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RICE

Rice 30 at Southern Miss 6

USM
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
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Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:34 · Griffin Fleming punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Home team on offense−19.5Score differential−9.9Garbage-time factor−6.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.9Pregame prior−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:09: Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 72 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK) — RICE win probability +5.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:58: Mike Collins pass complete to Jake Bailey for 25 yds for a TD RICCITELLI, C. kick attempt failed, PENALTY USM IS 1 yards to the USM2, NO PLAY. (Collin Riccitelli PAT MISSED) — RICE win probability +9.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:04: Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 13 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK) — RICE win probability +13.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:47: Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the Rice 14 — RICE win probability +6.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:47: Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 14 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK) — RICE win probability +7.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 4 of 7RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00USM 4th & 2 at RICE 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    48.8%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    48.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:20RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:03RICE 4th & 3 at USM 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.9%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    47.6%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:03USM 4th & 3 at USM 35, down 3
    Close callPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:05USM 4th & 3 at RICE 28, down 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%−0.7
    60% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:05RICE 4th & 9 at USM 43, up 13
    Close callPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    61.1%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:35USM 4th & 16 at USM 19, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 1 at USM 8, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    73.6%−3.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−11.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:34USM 4th & 13 at USM 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:39RICE 4th & 20 at USM 37, up 17
    Close callPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−1.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:54USM 4th & 3 at USM 41, down 17
    Close callPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:47USM 4th & 1 at USM 40, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:58RICE 4th & 1 at USM 17, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 14:09RICE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:58RICE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:04RICE Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:47RICE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USMDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 60 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
47.2%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 19 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+21
47.2%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 21 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
47.2%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 8 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+4
47.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the Rice 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
47.2%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Antoine RobinsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
47.2%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+8
47.2%
Jack Abraham run for 8 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 15
0
47.2%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Demarcus JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
47.8%
Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the Rice 19Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+2
47.8%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the Rice 21Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
47.9%
Mike Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 4
OWN 21
-5
48.0%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 16Similar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 9
OWN 16
+13
48.0%
Charlie Mendes punt for 54 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 13 yds to the SoMis 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 3INT
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
48.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 1 yd to the SoMis 44Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+8
48.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Brandon Hayes for 8 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+16
48.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 16 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
48.8%
Jack Abraham pass intercepted Miles McCord return for no gain to the Rice 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4FG
14 plays · 80 yds · 7:1752% → 53%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
48.4%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+7
48.4%
Mike Collins run for 7 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
48.3%
Juma Otoviano run for no gain to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+12
48.4%
Juma Otoviano run for 12 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
48.0%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 6 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
47.9%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+4
47.9%
Mike Collins run for 4 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
47.8%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 10 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+20
47.8%
Juma Otoviano run for 20 yds to the SoMis 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
47.6%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jake Bailey for 14 yds to the SoMis 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
47.6%
Juma Otoviano run for no gain to the SoMis 5Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
47.6%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the SoMis 3Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
47.8%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Khalan GriffinSimilar
Q1 2:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
47.5%
Collin Riccitelli 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
48.0%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 30Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+3
48.0%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 3 yds to the SoMis 33Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+2
47.7%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 2 yds to the SoMis 35Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+4
47.5%
Griffin Fleming punt for 44 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 4 yds to the Rice 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:5153% → 58%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
47.5%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+72
42.2%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 72 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
33.2%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jake Bailey for 25 yds for a TD RICCITELLI, C. kick attempt failed, PENALTY USM IS 1 yards to the USM2, NO PLAY. (Collin Riccitelli PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 9FG
15 plays · 47 yds · 5:5336% → 37%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
35.9%
Dee Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 24Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
35.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 10 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
36.5%
Jack Abraham run for 1 yd to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
36.2%
Kevin Perkins run for 6 yds to the SoMis 41Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-4
37.1%
Kevin Perkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 37Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+9
36.0%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 9 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
37.1%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Demarcus JonesSimilar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
37.0%
Darius Maberry run for 3 yds to the SoMis 49Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 7
OWN 0
+16
35.3%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 16 yds to the SOUMISS 35 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, face mask off-setting ( Yards) to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
37.7%
Darius Maberry run for 3 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+2
37.7%
Darius Maberry run for 2 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 5
OPP 30
-5
37.2%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 35Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+7
37.2%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 7 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 8:05
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
37.0%
Briggs Bourgeois 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
36.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+3
36.4%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+18
36.1%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 18 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
35.8%
Mike Collins run for 2 yds to the SoMis 42Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-1
35.8%
Khalan Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 43Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
36.1%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 8:05
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
36.8%
Charlie Mendes punt for 35 yds, downed at the SoMis 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
33.0%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 8 yds to the SoMis 16Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+9
33.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 9 yds to the SoMis 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
33.4%
Jack Abraham run for 5 yds to the SoMis 17 Jack Abraham fumbled, forced by Chike Anigbogu, recovered by Rice Tre'shon Devones , return for 17 yds to the SoMis 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12TD
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:3469% → 82%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
30.8%
Mike Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 18Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+5
31.0%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the SoMis 13Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
17.6%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 13 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · -6 yds · 1:2921% → 22%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
21.4%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 20Similar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
21.2%
Antavious Willis run for 3 yds to the SoMis 23Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
21.2%
Trey Lowe run for 5 yds to the SoMis 28Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-14
21.1%
LOWE, Trey deep pass complete to BROWNLEE, Jason for 25 yards to the RICE47 (TAYLOR, Gabe), PENALTY USM pass interference (BROWNLEE, Jason) 14 yards to the USM14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+5
20.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the SoMis 19Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
22.1%
Griffin Fleming punt for 40 yds , Jordan Myers returns for no gain to the Rice 41 Jordan Myers fumbled, recovered by SoMis Camron HarrellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 14FG
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:2625% → 29%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
24.8%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 5 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+18
25.1%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 18 yds to the Rice 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
24.1%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 9 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+26
28.7%
Briggs Bourgeois 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15DOWNS
10 plays · 47 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
21.0%
Juma Otoviano run for 7 yds to the SoMis 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+6
20.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 6 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
20.9%
Mike Collins pass complete to Andrew Mason for 11 yds to the SoMis 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
20.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 5 yds to the SoMis 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+9
20.4%
Khalan Griffin run for 9 yds to the SoMis 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
20.4%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the SoMis 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+4
20.4%
Khalan Griffin run for 4 yds to the SoMis 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+2
20.8%
Mike Collins run for 2 yds to the SoMis 8Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 8
0
22.1%
Jordan Myers run for no gain to the SoMis 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
18.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 14Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+1
18.5%
Trey Lowe run for 1 yd to the SoMis 15Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+8
18.5%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 8 yds to the SoMis 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
18.7%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 20Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 13
OWN 20
0
18.4%
Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SoMis 20Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 13
OWN 20
0
18.3%
Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Jason BrownleeSimilar
Q3 9:34
4TH & 13
OWN 20
0
18.3%
Griffin Fleming punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
15.2%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
15.2%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+33
14.5%
Mike Collins pass complete to Andrew Mason for 33 yds to the SoMis 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
13.6%
Juma Otoviano run for no gain to the SoMis 27Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
13.9%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Natrone BrooksSimilar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-10
14.2%
Mike Collins sacked by Santrell Latham for a loss of 10 yards to the SoMis 37Similar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 20
OPP 37
0
15.6%
Charlie Mendes punt for 32 yds, downed at the SoMis 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
14.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds to the SoMis 12Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+22
14.9%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 22 yds to the SoMis 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
15.4%
Kevin Perkins run for 6 yds to the SoMis 40Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+2
16.4%
Kevin Perkins run for 2 yds to the SoMis 42Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 2
OWN 42
-1
16.5%
Trey Lowe run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 41Similar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
16.4%
Griffin Fleming punt for 47 yds, downed at the Rice 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19TD
16 plays · 88 yds · 9:0090% → 99%
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
9.8%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
9.9%
Juma Otoviano run for no gain to the Rice 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+10
9.5%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 10 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
9.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
9.1%
Juma Otoviano run for no gain to the Rice 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+17
9.4%
Jake Bailey run for 17 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
8.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+12
8.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 12 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
8.4%
Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the SoMis 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+7
8.0%
Juma Otoviano run for 7 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
8.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the SoMis 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+1
8.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the SoMis 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+7
8.2%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jake Bailey for 7 yds to the SoMis 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
8.1%
Mike Collins run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 18 Mike Collins fumbled, recovered by Rice Mike CollinsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+4
8.3%
Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the SoMis 14Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+14
1.1%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 14 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-11
1.3%
Trey Lowe sacked by Josh Pearcy for a loss of 11 yards to the SoMis 20Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 21
OWN 20
+3
1.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoMis 23Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 18
OWN 23
+17
1.3%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 17 yds to the SoMis 40 RICE Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 6:47
4TH & 1
OWN 40
-3
1.4%
Trey Lowe run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
0.8%
JoVoni Johnson run for 4 yds to the SoMis 33Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+3
0.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the SoMis 30Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+4
0.9%
JoVoni Johnson run for 4 yds to the SoMis 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
0.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the SoMis 24Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+4
0.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 4 yds to the SoMis 20Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+3
0.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the SoMis 17Similar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+3
0.9%
Jordan Myers run for 3 yds to the SoMis 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:04
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 13 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK)
-13.4
TD · Q2 13:58
Mike Collins pass complete to Jake Bailey for 25 yds for a TD RICCITELLI, C. kick attempt failed, PENALTY USM IS 1 yards to the USM2, NO PLAY. (Collin Riccitelli PAT MISSED)
-9.1
TD · Q4 6:47
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 14 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK)
-7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com