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UTC

Chattanooga 10 at Western Kentucky 13

WKU
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadUTC aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreUTC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:44 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 9:35: Victor Ulmo 22 yd FG GOOD — UTC win probability +8.0 pts (now 50%) (top driver: UTC has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:22: Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Chatt 38 — UTC win probability +7.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: UTC has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:06: Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Chatt 16 — UTC win probability +7.9 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UTC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:29: Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the Chatt 47 — WKU win probability +7.9 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 1:21: Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +54.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UTC made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 4:06WKU 4th & 8 at UTC 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−1.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:06UTC 4th & 7 at UTC 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:33WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 37, down 4
    Close callPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UTC 4th & 2 at WKU 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    23.5%−0.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UTC 4th & 2 at WKU 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    23.9%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:24WKU 4th & 3 at UTC 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    68.7%−0.6
    66% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−5.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00WKU 4th & 18 at WKU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−3.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:08UTC 4th & 5 at UTC 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:35UTC 4th & 5 at WKU 5, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−10.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:57WKU 4th & 13 at UTC 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−3.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    34.9%−12.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:57UTC 4th & 2 at UTC 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.9%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:57UTC 4th & 11 at UTC 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−2.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00WKU 4th & 9 at UTC 34, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.5%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    50.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:22UTC 4th & 17 at WKU 36, up 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.4 ptsWent for it · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.7%−3.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    55.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:06WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−2.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:06UTC 4th & 11 at UTC 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−6.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:29WKU 4th & 1 at UTC 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    30.5%−9.8
    25% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−9.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:21WKU 4th & 4 at UTC 4, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    27.1%−11.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−27.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:21UTC 4th & 15 at UTC 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.7%
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UTC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:44UTC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 1:21WKU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−2.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTCDrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:1618% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.2%
Drayton Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.2%
Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
82.2%
Drayton Arnold run for 12 yds to the Chatt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
82.2%
Ailym Ford run for 6 yds to the Chatt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+7
82.2%
Ailym Ford run for 7 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
82.2%
Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+5
82.2%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to Chris James for 5 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+3
82.2%
Drayton Arnold run for 3 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
82.2%
Tyrell Price run for 2 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+12
82.2%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 12 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
82.2%
Ailym Ford run for 13 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
82.2%
Drayton Arnold run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 14 Drayton Arnold fumbled,Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+4
82.2%
Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
77.6%
Drayton Arnold run for 10 yds for a TD, (Victor Ulmo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:3878% → 78%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
78.3%
Kevaris Thomas run for no gain to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+38
78.3%
Gaej Walker run for 38 yds to the Chatt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
79.0%
Gaej Walker run for 10 yds to the Chatt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
79.0%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the Chatt 13Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-2
79.0%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 15Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+1
78.7%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Joshua Simon for 1 yd to the Chatt 14Similar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+32
77.9%
Brayden Narveson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.5%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Bryce NunnellySimilar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.6%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 8 yds to the Chatt 33Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
77.4%
Drayton Arnold sacked by Juwuan Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the Chatt 28Similar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
78.0%
Gabe Boring punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Tinsley at the WKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
76.8%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
77.2%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Xavier Lane for 4 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-2
77.3%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 37Similar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
76.5%
John Haggerty punt for 53 yds, downed at the Chatt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 5DOWNS
16 plays · 69 yds · 0:3024% → 25%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
75.8%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 4 yds to the Chatt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+8
75.5%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 8 yds to the Chatt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
75.4%
Ailym Ford run for 7 yds to the Chatt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+9
75.0%
Drayton Arnold run for 9 yds to the Chatt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
74.8%
Ailym Ford run for 9 yds to the Chatt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
74.5%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete, broken up by Dominique BradshawSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-5
74.8%
Tyrell Price rush for 2 yards to the UTC49 (MALONE, D.), PENALTY UTC false start (Colin Truett) 5 yards to the UTC42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+16
74.9%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to Reginald Henderson for 16 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
74.5%
Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+2
74.5%
Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+4
74.7%
Drayton Arnold run for 4 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+5
75.3%
Ailym Ford run for 5 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
74.0%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Bryce Nunnelly, broken up by Omari AlexanderSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
74.2%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Reginald HendersonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+8
74.7%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to Reginald Henderson for 8 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 21
0
75.1%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Reginald HendersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6FUMBLE
23 plays · 59 yds · 7:3971% → 66%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
70.6%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 3 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
70.7%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+9
69.7%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Xavier Lane for 9 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
70.9%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+10
72.0%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 10 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
72.5%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
72.3%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Gaej Walker for 11 yds to the Chatt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
72.9%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 7 yds to the Chatt 35Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+1
73.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 11 yds to the Chatt 24 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (Craig Burt Jr.) to the Chatt 34Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+2
71.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the Chatt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
71.0%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
70.9%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+7
69.5%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Xavier Lane for 7 yds to the Chatt 25Similar
Q2 3:24
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+5
68.5%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 5 yds to the Chatt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
70.6%
Mitchell Tinsley run for 5 yds to the Chatt 15Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+1
70.6%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the Chatt 14Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+4
66.9%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Xavier Lane for 4 yds to the Chatt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-8
68.6%
Craig Burt Jr. run for a loss of 8 yards to the Chatt 18Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
-8
66.2%
Kevaris Thomas run for a loss of 8 yards to the Chatt 20 Kevaris Thomas fumbled, forced by Jay Person, recovered by Chatt Ty BoeckSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 7END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
63.1%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Reginald Henderson, broken up by Beanie BishopSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
63.5%
Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Chatt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0066% → 63%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
65.5%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
64.9%
Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for no gain to the WKent 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 30
-7
63.9%
Kevaris Thomas sacked by Jay Person for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 23
0
63.2%
John Haggerty punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Chatt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
60.1%
Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Chatt 43Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
60.1%
Drayton Arnold run for no gain to the Chatt 43Similar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+4
61.4%
Drayton Arnold run for 4 yds to the Chatt 47Similar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
62.3%
Gabe Boring punt for 41 yds , Dionté Ruffin returns for no gain to the WKent 9 Dionté Ruffin fumbled, recovered by Chatt Jerrell LawsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 10FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1944% → 50%
Q3 10:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
56.2%
Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
56.2%
Ailym Ford run for no gain to the WKent 5Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
57.6%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Reginald Henderson, broken up by Dionté RuffinSimilar
Q3 9:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
49.7%
Victor Ulmo 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 4:3855% → 54%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
55.0%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+11
56.3%
Gaej Walker run for 11 yds to the Chatt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
56.7%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the Chatt 34Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
58.3%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the Chatt 34Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+23
56.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 23 yds to the Chatt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-10
58.3%
MOSES, J. rush for 8 yards to the UTC3 (Jerrell Lawson), PENALTY WKU holding (WITT, T.) 10 yards to the UTC21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 20
OPP 21
0
57.6%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 20
OPP 21
+7
57.2%
Kevaris Thomas run for 7 yds to the Chatt 14Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 13
OPP 14
0
55.3%
Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Xavier Lane, broken up by Jay PersonSimilar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 13
OPP 14
+32
53.9%
Brayden Narveson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 21 yds · 0:0046% → 44%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.7%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 5 yds to the Chatt 30Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
52.6%
Ailym Ford run for 5 yds to the Chatt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
52.7%
Drayton Arnold run for no gain to the Chatt 35Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
53.3%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense (Jeremy Darvin) to the Chatt 40Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
50.9%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Tyron ArnettSimilar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+3
51.6%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to Chris James for 3 yds to the Chatt 43 CHATTANOOGA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+4
53.5%
Drayton Arnold run for 4 yds to the Chatt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
50.6%
Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 47Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-1
50.8%
Drayton Arnold run for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 46Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 11
OWN 46
0
53.2%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Reginald HendersonSimilar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
55.6%
Gabe Boring punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 39 yds · 0:1250% → 50%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+38
49.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 38 yds to the Chatt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
56.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
56.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 3 yds to the Chatt 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 32
-2
53.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
49.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0058% → 55%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
42.4%
Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Chatt 38Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
40.5%
Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 41Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+3
40.8%
Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
40.3%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 2 yds to the Chatt 46Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+25
40.3%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 25 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
37.6%
Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-10
37.6%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Bryce Nunnelly (MEADOWS, T.), PENALTY UTC holding (Harrison Moon) 10 yards to the WKU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 18
OPP 37
+1
40.5%
Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 17
OPP 36
0
42.7%
Ailym Ford run for no gain to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 17
OPP 36
0
45.3%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Chris JamesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0044% → 39%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
43.6%
Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
42.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
40.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q4 8:06
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
39.2%
John Haggerty punt for 53 yds, downed at the Chatt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0069% → 65%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
31.3%
Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Chatt 16Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+3
31.5%
Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 19Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 3
OWN 19
-8
32.8%
Drayton Arnold sacked by Eli Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the Chatt 11 CHATTANOOGA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 7:06
4TH & 11
OWN 11
0
34.9%
Gabe Boring punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17TD
15 plays · 54 yds · 4:0843% → 91%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
42.7%
Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the Chatt 47Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+1
44.9%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the Chatt 46Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
43.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 1 yd to the Chatt 45Similar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+4
41.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 4 yds to the Chatt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+28
44.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 28 yds to the Chatt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
47.2%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the Chatt 12Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+6
47.2%
PIGROME, T. pass incomplete to TINSLEY, M., PENALTY UTC roughing passer (Jay Person) 6 yards to the UTC6, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
47.2%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the Chatt 2Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
40.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 3Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
36.6%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 4Similar
Q4 1:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
90.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
86.6%
CHATTANOOGA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-13 Yards) to the Chatt 12Similar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 23
OWN 12
0
87.0%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Kanore McKinnonSimilar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+8
87.2%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 8 yds to the Chatt 20Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
87.9%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Kanore McKinnonSimilar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
88.4%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Bryce Nunnelly, broken up by Omari AlexanderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19Uncategorized
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
95.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:21
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)
+54.6
FG · Q3 9:35
Victor Ulmo 22 yd FG GOOD
-8
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:06
Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Chatt 16
-7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com