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USF

South Florida 33 at Memphis 34

MEM
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.8MEM 82.0%Spencer Shrader 47 yd FG GOODAWAY 6 - HOME 6 · Q2 14:18
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:18 · Spencer Shrader 47 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior+30.1Home team on offense−1.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:52: Noah Johnson pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 3 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK) — USF win probability +13.9 pts (now 44%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:52: Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 5 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +7.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 3:58: Spencer Shrader 41 yd FG GOOD — USF win probability +11.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:19: Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 10 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +23.5 pts (now 31%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:03: Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +55.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 9USF made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:19USF 4th & 8 at MEM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:19MEM 4th & 8 at MEM 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:10USF 4th & 14 at USF 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:32MEM 4th & 4 at USF 34, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.8%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    84.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 7:31USF 4th & 10 at USF 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:33MEM 4th & 8 at USF 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:18USF 4th & 5 at MEM 29, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.1%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:24MEM 4th & 4 at USF 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    75.6%−1.0
    42% to make
    Punt
    75.3%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:23MEM 4th & 2 at USF 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.8%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    52.5%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    47.6%−5.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:55USF 4th & 10 at USF 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:58USF 4th & 10 at MEM 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−9.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:57MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.5%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00MEM 4th & 13 at USF 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−1.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%−1.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:53USF 4th & 8 at MEM 41, up 10
    Close callPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    64.6%−1.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:34MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:36USF 4th & 4 at MEM 29, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%−0.7
    58% to make
    Punt
    80.9%−5.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:32USF 4th & 9 at USF 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:57USF 4th & 7 at USF 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.5%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.3%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4USF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 13:02USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:33MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:24USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:52USF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:52MEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:19MEM Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:03MEM Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−7.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin III, broken up by KJ SailsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.1%
WHITE, Brady pass complete to WASHINGTON, T. for 56 yards to the USF19 (SANDERS, B), PENALTY MEM ineligible downfield on pass (EZE, Obinna) 5 yards to the MEM20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
88.1%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+14
88.1%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 14 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
88.1%
Rodrigues Clark run for no gain to the Memph 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2312% → 13%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
87.6%
Noah Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 35Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+3
87.6%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Kelley Joiner Jr. for 3 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
87.6%
Noah Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+49
87.2%
Spencer Shrader 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.2%
Kylan Watkins run for no gain to the Memph 25Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.2%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
87.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Rodrigues ClarkSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
87.1%
Adam Williams punt for 47 yds, downed at the SFla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
86.8%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Latrell Williams for 2 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-6
86.8%
Noah Johnson sacked by Joseph Dorceus for a loss of 6 yards to the SFla 22Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 14
OWN 22
0
86.9%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Kelley Joiner Jr. for no gain to the SFla 22Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 14
OWN 22
+4
87.0%
Trent Schneider punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 35 , Calvin Austin III returns for 4 yds to the Memph 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5FG
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:3786% → 86%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
86.1%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 25 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
86.4%
Kylan Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 41Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
86.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Javon IvorySimilar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+7
86.2%
Kylan Watkins run for 7 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+52
85.9%
Riley Patterson 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
85.7%
Noah Johnson run for 2 yds to the SFla 6Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+1
85.8%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 1 yd to the SFla 7Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 7
OWN 7
-3
85.9%
Noah Johnson sacked by Wardalis Ducksworth for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 4Similar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 10
OWN 4
0
86.0%
Trent Schneider punt for 54 yds , Marcayll Jones returns for no gain to the Memph 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:1486% → 85%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
85.5%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to AUSTIN, Calvin, PENALTY USF pass interference (SAILS, KJ) 13 yards to the USF45, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
85.7%
Rodrigues Clark run for no gain to the SFla 45Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
85.7%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to MATHIEU, Khi, PENALTY USF pass interference (SAILS, KJ) 10 yards to the USF35, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
85.8%
Rodrigues Clark run for 9 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+9
85.8%
Rodrigues Clark run for 9 yds to the SFla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
85.8%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the SFla 15 Brady White fumbled,Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
85.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin IIISimilar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
85.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q1 3:33
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
85.2%
Riley Patterson 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 8FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 4:1515% → 18%
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.2%
Noah Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
85.3%
Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Omarion DollisonSimilar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+17
85.5%
Noah Johnson pass complete to DeVontres Odoms-Dukes for 17 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
84.8%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 10 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
84.6%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+4
84.6%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+7
84.6%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 7 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
84.4%
Noah Johnson pass complete to DeVontres Odoms-Dukes for 1 yd to the Memph 33Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-5
84.4%
Noah Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 38
+9
83.8%
Noah Johnson run for 9 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+47
82.0%
Spencer Shrader 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9INT TD
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:0983% → 78%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
83.0%
Brady White pass complete to Javon Ivory for 6 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+4
83.4%
Kylan Watkins run for 4 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-51
78.1%
Brady White pass intercepted for a TD Daquan Evans return for 51 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:2378% → 82%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
77.9%
Rodrigues Clark run for 6 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 4
OWN 37
-5
78.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 32Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
77.8%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+65
81.6%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 65 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
76.1%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Kelley Joiner Jr. for 75 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.5%
Brady White run for no gain to the Memph 25Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
76.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin IIISimilar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
75.9%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 11 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
76.9%
Brady White pass complete to Jeremy Tate Jr. for 5 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
77.7%
Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the Memph 42Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+16
77.2%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 16 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
78.1%
Calvin Austin III run for 3 yds to the SFla 39Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
78.1%
Rodrigues Clark run for no gain to the SFla 39Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+3
77.9%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 3 yds to the SFla 36Similar
Q2 11:24
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
77.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Javon IvorySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:0531% → 44%
Q2 6:57
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
69.5%
Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
69.4%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Latrell Williams for 7 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+11
69.1%
Leonard Parker run for 11 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+28
69.0%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 28 yds to the Memph 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
68.9%
Leonard Parker run for 2 yds to the Memph 3Similar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
70.1%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Bryce Miller for 7 yds to the SFla 44Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
56.3%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 3 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14DOWNS
15 plays · 89 yds · 3:2358% → 54%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
57.8%
Brady White pass complete to Javon Ivory for 7 yds to the Memph 15Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 3
OWN 15
0
58.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+26
57.7%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 26 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
60.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to Javon IvorySimilar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
59.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+33
59.1%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 48 yds to the MEMPHIS 11 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Sean Dykes) to the SFla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
60.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 6 yds to the SFla 20Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+9
60.5%
Brady White pass complete to Javon Ivory for 9 yds to the SFla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
60.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin IIISimilar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
60.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 4 yds to the SFla 7Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+4
59.7%
Kylan Watkins run for 4 yds to the SFla 3Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 2
OPP 3
0
53.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Javon IvorySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
49.4%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 1 yd to the SFla 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
50.1%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for no gain to the SFla 19Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
50.3%
Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Mitchell Brinkman, broken up by JJ RussellSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
51.1%
Noah Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
51.7%
Trent Schneider punt for 40 yds, downed at the Memph 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 5:0952% → 60%
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
52.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+10
52.1%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to WASHINGTON, T., PENALTY USF holding (SANDERS, B) 10 yards to the USF46, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
52.5%
Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the SFla 41Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+1
52.6%
Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the SFla 40Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+6
52.3%
Kylan Watkins run for 6 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
53.3%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-5
53.3%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Dylan Parham) to the SFla 36Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
52.4%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for no gain to the SFla 36Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+32
51.7%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 32 yds to the SFla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
53.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tahj Washington, broken up by Mike HamptonSimilar
Q3 14:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
53.3%
Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 5Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
60.4%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 5 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:5045% → 60%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+20
55.5%
Brian Battie run for 20 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
54.1%
Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+8
53.3%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Latrell Williams for 8 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
52.0%
Noah Johnson run for 4 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+10
52.0%
Leonard Parker run for 10 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
51.3%
Brian Battie run for 11 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
50.8%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 10 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
50.6%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 25Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+1
50.9%
Noah Johnson run for 1 yd to the Memph 24Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
51.9%
Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Omarion DollisonSimilar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+41
40.5%
Spencer Shrader 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 22 yds · 3:5741% → 32%
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
40.6%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for no gain to the Memph 33Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
40.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Sean Dykes, broken up by Demaurez BellamySimilar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+9
38.5%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 9 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q3 3:57
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+2
39.8%
Brady White run for 2 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
42.2%
Kylan Watkins run for 8 yds to the SFla 48Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+6
43.8%
Kylan Watkins run for 6 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
43.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-4
43.5%
Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 46Similar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 14
OPP 46
-15
40.4%
WHITE, Brady pass complete to CLARK, R. for 17 yards to the USF29 (BELLAMY, D), PENALTY MEM personal foul (EZE, Obinna) 15 yards to the MEM39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 29
OWN 39
+16
39.1%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 16 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 45
+7
32.3%
Adam Williams punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 14 , KJ Sails returns for 7 yds to the SFla 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:0065% → 66%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
34.9%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 7 yds to the SFla 21Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+5
34.0%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 5 yds to the SFla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
34.4%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 5 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+12
33.6%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Leonard Parker for 12 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
32.0%
Brian Battie run for 8 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+6
31.1%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Latrell Williams for 6 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
31.3%
Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Xavier WeaverSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
31.4%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 5 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-3
31.9%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 41Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
34.3%
Trent Schneider punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Calvin Austin III at the Memph 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0021% → 18%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
20.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Javon IvorySimilar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+5
20.2%
Brady White pass complete to Javon Ivory for 5 yds to the Memph 9Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 5
OWN 9
-1
19.1%
Brady White sacked by Tramel Logan for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 8Similar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 6
OWN 8
+2
18.2%
Adam Williams punt for 43 yds , KJ Sails returns for 2 yds to the Memph 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:3983% → 94%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
17.1%
Brian Battie run for 8 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+6
16.6%
Brian Battie run for 6 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
17.0%
Noah Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 36Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-8
17.1%
Noah Johnson sacked by Morris Joseph for a loss of 8 yards to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 19
OPP 44
+15
18.5%
Brian Battie run for 15 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+46
6.4%
Spencer Shrader 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 1:1710% → 31%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
9.5%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 15 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+24
10.4%
Brady White pass complete to Javon Ivory for 24 yds to the SFla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
14.5%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 11 yds to the SFla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
14.8%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 13 yds to the SFla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
14.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q4 4:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
14.8%
Brady White sacked by Kelvin Pinkney for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 10Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
31.0%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 10 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 0:4785% → 85%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
14.8%
Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the SFla 26Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
13.4%
Brian Battie run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 24Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+2
15.2%
Noah Johnson run for 2 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+49
15.3%
Trent Schneider punt for 49 yds , Calvin Austin III returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 1:2027% → 83%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
26.5%
Brady White run for 14 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
28.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to Sean Dykes, broken up by Bentlee SandersSimilar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
27.7%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 5 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+15
28.4%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 15 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
32.7%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 5 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+14
33.3%
Brady White pass complete to Kameron Wilson for 14 yds to the SFla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
35.8%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 14 yds to the SFla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
83.4%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0029% → 26%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
70.7%
Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Kelley Joiner Jr.Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-5
71.2%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Joshua Blanchard) to the SFla 18Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+8
71.8%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Bryce Miller for 8 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
72.7%
Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Latrell WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+6
74.1%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 6 yds to the SFla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27Uncategorized
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
88.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:03
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
+55.2
TD · Q4 3:19
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 10 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
+23.5
TD · Q2 3:52
Noah Johnson pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 3 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)
-13.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com