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UNA

North Alabama 14 at BYU 66

BYU
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadUNA aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreUNA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Rett Files pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Pregame prior+39.3Home team on offense+28.2Score differential+22.4Blowout margin+11.2Garbage-time factor+6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:32: Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:24: Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:39: Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 19 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:59: Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 3 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:37: Ja'Won Howell run for 2 yds for a TD (Grayson Easterling KICK) — UNA win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: UNA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UNA made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 12:08UNA 4th & 6 at BYU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:31UNA 4th & 15 at UNA 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:36UNA 4th & 10 at UNA 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:50UNA 4th & 3 at BYU 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:59BYU 4th & 3 at UNA 3, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00UNA 4th & 8 at BYU 43, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:34BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 29, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:34UNA 4th & 11 at BYU 38, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:51BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 31, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:37UNA 4th & 2 at UNA 28, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:36BYU 4th & 6 at UNA 36, up 42
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9UNA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:42BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:32BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:24BYU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:39BYU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:59BYU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:37UNA Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:40BYU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:50BYU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:01BYU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:09UNA Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:36BYU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNADrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:470% → 1%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Blake Dever pass complete to Jakob Terry for 4 yds to the NorAl 29Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
99.6%
Blake Dever pass complete to Parker Driggers for 10 yds to the NorAl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
99.5%
Blake Dever pass complete to Corson Swan for 15 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Jakobi ByrdSimilar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.5%
Blake Dever pass complete to Parker Driggers for 4 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Cortez HallSimilar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Joe Gurley punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:18100% → 99%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+50
99.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 50 yds to the NorAl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
99.5%
Tyler Allgeier run for 14 yds to the NorAl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.4%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+15
99.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 15 yds to the NorAl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.4%
Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 1 yard to the NorAl 2Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:051% → 1%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
99.4%
Blake Dever pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 23 yds to the NorAl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.4%
Ja'Won Howell run for 1 yd to the NorAl 49Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
99.3%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Patrick McKaufmanSimilar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-6
99.3%
Blake Dever sacked by Isaiah Kaufusi for a loss of 6 yards to the NorAl 43Similar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 15
OWN 43
+2
99.3%
Joe Gurley punt for 40 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 2 yds to the BYU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:5999% → 99%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-10
99.3%
BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (-10 Yards) to the BYU 9Similar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 20
OWN 9
+33
99.3%
Zach Wilson run for 33 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.3%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+11
99.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 11 yds to the NorAl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
99.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 20 yds to the NorAl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.2%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+15
99.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 15 yds to the NorAl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
99.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 8 yds to the NorAl 2Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 2:531% → 1%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Blake Dever pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.3%
Blake Dever pass complete to Tyler Price for 11 yds to the NorAl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.2%
Tyler Price run for 2 yds to the NorAl 38Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-5
99.2%
NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Noah Stern) to the NorAl 33Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+14
99.2%
Blake Dever pass complete to Parker Driggers for 14 yds to the NorAl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.1%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Cortez HallSimilar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
99.1%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Jakobi ByrdSimilar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
99.1%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Tyler PriceSimilar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.1%
Joe Gurley punt for 47 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 8 yds to the BYU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 3:0599% → 99%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
99.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 12 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
99.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 13 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.2%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
99.2%
Kavika Fonua run for 7 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+5
99.2%
NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the NorAl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.2%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
99.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 8 yds to the NorAl 41Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+30
99.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 30 yds to the NorAl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
99.1%
NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, Roughing Passer (6 Yards) to the NorAl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.1%
Kavika Fonua run for 3 yds to the NorAl 2Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.1%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Masen WakeSimilar
Q2 13:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 7DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 5:271% → 1%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
Ja'Won Howell run for 2 yds to the NorAl 27Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.4%
Ja'Won Howell run for 2 yds to the NorAl 29Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
99.4%
Rett Files pass complete to Cortez Hall for 12 yds to the NorAl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
99.3%
Rett Files pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 13 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.3%
Ja'Won Howell run for 3 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-5
99.3%
NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the BYU 48Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+3
99.3%
Rett Files pass complete to Jakobi Byrd for 3 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+1
99.3%
Rett Files run for 1 yd to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 8
OPP 44
+5
99.3%
BYU Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+1
99.2%
Ja'Won Howell run for 1 yd to the BYU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 1:0399% → 100%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.4%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+39
99.4%
Tyler Allgeier run for 39 yds to the NorAl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 19 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Rett Files pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.8%
Rett Files pass complete to Jack Peavey for 19 yds to the NorAl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.7%
Rett Files pass complete to Tyler Price for 7 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+50
99.7%
Tyler Price run for 5 yds to the BYU 44, Tyler Price fumbled, recovered by BYU Isaiah Kaufusi , return for 50 yds to the NorAl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q2 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the NorAl 1Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.7%
Gunner Romney run for a loss of 1 yard to the NorAl 2Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.7%
Kavika Fonua run for a loss of 1 yard to the NorAl 3Similar
Q2 2:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 3 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 11TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:160% → 0%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.8%
Rett Files pass complete to Cortez Hall for 11 yds to the NorAl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.8%
Ja'Won Howell run for 1 yd to the NorAl 37Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Rett Files pass incomplete to Corson SwanSimilar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+18
99.8%
Rett Files pass complete to Corson Swan for 18 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
99.8%
BYU Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Troy Warner) to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+28
99.8%
Rett Files pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 28 yds to the BYU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Ja'Won Howell run for 2 yds for a TD (Grayson Easterling KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+58
99.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 58 yds to the NorAl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
99.8%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Isaac Rex) to the NorAl 22Similar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 15
OPP 22
0
99.8%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 15
OPP 22
+22
99.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Kavika Fonua for 22 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:320% → 0%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.8%
Tyler Price run for 20 yds to the NorAl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
99.8%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Holding (Micah Harper) to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Rett Files pass incomplete to Jakobi ByrdSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.8%
Rett Files run for 1 yd to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+1
99.8%
Rett Files pass complete to Tyler Price for 1 yd to the BYU 43Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Rett Files pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Kavika Fonua for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.8%
Kavika Fonua run for 1 yd to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Jack Peavey at the NorAl 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Rett Files pass intercepted Malik Moore return for no gain to the NorAl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
99.9%
Chris Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the NorAl 43Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+25
99.9%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Carter Wheat for 25 yds to the NorAl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
99.9%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Gunner Romney for 10 yds to the NorAl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.9%
Sione Finau run for 1 yd to the NorAl 7 Sione Finau fumbled, recovered by BYUSimilar
Q3 10:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Kavika Fonua for 7 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 17DOWNS
14 plays · 30 yds · 7:120% → 0%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Andre LittleSimilar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Blake Dever pass complete to Cameron Turner for 10 yds to the NorAl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Ja'Won Howell run for 1 yd to the NorAl 36Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Andre Little run for 7 yds to the NorAl 43Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Ja'Won Howell run for 3 yds to the NorAl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
99.9%
NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Andre Little) to the NorAl 41Similar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+11
99.9%
Blake Dever pass complete to Cortez Hall for 11 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+3
99.9%
Blake Dever pass complete to Parker Driggers for 3 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+8
99.9%
Parker Driggers run for 8 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
Blake Dever run for 4 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+2
99.9%
Blake Dever pass complete to Parker Driggers for 2 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 4
OPP 31
-7
99.9%
Blake Dever sacked by Earl Tuioti-Mariner for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 38Similar
Q3 3:34
4TH & 11
OPP 38
-7
99.9%
Blake Dever sacked by Earl Tuioti-Mariner for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:29100% → 100%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Kavika Fonua run for 2 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+16
99.9%
Kavika Fonua run for 16 yds to the NorAl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
99.9%
Baylor Romney run for 11 yds to the NorAl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
99.9%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Miles Davis for 7 yds to the NorAl 19Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+8
99.9%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Kody Epps for 8 yds to the NorAl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.9%
NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NorAl 6Similar
Q3 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Miles Davis run for 6 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 19TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:460% → 0%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
Tyler Price run for 1 yd to the NorAl 32Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+6
100.0%
Rett Files pass complete to Tyler Price for 6 yds to the NorAl 38Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+21
100.0%
Rett Files pass complete to Andre Little for 21 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
100.0%
Rett Files pass complete to Corson Swan for 12 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Rett Files pass incomplete to Corson SwanSimilar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+29
99.9%
Rett Files pass complete to Jakobi Byrd for 29 yds for a TD (Grayson Easterling KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.9%
Baylor Romney sacked by Will Evans for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 19Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+8
99.9%
Kavika Fonua run for 8 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Kavika Fonua for 4 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jack Peavey at the NorAl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
100.0%
Ja'Won Howell run for 5 yds to the NorAl 25Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Rett Files pass complete to Jakobi Byrd for 1 yd to the NorAl 26Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
Rett Files run for 2 yds to the NorAl 28Similar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Joe Gurley punt for 45 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 1 yd to the BYU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:53100% → 100%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+22
99.9%
Miles Davis run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
50
0
100.0%
Miles Davis run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 10
50
+3
100.0%
Baylor Romney run for 3 yds to the NorAl 47Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+7
100.0%
Baylor Romney run for 7 yds to the NorAl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
100.0%
Sione Finau run for 3 yds to the NorAl 37Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+1
100.0%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Chris Jackson for 1 yd to the NorAl 36Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Carter WheatSimilar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+53
100.0%
Jake Oldroyd 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Tyler Price run for 1 yd to the NorAl 26Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Luke Nail run for no gain to the NorAl 26 Luke Nail fumbled, recovered by BYUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24TD
1 play · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
100.0%
Miles Davis run for 26 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Ja'Won Howell run for 1 yd to the NorAl 26Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Ja'Won Howell run for no gain to the NorAl 26Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+19
100.0%
Rett Files pass complete to E.J. Rogers for 19 yds to the NorAl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Ja'Won Howell run for no gain to the NorAl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:24
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q2 6:39
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 19 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 4:32
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com