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MRSH

Marshall 38 at Western Kentucky 14

WKU
2020 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2020 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFUMBLEFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:50 · Robert LeFevre punt for 41 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Home team on offense−56.1Score differential−42.3Pregame prior−0.6Garbage-time factor−21.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−13.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:21: Sheldon Evans run for 5 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +4.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:14: Brenden Knox run for 1 yd for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +9.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:27: Brenden Knox run for 9 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +3.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. FUMBLE · Q3 9:20: Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 3 yards Jakairi Moses fumbled, recovered by Marsh Tavante Beckett , return for 38 yds (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +3.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 2:22: Shane Ciucci 28 yd FG GOOD — MRSH win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9MRSH made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 14:22WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:11MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:21WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:49WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:40MRSH 4th & 11 at WKU 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:50WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:00MRSH 4th & 1 at WKU 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    87.5%−0.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:03MRSH 4th & 18 at MRSH 21, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:14WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 15, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:22MRSH 4th & 10 at WKU 11, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:58MRSH 4th & 3 at WKU 26, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:05WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 39, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:05WKU 4th & 6 at MRSH 27, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:50MRSH 4th & 4 at WKU 41, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:45WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 42, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:22MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:21MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:14MRSH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:27MRSH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:00WKU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:06WKU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3870% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
30.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Broc Thompson for 30 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
30.3%
Brenden Knox run for 45 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
30.3%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
30.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dayton Wade for 1 yd to the WKent 28Similar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
30.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 4 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q1 14:22
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+14
30.3%
John Haggerty punt for 47 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 14 yds to the Marsh 46 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Marsh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
30.5%
Grant Wells run for 2 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
30.5%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
30.5%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
30.5%
MARSHALL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+2
30.6%
Robert LeFevre punt for 46 yds , Dayton Wade returns for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
30.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 7 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+6
31.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 6 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
31.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
31.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dayton Wade for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
31.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 6 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
31.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 3 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+1
31.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 1 yd to the Marsh 40 Tyrrell Pigrome fumbled, forced by Steven Gilmore, recovered by Marsh Tavante BeckettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 4:3070% → 74%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
30.3%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-2
30.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Sheldon Evans for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 40Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+12
30.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 12 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
30.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 10 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
30.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 4 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+4
30.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Talik Keaton for 4 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+2
30.2%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+23
30.1%
Sheldon Evans run for 23 yds to the WKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
26.0%
Sheldon Evans run for 5 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.2%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
27.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 6 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
27.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
27.3%
John Haggerty punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:5574% → 74%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
26.1%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
26.0%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+3
25.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Talik Keaton for 3 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
25.3%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
25.4%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-1
25.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 43Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
25.9%
Robert LeFevre punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
26.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
26.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+6
25.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 6 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+15
26.0%
John Haggerty punt for 38 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 15 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
23.6%
Xavier Gaines run for 3 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+13
23.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Talik Keaton for 13 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
23.5%
Grant Wells run for 1 yd to the WKent 40Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 9
OPP 0
0
23.4%
WELLS, Grant pass incomplete to THOMPSON, Broc (RUFFIN, D.), PENALTY WKU pass interference off-setting, PENALTY MAR holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+2
23.5%
Xavier Gaines run for 2 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+1
23.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Broc Thompson for 1 yd to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 6
OPP 37
-5
24.1%
MARSHALL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WKent 42Similar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
24.3%
Robert LeFevre punt for 40 yds, downed at the WKent 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
23.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 5 yds to the WKent 7Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+2
22.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the WKent 9Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+7
22.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dayton Wade for 7 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
23.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 5 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 5
OWN 21
-5
23.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Brandon Drayton for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 16Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
22.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Gaej WalkerSimilar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 10
OWN 16
+20
22.8%
John Haggerty punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 45 , Talik Keaton returns for 20 yds to the WKent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:4979% → 88%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
20.8%
Sheldon Evans run for 1 yd to the WKent 44Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+40
20.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Broc Thompson for 40 yds to the WKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
20.7%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the WKent 1Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.7%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Xavier Lane, broken up by Brandon DraytonSimilar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
13.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 8 yds to the WKent 37 Tyrrell Pigrome fumbled, forced by Abraham Beauplan, recovered by Marsh Tavante BeckettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13TD
9 plays · 37 yds · 1:3389% → 93%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
10.8%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
10.8%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Willie Johnson, broken up by Roger CraySimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+9
11.1%
Brenden Knox run for 9 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+1
11.7%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
10.5%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Talik KeatonSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+23
10.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Broc Thompson for 23 yds to the WKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
10.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Will Ulmer) to the WKent 9Similar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
6.8%
Brenden Knox run for 9 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
6.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr., broken up by Jaylon McClain-SappSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
6.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dayton Wade for 13 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
6.9%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
6.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
6.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jakairi Moses for no gain to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+8
6.6%
John Haggerty punt for 40 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 8 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
5.8%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-16
5.8%
Grant Wells sacked by Damon Lowe for a loss of 16 yards to the Marsh 19Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 20
OWN 19
+2
6.2%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 18
OWN 21
0
6.6%
Robert LeFevre punt for 54 yds, downed at the WKent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17FUMBLE TD
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:426% → 2%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
5.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dayton Wade for no gain to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
5.3%
PIGROME, T. pass incomplete to LANE, X., PENALTY MAR pass interference (MCCLAIN-SAPP, J) 15 yards to the WKU40, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
5.7%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+38
2.1%
Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 3 yards Jakairi Moses fumbled, recovered by Marsh Tavante Beckett , return for 38 yds (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
2.0%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the WKent 15Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
2.0%
Kevaris Thomas run for no gain to the WKent 15Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 9
OWN 15
0
2.0%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 9
OWN 15
+8
2.0%
John Haggerty punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 45 , Talik Keaton returns for 8 yds to the WKent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 5:2098% → 99%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
1.6%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the WKent 44Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+7
1.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 7 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+3
1.7%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
1.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Sheldon Evans for 2 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+7
1.6%
Sheldon Evans run for 7 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
1.7%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
1.6%
Sheldon Evans run for 12 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
1.6%
Grant Wells run for no gain to the WKent 11Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
1.6%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Xavier Gaines, broken up by Dominique BradshawSimilar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
1.6%
Sheldon Evans run for no gain to the WKent 11Similar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
1.0%
Shane Ciucci 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:221% → 1%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.6%
Jakairi Moses run for 7 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
0.6%
Jakairi Moses run for 11 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+51
0.7%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Xavier Lane for 51 yds to the Marsh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
0.7%
Kevaris Thomas run for 4 yds to the Marsh 2Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.1%
Kevaris Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
0.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Amir Richardson for 3 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
0.7%
Sheldon Evans run for no gain to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+13
0.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 13 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
0.7%
Sheldon Evans run for 1 yd to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+2
0.7%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+4
0.8%
Sheldon Evans run for 4 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q4 14:58
4TH & 3
OPP 26
0
0.8%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Amir RichardsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 47 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
0.4%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 10 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.4%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
0.4%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Dayton Wade for 3 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
0.4%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Dayton WadeSimilar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+13
0.4%
Kevaris Thomas run for 13 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
0.4%
Kevaris Thomas run for 4 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+13
0.4%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Xavier Lane for 13 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
0.5%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Dayton Wade, broken up by Derrek PittsSimilar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
0.4%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+2
0.4%
Kevaris Thomas run for 2 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 6
OPP 27
0
0.4%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Dayton Wade, broken up by Nazeeh JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 4:35100% → 100%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
0.2%
Brenden Knox run for 13 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
0.2%
Knowledge McDaniel run for 7 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+6
0.2%
Knowledge McDaniel run for 6 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
0.2%
Knowledge McDaniel run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+2
0.2%
Knowledge McDaniel run for 2 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+5
0.2%
Knowledge McDaniel run for 5 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
0.1%
Robert LeFevre punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 1:370% → 1%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
0.1%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
0.1%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+13
0.1%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 13 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
0.1%
Kevaris Thomas run for 5 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
0.1%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Dayton WadeSimilar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
0.1%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
Q4 0:45
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+8
0.1%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
50
+13
0.0%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Dayton Wade for 13 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.0%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr., broken up by Micah AbrahamSimilar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+11
0.0%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Dayton Wade for 11 yds to the Marsh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
0.6%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 26 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25Uncategorized
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
0.3%
Jamare Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:14
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)
-9
TD · Q1 2:21
Sheldon Evans run for 5 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)
-4.1
TD · Q2 0:27
Brenden Knox run for 9 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com