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FAU

Florida Atlantic 9 at Marshall 20

MRSH
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+2.5MRSH 92.7%Shane Ciucci 22 yd FG GOODAWAY 9 - HOME 20 · Q4 10:53
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:53 · Shane Ciucci 22 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior+9.0Home team on offense+20.5Garbage-time factor+10.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1Score differential+4.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:10: Malcolm Davidson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas PAT BLOCKED) — FAU win probability +6.0 pts (now 20%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:40: Grant Wells pass complete to Talik Keaton for 7 yds to the Marsh 28 — MRSH win probability +3.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:12: Vladimir Rivas 43 yd FG GOOD — FAU win probability +10.8 pts (now 33%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:24: Grant Wells pass complete to Artie Henry for 41 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +11.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 3:13: Shane Ciucci 35 yd FG GOOD — MRSH win probability +5.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8FAU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00MRSH 4th & 10 at FAU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:41FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:40FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:43MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:16FAU 4th & 17 at MRSH 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:10MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 34, up 1
    Close callPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:08MRSH 4th & 10 at FAU 26, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:36FAU 4th & 20 at FAU 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−2.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:29MRSH 4th & 1 at FAU 34, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00FAU 4th & 5 at MRSH 39, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    21.3%−1.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    21.8%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:12FAU 4th & 7 at MRSH 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−7.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:24FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 16, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−1.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:13MRSH 4th & 10 at FAU 18, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−2.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    69.6%−9.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:05FAU 4th & 23 at FAU 26, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−4.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:53MRSH 4th & 4 at FAU 5, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.1%−0.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    81.0%−8.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:44FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:01MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 18, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:50FAU 4th & 5 at MRSH 17, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−2.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:40MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:10FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    18.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:24MRSH Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
89.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Artie Henry for 9 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
89.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 7 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
89.7%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Artie HenrySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
89.7%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the Marsh 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+15
89.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Artie Henry for 15 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
89.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for no gain to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
89.7%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
89.7%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 44
+39
89.7%
Robert LeFevre punt for 39 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:3211% → 12%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
89.0%
Larry McCammon III run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+9
89.0%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Jordan Merrell for 9 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
88.9%
Larry McCammon III run for no gain to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
88.9%
Nick Tronti pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 3 yds to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+12
89.0%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Willie Wright for 12 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
88.9%
Nick Tronti pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
88.9%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Willie Wright for 5 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-4
87.8%
Nick Tronti run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
88.0%
Matthew Hayball punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 2:0888% → 89%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
87.7%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-3
87.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Brenden Knox for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 21Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+15
87.6%
WELLS, Grant pass incomplete to KEATON, Talik, PENALTY FAU pass interference (WENSTROM, J) 15 yards to the MAR36, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
87.8%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
88.0%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+58
88.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Brenden Knox for 58 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
88.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
88.3%
Nick Tronti pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
88.4%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Malcolm DavidsonSimilar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
88.6%
Matthew Hayball punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
88.5%
Brenden Knox run for 8 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+6
88.6%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Marsh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
88.6%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Artie HenrySimilar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+7
88.5%
Brenden Knox run for 7 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+2
88.5%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 1
OWN 35
-5
88.4%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Eli Neal) to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+10
88.2%
Robert LeFevre punt for 40 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 10 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 14 yds · 3:4912% → 12%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
87.7%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
87.7%
Nick Tronti pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+8
87.8%
Nick Tronti pass complete to T.J. Chase for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
50
0
87.4%
Nick Tronti run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 10
50
+7
87.5%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Jordan Merrell for 7 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+4
87.0%
Larry McCammon III run for 4 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
86.9%
Larry McCammon III run for no gain to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-11
86.9%
Nick Tronti sacked by Koby Cumberlander for a loss of 11 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 21
50
+9
87.8%
Larry McCammon III run for 9 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 12
OPP 41
-5
88.1%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, delay of game (Matthew Hayball) to the Marsh 46Similar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 17
OPP 46
0
88.1%
Matthew Hayball punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
87.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 10 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
87.7%
Sheldon Evans run for 1 yd to the Marsh 29Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
87.7%
Grant Wells pass intercepted Jordan Helm return for no gain to the FlAtl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 5:5313% → 20%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
87.5%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
87.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+10
87.4%
Nick Tronti pass complete to T.J. Chase for 10 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
86.9%
Nick Tronti pass complete to T.J. Chase for 6 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
86.5%
Nick Tronti pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+4
86.2%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 4 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
86.1%
Larry McCammon III run for 2 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+2
86.1%
Larry McCammon III run for 2 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+15
86.2%
TRONTI, Nick pass incomplete to ADAMS, D'Marcus, PENALTY MAR pass interference (MCCLAIN-SAPP, J) 15 yards to the MAR22, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
85.5%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to T.J. ChaseSimilar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
85.6%
Malcolm Davidson run for 8 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+3
85.8%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the Marsh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
79.8%
Malcolm Davidson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.4%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
83.5%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
83.2%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 5:10
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
83.0%
Robert LeFevre punt for 38 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 7 yds to the FlAtl 41 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the FlAtl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10INT
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:0019% → 21%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
81.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for 35 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
79.4%
Nick Tronti pass intercepted Brandon Drayton return for no gain to the Marsh 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · 53 yds · 1:3282% → 82%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
82.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Talik Keaton for 7 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+46
83.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 46 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
84.6%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
84.5%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
83.8%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+43
81.5%
Shane Ciucci 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:3220% → 18%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
80.4%
Larry McCammon III run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-14
79.8%
Nick Tronti sacked by Darius Hodge for a loss of 14 yards to the FlAtl 22 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, intentional grounding (Nick Tronti) to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 24
OWN 22
+3
80.7%
Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 21
OWN 25
+1
81.7%
Larry McCammon III run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 20
OWN 26
+60
82.3%
Matthew Hayball punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the MARSHALL 29 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, kick catching interference (15 Yards) to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13INT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
82.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Talik Keaton for 13 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
83.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 4 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
83.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 5 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
83.1%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
82.3%
Grant Wells pass intercepted, touchback. Teja Young return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14FG
15 plays · 52 yds · 6:4821% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
79.5%
James Charles run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+6
79.1%
LaJohntay Wester run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+22
79.1%
Nick Tronti pass complete to T.J. Chase for 22 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
77.3%
CHARLES, James rush for 4 yards to the MAR40 (CUMBERLANDER, K;GILMORE, Steven), PENALTY FAU holding (NOEL, Desmond) 10 yards to the FAU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+2
78.7%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 48
-9
78.8%
Nick Tronti sacked by Steven Gilmore and Tavante Beckett for a loss of 9 yards to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 27
OWN 39
+10
79.7%
TRONTI, Nick pass incomplete to DAVIDSON, M, PENALTY MAR holding (CROOM, Rodney) 10 yards to the FAU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 49
+5
79.3%
TRONTI, Nick sacked for loss of 8 yards to the FAU41 (PORTER, Owen;NEAL, Eli), QB hurry by HODGE, Darius, PENALTY MAR offside (HODGE, Darius) 5 yards to the MAR46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 46
+7
78.8%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Malcolm Davidson for 7 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+11
78.7%
Nick Tronti pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 11 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
76.4%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 3 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-5
76.4%
Nick Tronti run for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+5
78.1%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 5 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q3 8:12
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+43
67.3%
Vladimir Rivas 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 1:4869% → 83%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
69.1%
WELLS, Grant pass incomplete to GAMMAGE, Corey, PENALTY FAU pass interference (YOUNG, Teja) 15 yards to the MAR34, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
69.6%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+5
71.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Artie Henry for 5 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+17
71.3%
Brenden Knox run for 17 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
83.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Artie Henry for 41 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
79.1%
Nick Tronti pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
79.4%
Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
80.3%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to T.J. ChaseSimilar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
80.9%
Matthew Hayball punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:2583% → 88%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
83.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 12 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
83.5%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Ahman Ross) to the FlAtl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
83.4%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 13 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+5
83.4%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
83.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
82.5%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+35
88.2%
Shane Ciucci 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -13 yds · 2:0814% → 11%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
86.0%
TRONTI, Nick pass complete to PETERSON, Logan for 1 yard to the FAU40 (DRAYTON, B.), PENALTY FAU illegal block (MERRELL, Jordan) 15 yards to the FAU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 25
OWN 24
0
87.2%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 25
OWN 24
-4
87.5%
Nick Tronti sacked by Rodney Croom for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 29
OWN 20
+6
88.7%
Nick Tronti run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 23
OWN 26
0
89.1%
Matthew Hayball punt for 39 yds, downed at the Marsh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:2089% → 93%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
89.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 5 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+12
90.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 12 yds Xavier Gaines fumbled, forced by Ashton McNeal, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+24
90.5%
Brenden Knox run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (Romain Mungin) to the FlAtl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+11
90.1%
WELLS, Grant pass incomplete to GAMMAGE, Corey, PENALTY FAU personal foul (SMITH, Korel) 11 yards to the FAU11, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
90.8%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+5
90.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Artie Henry for 5 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 17
-5
90.1%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+4
90.8%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 4
-1
90.1%
Brenden Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+22
92.7%
Shane Ciucci 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
93.6%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Jordan Merrell for 9 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+11
92.9%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Jordan Merrell for 11 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
92.7%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
93.0%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-2
93.0%
Nick Tronti pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
94.0%
Matthew Hayball punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3294% → 95%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
94.3%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
94.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey Gammage, broken up by Romain MunginSimilar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+1
94.2%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 18Similar
Q4 7:01
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+18
94.8%
Robert LeFevre punt for 45 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 18 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
94.1%
Willie Taggart run for 11 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
93.3%
Nick Tronti run for 3 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
92.9%
Nick Tronti pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+9
94.0%
Nick Tronti pass complete to BJ Alexander for 9 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-6
92.9%
Nick Tronti sacked by Immanuel Bush for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 28Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 16
OPP 28
+12
93.7%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Jordan Merrell for 12 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 4
OPP 16
-1
93.6%
Nick Tronti run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 17Similar
Q4 6:50
4TH & 5
OPP 17
0
94.3%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to BJ AlexanderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:0897% → 99%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
96.7%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+3
96.7%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+3
98.6%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
98.6%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+3
98.7%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+24
98.8%
Sheldon Evans run for 24 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:24
Grant Wells pass complete to Artie Henry for 41 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)
+11.9
FG · Q3 8:12
Vladimir Rivas 43 yd FG GOOD
-10.8
TD · Q2 5:10
Malcolm Davidson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas PAT BLOCKED)
-6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com