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ULM

UL Monroe 7 at Liberty 40

LIB
2020 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2020 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFUMBLEFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:10 · Daniel Sparks punt for 52 yds , Demario Douglas returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Pregame prior+21.1Home team on offense+18.3Score differential+11.8Garbage-time factor+3.3Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:01: Peytton Pickett run for 15 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +0.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:11: Malik Willis run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +1.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 13:37: UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (T.J. Fiailoa) to the LaMon 43 — ULM win probability +1.7 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. FUMBLE · Q2 3:56: Daniel Sparks run for a loss of 3 yards Daniel Sparks fumbled, recovered by Liber Treon Sibley for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +5.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. PUNT · Q3 11:07: Daniel Sparks punt blocked by Treon Sibley blocked by Treon Sibley for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ULM made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 13:38ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:42ULM 4th & 12 at ULM 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:01LIB 4th & 1 at ULM 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.3%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:41ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:08LIB 4th & 4 at LIB 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:21ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:44ULM 4th & 1 at LIB 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−1.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:47LIB 4th & 16 at ULM 39, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    88.2%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:56ULM 4th & 12 at ULM 3, down 14
    Numbers favored punt by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:46LIB 4th & 12 at ULM 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:10ULM 4th & 3 at ULM 23, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:19LIB 4th & 8 at ULM 47, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:07ULM 4th & 3 at ULM 11, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:02ULM 4th & 2 at LIB 43, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:13ULM 4th & 8 at LIB 8, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:45LIB 4th & 12 at ULM 12, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:27ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 33, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:29ULM 4th & 11 at ULM 2, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:51LIB 4th & 2 at ULM 37, up 40
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:15ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 46, down 40
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ULM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:01LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:11LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:34ULM Touchdown, down 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1213% → 14%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.6%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
86.5%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
86.3%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:38
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
86.3%
Daniel Sparks punt for 46 yds, downed at the Liber 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:1686% → 86%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+53
86.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 53 yds to the LaMon 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
86.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 26 TEAM fumbled, recovered by LaMon Traveion WebsterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:1414% → 14%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
86.0%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
86.0%
Josh Johnson run for 8 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
85.8%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 2
OWN 34
-5
85.8%
UL MONROE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 11:58
4TH & 7
OWN 29
-5
85.8%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (KeyShawn Johnson) to the LaMon 24Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 12
OWN 24
+38
85.8%
Daniel Sparks punt for 38 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 38 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:2986% → 86%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
85.9%
Malik Willis run for 3 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+6
85.9%
Shedro Louis run for 6 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 1
OPP 15
0
85.6%
Shedro Louis run for no gain to the LaMon 15Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+15
86.2%
Peytton Pickett run for 15 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4314% → 14%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
86.0%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
86.0%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
86.1%
Colby Suits pass intercepted Javon Scruggs return for no gain to the LaMon 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6TD
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:3986% → 88%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
86.3%
Joshua Mack run for 15 yds to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
86.3%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-2
86.2%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 25Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+16
86.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 16 yds to the LaMon 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
86.2%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the LaMon 6Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
86.2%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q1 6:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
87.9%
Malik Willis run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2713% → 13%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
87.2%
Isaiah Phillips run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 23Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
87.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Johnson for 4 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
87.4%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
87.5%
Daniel Sparks punt for 47 yds, downed at the Liber 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2088% → 88%
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
87.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 2 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
87.9%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+4
87.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Peytton Pickett for 4 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 4
OWN 32
+10
87.6%
Aidan Alves punt for 53 yds , Perry Carter returns for 10 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4113% → 13%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Zach JacksonSimilar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.6%
Josh Johnson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
87.3%
Colby Suits sacked by Durrell Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 26 Colby Suits fumbled, forced by Durrell Johnson, recovered by LaMon Tyler Johnson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 1:21
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+29
87.5%
Daniel Sparks punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LIBERTY 30 UL MONROE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kevric Wiggins) to the Liber 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10INT
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:3888% → 89%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
88.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 19 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
88.5%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+25
88.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 25 yds to the LaMon 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
88.7%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the LaMon 6Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
88.7%
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (Tristan Schultz) to the LaMon 11Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-39
88.8%
Malik Willis pass intercepted Austin Hawley return for 39 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:5313% → 13%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
87.1%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (T.J. Fiailoa) to the LaMon 43Similar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+10
87.5%
Colby Suits run for 10 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+7
87.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Johnson for 7 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
87.0%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jahquan BloomfieldSimilar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-2
87.0%
Josh Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 42Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+5
87.4%
LIBERTY Penalty, Defensive Offside (Durrell Johnson) to the Liber 37Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+6
87.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 6 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
87.0%
Josh Johnson run for no gain to the Liber 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 4:5189% → 88%
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
88.6%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+10
88.6%
UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Kenderick Marbles) to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
89.0%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-4
88.9%
Malik Willis sacked by Ivin White Jr. and Traveion Webster for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 37Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+15
88.4%
Malik Willis run for 15 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
89.3%
Malik Willis run for 6 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-3
88.8%
Joshua Mack run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 45Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+12
88.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 12 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-6
89.1%
Malik Willis run for a loss of 6 yards to the LaMon 39Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 16
OPP 39
0
88.9%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 16
OPP 39
0
88.5%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 16
OPP 39
0
87.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Perry Carter at the LaMon 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13FUMBLE TD
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:4012% → 5%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
88.5%
Josh Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 7Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 8
OWN 7
0
88.6%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Chandler WhitfieldSimilar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 8
OWN 7
0
88.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Zach Jackson for no gain to the LaMon 7Similar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 8
OWN 7
-4
89.0%
UL MONROE Penalty, Delay of Game (-4 Yards) to the LaMon 3Similar
Q2 3:56
4TH & 12
OWN 3
0
94.6%
Daniel Sparks run for a loss of 3 yards Daniel Sparks fumbled, recovered by Liber Treon Sibley for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:466% → 5%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
94.4%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
94.6%
Colby Suits pass complete to Perry Carter for 5 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 5
OWN 21
-5
94.6%
Colby Suits pass intercepted Marcus Haskins return for 5 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:0296% → 96%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
95.7%
Joshua Mack run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 23Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 11
OPP 23
0
95.8%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 11
OPP 23
-1
95.8%
Malik Willis sacked by Ty Shelby for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 24Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+42
95.8%
Alex Barbir 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:255% → 5%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
95.0%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+7
95.1%
Colby Suits pass complete to Malik Jackson for 7 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
95.0%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Zach JacksonSimilar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 3
OWN 23
-4
95.1%
Daniel Sparks punt for 52 yds , Demario Douglas returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17END OF HALF
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:0096% → 96%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
96.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 11 yds to the Liber 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.2%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ YarbroughSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
96.2%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ YarbroughSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+13
96.2%
Malik Willis run for 13 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.3%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
96.3%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Jaivian LoftonSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+7
96.3%
Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:2196% → 96%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
96.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 14 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.3%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ YarbroughSimilar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
96.3%
Malik Willis run for 15 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
96.4%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
96.4%
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (Tristan Schultz) to the Liber 46Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+3
96.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 3 yds to the Liber 49Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+9
96.4%
Malik Willis run for 9 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 3
OPP 42
-5
96.3%
LIBERTY Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Johnny Huntley) to the LaMon 47Similar
Q3 12:19
4TH & 8
OPP 47
+43
96.4%
Aidan Alves punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Perry Carter at the LaMon 8 UL MONROE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Davis Hughes) to the LaMon 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19PUNT TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:024% → 1%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
96.3%
Josh Johnson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 10Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+1
96.3%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 11Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 3
OWN 11
0
96.4%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:07
4TH & 3
OWN 11
0
99.3%
Daniel Sparks punt blocked by Treon Sibley blocked by Treon Sibley for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20DOWNS
16 plays · 88 yds · 6:321% → 1%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
99.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jevin Frett for 15 yds to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.4%
Josh Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jevin FrettSimilar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+21
99.4%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for 21 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.4%
Javin Myers run for 4 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
99.4%
Colby Suits pass complete to Javin Myers for 3 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+1
99.4%
Colby Suits pass complete to Javin Myers for 1 yd to the Liber 43Similar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+3
99.5%
Javin Myers run for 3 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
99.5%
LIBERTY Penalty, Personal Foul (Aakil Washington) to the Liber 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
99.3%
Josh Johnson run for 15 yds to the Liber 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for no gain to the Liber 10Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 2 yds to the Liber 8Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.4%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Perry CarterSimilar
Q3 4:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
99.5%
Colby Suits pass complete to Chandler Whitfield for 7 yds to the Liber 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21FG
17 plays · 87 yds · 6:20100% → 100%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.7%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Liber 3Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+7
99.7%
Peytton Pickett run for 7 yds to the Liber 10Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+4
99.7%
Peytton Pickett run for 4 yds to the Liber 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.8%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Liber 16Similar
Q3 1:41
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+17
99.8%
Malik Willis run for 17 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
99.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 18 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+26
99.8%
Shedro Louis run for 26 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.8%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ YarbroughSimilar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
99.8%
Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+3
99.8%
Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the LaMon 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
99.9%
UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kevric Wiggins) to the LaMon 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
99.8%
LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tristan Schultz) to the LaMon 13Similar
Q4 13:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny HuntleySimilar
Q4 13:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+1
99.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the LaMon 12Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny HuntleySimilar
Q4 12:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
99.9%
Alex Barbir 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Josh Johnson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-3
99.9%
Jeremy Hunt run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 28Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Jeremy Hunt run for 5 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+73
99.9%
Daniel Sparks punt for 40 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 73 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:310% → 0%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
99.9%
Javin Myers run for 2 yds to the LaMon 5Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Jeremy Hunt pass incomplete to Chandler WhitfieldSimilar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 8
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Jeremy Hunt pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 8
OWN 5
-3
99.9%
UL MONROE Penalty, Delay of Game (-3 Yards) to the LaMon 2Similar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 11
OWN 2
0
100.0%
Daniel Sparks punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the LaMon 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Shedro Louis run for no gain to the LaMon 45Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.9%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-5
99.9%
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (John Kourtis) to the LaMon 46Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+9
99.9%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Brody Brumm for 9 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 2
OPP 37
-5
99.9%
Chris Ferguson run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 25TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:560% → 0%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
Javin Myers run for 4 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Jeremy Hunt run for no gain to the LaMon 46Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Jeremy Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+14
100.0%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Jordan Carroll for 14 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
100.0%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Malik Jackson for 13 yds to the Liber 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
100.0%
Javin Myers run for 7 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+5
100.0%
Javin Myers run for 5 yds to the Liber 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Kadyn Roach for 15 yds for a TD (Davis Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 26Uncategorized
6 plays · 46 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 4 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+34
100.0%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Jaivian Lofton for 34 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for no gain to the LaMon 31Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+2
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q2 3:56
Daniel Sparks run for a loss of 3 yards Daniel Sparks fumbled, recovered by Liber Treon Sibley for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)
+5.6
PUNT · Q3 11:07
Daniel Sparks punt blocked by Treon Sibley blocked by Treon Sibley for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)
+2.9
TD · Q1 6:11
Malik Willis run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com