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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 40 at Rice 34

RICE
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:32 · Kyle Ulbrich punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 163Home team on offense−24.5Pregame prior+0.3Garbage-time factor−12.8Score differential−5.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Time remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:52: Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +16.8 pts (now 66%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:34: Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — RICE win probability +12.6 pts (now 39%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:34: Mike Collins pass complete to Jack Bradley for 22 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK) — RICE win probability +18.9 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 0:34: Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 20 yds for a TD (Mike Collins pass to Austin Trammell for Two-Point Conversion) — RICE win probability +73.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Crews Holt 48 yd FG GOOD — MTSU win probability +42.5 pts (now 62%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 7MTSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 11:11RICE 4th & 7 at MTSU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:29RICE 4th & 5 at MTSU 27, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.9%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:14MTSU 4th & 6 at RICE 35, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00MTSU 4th & 12 at MTSU 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:06RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 18, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:06RICE 4th & 2 at MTSU 47, down 1
    Close callWent for it · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.4%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:52RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 40, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−1.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:35MTSU 4th & 4 at MTSU 31, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:25MTSU 4th & 2 at RICE 40, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    63.8%−3.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:00MTSU 4th & 2 at RICE 2, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.5%−2.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−14.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:34MTSU 4th & 4 at MTSU 47, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:02RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 42, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%−2.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:32MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 49, up 5
    Close callPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:47RICE 4th & 24 at RICE 27, down 5
    Numbers favored punt by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%−1.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 0 of 3MTSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 11:52MTSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:34RICE Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    35.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    35.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:34RICE Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:34RICE Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 3.3 ptsWent for two · converted
    Kick
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    76.0%−3.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:4958% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
58.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 6 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+2
58.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+25
58.1%
JoVoni Johnson run for 25 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+27
58.1%
Mike Collins pass complete to N/A for a 1ST down to Jack Bradley for 27 yds to the MTnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
58.1%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
58.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
58.1%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+34
58.8%
Collin Riccitelli 34 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2FUMBLE
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.1%
Chaton Mobley run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
59.0%
Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
59.1%
Asher O'Hara run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
59.0%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
59.0%
Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+10
59.1%
RICE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (10 Yards) to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
58.8%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jamichael Thompson for 9 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 1
OPP 43
-1
58.7%
Jayy Mcdonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:5661% → 62%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
60.9%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+5
61.0%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+5
60.8%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
61.0%
Mike Collins pass complete to Juma Otoviano for 8 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+3
61.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
61.1%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Jack BradleySimilar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
61.1%
Mike Collins run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
60.9%
Mike Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+45
61.8%
Collin Riccitelli 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4MISSED FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:1539% → 39%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
60.8%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+5
61.1%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 5 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+26
61.0%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 26 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
60.0%
Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
60.0%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 4 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
60.1%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jamichael ThompsonSimilar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+52
60.8%
Crews Holt 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
62.3%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
62.5%
Mike Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-21
62.0%
Mike Collins pass intercepted Gregory Grate Jr. return for 21 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1940% → 37%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
60.3%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+1
61.3%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 11 yds to the RICE 44 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, illegal block (CJ Windham) to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+2
61.1%
Jayy McDonald run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-2
61.5%
Asher O'Hara sacked by Garrett Grammer for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
62.6%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
63.1%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
63.0%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Jake Bailey, broken up by Jalen JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-5
62.4%
RICE Penalty, false start (Shea Baker) to the Rice 18Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
62.3%
Mike Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+8
61.8%
Charlie Mendes punt for 58 yds , Reed Blankenship returns for 8 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:2238% → 39%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
61.9%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 5 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
61.1%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 6 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
61.3%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 19 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
60.5%
Chaton Mobley run for 13 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
59.6%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
59.8%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for no gain to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+25
61.0%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 25 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9TD
22 plays · 80 yds · 9:0765% → 69%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
64.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
64.4%
JoVoni Johnson run for 7 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
66.0%
Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
66.4%
JoVoni Johnson run for 4 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+5
66.9%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
67.0%
Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
67.5%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jake Bailey for 12 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
67.9%
Mike Collins pass complete to Robert French for 11 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
68.0%
Mike Collins pass complete to Robert French for 6 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
68.0%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Robert FrenchSimilar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+4
67.4%
Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
68.0%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jordan Myers for 8 yds to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+2
68.0%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
68.0%
Juma Otoviano run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+3
68.0%
Mike Collins run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
72.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 3Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
72.1%
JoVoni Johnson run for no gain to the MTnSt 3Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
68.9%
Mike Collins pass complete to August Pitre III for 3 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 1:0331% → 35%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+29
69.4%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 29 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
66.0%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 5 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
64.4%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin PierceSimilar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+7
65.7%
DJ England-Chisolm run for 7 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
64.4%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to N/A to N/A for 9 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 1
OPP 16
-5
64.4%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, illegal procedure (Jarrin Pierce) to the Rice 21Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+21
64.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 21 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:2458% → 58%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
58.1%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
56.8%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Juma OtovianoSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+8
55.7%
Mike Collins run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
57.6%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Robert French, broken up by Gregory Grate Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:0849% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
51.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+9
51.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+20
50.2%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 20 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
48.9%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 5 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-6
48.6%
Chaton Mobley run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+31
50.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 31 yds to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
33.9%
Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0040% → 37%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
40.4%
Mike Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 11
OWN 41
-5
39.4%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 36Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 16
OWN 36
+4
38.2%
Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
37.5%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to August Pitre III, broken up by Decorian PattersonSimilar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
36.6%
Charlie Mendes punt for 35 yds , Reed Blankenship returns for no gain to the MTnSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.5%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to DJ England-ChisolmSimilar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.1%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
35.3%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
36.7%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 46 yds , Austin Trammell returns for no gain to the Rice 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:4936% → 24%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
36.4%
Mike Collins run for 14 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+32
23.5%
Mike Collins sacked by Cody Smith for a loss of 5 yards Mike Collins fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Johnathan Butler , return for 0 yards , return for 32 yds (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:2123% → 39%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
23.1%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jordan Myers for 17 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
25.2%
Mike Collins pass complete to Robert French for 3 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+15
25.2%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Jorden Starling) to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
25.9%
Juma Otoviano run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
26.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
38.7%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0067% → 68%
Q3 5:25
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-3
32.6%
Asher O'Hara sacked by Trey Schuman for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+27
34.4%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 27 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
30.6%
Chaton Mobley run for 4 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+1
30.5%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 1 yd to the Rice 43Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+3
31.1%
Chaton Mobley run for 3 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
32.5%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 23 yds , Austin Trammell returns for no gain to the Rice 17 Austin Trammell fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Andrew LeakSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18Uncategorized
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:5275% → 74%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
24.7%
Jayy McDonald run for 15 yds to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
24.5%
Jayy McDonald run for no gain to the Rice 2Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
24.7%
Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the Rice 2Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
25.8%
Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the Rice 2Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
26.0%
Crews Holt 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 3:2622% → 45%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
21.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 10 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+20
21.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 20 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
23.4%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+12
23.3%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jordan Myers for 12 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
24.4%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Gregory Grate Jr.) to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
26.2%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+22
45.1%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jack Bradley for 22 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20Uncategorized
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.7%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin PierceSimilar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
31.9%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+26
32.3%
Asher O'Hara run for 26 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
29.1%
Jayy McDonald run for no gain to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
29.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
29.3%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Yusuf Ali, broken up by Tre'Shon DevonesSimilar
Q4 11:34
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
31.6%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21Uncategorized
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
36.9%
Khalan Griffin run for no gain to the Rice 20Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
36.7%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jordan Myers for 15 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
37.7%
Khalan Griffin run for 5 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
41.0%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
39.9%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Juma OtovianoSimilar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
36.1%
Charlie Mendes punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Reed Blankenship at the MTnSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:3775% → 86%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
24.7%
Frank Peasant run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-9
24.7%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offensive holding (-9 Yards) to the MTnSt 9Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 16
OWN 9
+26
25.5%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 26 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
23.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 7 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
22.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
21.9%
Asher O'Hara run for 5 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
21.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+1
21.5%
Asher O'Hara run for 1 yd to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 2
OPP 46
-5
13.1%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (Darius Williams) to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
13.8%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23TD
15 plays · 83 yds · 1:5023% → 94%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
22.5%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jordan Myers for no gain to the Rice 17Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+13
21.6%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jordan Myers for 13 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
23.3%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
23.2%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to August Pitre IIISimilar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+9
21.8%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jake Bailey for 9 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-9
26.2%
Mike Collins sacked by Richard Kinley for a loss of 9 yards to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 19
OWN 32
0
15.4%
Mike Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 19
OWN 32
-5
14.6%
RICE Penalty, false start (Jake Bailey) to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 24
OWN 27
0
14.5%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 24
OWN 27
+48
9.6%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 48 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
20.3%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside (DQ Thomas) to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 5
OPP 20
+20
94.4%
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 20 yds for a TD (Mike Collins pass to Austin Trammell for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:3425% → 62%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+21
75.2%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Brad Anderson for 21 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
69.3%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+15
69.9%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 15 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
68.4%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+48
37.7%
Crews Holt 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 25MISSED FG
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0060% → 45%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to DJ England-ChisolmSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
41.1%
Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the Rice 23Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
-10
43.7%
Asher O'Hara sacked by Blaze Alldredge for a loss of 10 yards to the Rice 33Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 18
OPP 33
+50
55.3%
Crews Holt 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 26MISSED FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0065% → 55%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
64.7%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-1
64.7%
Mike Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 25Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-2
61.8%
Mike Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 27Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+45
55.1%
Collin Riccitelli 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 27Uncategorized
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0065% → 58%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
64.7%
Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
64.7%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+1
62.4%
JoVoni Johnson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 18Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
-5
58.7%
RICE Penalty, false start (Clay Servin) to the MTnSt 23Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
58.2%
Collin Riccitelli 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jalen Jackson N/A return for no gain to the MTnSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 28TD
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
40.5%
Frank Peasant run for 1 yd to the Rice 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+6
40.5%
Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds to the Rice 18Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+4
42.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
40.5%
Asher O'Hara run for 14 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:34
Mike Collins pass complete to Austin Trammell for 20 yds for a TD (Mike Collins pass to Austin Trammell for Two-Point Conversion)
+73
FG · Q4 0:00
Crews Holt 48 yd FG GOOD
-42.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-40.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com