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Louisiana Tech 26 at UTSA 27

UTSA
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Home team on offense−10.3Score differential−4.3Garbage-time factor−4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Pregame prior−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:43: Luke Anthony pass complete to Jacob Adams for 13 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +9.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:36: Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +11.9 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  3. TD · Q3 6:32: Frank Harris pass intercepted for a TD Ezekiel Barnett return for 60 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +15.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:28: Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +22.3 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 6:16: Sincere McCormick run for 45 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +29.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 10 of 11LT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 8:50LT 4th & 3 at UTSA 9, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.9%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:50UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.8%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:04UTSA 4th & 4 at LT 4, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.6%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    44.5%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:04LT 4th & 6 at LT 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:03LT 4th & 7 at UTSA 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    50.2%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:03UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:22LT 4th & 4 at UTSA 4, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−5.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:36UTSA 4th & 6 at LT 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−5.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:43LT 4th & 2 at UTSA 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    54.7%−0.9
    85% to make
    Punt
    48.7%−6.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:43UTSA 4th & 26 at UTSA 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−2.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:29LT 4th & 6 at UTSA 6, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−3.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 47, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.8%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00UTSA 4th & 3 at LT 32, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    30.0%−0.9
    51% to make
    Punt
    29.6%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:35LT 4th & 19 at LT 18, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−4.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:32UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:34UTSA 4th & 2 at LT 41, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    22.0%−2.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−1.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:09UTSA 4th & 8 at LT 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−4.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:09LT 4th & 12 at LT 33, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−4.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:28LT 4th & 4 at LT 32, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:16LT 4th & 12 at LT 40, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−3.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:06UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 45, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 3:43LT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:36UTSA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:32LT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:28UTSA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:16UTSA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−1.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 6:1053% → 52%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
47.3%
Israel Tucker run for 7 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+2
47.3%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+18
47.3%
Israel Tucker run for 18 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
47.3%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 3 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
47.3%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 2 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+13
47.3%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 13 yds to the TexSA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
47.3%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Israel Tucker for 1 yd to the TexSA 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+6
47.3%
Luke Anthony run for 6 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+4
47.3%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
47.3%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+4
47.3%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Justin Henderson for 4 yds Justin Henderson fumbled, forced by Tyler Mahnke, recovered by LaTch Justin HendersonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
47.3%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+27
47.8%
Jacob Barnes 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 5:4648% → 50%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
48.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 3 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
48.5%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 43Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+6
48.0%
Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+17
48.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the UTSA 49 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Bee Jay Williamson) to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
48.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 1 yd to the LaTch 33Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+2
48.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+10
48.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 10 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
48.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the LaTch 18Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+1
48.9%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the LaTch 17Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+10
48.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 10 yds to the LaTch 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
48.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
48.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the LaTch 4Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
48.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Gavin SharpSimilar
Q1 3:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
50.2%
Hunter Duplessis 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
49.2%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
49.4%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy, broken up by Rashad WisdomSimilar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+4
49.8%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 4 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 6
OWN 35
+1
50.1%
Jacob Barnes punt for 36 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 1 yd to the TexSA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:0050% → 52%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
50.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+15
51.1%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
51.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin, broken up by Cedric WoodsSimilar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-10
51.5%
Frank Harris pass intercepted Trey Baldwin return for 10 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:5952% → 53%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
47.8%
Justin Henderson run for 4 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+7
47.7%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 7 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
47.4%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
47.3%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Adrian Hardy for no gain to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
48.1%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Griffin Hebert, broken up by Dadrian Taylor LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+46
47.4%
Jacob Barnes 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
47.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 6Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 7
OWN 6
0
47.8%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 7
OWN 6
0
47.2%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 7
OWN 6
+22
46.8%
Lucas Dean punt for 49 yds , Cee Jay Powell returns for 22 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7FG
11 plays · 29 yds · 3:4954% → 57%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
45.7%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+5
45.5%
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+3
46.1%
Israel Tucker run for 3 yds to the TexSA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
45.5%
Israel Tucker run for 9 yds to the TexSA 12Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 1
OPP 12
0
45.5%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Cee Jay PowellSimilar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+2
46.1%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the TexSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
45.5%
Israel Tucker run for 3 yds to the TexSA 7Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
45.8%
Israel Tucker run for 3 yds to the TexSA 4Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
46.5%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Cee Jay PowellSimilar
Q2 9:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
42.8%
Jacob Barnes 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 2:4645% → 49%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
45.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
45.5%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
44.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 11 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
46.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+4
47.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
47.3%
Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Trey Baldwin) to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
48.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+1
48.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the LaTch 20Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
47.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Sheldon Jones, broken up by Bee Jay WilliamsonSimilar
Q2 6:36
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
49.4%
Hunter Duplessis 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 2:5353% → 64%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
46.8%
Israel Tucker run for 6 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+3
46.0%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Israel Tucker for 3 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+5
46.0%
TUCKER, Israel rush up middle for no gain to the TECH37 (TAYLOR, Dadrian), PENALTY UTSA offside defense (TAYLOR, Dadrian) 5 yards to the TECH42, 1ST DOWN TECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+37
45.3%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 37 yds to the TexSA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
44.1%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 5 yds to the TexSA 16Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+3
44.1%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 3 yds to the TexSA 13Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
44.9%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the TexSA 13Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+13
35.9%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Jacob Adams for 13 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -16 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
35.6%
Frank Harris sacked by Jaiden Cole for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSA 16 Frank Harris fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-1
35.3%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 15Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-6
34.6%
Frank Harris sacked by Levi Bell and Mykol Clark for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 9Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 26
OWN 9
0
34.2%
Lucas Dean punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 1:3866% → 72%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
33.7%
Israel Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 48Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+5
34.2%
ANTHONY, Luke deep out pass incomplete to TUCKER, Israel, PENALTY UTSA offside defense (WILEY, Charles) 5 yards to the UTSA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+14
33.8%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 14 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
33.3%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 7 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+12
30.9%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 12 yds to the TexSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
30.9%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 4 yds to the TexSA 6Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
30.9%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
31.3%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy, broken up by Corey Mayfield Jr.Similar
Q2 0:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
27.6%
Jacob Barnes 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12END OF HALF
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:2931% → 33%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
30.7%
Brennon Dingle run for 11 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
31.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 9 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+21
31.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 21 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 15
OPP 39
0
30.8%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin, broken up by Trey BaldwinSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 15
OPP 39
0
30.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle, broken up by Cedric WoodsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
32.6%
DUPLESSIS, H. field goal attempt from 51 MISSED - short,, clock 00:00, PENALTY UTSA false start (PASTUCCI, D.) 5 yards to the TECH39, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:2431% → 46%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
30.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 13 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
31.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+7
31.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
31.9%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 47Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+2
31.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
32.2%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus, broken up by Jaiden ColeSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+12
31.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 12 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
32.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-1
33.7%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+2
32.3%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+8
31.5%
Julon Williams pass complete to Frank Harris for 8 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
33.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 13 yds to the LaTch 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
33.7%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-1
33.7%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 12Similar
Q3 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
45.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0063% → 60%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
37.1%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the LaTch 27Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-13
37.8%
Luke Anthony sacked by Brandon Matterson for a loss of 13 yards to the LaTch 14Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 23
OWN 14
+4
39.2%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Israel Tucker for 4 yds to the LaTch 18 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 19
OWN 18
+2
40.1%
Jacob Barnes punt for 35 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 2 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15INT TD
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:1943% → 26%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
43.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brennon Dingle for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 48Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+5
41.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 6
OPP 47
-60
26.2%
Frank Harris pass intercepted for a TD Ezekiel Barnett return for 60 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.7%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 25Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
24.5%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Sheldon JonesSimilar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
23.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+16
23.4%
Lucas Dean punt for 53 yds , Cee Jay Powell returns for 16 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
17.4%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+13
17.3%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 13 yds Cee Jay Powell fumbled, forced by Antonio Parks, recovered by TexSA Christian ClaytonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18MISSED FG
12 plays · 23 yds · 5:2525% → 19%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
24.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-1
24.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+5
23.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 5 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+2
23.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 2 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
24.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the LaTch 38Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-2
24.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 8 yds to the LaTch 30 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding (Spencer Burford) to the LaTch 40Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+4
24.3%
B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+8
24.3%
Frank Harris run for 8 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-7
26.5%
Frank Harris sacked by Trey Baldwin for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 17
OPP 35
-6
24.9%
Frank Harris sacked by Milton Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 23
OPP 41
+15
19.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 15 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
18.8%
Hunter Duplessis 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Deshon HallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.3%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the LaTch 25Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
14.4%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Tahj Magee for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 23Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+12
14.9%
Luke Anthony run for 12 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
14.2%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Tahj Magee for 2 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-4
13.7%
Luke Anthony sacked by Jamal Ligon and Trevor Harmanson for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 33Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
14.8%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
15.2%
Jacob Barnes punt for 38 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for no gain to the TexSA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:3517% → 40%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
17.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 11 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+54
18.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 54 yds to the LaTch 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
40.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
25.6%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Jawaun Johnson for 2 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+4
25.4%
Justin Henderson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
25.7%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy, broken up by Corey Mayfield Jr.Similar
Q4 10:28
4TH & 4
OWN 32
-4
27.0%
Jacob Barnes punt for 44 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:4332% → 67%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
31.8%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 20Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
31.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 15 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
32.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
33.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Julon Williams for 10 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
36.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 7 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+1
37.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the LaTch 45Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+45
67.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 45 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0044% → 38%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
55.6%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
56.7%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+2
57.4%
Luke Anthony run for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 40 Luke Anthony fumbled, recovered by LaTch Luke Anthony , return for 2 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
62.0%
Jacob Barnes punt for 28 yds, downed at the TexSA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 2:2364% → 71%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
63.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+1
67.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 39Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 3
OWN 39
-5
65.4%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (Kevin Davis) to the TexSA 34Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+9
62.0%
Frank Harris run for 9 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
67.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 44Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+1
73.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 45Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
72.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
71.3%
Lucas Dean punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25INT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0031% → 38%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
68.8%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 10 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
66.7%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 6 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+5
65.3%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 5 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
65.9%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Cee Jay Powell, broken up by Jamal LigonSimilar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
66.6%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+14
68.3%
ALLEN, Aaron sideline pass incomplete to HEBERT, Griffin (TAYLOR, Dadrian), PENALTY UTSA pass interference (TAYLOR, Dadrian) 14 yards to the TECH43, 1ST DOWN TECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
62.3%
Aaron Allen pass intercepted Antonio Parks return for 3 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0085% → 83%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
84.8%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-1
82.7%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:16
Sincere McCormick run for 45 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+29.6
TD · Q4 10:28
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+22.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+17.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com