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FIU

Florida International 34 at Liberty 36

LIB
2020 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2020 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:40 · TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:37: Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 14 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +9.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:02: D'vonte Price run for 65 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +14.5 pts (now 31%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:42: Stone Norton pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 45 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +22.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:27: Joshua Mack run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — LIB win probability +18.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:30: Stone Norton pass complete to D'vonte Price for 6 yds for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Liber 13 (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — FIU win probability +26.9 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:11FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:04LIB 4th & 10 at FIU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:35FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.2%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:39FIU 4th & 21 at LIB 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−1.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:14LIB 4th & 13 at FIU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    62.1%−5.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:26LIB 4th & 5 at FIU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    59.0%−8.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:00FIU 4th & 24 at FIU 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−3.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:35LIB 4th & 3 at FIU 3, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.2%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−11.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:55LIB 4th & 1 at LIB 34, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    53.5%−2.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:44FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 46, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:32LIB 4th & 7 at FIU 9, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    68.1%−15.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:11LIB 4th & 14 at LIB 42, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−5.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:32FIU 4th & 12 at FIU 23, down 2
    Close callWent for it · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:40LIB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:20LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:16FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:37LIB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:02FIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:42FIU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:27LIB Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    74.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:30FIU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.1 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    32.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    31.5%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 2TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0575% → 75%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+39
74.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 24 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-9
74.6%
Malik Willis sacked by Davon Strickland for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 19
OPP 45
+7
74.4%
Joshua Mack run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+14
74.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 14 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
74.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 24 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2426% → 26%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
74.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to JJ HollomanSimilar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
74.3%
D'vonte Price run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-8
74.1%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Durrell Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+21
74.3%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the LIBERTY 28 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Liber 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4TD
12 plays · 57 yds · 5:4574% → 77%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
74.4%
Peytton Pickett run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+7
74.5%
Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
74.4%
Willis, Malik pass pass intended for Shaa, Kevin intercepted by Dames, Richard at the FLAINTL25, Dames, Richard return 0 yards to the FLAINTL25, PENALTY FLAINTL pass interference 15 yards to the FLAINTL27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY.Similar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
74.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 2 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+8
74.4%
Peytton Pickett run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
74.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 6 yds to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+3
74.2%
Malik Willis run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+3
73.8%
Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-7
74.0%
Malik Willis run for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+10
73.8%
Willis, Malik pass incomplete to Shaa, Kevin, PENALTY FLAINTL pass interference 10 yards to the FLAINTL2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY.Similar
Q1 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
73.8%
Peytton Pickett run for no gain to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.5%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:4924% → 30%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
75.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to JJ Holloman for 11 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
75.5%
D'vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+9
75.3%
D'vonte Price run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
75.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+19
75.1%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Ralfs Rusins) to the Liber 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
74.7%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+5
74.1%
D'vonte Price run for 5 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+30
70.3%
D'vonte Price run for 30 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:0872% → 71%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
72.1%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+3
72.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 3 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+12
71.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 12 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
72.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 3 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
72.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Chris Barrett for no gain to the Liber 45Similar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
72.8%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Joshua MackSimilar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
72.7%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Jaivian LoftonSimilar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
71.9%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
71.0%
Aidan Alves punt for 28 yds, downed at the FlaIn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
15 plays · 39 yds · 6:1630% → 32%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
70.4%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
69.7%
Kaylan Wiggins pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
70.1%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+7
70.7%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
69.3%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
69.3%
D'vonte Price run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
68.1%
Kaylan Wiggins pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 5 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
67.6%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+17
67.0%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 17 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
66.2%
Joseph, Lexington rush for 1 yard to the LIBERTY29, PENALTY FLAINTL illegal formation 5 yards to the LIBERTY35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 15
OPP 35
-10
66.6%
Wiggins, Kaylan pass incomplete to Joseph, Lexington, PENALTY FLAINTL holding 10 yards to the LIBERTY45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 25
OPP 45
+4
67.1%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 4 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 21
OPP 41
0
66.4%
Kaylan Wiggins pass incomplete to JJ Holloman, broken up by Emanuel DabneySimilar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 21
OPP 41
0
67.0%
Kaylan Wiggins pass incomplete FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 21
OPP 41
0
68.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 40 yds, downed at the Liber 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8MISSED FG
14 plays · 82 yds · 6:2170% → 67%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
69.5%
Peytton Pickett run for no gain to the Liber 1Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+5
69.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Liber 6Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 5
OWN 6
-1
69.1%
Peytton Pickett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 5Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+12
68.0%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 12 yds to the Liber 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
69.2%
Malik Willis run for 15 yds to the Liber 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
69.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Peytton Pickett for 6 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+3
70.8%
Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
70.1%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
70.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 13 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+30
71.2%
Joshua Mack run for 30 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
71.7%
Joshua Mack run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 2
OPP 6
-2
71.4%
Malik Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 8
-9
70.4%
DJ Stubbs sacked by Alexy Jean-Baptiste for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 13
OPP 17
+36
67.2%
Alex Barbir 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9END OF HALF
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:4136% → 36%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
64.5%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
63.8%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+14
63.6%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10FG
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:1968% → 72%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
67.6%
Joshua Mack run for 10 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+51
70.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 36 yds to the LIBERTY 29 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
70.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 4 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+1
70.8%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
69.4%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
71.7%
Alex Barbir 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 1:2630% → 28%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
69.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 15
OWN 19
0
70.0%
Stone Norton pass incomplete to JJ HollomanSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 15
OWN 19
-3
70.3%
Stone Norton run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 18
OWN 16
-6
71.2%
Stone Norton sacked by Tre'Shaun Clark for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 24
OWN 10
0
72.1%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 51 yds, downed at the Liber 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:2272% → 86%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
71.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Liber 44Similar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 5
OWN 44
+3
73.0%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 2
OWN 47
-3
73.1%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 44Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+29
72.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 29 yds to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
76.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 9 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+4
76.1%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
85.7%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 14 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 79 yds · 0:2816% → 31%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
84.0%
Stone Norton pass complete to JJ Holloman for 14 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
69.5%
D'vonte Price run for 65 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:2572% → 79%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
72.1%
Peytton Pickett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 24Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
71.7%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 6 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+25
71.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 25 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
75.0%
Peytton Pickett run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
76.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 5
OPP 14
+22
76.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 15 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Roughing Passer (7 Yards) to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
76.2%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
76.0%
Malik Willis run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
74.6%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q3 4:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
79.3%
Alex Barbir 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4822% → 48%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.9%
Stone Norton pass incomplete to JJ Holloman, broken up by Emanuel DabneySimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.2%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
78.5%
Stone Norton pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 12 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
76.3%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+8
76.5%
Stone Norton pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 1
50
+5
75.0%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
52.5%
Stone Norton pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 45 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0858% → 83%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
57.9%
Malik Willis sacked by Tevin Jones for a loss of 11 yards to the Liber 14 Malik Willis fumbled, recovered by LiberSimilar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+7
57.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Joshua Mack for 7 yds to the Liber 21Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+13
55.1%
Malik Willis run for 13 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+33
55.9%
Joshua Mack run for 33 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
64.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 9 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+4
64.5%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
64.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kevin Oliver) to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 5
OPP 15
+8
64.4%
Malik Willis run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
64.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 5 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.7%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:4123% → 22%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.0%
D'vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
76.1%
Stone Norton pass complete to Lexington Joseph for no gain to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
77.3%
Norton, Stone pass incomplete to Holloman, JJ, PENALTY LIBERTY pass interference (Megginson, Chris) 15 yards to the FLAINTL45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLAINTL.Similar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
74.3%
Stone Norton pass incomplete to JJ HollomanSimilar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
75.7%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-2
75.5%
Stone Norton sacked by Tre'Shaun Clark and Durrell Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
78.3%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18FG
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:0880% → 91%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
79.8%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-5
79.6%
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 13Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+8
79.4%
Peytton Pickett run for 8 yds to the Liber 21Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+67
79.8%
Malik Willis run for 67 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
85.4%
Malik Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+4
87.2%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+1
87.1%
Malik Willis run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
90.6%
Alex Barbir 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:5516% → 43%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
83.9%
D'vonte Price run for no gain to the Liber 33Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+22
84.7%
Stone Norton pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 22 yds to the Liber 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
83.7%
Stone Norton pass complete to Nate Jefferson for 5 yds to the Liber 6Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+6
56.9%
Stone Norton pass complete to D'vonte Price for 6 yds for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Liber 13 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 2:0974% → 77%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
74.0%
Chris Ferguson run for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 17 Chris Ferguson fumbled, recovered by LiberSimilar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+6
77.0%
Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the Liber 23Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+23
75.4%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 23 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
81.1%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Liber 47Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
81.1%
Joshua Mack run for no gain to the Liber 47Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
79.0%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q4 2:19
4TH & 9
OWN 47
-5
78.1%
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 42Similar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 14
OWN 42
0
77.0%
Aidan Alves punt for 33 yds, downed at the FlaIn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · -22 yds · 0:2821% → 18%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
78.7%
Stone Norton pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 8 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 2
OWN 23
-10
77.3%
Stone Norton sacked by Durrell Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaIn 23 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
80.7%
Stone Norton pass incomplete to Sterling PalmerSimilar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-20
81.6%
Stone Norton sacked by Jayod Sanders for a loss of 20 yards to the FlaIn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 22Uncategorized
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:3591% → 93%
Q4 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
90.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
93.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:30
Stone Norton pass complete to D'vonte Price for 6 yds for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Liber 13 (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-26.9
TD · Q3 1:42
Stone Norton pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 45 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)
-22.5
TD · Q4 12:27
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+18.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com