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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 31 at Florida International 28

FIU
2020 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2020 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:53 · Kyle Ulbrich punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Bryce Singleton at the FlaIn 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Pregame prior+5.1Home team on offense−0.7Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:53: Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 63 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +11.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:54: Nate Jefferson run for 7 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +15.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:28: Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 6 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +21.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:11: D'vonte Price run for 65 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +25.9 pts (now 70%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:20: Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 12 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +51.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9MTSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:09MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:08FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:53FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:52FIU 4th & 7 at MTSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    65.7%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:53MTSU 4th & 9 at MTSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:20FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:53MTSU 4th & 3 at FIU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00FIU 4th & 12 at FIU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−1.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:23MTSU 4th & 9 at MTSU 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:54MTSU 4th & 9 at MTSU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:35FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00MTSU 4th & 19 at MTSU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−4.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:34FIU 4th & 12 at FIU 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−5.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:55MTSU 4th & 6 at FIU 47, down 4
    Close callPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:42FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:31MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−1.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:52FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−3.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:09FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:57MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:09MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:53FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:54FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:28MTSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:11FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:20MTSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−1.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
58.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
58.0%
Chaton Mobley run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-22
58.0%
Asher O'Hara pass intercepted Josh Turner return for 22 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:4158% → 60%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
58.2%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+1
58.2%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+17
58.2%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 17 yds to the MTnSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.5%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.1%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-3
59.0%
Asher O'Hara sacked by Davon Strickland for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
59.2%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q1 12:09
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
59.3%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
59.6%
Kaylan Wiggins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+6
59.6%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
59.5%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
59.4%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 45 yds, downed at the MTnSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5INT
10 plays · 62 yds · 0:0040% → 41%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
60.0%
Chaton Mobley run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 12
OWN 21
0
60.0%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jimmy Marshall, broken up by Josh TurnerSimilar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 12
OWN 21
+28
60.2%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 28 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
59.5%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 9
50
+23
59.5%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Marquel Tinsley for 23 yds to the FLAINTL 27 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
59.2%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Marquel TinsleySimilar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
59.2%
Asher O'Hara run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+6
59.5%
Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
59.2%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 9
OPP 15
-33
59.2%
Asher O'Hara pass intercepted Rishard Dames return for 33 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
62.3%
Stone Norton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-8
62.0%
Stone Norton sacked by Richard Kinley for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 5:53
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+13
61.3%
Stone Norton pass complete to Nate Jefferson for 13 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 5:53
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
61.5%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:2038% → 45%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
62.1%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
62.2%
Asher O'Hara run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
61.9%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Frank Peasant for 3 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-3
61.8%
Asher O'Hara sacked by Rocky Jacques-Louis for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+13
62.5%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 13 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
61.6%
Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
61.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+1
61.2%
Frank Peasant run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+9
61.2%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 9 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
61.0%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jamichael Thompson for 20 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
60.9%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 15 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
60.9%
Jayy McDonald run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
55.1%
Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:0560% → 59%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
50
+2
60.1%
Stone Norton pass complete to D'vonte Price for 2 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
60.2%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+6
59.9%
Stone Norton pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 6 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
60.2%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-2
60.6%
Stone Norton sacked by Devyn Curtis and Jorden Starling for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+1
59.8%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
58.7%
Stone Norton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:3844% → 54%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
56.0%
Asher O'Hara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+19
56.4%
Asher O'Hara run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+44
54.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 44 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
53.8%
Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.6%
Asher O'Hara run for 1 yd for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 0:1648% → 59%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
48.3%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
59.2%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 63 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.7%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to CJ Windham, broken up by Jesson WalkerSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
56.9%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+2
57.8%
Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
58.4%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Bryce Singleton at the FlaIn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
58.7%
D'vonte Price run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+3
59.8%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+1
59.5%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
59.6%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
60.3%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
59.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:20
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
58.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Quincy Riley at the MTnSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 3:4245% → 51%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
55.0%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jayy McDonald for 4 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+7
54.5%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 7 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
53.8%
Asher O'Hara run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+10
52.8%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Marquel Tinsley for 10 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
52.4%
Asher O'Hara run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
51.6%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Marquel TinsleySimilar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
51.7%
O'HARA, Asher pass incomplete to WINDHAM, CJ (WALKER,J), PENALTY FIU offside (COLSON,R) 5 yards to the FIU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
51.2%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jayy McDonald for no gain to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+2
52.4%
Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
49.2%
Crews Holt 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:3853% → 54%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
52.5%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 15 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
54.6%
Kaylan Wiggins pass incomplete to JJ HollomanSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
53.2%
Kaylan Wiggins pass incomplete to JJ HollomanSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+11
52.3%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
54.5%
Kaylan Wiggins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
54.2%
Kaylan Wiggins pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 6 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-1
54.1%
Kaylan Wiggins sacked by Decorian Patterson for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 42 Kaylan Wiggins fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Shaun Peterson Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
51.9%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
52.1%
D'vonte Price run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+7
52.8%
Kaylan Wiggins pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 7 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
53.3%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+5
54.5%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside (Rakavian Poydras) to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+5
55.0%
D'vonte Price run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-7
55.4%
Kaylan Wiggins sacked by Jordan Ferguson and Johnathan Butler for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 44
+5
52.4%
Lexington Joseph run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
51.8%
Kaylan Wiggins pass incomplete to JJ HollomanSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
50.5%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Quincy Riley at the MTnSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0050% → 47%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
50.1%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 3Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 13
OWN 3
0
50.4%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 13
OWN 3
+4
51.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 4 yds to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 9
OWN 7
0
52.7%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 29 yds, downed at the MTnSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 2:0654% → 71%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
54.3%
Kaylan Wiggins pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 8 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+12
55.7%
D'vonte Price run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
55.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+10
55.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
70.6%
Nate Jefferson run for 7 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0034% → 32%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.0%
DJ England-Chisolm run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
66.1%
Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
67.3%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Marquel TinsleySimilar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+1
68.3%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 44 yds , Bryce Singleton returns for 1 yd to the FlaIn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
68.6%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
69.4%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 3
OWN 38
-3
69.1%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
66.7%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Reed Blankenship at the MTnSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:1534% → 61%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
66.2%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 7 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+4
64.0%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 4 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
65.2%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Marquel Tinsley, broken up by Josh TurnerSimilar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-3
65.7%
Asher O'Hara sacked by Tevin Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+31
67.8%
Asher O'Hara run for 31 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
61.5%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 10 yds to the FlaIn 27 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offensive holding (Jamichael Thompson) to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
61.5%
Asher O'Hara pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+20
61.6%
Chaton Mobley run for 20 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
59.7%
Chaton Mobley run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
38.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 6 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
70.4%
D'vonte Price run for 65 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 0:1133% → 30%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.9%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
67.0%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 9 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
65.9%
Chaton Mobley run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
67.3%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
69.0%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Marquel TinsleySimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 31
-5
69.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (Quincy Riley) to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 26
0
69.9%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 66 yds, downed at the FlaIn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0070% → 67%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
69.5%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-4
69.7%
Kaylan Wiggins sacked by Rakavian Poydras and Jordan Ferguson for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 12
OWN 6
0
67.7%
Kaylan Wiggins pass incomplete to Bryce Singleton, broken up by Teldrick RossSimilar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 12
OWN 6
0
66.8%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 45 yds, downed at the MTnSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0037% → 34%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
62.9%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Marquel Tinsley for 5 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-1
62.2%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
63.0%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin PierceSimilar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
66.5%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 43 yds, downed at the FlaIn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+10
70.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
70.7%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+2
70.6%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
69.0%
Kaylan Wiggins pass incomplete to JJ Holloman, broken up by Teldrick RossSimilar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
67.7%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 49 yds , Quincy Riley returns for no gain to the MTnSt 18 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the MTnSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0032% → 29%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
68.2%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
68.5%
Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
69.8%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Yusuf Ali, broken up by Richard DamesSimilar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
71.1%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 75 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0075% → 72%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
74.5%
Kaylan Wiggins pass incomplete to JJ HollomanSimilar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
74.2%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
73.2%
Kaylan Wiggins pass complete to Nate Jefferson for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
75.0%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+5
74.9%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
75.4%
Kaylan Wiggins pass incomplete to JJ Holloman, broken up by Kenneth MajorSimilar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 3
OWN 38
-5
73.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Jesson Walker) to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
72.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 26 yds, downed at the MTnSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 28TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:2832% → 90%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
67.8%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 17 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
64.7%
MCDONALD, Jayy rush for 35 yards to the FIU7 (ANDERSON,J), PENALTY MT holding (GREER, Marcus) 10 yards to the MT48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+13
69.0%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 13 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+7
64.6%
Asher O'Hara run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
62.8%
O'HARA, Asher pass incomplete to PIERCE, Jarrin, PENALTY FIU pass interference (DAMES,RISHARD) 10 yards to the FIU22, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
62.1%
Asher O'Hara run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+4
62.1%
Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+3
64.0%
Chaton Mobley run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
62.1%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
10.4%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 12 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 29INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:1930% → 27%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
29.6%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-2
30.4%
Kaylan Wiggins run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 26 Kaylan Wiggins fumbled,Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+10
24.4%
Kaylan Wiggins pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 10 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-34
26.6%
Kaylan Wiggins pass intercepted Gregory Grate Jr. return for 34 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
5.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:20
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 12 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)
-51.6
TD · Q3 0:11
D'vonte Price run for 65 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)
+25.9
TD · Q3 0:28
Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 6 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)
-21.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com