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CLT

Charlotte 49 at North Texas 21

UNT
2020 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2020 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:16 · Connor Bowler punt for 56 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 15 yds to the NoTex 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Home team on offense−3.7Score differential−1.4Garbage-time factor−1.2Pregame prior−7.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:21: Tre Harbison III run for 11 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +8.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:47: Chavon McEachern run for 1 yd for a TD CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Ty'kieast Crawford) to the NoTex 8 (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +12.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:54: Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 43 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +8.5 pts (now 24%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:10: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 15 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +10.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:06: Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 9 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +13.2 pts (now 18%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9CLT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:56UNT 4th & 7 at CLT 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:56CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:42UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:53UNT 4th & 1 at CLT 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.3%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    40.8%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−5.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:16CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:51UNT 4th & 5 at CLT 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    32.7%−6.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:21UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:15CLT 4th & 15 at CLT 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:54CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−1.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:11UNT 4th & 15 at UNT 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:09UNT 4th & 14 at CLT 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−3.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:09CLT 4th & 22 at CLT 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:31UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 26, up 21
    Close callPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:51UNT 4th & 3 at CLT 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 4:34CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:06CLT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:16UNT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:21CLT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:47CLT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:54UNT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:10CLT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:06UNT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:08CLT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:51CLT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 4:0440% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.2%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
40.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 11 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
40.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
40.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+30
40.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 30 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
40.2%
Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+9
40.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 9 yds to the Charl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
40.2%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the Charl 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+2
40.2%
Austin Aune run for 2 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
40.2%
Austin Aune run for no gain to the Charl 15Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
41.8%
Ethan Mooney 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
41.4%
Micaleous Elder run for 1 yd to the Charl 21Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
41.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Micaleous Elder, broken up by Quinn WhitlockSimilar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-5
41.6%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Charl 16Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+10
41.6%
Dom Shoffner run for 10 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+5
41.7%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, roughing the kicker (5 Yards) to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
41.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
41.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 3 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+1
41.5%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
41.7%
Connor Bowler punt for 55 yds, downed at the NoTex 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
42.3%
Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the NoTex 14Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
42.4%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
42.0%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:42
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
41.8%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 2:2958% → 62%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
41.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
41.8%
Tre Harbison III run for 2 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+23
41.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 23 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
41.3%
Aaron McAllister run for 8 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+18
38.2%
Dom Shoffner pass complete to Chris Reynolds for 18 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 71 yds · 2:4140% → 41%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.5%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+37
39.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 37 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
40.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 8 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+3
41.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
41.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 14 yds to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
41.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the Charl 7Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+2
41.2%
Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+1
40.7%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the Charl 4Similar
Q1 1:53
4TH & 1
OPP 4
0
40.5%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the Charl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6TD
5 plays · 96 yds · 2:4160% → 68%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
39.7%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-2 Yards) to the Charl 2Similar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 12
OWN 2
+2
39.7%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+1
39.7%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the Charl 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+24
40.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 24 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
32.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Aaron McAllister for 71 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5034% → 42%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 6 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
34.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 5 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
34.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+16
34.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 16 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
35.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 19 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
42.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 28 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
39.0%
Tre Harbison III run for 3 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+6
39.0%
Tre Harbison III run for 6 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+2
38.5%
Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
38.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+1
38.1%
Chavon McEachern run for 1 yd to the Charl 34Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
38.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+15
38.9%
Connor Bowler punt for 56 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 15 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9MISSED FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:5639% → 39%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
38.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 6 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
39.4%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
38.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 5 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+45
39.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 45 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
42.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 5 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
42.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for no gain to the Charl 14Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
40.9%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden, broken up by Antone WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:51
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
38.8%
Ethan Mooney 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:3063% → 75%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+46
36.8%
Aaron McAllister run for 46 yds to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+21
34.2%
Calvin Camp run for 21 yds to the NoTex 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
34.2%
Tre Harbison III run for 6 yds to the NoTex 7Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-4
34.2%
Tre Harbison III run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 11Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+11
25.2%
Tre Harbison III run for 11 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0027% → 28%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
27.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 3 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
27.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
27.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
27.5%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 43 yds, downed at the Charl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 1:3976% → 76%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
24.4%
Tre Harbison III run for 8 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+11
24.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 11 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
23.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 12 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
22.9%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
22.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-5
22.8%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Davontae McCrae for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 49Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 15
OWN 49
0
23.7%
Connor Bowler punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
24.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 8 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1377% → 91%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
23.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 5 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Davontae McCrae) to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
22.0%
Tre Harbison III run for no gain to the Charl 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
22.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 5 yds Micaleous Elder fumbled, recovered by Charl Micaleous ElderSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+12
22.1%
Dom Shoffner run for 12 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
21.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron Dollar, broken up by Upton StoutSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+36
21.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 36 yds to the NoTex 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.9%
Chavon McEachern run for 1 yd for a TD CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Ty'kieast Crawford) to the NoTex 8 (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 0:5314% → 24%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
14.1%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+16
13.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 16 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
15.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 6 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+43
23.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 43 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
20.3%
Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+10
20.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 10 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
20.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
20.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 4 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+3
20.2%
Tre Harbison III run for 3 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 1
OWN 37
-5
20.5%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
21.0%
Connor Bowler punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
18.5%
Austin Aune sacked by Romeo McKnight and B.J. Turner for a loss of 10 yards to the NoTex 15Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
18.2%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Deonte SimpsonSimilar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+5
17.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the NoTex 20Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
17.9%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Deonte SimpsonSimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
17.9%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 54 yds, downed at the Charl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 2:0584% → 96%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
15.6%
Tre Harbison III run for 8 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+5
15.4%
Victor Tucker run for 5 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+46
14.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 46 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
3.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 15 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19MISSED FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:016% → 6%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
6.1%
Tre Siggers run for 6 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+50
6.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 50 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
7.0%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden, broken up by Nafees LyonSimilar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
6.7%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the Charl 22Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 9
OPP 22
-5
6.5%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 27Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 14
OPP 27
0
6.3%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 14
OPP 27
+44
5.7%
Ethan Mooney 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · -12 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
2.7%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Charl 22Similar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 15
OWN 22
-5
2.7%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (D'Mitri Emmanuel) to the Charl 17Similar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 20
OWN 17
+10
2.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 10 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-13
2.7%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tyler Ringwood) to the Charl 14Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 23
OWN 14
-4
2.8%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 11 Aaron McAllister fumbled, recovered by Charl Aaron McAllisterSimilar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 26
OWN 11
+4
2.8%
Tre Harbison III run for 4 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 22
OWN 15
0
3.0%
Connor Bowler punt for 51 yds , Deonte Simpson returns for no gain to the NoTex 15 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the NoTex 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
4.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
4.7%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jason PirtleSimilar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
4.6%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 7
OWN 27
+3
4.6%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 57 yds , Nafees Lyon returns for 3 yds to the Charl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
2.2%
Tre Harbison III run for 4 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
2.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Dom ShoffnerSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+3
2.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Aaron McAllister for 3 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 26
+9
2.4%
Connor Bowler punt for 32 yds , Deonte Simpson returns for 9 yds to the Charl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23TD
11 plays · 49 yds · 1:334% → 18%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
3.9%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden, broken up by Shedrick UrserySimilar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
3.9%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+5
3.8%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive offside (Siah Sa'o) to the Charl 44Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
4.0%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 5
OPP 44
+5
3.5%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Tyler Murray) to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
3.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 3 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
3.8%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:16
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+22
3.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 22 yds to the Charl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
4.3%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Charl 9Similar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 5
OPP 9
+9
17.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 9 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5894% → 99%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
5.7%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 23Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+11
5.7%
Aaron McAllister run for 11 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+66
1.4%
Aaron McAllister run for 66 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25INT
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
2.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Lance McMillan) to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-32
3.0%
Austin Aune pass intercepted Ben DeLuca return for 32 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 26TD
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:5699% → 100%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
1.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Rico Arnold for 15 yds to the NoTex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
0.3%
Calvin Camp run for 14 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 27DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
0.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 12 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
0.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 12 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
0.3%
Austin Aune sacked by Damon Weldon and Romeo McKnight for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 45Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 14
OWN 45
+15
0.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 15 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
0.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 7 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
0.4%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
0.4%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 3
OPP 33
0
0.3%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 28END OF GAME
12 plays · 31 yds · 5:50100% → 100%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
0.3%
Chavon McEachern run for 3 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+4
0.3%
Dom Shoffner run for 4 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+5
0.2%
Chavon McEachern run for 5 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
0.2%
Dom Shoffner run for 6 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+7
0.2%
Chavon McEachern run for 7 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
0.2%
Chavon McEachern run for 2 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+5
0.2%
Calvin Camp run for 5 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+5
0.2%
Calvin Camp run for 5 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
0.2%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 32Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 12
OPP 32
-2
0.2%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 34Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 14
OPP 34
-2
0.2%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:06
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 9 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)
+13.2
TD · Q3 11:47
Chavon McEachern run for 1 yd for a TD CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Ty'kieast Crawford) to the NoTex 8 (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-12.9
TD · Q3 4:10
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 15 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com