Try the model
RICE

Rice 17 at North Texas 27

UNT
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · DATCU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:20 · Mike Collins pass incomplete to Jake Bailey
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Home team on offense−6.5Score differential−3.2Garbage-time factor−1.8Pregame prior+3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:26: Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 14 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK) — RICE win probability +4.2 pts (now 50%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:56: Jason Bean run for 66 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +8.9 pts (now 53%) (top driver: One-score game).
  3. TD · Q2 1:09: Jason Bean pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 25 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +12.1 pts (now 65%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 9:56: Ethan Mooney 27 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +8.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:27: DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +9.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 11:11RICE 4th & 13 at UNT 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:11UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:26UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:24UNT 4th & 13 at UNT 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:20RICE 4th & 2 at UNT 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    52.7%−0.7
    87% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:18RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 37, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:23UNT 4th & 2 at UNT 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:56UNT 4th & 9 at RICE 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−8.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:56RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 38, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%−2.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:44UNT 4th & 9 at RICE 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    74.7%−0.9
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:09RICE 4th & 14 at UNT 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    26.1%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:03UNT 4th & 2 at RICE 13, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.5%−1.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−10.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:27RICE 4th & 23 at UNT 44, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    3.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:26UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 49, up 17
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:26RICE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:56UNT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:09UNT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:27UNT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:08RICE Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:4944% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.6%
Mike Collins pass complete to Khalan Griffin for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
55.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 13 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
55.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 5 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+29
55.6%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 29 yds to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
55.6%
Khalan Griffin run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 26
-1
55.6%
Khalan Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 27 Khalan Griffin fumbled, forced by Dion Novil,Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 27
0
55.6%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+45
55.8%
Collin Riccitelli 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
55.6%
Jason Bean run for 6 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
55.8%
Jason Bean run for 1 yd to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
55.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 6 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
55.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 5 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
56.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
55.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 45Similar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
55.7%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 52 yds, downed at the Rice 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3TD
7 plays · 97 yds · 4:0145% → 50%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+7
55.5%
Khalan Griffin run for 7 yds to the Rice 10Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 3
OWN 10
+35
55.6%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jake Bailey for 35 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
55.0%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 13 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
54.9%
Khalan Griffin run for 5 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+7
54.8%
Mike Collins run for 7 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
54.7%
Ari Broussard run for 16 yds to the NoTex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
50.5%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 14 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
51.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
51.8%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
51.4%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jason Pirtle, broken up by Prudy CalderonSimilar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+23
51.2%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 52 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 23 yds to the Rice 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5FUMBLE
11 plays · 26 yds · 3:2948% → 52%
Q1 3:29
4TH & 28
OWN 28
+15
51.7%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, roughing the kicker (Alex Morris) to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
50.3%
Khalan Griffin run for 6 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
50.2%
Khalan Griffin run for no gain to the Rice 49Similar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
50.3%
Mike Collins sacked by Gabriel Murphy for 0 yards to the Rice 35 Mike Collins fumbled, recovered by Rice Clay Servin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 21
OWN 35
-3
51.1%
Khalan Griffin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 24
OWN 32
-4
51.5%
Mike Collins sacked by Grayson Murphy for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+7
48.3%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jordan Myers for 7 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
48.0%
Khalan Griffin run for 10 yds to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
47.9%
Khalan Griffin run for 6 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
47.8%
Khalan Griffin run for no gain to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 28
-1
48.1%
Khalan Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 28 Khalan Griffin fumbled, forced by Dion Novil, recovered by NoTex Makyle SandersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
46.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
46.4%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 8
OWN 30
-5
45.6%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 25Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 13
OWN 25
0
45.4%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 13
OWN 25
0
45.0%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 36 yds, downed at the Rice 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 50 yds · 3:2254% → 54%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
46.4%
Khalan Griffin run for 4 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+38
46.4%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 38 yds to the NoTex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
46.0%
Jake Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 20Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+7
46.2%
Mike Collins pass complete to Andrew Mason for 7 yds to the NoTex 13Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+2
46.4%
Mike Collins run for 2 yds to the NoTex 11Similar
Q2 8:20
4TH & 2
OPP 11
0
45.6%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8TD
4 plays · 89 yds · 1:1744% → 53%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
43.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 11 yds to the NoTex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
44.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 6 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+6
44.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 6 yds to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
53.3%
Jason Bean run for 66 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3848% → 49%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
51.9%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
51.9%
Khalan Griffin run for 4 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+3
50.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
51.3%
Charlie Mendes punt for 50 yds, downed at the NoTex 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0051% → 49%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
50.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 14Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+7
50.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds to the NoTex 21Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 2
OWN 21
0
49.9%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 2
OWN 21
0
49.0%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 41 yds , Austin Trammell returns for no gain to the Rice 38 Austin Trammell fumbled, recovered by NoTex Alex MorrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:0054% → 65%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
54.0%
Jason Bean pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 4 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+3
55.1%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+4
53.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
55.1%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Greg White, broken up by Andrew BirdSimilar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
55.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+25
65.0%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 25 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
62.3%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jordan Myers for 12 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
60.8%
RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (Clay Servin) to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+4
62.8%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 4 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 16
OWN 34
-6
63.2%
Mike Collins sacked by Dion Novil for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13FG
16 plays · 55 yds · 5:0463% → 73%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
62.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jaelon Darden for no gain to the NoTex 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
62.6%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (Asher Alberding) to the NoTex 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+14
62.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 14 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+14
62.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 14 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
65.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 8 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+3
65.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
65.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+8
65.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 8 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
65.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+5
65.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+13
65.8%
Jason Bean run for 13 yds to the Rice 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
65.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the Rice 10Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
65.9%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Austin Ogunmakin, broken up by Chris BoudreauxSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
64.8%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
72.8%
Ethan Mooney 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
69.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 4 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
68.9%
Mike Collins run for 2 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+3
69.5%
Mike Collins pass complete to Robert French for 3 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+1
69.9%
Charlie Mendes punt for 49 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 1 yd to the NoTex 39 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal block (Makyle Sanders) to the NoTex 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 51 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
74.5%
Jason Bean run for 8 yds to the NoTex 15Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+1
74.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 16Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+3
73.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the NoTex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+38
74.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 38 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
77.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
77.3%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Deion Hair-GriffinSimilar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
76.2%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Austin Ogunmakin, broken up by Prudy CalderonSimilar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
74.1%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
71.6%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
71.9%
Mike Collins run for 2 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+18
73.1%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 18 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
69.9%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jordan Myers for 12 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
68.1%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
68.8%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jordan Myers for 11 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
68.1%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Andrew MasonSimilar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
68.1%
Mike Collins run for 3 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-7
68.5%
Mike Collins sacked by KD Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 41Similar
Q3 5:09
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
72.9%
Charlie Mendes punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 2:4081% → 84%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
80.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 19 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+27
82.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 27 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
83.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
84.5%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+14
83.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 14 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
84.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+6
84.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 6 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 12
-1
83.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 13Similar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+30
84.2%
Ethan Mooney 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -11 yds · 0:0017% → 14%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
83.5%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jordan Myers for 8 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+3
81.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-11
82.1%
Mike Collins sacked by Larry Nixon III for a loss of 11 yards to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 21
OWN 27
-11
84.4%
Mike Collins sacked by Davontae McCrae and Grayson Murphy for a loss of 11 yards to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 32
OWN 16
0
85.3%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Jordan MyersSimilar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 32
OWN 16
+16
85.8%
Charlie Mendes punt for 39 yds , DeAndre Torrey returns for 16 yds to the Rice 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:4388% → 97%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
87.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 11 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
87.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+17
87.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 17 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
87.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the Rice 2Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
87.7%
Nic Smith run for 1 yd to the Rice 1Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 34 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
96.4%
Mike Collins pass complete to Andrew Mason for 3 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+17
96.3%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jake Bailey for 17 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
96.1%
Mike Collins run for 3 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+9
96.1%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jordan Myers for 9 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
96.0%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Jake Bailey, broken up by Quinn WhitlockSimilar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
96.0%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jordan Myers for 9 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+6
95.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 6 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
95.5%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Andrew Mason, broken up by John Davis Jr.Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
95.6%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Khalan GriffinSimilar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 10
OPP 31
-13
96.0%
Mike Collins sacked by Grayson Murphy and Gabriel Murphy for a loss of 13 yards to the NoTex 44Similar
Q4 7:27
4TH & 23
OPP 44
0
96.4%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Andrew MasonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3198% → 99%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
98.1%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
98.1%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
98.1%
Austin Aune run for no gain to the NoTex 49Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 5
OWN 49
+24
98.8%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 40 yds , Jake Bailey returns for 24 yds to the NORTHTEXAS 27 RICE Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the Rice 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:182% → 7%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
98.2%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jake Bailey for 11 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+41
98.1%
Mike Collins pass complete to Khalan Griffin for 41 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
97.5%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jordan Myers for 5 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+6
97.5%
Mike Collins run for 6 yds to the NoTex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
97.5%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
93.4%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jake Bailey for 17 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:09
Jason Bean pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 25 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)
+12.1
TD · Q4 7:27
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)
+9
TD · Q2 6:56
Jason Bean run for 66 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)
+8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com