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UAB

UAB 34 at Louisiana Tech 37

LT
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:51 · Jacob Barnes punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 154Pregame prior−6.9Home team on offense−9.8Garbage-time factor−5.3Score differential−3.9Time remaining+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 14:54: Aaron Allen pass complete to Jawaun Johnson for 30 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +16.2 pts (now 29%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 0:10: Aaron Allen pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 24 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +50.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. FG · OT 0:00: Jacob Barnes 36 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +16.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Matt Quinn 42 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +31.6 pts (now 44%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Jacob Barnes 35 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +16.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10UAB made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:45LT 4th & 8 at UAB 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    22.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:45UAB 4th & 1 at LT 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.0%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:10LT 4th & 2 at UAB 2, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    26.1%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:04UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:54LT 4th & 9 at UAB 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:54UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:48LT 4th & 17 at LT 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:48LT 4th & 1 at LT 45, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:11LT 4th & 10 at LT 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:41UAB 4th & 1 at LT 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    78.8%−1.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−6.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:13UAB 4th & 18 at LT 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−2.4
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    75.2%−5.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:13LT 4th & 2 at LT 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:14UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−2.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:09UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:59LT 4th & 6 at LT 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−1.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:51UAB 4th & 11 at UAB 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−2.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:51LT 4th & 1 at LT 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.6%−4.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:51LT 4th & 2 at midfield, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%−3.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:16UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 7:00LT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:48UAB Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:42UAB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:19LT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:55UAB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:11UAB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:54LT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:10LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.6%−7.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:1517% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
17.3%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Wayne Toussant for 7 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
17.3%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+7
17.3%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 7 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+42
17.3%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 42 yds to the UAB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
17.3%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the UAB 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
17.3%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the UAB 8Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
17.3%
Luke Anthony pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+27
19.2%
Jacob Barnes 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2INT
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
19.1%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
19.0%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+14
19.0%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 14 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
18.9%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 4 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+4
18.9%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+1
18.9%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+3
19.1%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
18.9%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 6 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-79
18.9%
Bryson Lucero pass intercepted Bee Jay Williamson return for 79 yds to the UAB 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4623% → 23%
Q1 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
22.7%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy, broken up by TD MarshallSimilar
Q1 6:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
22.7%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q1 6:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
22.5%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the UAB 2Similar
Q1 6:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
23.1%
Luke Anthony pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
23.2%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 3
OWN 9
+9
23.2%
Spencer Brown run for 9 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
23.0%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-1
22.9%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 22Similar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
23.2%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Hayden PittmanSimilar
Q1 6:04
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
23.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:3525% → 27%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
24.7%
Israel Tucker run for 13 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
25.3%
Israel Tucker run for 12 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
25.5%
ALLEN, Aaron pass incomplete to HARDY, Adrian, PENALTY TECH ineligible downfield on pass (RUSSEY, Kody) 5 yards to the UAB45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 15
OPP 45
0
25.1%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Israel Tucker, broken up by Tyler TaylorSimilar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 15
OPP 45
0
25.1%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+16
24.7%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Wayne Toussant for 16 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
25.8%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Wayne Toussant for 4 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
25.8%
Greg Garner run for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 6
OPP 25
-3
25.5%
Aaron Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+46
27.1%
Jacob Barnes 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
27.0%
LUCERO, Bryson pass complete to SHROPSHIRE, T. for 12 yards to the UAB40 (KELLY, Jamison), PENALTY UAB holding (WELLS, Sidney) 10 yards to the UAB18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+4
27.2%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 4 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 16
OWN 22
-5
27.2%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 17Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 21
OWN 17
+11
27.2%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 11 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
27.4%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Austin Watkins Jr.Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
27.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
28.6%
Israel Tucker run for 9 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+15
29.4%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 15 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-6
29.8%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 9 yds to the LATECH 44 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cee Jay Powell) to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 16
OWN 41
-1
28.7%
Israel Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 17
OWN 40
0
28.2%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 17
OWN 40
0
27.8%
Jacob Barnes punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8INT TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:5170% → 60%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
30.2%
Spencer Brown run for 10 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
30.0%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+18
29.8%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 18 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
28.5%
Spencer Brown run for 9 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+15
28.4%
LUCERO, Bryson pass incomplete to MITCHELL, Myron, PENALTY TECH pass interference (WILLIAMSON, B.) 15 yards to the TECH27, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
27.8%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
27.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 5
OPP 22
-2
40.2%
Bryson Lucero pass intercepted for a TD Bee Jay Williamson return for 2 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
33.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 75 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:0034% → 35%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
33.9%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+14
33.8%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Smoke Harris for 14 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
34.2%
ANTHONY, Luke pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Jawaun, PENALTY UAB pass interference (SWOOPES, K.) 15 yards to the TECH36, 1ST DOWN TECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
34.9%
Justin Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
34.1%
Luke Anthony pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+12
33.4%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Jawaun Johnson for 12 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
34.8%
Jacob Barnes punt for 53 yds, downed at the UAB 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11TD
8 plays · 98 yds · 2:3363% → 76%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
36.6%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, offside defense (Jamison Kelly) to the UAB 7Similar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 5
OWN 7
+3
36.6%
Spencer Brown run for 13 yds to the UAB 20 UAB Penalty, illegal use of hands (-10 Yards) to the UAB 10Similar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 2
OWN 10
+7
35.8%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the UAB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+46
35.8%
Lucious Stanley run for 46 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+27
33.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 27 yds to the LaTch 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
32.4%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
24.1%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 1:2331% → 42%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+31
30.8%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 31 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
33.4%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Israel TuckerSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-1
33.2%
Israel Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+5
31.7%
ANTHONY, Luke pass intercepted by McGHEE, Austin at the UAB1, McGHEE, Austin return to the TECH0, clock 00:27, PENALTY UAB offside defense (EASON JR., N.) 5 yards to the UAB18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+18
42.4%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 18 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0662% → 61%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
37.8%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 9 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
39.1%
Bryson Lucero pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 2:0565% → 75%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
35.3%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+23
35.4%
Spencer Brown run for 23 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
34.1%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+22
24.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 22 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15INT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
29.1%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 20Similar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
28.8%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd to the LaTch 21Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
28.7%
UAB Penalty, offside defense (Jordan Smith) to the LaTch 26Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-6
28.9%
Luke Anthony pass intercepted Antonio Moultrie return for 6 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:4875% → 83%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
25.0%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
16.8%
Spencer Brown run for 10 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
18.3%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
18.5%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
17.5%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Israel TuckerSimilar
Q3 11:11
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
17.0%
Jacob Barnes punt for 44 yds, downed at the UAB 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 5:2883% → 89%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
17.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 21 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
16.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 9 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+4
16.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
16.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Jermaine Brown Jr.Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
16.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
16.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the LaTch 26Similar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+7
17.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
16.4%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 20Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 11
OPP 20
0
16.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Hayden PittmanSimilar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 11
OPP 20
-5
16.9%
UAB Penalty, false start (Andrew Smith Jr.) to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 16
OPP 25
-2
17.1%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 27Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 18
OPP 27
+45
11.0%
Matt Quinn 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.8%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Jacob Adams for no gain to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
11.7%
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
11.8%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 3 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
12.0%
Jacob Barnes punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
9.9%
Larry Wooden run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 20Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+1
10.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 21Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-5
10.4%
UAB Penalty, false start (Colby Ragland) to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 15
OWN 16
+5
10.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 21 UAB Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+18
10.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 18 yds to the UAB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:2713% → 29%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
12.8%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Jawaun Johnson for 15 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
29.0%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Jawaun Johnson for 30 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:4579% → 77%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
21.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
21.1%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
21.5%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Hayden PittmanSimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
22.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
24.8%
Justin Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 25Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+2
23.8%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+6
22.7%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 6 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q4 13:59
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
22.8%
Jacob Barnes punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0080% → 77%
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
20.2%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
21.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
21.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q4 11:51
4TH & 11
OWN 30
+3
23.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 3 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:0025% → 27%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
25.1%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 6 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 4
OWN 0
0
23.6%
ANTHONY, Luke pass incomplete to HEBERT, Griffin, PENALTY TECH ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, PENALTY UAB personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
27.2%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Jawaun Johnson for 3 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
27.0%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the LaTch 40Similar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+2
25.4%
Luke Anthony run for 2 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
27.1%
Luke Anthony run for 5 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
28.4%
Luke Anthony run for no gain to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+3
27.1%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 2
50
0
26.6%
Jacob Barnes punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 26PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 3:4984% → 89%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
15.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+4
15.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UAB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
15.4%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
15.7%
Tyler Johnston III run for 5 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+11
13.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 11 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
11.9%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+1
8.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 46Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
9.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron Mitchell, broken up by Bee Jay WilliamsonSimilar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
11.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 27TD
15 plays · 90 yds · 1:5515% → 67%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
15.0%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
14.8%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+15
14.1%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 15 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
13.5%
Aaron Allen run for 1 yd to the LaTch 26Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
13.3%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 6 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
14.2%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
14.7%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 16 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
17.4%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
16.9%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+10
15.4%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 10 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
18.1%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 5 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+9
16.5%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Jawaun Johnson for 9 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
66.5%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 24 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 28END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
49.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 29FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0065% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
64.7%
Smoke Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 26Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+8
64.5%
Israel Tucker run for 8 yds to the UAB 18Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
62.3%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
78.3%
Jacob Barnes 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 30FG
9 plays · 1 yds · 0:0029% → 44%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
70.9%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+6
70.9%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
70.9%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the LaTch 13Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-10
70.9%
BROWN, Spencer rush for no gain to the TECH13 (COLE, Jaiden), PENALTY UAB holding (JONES, Jakoby) 10 yards to the TECH23, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 20
OPP 23
+2
75.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 18
OPP 21
-3
81.0%
Tyler Johnston III run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 24Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 21
OPP 24
+42
55.6%
Matt Quinn 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 31FUMBLE
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+22
40.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 22 yds to the LaTch 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
40.6%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds Spencer Brown fumbled, forced by Bee Jay Williamson, recovered by LaTch Zach HannibalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 32FG
10 plays · 8 yds · 0:0065% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.7%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
64.5%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd to the UAB 24Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+4
62.2%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Jawaun Johnson for 4 yds to the UAB 20Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+5
58.6%
BARNES, Jacob field goal attempt from 38 MISSED - wide right,, clock 15:00, PENALTY UAB roughing the kicker 5 yards to the UAB15, 1ST DOWN TECH, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
64.7%
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds to the UAB 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
-2
64.7%
Israel Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 12Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 12
-5
62.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 17Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 12
OPP 17
+35
78.4%
Jacob Barnes 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:10
Aaron Allen pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 24 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)
+50
FG · OT 0:00
Matt Quinn 42 yd FG GOOD
-31.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+21.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com