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UNT

North Texas 17 at UTSA 49

UTSA
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Lucas Dean punt for 52 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginPregame prior
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin+0.0Pregame prior+6.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:10: Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 8 yds for a TD UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 8 (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +8.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:58: Jason Bean pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 75 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +8.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:26: Sincere McCormick run for 65 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +8.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:22: Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 15 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +14.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:55: Brenden Brady run for 4 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +7.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UNT made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00UTSA 4th & 2 at UTSA 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:54UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:27UTSA 4th & 12 at UNT 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%
    45% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:38UNT 4th & 2 at UTSA 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    40.8%−0.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:26UNT 4th & 16 at UNT 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−2.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:27UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:30UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:28UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:21UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 44, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:33UNT 4th & 1 at UTSA 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%−2.5
    54% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−3.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:12UNT 4th & 6 at UTSA 6, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−4.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:15UNT 4th & 5 at UTSA 35, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:06UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 31, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:38UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:10UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:58UNT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:26UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:22UTSA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:55UTSA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:02UTSA Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:12UTSA Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:40UNT Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
56.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 5 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+1
56.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+13
56.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 13 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
56.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
56.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
56.3%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 48 Frank Harris fumbled, recovered by TexSA Frank Harris , return for 2 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
56.3%
Lucas Dean punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
56.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jaelon Darden for no gain to the NoTex 20Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
56.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 21Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
56.6%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 9
OWN 21
-2
56.7%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 45 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3MISSED FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:2157% → 57%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
56.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
57.0%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 39Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+28
56.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 28 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
57.2%
Frank Harris sacked by Gabriel Murphy for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 37Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+3
56.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 3 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 11
OPP 34
-1
56.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 35Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 12
OPP 35
+52
56.5%
Hunter Duplessis 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4INT
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:0044% → 45%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
56.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
50
-6
55.7%
Jason Bean sacked by Jaylon Haynes for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 44Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 16
OWN 44
+14
56.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 14 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
55.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
55.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
55.4%
Jason Bean pass intercepted, touchback. Rashad Wisdom return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:4757% → 63%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
56.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 13 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
56.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
57.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Leroy Watson for 3 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+8
57.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 8 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+23
57.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 23 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
58.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 8 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+3
58.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the NoTex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
58.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
63.2%
Frank Harris run for 19 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 53 yds · 0:0038% → 39%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the NoTex 26Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+32
61.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 32 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
60.4%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
60.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the TexSA 41Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+11
60.9%
Jason Bean run for 11 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
59.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
59.8%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
60.6%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+5
61.2%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the TexSA 22Similar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 2
OPP 22
0
61.0%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:5063% → 73%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
63.2%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
63.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 4 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+8
62.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 8 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
63.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 7 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+38
64.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 38 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
64.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+3
64.7%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the NoTex 15Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+7
64.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 7 yds to the NoTex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
73.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 8 yds for a TD UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 8 (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
64.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 75 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:3264% → 73%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
64.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+65
72.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 65 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
71.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 7 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
71.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
71.1%
Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-1
71.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 40Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-8
71.3%
Jason Bean sacked by Christian Clayton for a loss of 8 yards to the NoTex 32Similar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
72.2%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 38 yds, downed at the TexSA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
73.6%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
73.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 10 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
74.5%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin, broken up by Quinn WhitlockSimilar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
74.2%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg, broken up by John Davis Jr.Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+3
73.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 3 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+6
72.8%
Lucas Dean punt for 48 yds , Deonte Simpson returns for 6 yds to the NoTex 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0025% → 26%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
75.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 16Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+12
75.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 12 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
74.7%
Jason Bean run for 9 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 1
OWN 37
0
73.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+4
73.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
74.3%
Jason Bean pass intercepted Clarence Hicks return for no gain to the TexSA 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 2:1678% → 93%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
77.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+17
77.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 17 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
77.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 5 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+12
77.7%
Frank Harris run for 12 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
92.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 15 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:5211% → 11%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 5 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
88.5%
Austin Aune sacked by Charles Wiley for a loss of 10 yards to the NoTex 20Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+11
89.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 11 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
89.2%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
91.6%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3210% → 10%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the NoTex 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
89.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 6 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
89.5%
Austin Aune run for 3 yds to the NoTex 32 Austin Aune fumbled, forced by Trevor Harmanson, recovered by NoTex Deonte Simpson , return for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 32Similar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
90.1%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
92.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
92.2%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+14
92.0%
Frank Harris run for 14 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
92.7%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus, broken up by John Davis Jr.Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
92.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Julon Williams for 1 yd to the TexSA 45Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 9
OWN 45
-10
92.3%
HARRIS, Frank middle pass complete to McCORMICK, S. for 12 yards to the UNT43 (MURPHY, Grayson), PENALTY UTSA holding (BURFORD, S.) 10 yards to the UTSA35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 19
OWN 35
+9
91.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 9 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
91.6%
Lucas Dean punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Deonte Simpson at the NoTex 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18FG
15 plays · 78 yds · 4:218% → 12%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
92.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 4 yds to the NoTex 20Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+25
92.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 25 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 45Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+15
91.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 15 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
91.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 6 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
90.4%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jason Pirtle, broken up by Trevor HarmansonSimilar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+3
90.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 3 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+1
90.9%
Austin Aune run for 1 yd to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
90.6%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
90.8%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+20
91.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 20 yds to the TexSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
90.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the TexSA 9Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
90.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the TexSA 6Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
91.0%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Deonte SimpsonSimilar
Q3 6:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
87.7%
Ethan Mooney 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:1791% → 98%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
91.2%
Brenden Brady run for 4 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-5
91.2%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (Kevin Davis) to the TexSA 25Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+71
90.9%
Frank Harris run for 71 yds to the NoTex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.9%
Brenden Brady run for 4 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 1:405% → 5%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
94.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
94.4%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+31
94.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 31 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
94.3%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Austin OgunmakinSimilar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
94.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Austin Ogunmakin) to the TexSA 45Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 15
OPP 45
0
93.8%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+10
94.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 10 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q3 3:15
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
95.1%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jason Pirtle, broken up by Kelechi NwachukuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 4:0898% → 100%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
98.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
98.5%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, offside defense (Dion Novil) to the TexSA 43Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+15
98.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 15 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
98.7%
B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+7
98.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
99.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 13 yds to the NoTex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 18 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 6 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q4 13:06
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 38 yds, downed at the TexSA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 5:42100% → 100%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.8%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 4 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+11
99.8%
Brenden Brady run for 11 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.8%
Brenden Brady run for 6 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Brenden Brady run for no gain to the NoTex 48Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 4
OWN 0
0
99.8%
BRADY, Brenden rush left for 1 yard to the UNT47 (SANDERS, Makyle), PENALTY UTSA illegal motion off-setting, PENALTY UNT personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+33
99.8%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Andrew McGowan for 33 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
99.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 6 yds to the NoTex 9Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 9 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 3:320% → 0%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
99.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for no gain to the NoTex 13 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (Christian Clayton) to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
99.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 19 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
99.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 10 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Deonte Simpson, broken up by Ken RobinsonSimilar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+8
99.9%
Tre Siggers run for 8 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+13
99.9%
Tre Siggers run for 13 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
99.9%
Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the TexSA 9Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+1
99.9%
Jason Bean run for 1 yd to the TexSA 8Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 8 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 1 yd to the TexSA 26Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 5 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Kadari Johnson run for 5 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
99.9%
Kadari Johnson run for 23 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:22
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 15 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+14.8
TD · Q2 10:26
Sincere McCormick run for 65 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+8.5
TD · Q2 11:10
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 8 yds for a TD UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 8 (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com