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FAU

Florida Atlantic 38 at Florida International 19

FIU
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2020 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:59 · Tommy Heatherly punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Pregame prior−23.6Home team on offense−1.7Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:01: D'vonte Price run for 77 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +5.4 pts (now 31%) (top driver: FIU +2 timeouts on the defense).
  2. TD · Q2 9:52: Malcolm Davidson run for 37 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +6.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:41: Javion Posey pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 5 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +7.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:09: Chase Gabriel 21 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +3.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:41: James Charles run for 32 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +10.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11FAU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:35FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:29FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:59FIU 4th & 14 at FIU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:28FAU 4th & 4 at FIU 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    71.0%−0.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    71.0%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:52FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:17FAU 4th & 6 at FIU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    68.2%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:11FIU 4th & 6 at FAU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    31.4%−3.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:52FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:13FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−1.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:22FIU 4th & 17 at FIU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−2.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 36, down 14
    Close callPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:26FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−1.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:13FIU 4th & 14 at FAU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    18.7%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:00FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−1.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:35FIU 4th & 3 at FAU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    15.8%−1.8
    30% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:09FIU 4th & 4 at FAU 4, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.2%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−6.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:41FIU 4th & 18 at FAU 22, down 18
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.5 ptsWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−2.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−5.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:31FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 36, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:29FAU 4th & 2 at FIU 2, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:35FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:01FIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:52FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:41FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:41FAU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:29FAU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2576% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.8%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
23.8%
Javion Posey run for 15 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
23.8%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+1
23.8%
Javion Posey run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+28
23.8%
Javion Posey pass complete to TJ Chase for 28 yds to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+18
23.8%
LaJohntay Wester run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
23.8%
LaJohntay Wester run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
24.2%
Javion Posey pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 11 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
24.5%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
24.5%
D'vonte Price run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
24.5%
Stone Norton pass incomplete to JJ HollomanSimilar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
24.5%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36 D'vonte Price fumbled, forced by Jaylen Joyner, recovered by FlaIn D'vonte PriceSimilar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
24.5%
Stone Norton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+4
24.3%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 53 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 4 yds to the FlAtl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
24.9%
Javion Posey pass complete to Willie Wright for 1 yd to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+10
25.0%
Javion Posey run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
24.8%
Javion Posey run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 4
OWN 32
0
24.7%
Javion Posey run for no gain to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
24.8%
Javion Posey pass incomplete to Willie Wright, broken up by Jamal AndersonSimilar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
25.0%
Matt Hayball punt for 52 yds, downed at the FlaIn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
25.3%
D'vonte Price run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 4
OWN 22
-5
25.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Lyndell Hudson Jr.) to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+3
25.3%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 6
OWN 20
-8
25.0%
Stone Norton sacked by Korel Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q1 6:59
4TH & 14
OWN 12
0
24.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3575% → 74%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
24.7%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-5
24.8%
POSEY, Javion rush for 44 yards to the FIU0, clock 04:17, PENALTY FAU illegal formation 5 yards to the FIU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 15
OPP 49
-1
25.1%
BJ Emmons run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 16
50
+12
25.8%
Javion Posey run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+1
25.7%
Javion Posey run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
26.7%
D'vonte Price run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+1
27.3%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-9
27.2%
Stone Norton sacked by Leighton McCarthy and Evan Anderson for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 2:52
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
26.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 37 yds, downed at the FlAtl 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 3:0774% → 75%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
26.1%
Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
25.9%
Javion Posey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:24
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+13
26.2%
Javion Posey run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
25.6%
POSEY, Javion pass incomplete to CHASE, TJ, PENALTY FIU pass interference (ANDERSON,J) 15 yards to the FIU41, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
25.3%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+9
25.4%
James Charles run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
25.2%
Javion Posey pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
25.0%
BJ Emmons run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
25.1%
Javion Posey pass incomplete to LaJohntay Wester, broken up by Rishard DamesSimilar
Q2 13:17
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
25.5%
Vladimir Rivas 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
31.3%
D'vonte Price run for 77 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
30.6%
Javion Posey run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 28 Javion Posey fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Noah CurtisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5034% → 36%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
33.9%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 14
OPP 32
+3
32.8%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+5
32.7%
Stone Norton pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 5 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
35.8%
Chase Gabriel 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1967% → 75%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
33.5%
Javion Posey run for 28 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
31.5%
James Charles run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+3
31.4%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
25.1%
Malcolm Davidson run for 37 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.8%
Stone Norton pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
27.8%
D'vonte Price run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
27.7%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+6
27.7%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 53 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 6 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
26.3%
Malcolm Davidson run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+2
25.7%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 2
OWN 29
-8
25.7%
Javion Posey run for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
27.4%
Matt Hayball punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Bryce Singleton at the FlaIn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0028% → 26%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
28.0%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
28.0%
D'vonte Price run for no gain to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 17
OWN 21
0
26.6%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 49 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 7
OWN 31
-5
27.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 12
OWN 26
-5
26.9%
Stone Norton sacked by Leighton McCarthy for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 17
OWN 0
0
26.0%
PENALTY FIU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY FAU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 2:5473% → 84%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
26.8%
Javion Posey pass complete to Jordan Merrell for 10 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
25.6%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (BJ Etienne) to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+4
27.2%
Javion Posey pass complete to Jordan Merrell for 4 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
26.2%
Javion Posey pass incomplete to Malcolm DavidsonSimilar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+36
26.6%
Javion Posey run for 36 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
23.4%
Javion Posey pass complete to Jordan Merrell for 14 yds to the FlaIn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
23.4%
BJ Emmons run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+7
23.6%
Malcolm Davidson run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
16.2%
Javion Posey pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 5 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16END OF HALF
11 plays · 29 yds · 1:2919% → 18%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
18.7%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+5
18.7%
D'vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+5
18.8%
D'vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
18.9%
Stone Norton pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
18.7%
Stone Norton pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 9 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+6
19.5%
Stone Norton pass complete to JJ Holloman for 6 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
19.7%
Stone Norton sacked by Jaylen Joyner for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+4
17.5%
Stone Norton pass complete to JJ Holloman for 4 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
17.8%
Stone Norton pass incomplete to JJ HollomanSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
17.7%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+5
17.7%
Stone Norton pass complete to JJ Holloman for 5 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
17.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 55 yds, downed at the FlAtl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
16.8%
Javion Posey run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+1
16.8%
Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 7
OWN 12
0
17.2%
Javion Posey pass incomplete to Brandon Robinson, broken up by Jamal Anderson FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 7
OWN 12
0
17.6%
Matt Hayball punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Bryce Singleton at the FlaIn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
18.4%
D'vonte Price run for no gain to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
18.2%
Stone Norton pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 15 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
18.5%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-1
19.1%
D'vonte Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 8
OPP 36
-5
18.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 13
OPP 41
-1
17.6%
Stone Norton pass complete to Bryce Singleton for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 12:13
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
17.1%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
13.9%
LaJohntay Wester run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+5
13.7%
Javion Posey pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
13.7%
BJ Emmons run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+7
13.9%
Javion Posey pass complete to Marcel Southall for 7 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 4
OWN 36
-5
13.4%
Javion Posey pass complete to Willie Taggart Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 9
OWN 31
-3
14.6%
Matt Hayball punt for 49 yds , Bryce Singleton returns for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21FG
15 plays · 79 yds · 6:2614% → 17%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
14.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 3 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+16
13.9%
D'vonte Price run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
14.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 15 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
16.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
15.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 7 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
16.1%
D'vonte Price run for no gain to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 3
OPP 42
+4
15.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 4 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
16.2%
Maleek Williams run for 15 yds to the FlAtl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
17.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Nate Jefferson for 6 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
17.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+9
16.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 9 yds to the FlAtl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
17.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for no gain to the FlAtl 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
14.7%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
14.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to JJ HollomanSimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
17.4%
Chase Gabriel 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:2884% → 96%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
15.9%
Javion Posey run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+10
15.3%
Malcolm Davidson run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
14.6%
Malcolm Davidson run for 21 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
3.9%
James Charles run for 32 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23DOWNS
13 plays · 53 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D'vonte Price, broken up by Dwight Toombs IISimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
5.3%
D'vonte Price run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
5.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to JJ Holloman for 14 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
5.7%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
5.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to JJ HollomanSimilar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+8
5.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 8 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
5.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 16 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
6.5%
D'vonte Price run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
6.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
6.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Rivaldo FairweatherSimilar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-8
6.1%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Caliph Brice for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 18
OPP 22
0
5.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Nate JeffersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 6:0297% → 100%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
3.2%
Javion Posey run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+3
3.2%
BJ Emmons run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
3.2%
BJ Emmons run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+1
3.0%
BJ Emmons run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 2
OWN 42
-6
3.1%
Javion Posey run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 8
OWN 36
+46
3.1%
BJ Emmons run for 46 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
2.9%
BJ Emmons run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+11
2.9%
Javion Posey run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
2.9%
BJ Emmons run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
2.9%
BJ Emmons run for no gain to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
3.0%
Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 4 Team fumbled, forced by Team, recovered by FlAtl BJ EmmonsSimilar
Q4 2:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
1.4%
POSEY, Javion pass incomplete to IRVIN, Michael, QB hurry by STRICKLAND,D, PENALTY FIU substitution infraction 2 yards to the FIU2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.1%
Javion Posey run for 2 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:41
James Charles run for 32 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-10.7
TD · Q2 1:41
Javion Posey pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 5 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-7.4
TD · Q2 9:52
Malcolm Davidson run for 37 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com