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UTSA

UTSA 3 at Florida Atlantic 24

FAU
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:44 · 15-J.Weeks sacked at UTSA 19 for -6 yards (52-J.Joyner).
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 174Home team on offense+25.4Score differential+7.5Garbage-time factor+5.9Pregame prior+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:55: 6-N.Tronti complete to 13-A.Young. 13-A.Young runs 27 yards for a touchdown. — FAU win probability +4.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 7:07: 3-S.McCormick to FAU 48 for 4 yards (35-J.Helm). — UTSA win probability +4.5 pts (now 36%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:03: 6-N.Tronti runs 2 yards for a touchdown. — FAU win probability +8.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:31: 20-M.Davidson to FAU 2 for no gain (45-D.Henry,21-K.Robinson). — FAU win probability +5.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:42: 28-J.Charles runs 2 yards for a touchdown. — FAU win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UTSA made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 10:57FAU 4th & 6 at UTSA 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:06UTSA 4th & 2 at UTSA 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:24FAU 4th & 1 at UTSA 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    64.1%−1.0
    30% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:19UTSA 4th & 26 at FAU 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    31.2%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:15FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:00UTSA 4th & 14 at FAU 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:18FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 33, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:53UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:30UTSA 4th & 1 at FAU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.0%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−3.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:27UTSA 4th & 3 at FAU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    15.6%−2.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    16.9%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:44FAU 4th & 16 at UTSA 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:15UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:23FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:24FAU 4th & 12 at FAU 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:42UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:46FAU 4th & 5 at UTSA 30, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:17UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 30, down 14
    Close callPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:42FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:44UTSA 4th & 17 at UTSA 25, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 4:55FAU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:03FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:42FAU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:0358% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
57.5%
20-M.Davidson to UTSA 37 for 28 yards (21-K.Robinson).Similar
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
57.6%
20-M.Davidson to UTSA 37 for no gain (9-C.Hicks).Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+11
57.7%
6-N.Tronti complete to 1-W.Wright. 1-W.Wright pushed ob at UTSA 26 for 11 yards (0-R.Wisdom).Similar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
57.8%
6-N.Tronti complete to 1-W.Wright. 1-W.Wright to UTSA 28 for -2 yards (0-R.Wisdom).Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 12
OPP 28
0
57.9%
6-N.Tronti incomplete. Intended for 1-W.Wright.Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 12
OPP 28
+17
57.8%
6-N.Tronti complete to 13-A.Young. 13-A.Young to UTSA 11 for 17 yards (0-R.Wisdom).Similar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
58.0%
6-N.Tronti to UTSA 9 for 2 yards.Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+2
58.1%
20-M.Davidson to UTSA 7 for 2 yards (99-B.Matterson).Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
58.1%
Penalty on FAU 76-B.Etienne, False start, 5 yards, enforced at UTSA 7. No Play.Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 11
OPP 12
+5
58.1%
6-N.Tronti to UTSA 7 for 5 yards (0-R.Wisdom).Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
58.3%
44-V.Rivas 24 yards Field Goal is Good.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4742% → 41%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.2%
3-S.McCormick to UTSA 27 for 2 yards (35-J.Helm).Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
58.2%
0-F.Harris complete to 6-B.Dingle. 6-B.Dingle to UTSA 30 for 3 yards.Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
58.4%
0-F.Harris scrambles, pushed ob at UTSA 33 for 3 yards (5-A.Ross).Similar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+67
58.8%
35-L.Dean punts 67 yards from UTSA 33 to FAU End Zone. touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:0058% → 63%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
58.3%
20-M.Davidson to FAU 20 for no gain (9-C.Hicks,95-C.Clayton).Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
58.4%
20-M.Davidson to FAU 35 for 15 yards (0-R.Wisdom).Similar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
58.6%
6-N.Tronti complete to 1-W.Wright. 1-W.Wright pushed ob at FAU 42 for 7 yards (0-R.Wisdom).Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+1
59.1%
6-N.Tronti to FAU 43 for 1 yard (99-B.Matterson,38-T.Mahnke).Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
59.0%
1-W.Wright to FAU 49 for 6 yards (0-R.Wisdom).Similar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
59.4%
6-N.Tronti to UTSA 49 for 2 yards (38-T.Mahnke,41-D.Guidry).Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+3
59.6%
6-N.Tronti complete to 83-L.Wester. 83-L.Wester to UTSA 46 for 3 yards (11-K.Nwachuku).Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+4
59.5%
28-J.Charles to UTSA 42 for 4 yards (96-C.Wiley,0-R.Wisdom).Similar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+15
59.1%
28-J.Charles to UTSA 27 for 15 yards (9-C.Hicks).Similar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
63.3%
6-N.Tronti complete to 13-A.Young. 13-A.Young runs 27 yards for a touchdown.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:2938% → 36%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
61.6%
0-F.Harris incomplete. Intended for 18-Z.Franklin.Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+50
61.8%
0-F.Harris to FAU 24 for 50 yards (35-J.Helm).Similar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
60.3%
3-S.McCormick to FAU 20 for 4 yards (32-T.Young,48-E.Anderson).Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+2
60.4%
0-F.Harris to FAU 18 for 2 yards (25-C.Lasater,35-J.Helm).Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+18
61.7%
0-F.Harris complete to 5-B.Brady. 5-B.Brady runs 18 yards for a touchdown. Penalty on UTSA 74-S.Burford, Holding, 10 yards, enforced at FAU 18. No Play.Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 14
OPP 28
-7
62.5%
0-F.Harris sacked at FAU 35 for -7 yards (13-L.McCarthy).Similar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 21
OPP 35
0
63.8%
Team penalty on UTSA, Delay of game, 5 yards, enforced at FAU 35. No Play.Similar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 26
OPP 40
+35
63.7%
35-L.Dean punts 35 yards from FAU 40, out of bounds at the FAU 5.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:5763% → 63%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
63.2%
6-N.Tronti incomplete. Intended for 1-W.Wright.Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+15
63.2%
20-M.Davidson to FAU 20 for 15 yards (24-S.Harris).Similar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
63.6%
20-M.Davidson to FAU 23 for 3 yards (94-K.Nelson,24-S.Harris).Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
63.8%
20-M.Davidson to FAU 25 for 2 yards (99-B.Matterson,94-K.Nelson).Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
63.8%
6-N.Tronti incomplete. Intended for 21-K.Dean.Similar
Q1 0:15
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+3
63.2%
42-M.Hayball punts 53 yards from FAU 25. 2-S.Jones to UTSA 25 for 3 yards (7-J.McKithen,60-N.Marino).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6FG
16 plays · 36 yds · 6:0336% → 34%
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.3%
3-S.McCormick to UTSA 28 for 3 yards (54-M.Krakue,29-K.Smith).Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
64.1%
3-S.McCormick to UTSA 35 for 7 yards (25-C.Lasater,29-K.Smith).Similar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
64.2%
3-S.McCormick to UTSA 39 for 4 yards (19-C.Brice,20-R.Mungin).Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
64.2%
3-S.McCormick to UTSA 43 for 4 yards (5-A.Ross).Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+2
64.5%
17-K.Cobbs to UTSA 45 for 2 yards (19-C.Brice,52-J.Joyner).Similar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
64.7%
0-F.Harris incomplete. Intended for 12-J.Cephus.Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
65.0%
0-F.Harris complete to 3-S.McCormick. 3-S.McCormick to FAU 46 for 9 yards (32-T.Young).Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
64.1%
3-S.McCormick to FAU 42 for 4 yards (13-L.McCarthy).Similar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
64.4%
0-F.Harris incomplete. Intended for 11-T.Ogle-Kellogg.Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
64.6%
0-F.Harris incomplete. Intended for 12-J.Cephus.Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+14
65.1%
0-F.Harris scrambles, runs ob at FAU 28 for 14 yards.Similar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
63.7%
0-F.Harris complete to 12-J.Cephus. 12-J.Cephus to FAU 22 for 6 yards (58-E.Williams,24-Z.Gilbert).Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+1
63.9%
5-B.Brady pushed ob at FAU 21 for 1 yard (19-C.Brice).Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 3
OPP 21
-11
65.3%
12-J.Cephus to FAU 32 for -11 yards (49-C.Jones).Similar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 14
OPP 32
+49
66.1%
48-H.Duplessis 49 yards Field Goal is Good.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:3766% → 66%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.8%
28-J.Charles to FAU 27 for 2 yards (88-J.Ligon,94-K.Nelson).Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
66.0%
6-N.Tronti complete to 8-T.Chase. 8-T.Chase to FAU 34 for 7 yards (20-T.Woolen,11-K.Nwachuku).Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
67.0%
28-J.Charles to FAU 33 for -1 yard (99-B.Matterson).Similar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+14
66.1%
42-M.Hayball punts 48 yards from FAU 33. 2-S.Jones pushed ob at UTSA 33 for 14 yards. Team penalty on FAU, Facemasking, 15 yards, enforced at UTSA 33.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:1436% → 32%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
64.5%
3-S.McCormick to FAU 48 for 4 yards (35-J.Helm).Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+11
64.2%
0-F.Harris complete to 18-Z.Franklin. 18-Z.Franklin runs ob at FAU 37 for 11 yards.Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
64.2%
0-F.Harris incomplete. Intended for 18-Z.Franklin.Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 6
OPP 48
-4
64.6%
0-F.Harris sacked at UTSA 48 for -4 yards (52-J.Joyner).Similar
Q2 5:53
4TH & 10
OWN 48
+52
67.6%
35-L.Dean punts 52 yards from UTSA 48 to FAU End Zone. touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:4168% → 79%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
67.8%
6-N.Tronti complete to 20-M.Davidson. 20-M.Davidson to FAU 34 for 14 yards (9-C.Hicks).Similar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
68.2%
6-N.Tronti sacked at FAU 32 for -2 yards (49-T.Bell).Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+6
68.0%
6-N.Tronti complete to 83-L.Wester. 83-L.Wester to FAU 38 for 6 yards (4-A.Parks,0-R.Wisdom).Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+10
68.7%
6-N.Tronti complete to 13-A.Young. 13-A.Young to FAU 48 for 10 yards (41-D.Guidry,88-J.Ligon).Similar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
70.5%
Team penalty on FAU, False start, 5 yards, enforced at FAU 48. No Play.Similar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 15
OWN 43
-1
69.5%
6-N.Tronti to FAU 42 for -1 yard (98-L.Dantzler,88-J.Ligon).Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 16
OWN 42
+5
69.3%
6-N.Tronti scrambles, pushed ob at FAU 47 for 5 yards (41-D.Guidry). Penalty on UTSA 41-D.Guidry, Personal Foul, 15 yards, enforced at FAU 47.Similar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+36
70.9%
6-N.Tronti complete to 8-T.Chase. 8-T.Chase to UTSA 2 for 36 yards (26-C.Mayfield).Similar
Q2 2:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
71.2%
6-N.Tronti to UTSA 2 for no gain (4-A.Parks).Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.3%
6-N.Tronti runs 2 yards for a touchdown.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10END OF HALF
12 plays · 52 yds · 1:4023% → 23%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
77.3%
0-F.Harris complete to 12-J.Cephus. 12-J.Cephus pushed ob at UTSA 43 for 18 yards (35-J.Helm).Similar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
76.7%
0-F.Harris complete to 12-J.Cephus. 12-J.Cephus pushed ob at FAU 42 for 15 yards (35-J.Helm).Similar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
75.7%
0-F.Harris runs ob at FAU 41 for 1 yard.Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
75.8%
0-F.Harris incomplete. Intended for 12-J.Cephus. Penalty on FAU 49-C.Jones, Offside, 5 yards, enforced at FAU 41. No Play.Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+7
75.1%
0-F.Harris to FAU 29 for 7 yards (13-L.McCarthy).Similar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
74.4%
0-F.Harris incomplete. Intended for 6-B.Dingle.Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+9
75.0%
0-F.Harris scrambles to FAU 20 for 9 yards (51-J.Johnson,32-T.Young).Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 1
OPP 20
0
76.7%
0-F.Harris incomplete. Intended for 3-S.McCormick.Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+6
77.3%
3-S.McCormick to FAU 14 for 6 yards (97-A.Dempsey).Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
75.5%
0-F.Harris incomplete. Intended for 11-T.Ogle-Kellogg.Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-9
76.9%
0-F.Harris sacked at FAU 23 for -9 yards (52-J.Joyner).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:3320% → 19%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.7%
3-S.McCormick to UTSA 26 for 1 yard (5-A.Ross,48-E.Anderson).Similar
Q3 14:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
80.0%
0-F.Harris to UTSA 29 for 3 yards (48-E.Anderson).Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
80.2%
0-F.Harris complete to 3-S.McCormick. 3-S.McCormick runs ob at UTSA 37 for 8 yards.Similar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
79.8%
0-F.Harris complete to 12-J.Cephus. 12-J.Cephus pushed ob at UTSA 48 for 11 yards (35-J.Helm).Similar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
79.1%
0-F.Harris complete to 18-Z.Franklin. 18-Z.Franklin pushed ob at FAU 49 for 3 yards (35-J.Helm).Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
78.9%
0-F.Harris to FAU 49 for no gain (5-A.Ross).Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+4
80.1%
0-F.Harris scrambles to FAU 45 for 4 yards (49-C.Jones,5-A.Ross).Similar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
80.6%
0-F.Harris incomplete. Intended for 18-Z.Franklin.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:3684% → 84%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
83.8%
28-J.Charles to UTSA 41 for 14 yards (0-R.Wisdom).Similar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
84.0%
6-N.Tronti to UTSA 46 for -5 yards (96-C.Wiley,15-T.Harmanson).Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 15
OPP 46
-6
84.0%
21-K.Dean to FAU 48 for -6 yards (96-C.Wiley).Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 21
OWN 48
0
84.3%
Penalty on FAU 87-M.Irvin, False start, 5 yards, enforced at FAU 48. No Play.Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 26
OWN 43
+10
84.3%
21-K.Dean to UTSA 47 for 10 yards (98-L.Dantzler,15-T.Harmanson).Similar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 16
OPP 47
+47
83.7%
42-M.Hayball punts 47 yards from UTSA 47 to UTSA End Zone. touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 2:1917% → 16%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
83.4%
0-F.Harris complete to 11-T.Ogle-Kellogg. 11-T.Ogle-Kellogg to UTSA 30 for 10 yards (24-Z.Gilbert).Similar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
82.9%
3-S.McCormick to UTSA 28 for -2 yards (25-C.Lasater,35-J.Helm).Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+11
84.0%
0-F.Harris complete to 11-T.Ogle-Kellogg. 11-T.Ogle-Kellogg to UTSA 39 for 11 yards (14-A.McNeal).Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+6
82.4%
33-B.Daniels to UTSA 45 for 6 yards (19-C.Brice,13-L.McCarthy).Similar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
82.6%
0-F.Harris incomplete.Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
82.9%
0-F.Harris complete to 11-T.Ogle-Kellogg. 11-T.Ogle-Kellogg to UTSA 47 for 2 yards (24-Z.Gilbert).Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
83.2%
0-F.Harris incomplete. Intended for 18-Z.Franklin.Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 8
OWN 47
+27
84.2%
35-L.Dean punts 27 yards from UTSA 47, out of bounds at the FAU 26.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:4487% → 88%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
87.0%
20-M.Davidson to FAU 31 for 5 yards (49-T.Bell,0-R.Wisdom).Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
87.2%
10-W.Taggart to FAU 33 for 2 yards (26-C.Mayfield).Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 3
OWN 33
-6
87.4%
10-W.Taggart sacked at FAU 27 for -6 yards (99-B.Matterson).Similar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 9
OWN 27
+53
87.5%
42-M.Hayball punts 53 yards from FAU 27 to UTSA 20, fair catch by 2-S.Jones.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:2391% → 91%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
91.0%
28-J.Charles to FAU 41 for 4 yards (15-T.Harmanson,96-C.Wiley).Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+6
91.5%
28-J.Charles to FAU 47 for 6 yards (24-S.Harris,91-S.Flagg).Similar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
91.7%
28-J.Charles to FAU 46 for -1 yard (97-W.Baty).Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 11
OWN 46
-1
92.2%
21-K.Dean to FAU 45 for -1 yard (15-T.Harmanson).Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 12
OWN 45
0
92.0%
10-W.Taggart incomplete. Intended for 8-T.Chase.Similar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 12
OWN 45
+43
91.3%
42-M.Hayball punts 43 yards from FAU 45, out of bounds at the UTSA 12.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 2:3110% → 10%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
89.8%
3-S.McCormick to UTSA 20 for 8 yards (58-E.Williams).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+5
89.0%
3-S.McCormick to UTSA 25 for 5 yards (29-K.Smith,58-E.Williams).Similar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.8%
0-F.Harris incomplete. Intended for 18-Z.Franklin.Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
89.8%
0-F.Harris complete to 12-J.Cephus. 12-J.Cephus to UTSA 38 for 13 yards (20-R.Mungin).Similar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
88.9%
3-S.McCormick to UTSA 40 for 2 yards (32-T.Young).Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
89.1%
0-F.Harris incomplete. Intended for 11-T.Ogle-Kellogg.Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
89.5%
0-F.Harris incomplete. Intended for 18-Z.Franklin, INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Mungin at FAU 22. 20-R.Mungin to FAU 22 for no gain. Penalty on FAU 22-T.Tisdale, Offside, 5 yards, enforced at UTSA 40. No Play.Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-2
89.2%
3-S.McCormick to UTSA 43 for -2 yards (97-A.Dempsey).Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
90.0%
35-L.Dean punts 55 yards from UTSA 43. 83-L.Wester to FAU 2 for no gain (7-D.Taylor).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17MISSED FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 4:4593% → 95%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
93.1%
20-M.Davidson to FAU 2 for no gain (45-D.Henry,21-K.Robinson).Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+8
93.3%
6-N.Tronti to FAU 10 for 8 yards (24-S.Harris).Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+6
93.1%
6-N.Tronti to FAU 16 for 6 yards (0-R.Wisdom).Similar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
93.8%
20-M.Davidson to FAU 18 for 2 yards (15-T.Harmanson).Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+30
93.9%
20-M.Davidson to FAU 48 for 30 yards (26-C.Mayfield).Similar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
95.0%
28-J.Charles to FAU 44 for -4 yards (11-K.Nwachuku,98-L.Dantzler).Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 14
OWN 44
0
94.8%
6-N.Tronti incomplete. Intended for 8-T.Chase.Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 14
OWN 44
0
94.7%
6-N.Tronti incomplete. Intended for 83-L.Wester. Penalty on UTSA 24-S.Harris, Pass interference, 11 yards, enforced at FAU 44. No Play.Similar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
95.2%
21-K.Dean to UTSA 35 for 10 yards (0-R.Wisdom).Similar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.3%
6-N.Tronti incomplete. Intended for 21-K.Dean.Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
95.3%
6-N.Tronti incomplete. Intended for 21-K.Dean.Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+5
95.2%
6-N.Tronti scrambles to UTSA 30 for 5 yards (41-D.Guidry).Similar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
95.0%
44-V.Rivas 47 yards Field Goal is No Good.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:228% → 7%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.2%
15-J.Weeks incomplete.Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+25
92.6%
15-J.Weeks complete to 87-G.Sharp. 87-G.Sharp to FAU 45 for 25 yards.Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
92.6%
15-J.Weeks incomplete. Intended for 87-G.Sharp.Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
92.9%
15-J.Weeks incomplete. Intended for 87-G.Sharp.Similar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+27
93.5%
35-L.Dean punts 52 yards from UTSA 30. 83-L.Wester runs ob at FAU 45 for 27 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2296% → 96%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
95.9%
28-J.Charles to FAU 42 for -3 yards (9-C.Hicks,15-T.Harmanson).Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+5
95.9%
28-J.Charles to FAU 47 for 5 yards (38-T.Mahnke).Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
96.2%
6-N.Tronti incomplete. Intended for 84-B.Alexander.Similar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 8
OWN 47
+34
96.0%
42-M.Hayball punts 34 yards from FAU 47 Downed at the UTSA 19.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:466% → 4%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
94.0%
15-J.Weeks complete to 18-Z.Franklin. 18-Z.Franklin pushed ob at UTSA 32 for 13 yards (24-Z.Gilbert).Similar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
93.6%
15-J.Weeks complete to 18-Z.Franklin. 18-Z.Franklin runs ob at UTSA 36 for 4 yards.Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-6
93.7%
15-J.Weeks sacked at UTSA 30 for -6 yards (49-C.Jones).Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
95.4%
Penalty on UTSA 12-J.Cephus, False start, 5 yards, enforced at UTSA 30. No Play.Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 17
OWN 25
0
95.6%
15-J.Weeks incomplete. Intended for 18-Z.Franklin.Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 17
OWN 25
-6
95.7%
15-J.Weeks sacked at UTSA 19 for -6 yards (52-J.Joyner).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:5697% → 100%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.2%
6-N.Tronti incomplete. Intended for 8-T.Chase.Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+9
97.4%
20-M.Davidson to UTSA 10 for 9 yards (11-K.Nwachuku,41-D.Guidry).Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+4
97.3%
6-N.Tronti to UTSA 6 for 4 yards (96-C.Wiley).Similar
Q4 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
97.5%
20-M.Davidson to UTSA 2 for 4 yards (15-T.Harmanson).Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
28-J.Charles runs 2 yards for a touchdown.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:03
6-N.Tronti runs 2 yards for a touchdown.
+8.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:31
20-M.Davidson to FAU 2 for no gain (45-D.Henry,21-K.Robinson).
+5.2
KEY PLAY · Q2 7:07
3-S.McCormick to FAU 48 for 4 yards (35-J.Helm).
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com