Try the model
WKU

Western Kentucky 14 at UAB 37

UAB
2020 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2020 · Legion Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:06 · John Haggerty punt for 46 yds , Myron Mitchell returns for 2 yds to the UAB 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Pregame prior+16.0Home team on offense+14.8Score differential+5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.0Garbage-time factor+3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:56: Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 6 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +2.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:43: DeWayne McBride run for 71 yds for a TD (Matthew Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +3.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:36: Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +6.6 pts (now 27%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:52: Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +6.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 7:08: Matthew Quinn 44 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +2.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 13:33WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:17UAB 4th & 11 at WKU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:25UAB 4th & 13 at UAB 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:08WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:14WKU 4th & 3 at UAB 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−0.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:08WKU 4th & 1 at UAB 7, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    19.0%−1.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−5.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:50UAB 4th & 23 at UAB 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−2.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:09UAB 4th & 11 at UAB 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:06WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:06WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 37, down 17
    Close callPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:08UAB 4th & 7 at WKU 26, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−3.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:14WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 23, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:44UAB 4th & 6 at WKU 30, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:48WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 32, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:39UAB 4th & 11 at WKU 11, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−1.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:53WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 39, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:08WKU 4th & 1 at UAB 48, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:28WKU 4th & 6 at UAB 25, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:56WKU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:42UAB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:43UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:36WKU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:52UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2717% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.7%
Kevaris Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.6%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
82.5%
Kevaris Thomas run for 4 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+9
82.3%
John Haggerty punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 38 , Myron Mitchell returns for 9 yds to the UAB 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:0082% → 82%
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
82.3%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
82.2%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-5
82.0%
Clock 12:18, PENALTY UAB false start (TREHERN, Matthew) 5 yards to the UAB38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+15
81.9%
LUCERO, Bryson pass incomplete to PITTMAN, Hayden, PENALTY WKU pass interference (ALEXANDER, O.) 15 yards to the WKU47, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
82.1%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 12 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
82.1%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 15 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
82.0%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 21Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
81.8%
Bryson Lucero pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 11
OPP 21
0
81.7%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+38
81.6%
Matthew Quinn 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0618% → 18%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.6%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
81.6%
Kevaris Thomas pass intercepted Brontae Harris return for no gain to the WKent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:1282% → 82%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
81.9%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 7 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 3
OPP 38
-2
81.9%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 40Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+11
81.6%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 11 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
81.8%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Terrell McDonald for 14 yds Terrell McDonald fumbled, forced by Trae Meadows, recovered by WKent Dionte RuffinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:1219% → 22%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
81.3%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Dayton WadeSimilar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+10
81.3%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Joshua Simon for 10 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
81.1%
Jakairi Moses run for 17 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+25
80.7%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Joshua Simon for 25 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
80.2%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Dayton Wade for 6 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+4
79.9%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+17
79.8%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Joshua Simon for 17 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
77.6%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 6 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:2578% → 77%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
78.3%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 7 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+7
78.6%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
78.5%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-6
78.4%
Bryson Lucero sacked by Kyle Bailey for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 13
OWN 39
0
76.9%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete, broken up by Marcus BraggSimilar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
76.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
77.0%
Kevaris Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+17
77.1%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Dayton Wade for 13 yds Dayton Wade fumbled, forced by Will Boler, recovered by UAB TD Marshall , return for 17 yds to the WKent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0878% → 80%
Q1 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
78.3%
Clock 01:50, BROWN, Spencer rush for 1 yard to the WKU8 (BARBER, R.), PENALTY WKU personal foul (BARBER, R.) 5 yards to the WKU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
78.3%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal block (Dayton Wade) to the WKent 20Similar
Q1 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
78.2%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the WKent 2Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.2%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds for a TD WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined (Matthew Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:2821% → 21%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
79.2%
Jakairi Moses run for 14 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-6
78.8%
Kevaris Thomas sacked by CD Daniels for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 27
+10
79.2%
Kevaris Thomas run for 10 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
78.7%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Jakairi MosesSimilar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
79.3%
John Haggerty punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:1779% → 82%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
78.5%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
78.3%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 6 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+71
82.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 71 yds for a TD (Matthew Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:0718% → 27%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.4%
Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+21
82.2%
Clock 12:10, THOMAS, K. pass incomplete to SIMON, J., QB hurry by WRIGHT, Alex, PENALTY UAB pass interference (KEY, Jaylen) 21 yards to the WKU49, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
81.5%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 11 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
81.3%
Kevaris Thomas sacked by Brontae Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+12
81.8%
Kevaris Thomas run for 12 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
81.2%
Kevaris Thomas run for no gain to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+17
82.2%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Joshua Simon for 17 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
80.6%
Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
80.1%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+6
80.5%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q2 7:08
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+1
81.1%
Kevaris Thomas run for 1 yd to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
79.7%
Kevaris Thomas run for no gain to the UAB 6Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
73.1%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · -2 yds · 2:4677% → 74%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
76.8%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Austin Watkins Jr., broken up by Dionte RuffinSimilar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
76.0%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 10 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
77.5%
Clock 04:39, LUCERO, Bryson pass complete to MITCHELL, Myron for 23 yards to the WKU41, out-of-bounds (MEADOWS, T.), PENALTY UAB ineligible downfield on pass (WELLS, Sidney) 5 yards to the UAB31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-10
76.7%
Clock 04:12, BROWN, Spencer rush for 10 yards to the UAB41 (MEADOWS, T.), PENALTY UAB holding (41) 10 yards to the UAB21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 25
OWN 21
0
76.5%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 25
OWN 21
+2
76.3%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 2 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 23
OWN 23
0
75.3%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Hayden PittmanSimilar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 23
OWN 23
0
74.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dayton Wade at the WKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:3525% → 25%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
74.8%
Jakairi Moses run for no gain to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-7
75.1%
Kevaris Thomas sacked by Nikia Eason Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 24 Kevaris Thomas fumbled, recovered by UAB Tony Fair , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14TD
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:0779% → 85%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
78.6%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Kristopher Moll, broken up by Antwon KincadeSimilar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
78.5%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+18
77.7%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 18 yds to the WKent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
78.6%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the WKent 1Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
78.7%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 2Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.0%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15END OF HALF
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:3915% → 16%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
84.8%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 9 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
83.0%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
83.3%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
84.3%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete, broken up by Damon MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5184% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.0%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Trea Shropshire, broken up by Dominique BradshawSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
83.9%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
83.2%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Myron Mitchell, broken up by Trae MeadowsSimilar
Q3 14:09
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
82.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5217% → 9%
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
82.8%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Dayton Wade for 5 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
83.5%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Dayton WadeSimilar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
84.2%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Dayton WadeSimilar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+37
91.0%
John Haggerty punt blocked by Nikia Eason Jr. blocked by Nikia Eason Jr. Ryan Davis return for 37 yds for a TD (Matthew Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:529% → 9%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
90.7%
Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
90.3%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr., broken up by Devodric BynumSimilar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
90.9%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr., broken up by Fish McWilliamsSimilar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+2
91.2%
John Haggerty punt for 46 yds , Myron Mitchell returns for 2 yds to the UAB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:4692% → 97%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
91.5%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 2 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+8
91.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
92.8%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 9 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
93.3%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 38Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+15
93.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 15 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
94.0%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Ryan Davis, broken up by DeAngelo MaloneSimilar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+18
93.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 18 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
94.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
94.4%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Hayden Pittman, broken up by Devon KeySimilar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
94.3%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Austin Watkins Jr.Similar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
96.5%
Matthew Quinn 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:484% → 3%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
96.3%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-4
96.4%
Kevaris Thomas sacked by Rubin Stinson III and Kelle Sanders for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 20Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+3
96.7%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Gaej Walker for 3 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 8
OWN 23
+3
96.7%
John Haggerty punt for 45 yds , Myron Mitchell returns for 3 yds to the UAB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:1697% → 98%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
96.9%
Clock 05:00, LUCERO, Bryson pass incomplete, PENALTY WKU roughing passer (BAILEY, K.) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
50
+4
97.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+2
97.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+10
97.0%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 10 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
97.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 2
OPP 26
0
98.3%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Austin Watkins Jr.Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
98.2%
Larry Wooden run for 1 yd to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 2:01
4TH & 1
OPP 25
-5
98.1%
Clock 02:01, PENALTY UAB false start 5 yards to the WKU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 6
OPP 30
0
98.0%
Bryson Lucero pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:472% → 2%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.6%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Dayton WadeSimilar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
97.8%
Kevaris Thomas run for 2 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
97.9%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
98.0%
John Haggerty punt for 68 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23INT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5699% → 99%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+15
99.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 15 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
99.2%
Clock 14:46, BROWN JR., Jermaine rush for 3 yards to the UAB44 (KEY, D.), PENALTY UAB illegal block (TREHERN, Matthew) 15 yards to the UAB26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 25
OWN 26
-1
99.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 26
OWN 25
+5
99.2%
Bryson Lucero pass intercepted Trae Meadows return for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:051% → 1%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Kevaris Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-36
98.7%
Kevaris Thomas pass intercepted Jordan Smith return for 36 yds to the WKent 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25FG
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:4299% → 100%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
99.3%
Clock 13:21, PENALTY UAB false start (RYKARD, Will) 5 yards to the WKU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+2
99.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+16
99.3%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 16 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
99.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 15 yds to the WKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the WKent 2Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-6
99.4%
Clock 10:58, PENALTY UAB false start (41) 6 yards to the WKU8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
99.5%
Bryson Lucero run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 11Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
99.5%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Trea Shropshire, broken up by Dionte RuffinSimilar
Q4 9:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+30
99.5%
Matthew Quinn 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 26DOWNS
17 plays · 48 yds · 7:041% → 1%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
98.9%
Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+6
98.9%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.0%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+3
99.0%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+2
99.1%
Kevaris Thomas run for 2 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 3
OWN 39
+4
99.2%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.2%
Kevaris Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.3%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+7
99.3%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Noah Whittington for 7 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+2
99.3%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
99.3%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Noah Whittington for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 47Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+18
99.4%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Dayton Wade for 18 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.2%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+1
99.3%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
99.3%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Gaej WalkerSimilar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 6
OPP 25
-8
99.4%
Kevaris Thomas sacked by Fish McWilliams for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 27Uncategorized
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+32
99.8%
Tyetus Smith-Lindsey run for 32 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
99.8%
Clock 01:33, SMITH-LINDSEY, Tye rush for no gain to the WKU35 (BRADSHAW, D.), PENALTY UAB holding 10 yards to the WKU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+4
99.8%
Larry Wooden run for 4 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 16
OPP 41
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:36
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)
-6.6
TD · Q2 0:52
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Quinn KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q2 12:43
DeWayne McBride run for 71 yds for a TD (Matthew Quinn KICK)
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com