Memph 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
65.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 8 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 2
OWN 36
0
65.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+11
67.2%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 11 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-11
65.5%
Brady White pass intercepted Trevor Denbow return for 11 yds to the SMU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · 18 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
69.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 18 yds Reggie Roberson Jr. fumbled, forced by Quindell Johnson, recovered by Memph Quindell JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14FG
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:2233% → 42%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
66.7%
Brady White run for 16 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
64.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
65.2%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 7 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+56
58.5%
Riley Patterson 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
61.4%
Brady White sacked by Jimmy Phillips Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
61.9%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the Memph 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-1
62.8%
Brady White pass complete to Rodrigues Clark for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 23Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+7
63.5%
Adam Williams punt for 38 yds , Delano Robinson returns for 7 yds to the SMU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 16FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:4265% → 73%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
64.8%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 8 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+9
65.4%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 9 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
65.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 13 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
66.0%
Shane Buechele run for 4 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+8
66.0%
Shane Buechele run for 8 yds to the Memph 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
66.0%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the Memph 11Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+3
66.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 3 yds to the Memph 8Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
64.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee Rice, broken up by Quindell JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
72.9%
Chris Naggar 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17TD
15 plays · 87 yds · 6:3330% → 52%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+18
70.0%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 18 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
69.2%
Kylan Watkins run for 3 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
68.9%
Kylan Watkins run for 5 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+2
67.7%
Kylan Watkins run for 2 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
68.2%
Rodrigues Clark run for 4 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
67.1%
Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 1
50
+2
66.8%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
66.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 4 yds to the SMU 44Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+2
66.5%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 2 yds to the SMU 42Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+13
67.0%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 13 yds to the SMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
64.5%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 24 yds to the SMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
64.5%
Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the SMU 4Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
64.5%
Asa Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 5Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
48.3%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 5 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18FUMBLE
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:5056% → 63%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+43
55.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 43 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
61.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 5 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-3
61.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 47Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+12
59.8%
Shane Buechele run for 12 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
62.6%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Danny GraySimilar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-5
62.5%
SMU Penalty, false start (Alan Ali) to the Memph 40Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+8
59.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 8 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+13
60.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 13 yds to the Memph 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
63.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
63.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 2 yds Rashee Rice fumbled, forced by John Broussard Jr., recovered by Memph John Broussard Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+19
52.9%
Rodrigues Clark run for 19 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
51.4%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
50.3%
Kylan Watkins run for 2 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+12
51.0%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 12 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
48.1%
Kylan Watkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 48Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+10
51.4%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 10 yds to the SMU 42Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-1
48.8%
Brady White pass complete to Rodrigues Clark for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 43Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 5
OPP 43
-5
51.0%
MEMPHIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SMU 48Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
53.8%
Adam Williams punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0057% → 53%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
56.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
56.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 6 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
55.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 5 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
57.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 1 yd to the SMU 32Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
57.4%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the SMU 32Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 9
OWN 32
-4
55.1%
Shane Buechele sacked by Joseph Dorceus for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 28Similar
Q4 10:32
4TH & 13
OWN 28
0
53.2%
Chris Naggar punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Calvin Austin III at the Memph 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0050% → 45%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
50.4%
Brady White sacked by Elijah Chatman for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 34Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+3
52.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 3 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
53.3%
Brady White sacked by Nelson Paul for 0 yards to the Memph 37 MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
55.0%
Adam Williams punt for 48 yds, fair catch by T.Q. Jackson at the SMU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:4656% → 53%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
56.3%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen Granson, broken up by Rodney OwensSimilar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
56.1%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 3 yds to the SMU 18Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+11
53.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 11 yds to the SMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
56.3%
Tyler Lavine run for 8 yds to the SMU 37Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+2
59.8%
Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
58.7%
Delano Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
58.0%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
55.5%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Ulysses Bentley IVSimilar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
52.8%
Chris Naggar punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Calvin Austin III at the Memph 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:0051% → 58%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
48.6%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 3 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+32
47.7%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 32 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
42.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-5
42.3%
Brady White sacked by Junior Aho for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 41 Brady White fumbled, recovered by SMU Elijah Chatman , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 24FG
11 plays · 33 yds · 1:1660% → 95%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
59.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 14 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
62.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 4 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+5
62.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 5 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-10
61.4%
BENTLEY IV, U. rush for 1 yard to the MEM35, out-of-bounds, PENALTY SMU holding (THOMAS, Jaylon) 10 yards to the MEM46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+13
57.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 13 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-6
64.6%
Shane Buechele sacked by O'Bryan Goodson for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 39Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 16
OPP 39
+13
60.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 13 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 3
OPP 26
0
63.1%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+43
94.8%
Chris Naggar 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:09
Chris Naggar 43 yd FG GOOD
+36.1
TD · Q3 2:53
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 5 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
-16.1
TD · Q2 9:51
Shane Buechele pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 85 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)
+14.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com