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WKU

Western Kentucky 6 at Florida Atlantic 10

FAU
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:17 · Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:40: Mitchell Tinsley pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr. — WKU win probability +15.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 8:09: Brayden Narveson 49 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +14.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:10: Timeout FLA ATLANTIC, clock 03:10 — WKU win probability +11.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 2:27: Javion Posey run for 11 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +51.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:37: Javion Posey run for 4 yds to the WKent 18 — FAU win probability +9.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:15WKU 4th & 23 at FAU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:15FAU 4th & 11 at FAU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:13WKU 4th & 2 at FAU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.6%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WKU 4th & 17 at FAU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    33.4%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:23FAU 4th & 19 at WKU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−1.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:38WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:15FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:59WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:05FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    63.9%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:51FAU 4th & 17 at WKU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−3.5
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    52.4%−9.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:57WKU 4th & 4 at FAU 14, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.2%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−10.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:57FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−3.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:10WKU 4th & 10 at FAU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    39.5%−4.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:09WKU 4th & 4 at FAU 31, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.1%−3.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    39.9%−7.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:10FAU 4th & 1 at WKU 12, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.1 ptsWent for it · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.9%−4.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    44.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−24.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:27WKU 4th & 13 at WKU 22, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q4 2:27FAU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−1.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
69.0%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 16 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
69.0%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
69.0%
James Charles run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
69.0%
James Charles run for no gain to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
69.0%
Matt Hayball punt for 41 yds, downed at the WKent 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2MISSED FG
19 plays · 57 yds · 9:3131% → 33%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
68.7%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+9
68.7%
Gaej Walker run for 9 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
68.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for no gain to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
68.7%
Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 3
OWN 31
-10
68.7%
PIGROME, T. pass complete to TINSLEY, M. for 14 yards to the WKU45 (MUNGIN, Romain), PENALTY WKU holding (JOEST, S.) 10 yards to the WKU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+13
68.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 13 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
68.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+12
68.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 12 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
68.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 10 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
68.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 5 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 5
OPP 39
-5
68.5%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Mason Brooks) to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
68.5%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+13
68.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 13 yds to the FlAtl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
68.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 7 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+3
68.4%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
68.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
68.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-13
68.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Caliph Brice and Leighton McCarthy for a loss of 13 yards to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 3:15
4TH & 23
OPP 32
+50
67.3%
Brayden Narveson 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
67.3%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Michael Irvin IISimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-1
67.2%
BJ Emmons run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 11
OWN 31
0
66.7%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to TJ Chase, broken up by Omari AlexanderSimilar
Q1 3:15
4TH & 11
OWN 31
+24
66.4%
Matt Hayball punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Tinsley at the FLAATLANTC 30 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the WKent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:1335% → 34%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
65.4%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
65.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 5 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 1
OPP 46
-1
65.2%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+13
65.9%
Gaej Walker run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
64.1%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
64.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 36
-5
65.3%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 41
0
65.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 17
OPP 41
0
66.4%
John Haggerty punt for 30 yds, downed at the FlAtl 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5PUNT
14 plays · 40 yds · 5:2167% → 65%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
66.5%
Nick Tronti run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+3
66.6%
BJ Emmons run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+8
65.9%
Nick Tronti pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 8 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.7%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to TJ ChaseSimilar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
66.6%
BJ Emmons run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+26
65.8%
Nick Tronti pass complete to TJ Chase for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
50
+4
68.1%
Nick Tronti run for 4 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+4
68.3%
BJ Emmons run for 4 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+2
68.0%
Nick Tronti run for 2 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
68.3%
BJ Emmons run for 7 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 3
OPP 33
-9
68.6%
Nick Tronti sacked by Jeremy Darvin for a loss of 9 yards to the WKent 42Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 12
OPP 42
-7
66.3%
Nick Tronti sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 19
OPP 49
0
64.7%
Matt Hayball punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Tinsley at the WKent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
62.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+2
63.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+19
63.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 19 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
61.9%
Jakairi Moses run for 6 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+6
61.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 6 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
60.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 41Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 12
OWN 41
0
61.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+7
62.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 7 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q2 7:38
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
62.1%
John Haggerty punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:5365% → 62%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
64.5%
James Charles run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-10
65.0%
CHARLES, James rush for loss of 1 yard to the FAU26 (KINCADE, A.;RUFFIN, D.), PENALTY FAU holding (ETIENNE, BJ) 10 yards to the FAU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
64.1%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Michael Irvin II, broken up by Antwon KincadeSimilar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+4
63.0%
BJ Emmons run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 21 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
62.3%
Matt Hayball punt for 40 yds, downed at the WKent 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
59.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 7 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
58.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
58.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
Q2 1:59
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
60.3%
John Haggerty punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9END OF HALF
11 plays · 64 yds · 1:0564% → 66%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
64.1%
Nick Tronti pass complete to TJ Chase for 11 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
64.6%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
64.3%
Nick Tronti pass complete to BJ Emmons for 2 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+10
64.7%
Nick Tronti pass complete to TJ Chase for 10 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
67.4%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to TJ Chase, broken up by Beanie BishopSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
66.7%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to James CharlesSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+6
65.7%
James Charles run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+35
66.0%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Jordan Merrell for 35 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
60.6%
WALKER, G. rush for 5 yards to the WKU30 (LASATER, Chase), PENALTY WKU holding (WITT, T.) 10 yards to the WKU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
60.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for no gain to the WKent 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+7
61.1%
Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+7
62.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Gaej Walker for 7 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+17
62.6%
John Haggerty punt for 38 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 17 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:2366% → 67%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
50
0
66.4%
James Charles run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 10
50
+10
65.9%
James Charles run for 10 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
66.7%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+7
66.6%
Nick Tronti run for 7 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+15
66.3%
TRONTI, Nick pass incomplete to ALEXANDER, BJ, QB hurry by TAYLOR, T., PENALTY WKU pass interference (BRADSHAW, D.) 15 yards to the WKU16, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
67.5%
Nick Tronti run for no gain to the WKent 16Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-7
67.5%
Nick Tronti sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 17
OPP 23
0
64.5%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Brandon Robinson, broken up by Dominique BradshawSimilar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 17
OPP 23
+40
67.2%
Vladimir Rivas 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 5:5433% → 45%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.0%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
67.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Gaej Walker for 9 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
64.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 9 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+1
63.2%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
63.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
64.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 7 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+8
63.6%
Gaej Walker run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
63.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 16 yds to the FlAtl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
61.6%
Noah Whittington run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
62.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+7
63.6%
Jakairi Moses run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
55.5%
Brayden Narveson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0061% → 58%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
60.8%
BJ Emmons run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-1
60.9%
Nick Tronti sacked by Kyle Bailey for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 9
OWN 14
0
58.9%
Nick Tronti pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
58.0%
Matt Hayball punt for 70 yds , Mitchell Tinsley returns for no gain to the WKent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14PUNT
14 plays · 38 yds · 4:1643% → 43%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
56.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+13
57.7%
Gaej Walker run for 13 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
56.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 5 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 34
-1
54.3%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+7
56.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 7 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
53.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
54.6%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Mason Brooks) to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+14
56.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 14 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
52.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
51.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Gaej WalkerSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
51.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
54.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
Q4 12:10
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
57.4%
John Haggerty punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15INT
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:0061% → 66%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+17
60.9%
Javion Posey run for 17 yds to the FlAtl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
61.8%
BJ Emmons run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+7
63.7%
BJ Emmons run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
63.4%
Javion Posey run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+7
65.2%
LaJohntay Wester run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-24
66.0%
Javion Posey pass intercepted Kyle Bailey return for 24 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3150% → 64%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
50.3%
Mitchell Tinsley pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+6
50.4%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
50.5%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 8:09
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+49
36.3%
Brayden Narveson 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:4245% → 90%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
44.6%
Javion Posey run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
45.3%
BJ Emmons run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
46.0%
BJ Emmons run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
49.1%
Javion Posey run for no gain to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+15
47.6%
Javion Posey run for 15 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
50.5%
James Charles run for 6 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+15
50.7%
James Charles run for 15 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
53.5%
LaJohntay Wester run for 2 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+3
53.5%
Javion Posey run for 3 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+4
50.6%
BJ Emmons run for 4 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+1
38.7%
BJ Emmons run for 1 yd to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
89.8%
Javion Posey run for 11 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0021% → 18%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Xavier Lane, broken up by Romain MunginSimilar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
79.9%
Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 22Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
81.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
82.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19END OF GAME
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:2092% → 96%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
92.2%
Javion Posey run for 4 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+6
93.6%
BJ Emmons run for 6 yds to the WKent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
93.6%
Javion Posey run for 3 yds to the WKent 9Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-5
96.0%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:27
Javion Posey run for 11 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
+51.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:40
Mitchell Tinsley pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.
-15.7
FG · Q4 8:09
Brayden Narveson 49 yd FG GOOD
-14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com