Try the model
USF

South Florida 37 at Temple 39

TEM
2020 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2020 · Lincoln Financial Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFUMBLETDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Adam Barry punt for 51 yds, downed at the SFla 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+26.9Home team on offense+0.8Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:39: Jordan McCloud pass complete to Johnny Ford for 13 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK) — USF win probability +19.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:07: Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 12 yds for a TD SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside (2 Yards) to the SFla 1 (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TEM win probability +17.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  3. FUMBLE · Q4 9:52: Kelly Joiner run for a loss of 4 yards Kelly Joiner fumbled, recovered by Temp Arnold Ebiketie , return for 11 yds (Two-Point Conversion failed) — TEM win probability +29.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 4:28: Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 13 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +22.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:03: Leonard Parker run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout SOUTH FLORIDA, clock 01:03 (Two-Point Conversion failed) — USF win probability +21.8 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7USF made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00USF 4th & 15 at USF 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:26TEM 4th & 5 at USF 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    81.5%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:18USF 4th & 1 at TEM 12, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.7%−0.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    16.9%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:30TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:40USF 4th & 10 at TEM 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    19.4%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00TEM 4th & 12 at TEM 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:16USF 4th & 5 at USF 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00TEM 4th & 1 at USF 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.2%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    64.3%−3.0
    92% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−10.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:14TEM 4th & 8 at USF 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−10.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:03USF 4th & 1 at TEM 12, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    34.4%−2.8
    86% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−12.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:16USF 4th & 12 at TEM 12, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−2.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−9.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00USF 4th & 24 at USF 29, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−7.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:20TEM 4th & 7 at USF 41, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    44.4%−2.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:52USF 4th & 4 at USF 35, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:07TEM 4th & 7 at USF 46, up 2
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.3 ptsPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−4.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%−5.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4USF made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:10TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:34USF Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:39USF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:16TEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:18USF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:39USF Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:07TEM Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    47.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:28TEM Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.7
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:03USF Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    21.9%−3.0
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    24.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
84.3%
Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the SFla 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
84.3%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-15
84.3%
McCLOUD, Jordan pass complete to MILLER, Bryce for 62 yards to the TEMPLE2, out-of-bounds (BRASWELL,C.), PENALTY USF pass interference (CARTER, Chris) 15 yards to the USF21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 21
+6
84.3%
Jordan McCloud run for 6 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 27
0
84.3%
Kenny Scribner punt for 23 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:5784% → 84%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
50
0
83.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 10
50
0
83.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Randle Jones, broken up by Mekhi LaPointeSimilar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 10
50
+13
83.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jose Barbon for 13 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
83.9%
Jose Barbon run for 8 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+10
83.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 10 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
83.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 11 yds to the SFla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
83.9%
Anthony Russo run for 3 yds to the SFla 5Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
84.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 5 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
83.8%
Kelly Joiner run for no gain to the SFla 15Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-5
83.9%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Arnold Ebiketie for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 12 Jordan McCloud fumbled, recovered by Temp Daniel Archibong , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1084% → 84%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
84.2%
Tayvon Ruley run for 3 yds to the SFla 9Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+2
84.2%
Tayvon Ruley run for 2 yds to the SFla 7Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
84.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
84.2%
Will Mobley 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5TD
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:4417% → 19%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
83.3%
Johnny Ford run for 8 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+8
83.2%
Johnny Ford run for 8 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
83.1%
Kelly Joiner run for 5 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+7
83.1%
Kelly Joiner run for 7 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
83.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 6 yds to the Temp 15Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
83.1%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Latrell WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+3
83.2%
Noah Johnson run for 3 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+3
83.4%
Noah Johnson run for 3 yds to the Temp 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
83.1%
Noah Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 13Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
80.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 13 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
81.5%
Re'Mahn Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 19Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
81.4%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
81.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Daquan EvansSimilar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
81.0%
Adam Barry punt for 36 yds, fair catch by KJ Sails at the SFla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
80.9%
Johnny Ford run for 5 yds to the SFla 48 Johnny Ford fumbled, forced by Amir Tyler, recovered by SFla Jordan McCloudSimilar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+8
80.8%
Kelly Joiner run for 8 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
80.7%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Mitchell BrinkmanSimilar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
80.8%
Jordan McCloud run for 5 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-5
80.8%
Jordan McCloud sacked by William Kwenkeu for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 44Similar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
81.5%
Kenny Scribner punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 1:1880% → 80%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
80.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 12 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
80.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 10 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
80.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Temp 36Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
80.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 10 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
81.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Temp 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
80.6%
Anthony Russo run for 2 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-5
80.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (David Martin-Robinson) to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+1
79.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 1 yd to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
79.5%
Adam Barry punt for 51 yds, downed at the SFla 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9TD
12 plays · 95 yds · 3:2020% → 27%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
79.8%
Jah'Quez Evans run for 5 yds to the SFla 10Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+6
79.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 6 yds to the SFla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-4
79.6%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Manny Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 12Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+18
79.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Johnny Ford for 18 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
79.4%
Jordan McCloud run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 27Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 13
OWN 27
0
79.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+21
80.2%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Johnny Ford for 21 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
78.4%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Randall St. Felix, broken up by Kimere BrownSimilar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+15
78.6%
McCLOUD, Jordan pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, L, PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference (WARE,Jalen) 15 yards to the TEMPLE37, 1ST DOWN USF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
78.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Devontres Dukes for 9 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+28
71.0%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Devontres Dukes for 28 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
Q2 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+21
73.4%
Kenny Scribner punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 27 , Jadan Blue returns for 21 yds to the Temp 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:1774% → 80%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
74.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+4
73.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+6
73.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 6 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
74.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan Blue, broken up by Nick RobertsSimilar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+13
74.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 13 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
75.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 13 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
76.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jose Barbon for 12 yds to the SFla 23 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
76.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 7 yds to the SFla 16Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+1
76.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the SFla 15Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+2
73.2%
Anthony Russo run for 2 yds to the SFla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
80.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 13 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
77.3%
Kelly Joiner run for 2 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
77.2%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Omarion Dollison, broken up by Amir TylerSimilar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+3
77.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Johnny Ford for 3 yds to the SFla 40Similar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
78.1%
Kenny Scribner punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jadan Blue at the Temp 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12INT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
77.6%
Tayvon Ruley run for 10 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
78.3%
Anthony Russo run for no gain to the Temp 39Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-1
78.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 11
OWN 38
-21
77.1%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Mekhi LaPointe return for 21 yds to the Temp 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:5926% → 38%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
73.6%
Johnny Ford pass incomplete to Omarion DollisonSimilar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+21
73.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 21 yds to the Temp 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
73.3%
Johnny Ford run for 12 yds to the Temp 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
62.2%
Noah Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
62.2%
McCLOUD, Jordan pass incomplete to BRINKMAN, Mitch (REID,George), PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference (REID,George) 15 yards to the TEMPLE14, 1ST DOWN USF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
62.2%
Jordan McCloud run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 31 Jordan McCloud fumbled, recovered by Temp George Reid , return for 12 yds to the Temp 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15END OF HALF
7 plays · 50 yds · 1:0268% → 73%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
67.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+8
67.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 8 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
69.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 20 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
70.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jose Barbon for 10 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
72.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 9 yds to the SFla 19Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+36
72.7%
Will Mobley 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Dwayne Boyles Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16FG
19 plays · 66 yds · 6:4667% → 68%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
67.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 3 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
67.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 6 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
67.9%
Anthony Russo run for 2 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
67.5%
RUSSO,Anthony pass incomplete to MACK,Branden, PENALTY USF pass interference (HAMPTON, Mike) 15 yards to the USF48, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
69.9%
Branden Mack run for 3 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+2
69.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the SFla 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+7
69.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 7 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
70.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 3 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+5
71.3%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, encroachment (5 Yards) to the SFla 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+14
71.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 14 yds to the SFla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
71.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the SFla 10Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+1
71.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the SFla 9Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+4
69.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the SFla 5Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+1
68.5%
Anthony Russo run for 1 yd to the SFla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
71.3%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
71.3%
Anthony Russo run for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 8 Anthony Russo fumbled, recovered by Temp Anthony RussoSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
69.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q3 8:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
67.9%
Will Mobley 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17TD
12 plays · 46 yds · 2:2439% → 57%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
61.3%
JOINER, Kelly rush for 6 yards to the TEMPLE40 (REID,George), PENALTY USF holding (HARRIS, D) 10 yards to the USF44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+19
63.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 19 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+16
60.9%
Kelly Joiner run for 16 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
59.8%
Johnny Ford run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 25Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 14
OPP 25
0
61.4%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Omarion Dollison, broken up by William KwenkeuSimilar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 14
OPP 25
+13
63.3%
Johnny Ford run for 13 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+4
63.2%
Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the Temp 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
59.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
Q3 8:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
59.8%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 13Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
39.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Johnny Ford for 13 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
Q3 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-15
43.5%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Johnny Ford) to the SFla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0046% → 48%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
45.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
45.5%
Tayvon Ruley run for 7 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+3
47.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 3 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-56
48.0%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Daquan Evans return for 56 yds to the Temp 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 19FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0163% → 65%
Q3 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
37.2%
Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
Q3 4:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
37.2%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Brad Cecil) to the Temp 15Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
37.5%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Johnny FordSimilar
Q3 4:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+3
38.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Latrell Williams for 3 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
34.9%
Jared Sackett 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 2:0937% → 56%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
36.6%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to David Martin-RobinsonSimilar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+14
36.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 14 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
38.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 6 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+15
38.6%
RUSSO,Anthony pass incomplete to BLUE,Jadan, PENALTY USF personal foul (GRIER, Antonio) 15 yards to the USF22, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
40.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the SFla 17Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+3
40.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the SFla 14Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+2
38.4%
Anthony Russo run for 2 yds to the SFla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
56.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 12 yds for a TD SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside (2 Yards) to the SFla 1 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 1:0356% → 53%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
44.5%
Kelly Joiner run for 7 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+8
43.1%
Kelly Joiner run for 8 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-9
42.0%
Jordan McCloud sacked by George Reid for a loss of 9 yards to the SFla 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 34
+1
44.0%
Noah Johnson run for 1 yd to the SFla 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 35
-5
45.7%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Mitchell Brinkman) to the SFla 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 30
-1
45.6%
Noah Johnson pass complete to Johnny Ford for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 24
OWN 29
0
47.0%
Kenny Scribner punt for 35 yds, downed at the Temp 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
46.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 20 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
51.0%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Randle Jones) to the SFla 49Similar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 15
OPP 49
-1
48.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 16
50
+9
47.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 9 yds to the SFla 41Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
50.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for no gain to the SFla 41 TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
46.8%
Adam Barry punt for 38 yds, downed at the SFla 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 23FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3762% → 33%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
38.2%
Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the SFla 7Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+6
38.6%
Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the SFla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
37.7%
Johnny Ford run for 1 yd to the SFla 14Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+11
67.0%
Kelly Joiner run for a loss of 4 yards Kelly Joiner fumbled, recovered by Temp Arnold Ebiketie , return for 11 yds (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0034% → 32%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
65.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Devontres Dukes for 4 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
64.6%
Johnny Ford run for 2 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
65.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for no gain to the SFla 35Similar
Q4 9:52
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
68.0%
Kenny Scribner punt for 46 yds, downed at the Temp 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 3:4768% → 94%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
68.0%
Tayvon Ruley run for 16 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
68.6%
Tayvon Ruley run for 1 yd to the Temp 36Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
68.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 7 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+9
70.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 9 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
72.8%
Anthony Russo run for 1 yd to the SFla 47Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+3
72.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the SFla 44Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+19
72.1%
RUSSO,Anthony rush for 4 yards to the USF40 (KEGLER, Kevin), PENALTY USF face mask (KEGLER, Kevin) 19 yards to the USF25, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
74.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 2 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
74.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jose Barbon, broken up by Dwayne Boyles Jr.Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+10
72.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 10 yds to the SFla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
94.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 13 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 26TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 3:2110% → 37%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
89.7%
Kelly Joiner run for 2 yds to the SFla 30Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
89.5%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Mitchell Brinkman, broken up by George ReidSimilar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+10
91.0%
Jordan McCloud run for 10 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
88.5%
Omarion Dollison run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
50
+3
87.5%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+18
87.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 18 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
85.5%
Kelly Joiner run for 1 yd to the Temp 28Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
85.9%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Johnny FordSimilar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+9
87.9%
Jordan McCloud run for 9 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
85.2%
McCLOUD, Jordan pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, L, PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference (BRASWELL,C.) 14 yards to the TEMPLE5, 1ST DOWN USF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
85.2%
Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the Temp 1Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.2%
Johnny Ford run for no gain to the Temp 1Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.5%
Leonard Parker run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout SOUTH FLORIDA, clock 01:03 (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:5690% → 94%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
89.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the SFla 49Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
89.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the SFla 49Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+3
88.2%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the SFla 46Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 7
OPP 46
+2
93.5%
Adam Barry punt for 35 yds , KJ Sails returns for 2 yds to the SFla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q4 9:52
Kelly Joiner run for a loss of 4 yards Kelly Joiner fumbled, recovered by Temp Arnold Ebiketie , return for 11 yds (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+29.3
TD · Q4 4:28
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 13 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
+22.2
TD · Q4 1:03
Leonard Parker run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout SOUTH FLORIDA, clock 01:03 (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-21.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com