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CLEM

Clemson 25 at LSU 42

LSU
2019 · CFP National Championship · Jan 13, 2020 · Caesars Superdome
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:56 · Will Spiers punt for 38 yds , Derek Stingley Jr. returns for 9 yds to the LSU 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 40Home team on offense−2.4Pregame prior+10.3Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:17: Joe Burrow run for 3 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +8.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 5:19: Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 14 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +8.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:10: Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 6 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +10.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:49: Travis Etienne run for 3 yds for a TD (Trevor Lawrence pass to Amari Rodgers for Two-Point Conversion) — CLEM win probability +16.0 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q3 5:13: Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 4 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +12.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9CLEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:46CLEM 4th & 23 at LSU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    36.8%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:25LSU 4th & 14 at LSU 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:38CLEM 4th & 5 at LSU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    37.2%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:39LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:42LSU 4th & 13 at LSU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:56CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:43CLEM 4th & 3 at LSU 35, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.8%−0.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:10LSU 4th & 3 at CLEM 48, down 3
    Close callPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:22CLEM 4th & 9 at LSU 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:38CLEM 4th & 12 at CLEM 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:26LSU 4th & 11 at LSU 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:12LSU 4th & 2 at LSU 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:39CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−2.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:36CLEM 4th & 16 at CLEM 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−2.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:40LSU 4th & 4 at CLEM 27, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.4%−0.6
    62% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−5.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:50CLEM 4th & 12 at CLEM 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−2.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:10CLEM 4th & 26 at CLEM 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:46LSU 4th & 20 at LSU 38, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:10LSU 4th & 3 at CLEM 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CLEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:34CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:20LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:38CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:17LSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:19LSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:10LSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:49CLEM Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    32.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    32.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:13LSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:08LSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:0437% → 37%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 19 lat. to Travis Etienne for no gain to the Clem 19Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+35
62.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 35 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
62.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 19 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
62.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 3 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-1
62.3%
Lyn-J Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 25Similar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 8
OPP 25
-10
62.3%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Grant Delpit for a loss of 10 yards to the LSU 35Similar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 18
OPP 35
-5
62.6%
CLEMSON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 11:46
4TH & 23
OPP 40
0
62.6%
Will Spiers punt for 33 yds, downed at the LSU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:0563% → 62%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
62.5%
Burrow, Joe pass complete to Moss, Thaddeus for 38 yards to the LSU45, PENALTY LSU ineligible downfield on pass (Magee, Adrian) 3 yards to the LSU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 13
OWN 4
0
62.5%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Thaddeus Moss, broken up by Isaiah SimmonsSimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 13
OWN 4
0
62.4%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Ja'Marr ChaseSimilar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 13
OWN 4
-1
62.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 3Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 14
OWN 3
0
62.1%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 39 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for no gain to the LSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4038% → 38%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
61.9%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
61.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
61.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q1 9:38
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
62.2%
Will Spiers punt for 33 yds, downed at the LSU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5262% → 62%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
62.4%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 2Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 12
OWN 2
+9
62.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 9 yds to the LSU 11Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 3
OWN 11
0
61.9%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 3
OWN 11
0
61.7%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 56 yds, downed at the Clem 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:5239% → 42%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+27
61.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Braden Galloway for 42 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Illegal Block (Tee Higgins) to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
61.5%
Trevor Lawrence run for 9 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+25
61.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 19 yds to the LSU 12 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (Siaki Ika) to the LSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
60.9%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the LSU 1Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.0%
Trevor Lawrence run for 1 yd for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:4659% → 58%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 2 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
58.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 15 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
59.3%
Joe Burrow sacked by Justin Foster for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 39Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 13
OWN 39
0
58.5%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Clyde Edwards-HelaireSimilar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 13
OWN 39
0
58.1%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Ja'Marr ChaseSimilar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
57.6%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:3842% → 42%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
57.8%
Lawrence, Trevor pass incomplete to Higgins, Tee, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Fulton, Kristian) 15 yards to the CLEMSON40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
57.0%
Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
56.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
56.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 4
OWN 46
-5
57.4%
CLEMSON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Clem 41Similar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+9
57.8%
Will Spiers punt for 38 yds , Derek Stingley Jr. returns for 9 yds to the LSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:2858% → 63%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
57.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 7 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+3
58.4%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 3 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
58.2%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 8 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+52
63.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 52 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:2739% → 41%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
61.2%
Travis Etienne run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 21Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+8
61.3%
Trevor Lawrence run for 8 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q1 0:48
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+18
61.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Braden Galloway for 18 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
59.8%
Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q1 0:11
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+5
59.3%
Trevor Lawrence run for 5 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
59.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 5 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 14:32
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
59.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+2
59.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Lyn-J Dixon for 2 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+52
58.6%
B.T. Potter 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:2559% → 60%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
59.4%
Joe Burrow run for 20 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
60.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 7 yds to the Clem 48Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 3
OPP 48
0
61.3%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Thaddeus Moss, broken up by Isaiah SimmonsSimilar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
60.8%
Joe Burrow pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
59.8%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 44 yds, downed at the Clem 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11TD
4 plays · 96 yds · 1:2441% → 50%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+24
58.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 24 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+29
58.2%
Travis Etienne run for 29 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
56.7%
Travis Etienne run for 7 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+36
50.0%
Tee Higgins run for 36 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:1550% → 60%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
50.1%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 16 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+56
50.4%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 56 yds to the Clem 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
52.1%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for no gain to the Clem 3Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
52.9%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Ja'Marr ChaseSimilar
Q2 9:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
59.7%
Joe Burrow run for 3 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:4743% → 44%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.3%
Travis Etienne run for no gain to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+27
56.7%
Travis Etienne run for 12 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Grant Delpit) to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
54.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
54.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 1 yd to the LSU 47Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
54.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
56.0%
Will Spiers punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Derek Stingley Jr. at the LSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 87 yds · 1:5956% → 68%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
55.6%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+10
55.5%
Joe Burrow run for 10 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+22
55.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 22 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+23
57.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 23 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
59.4%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 18 yds to the Clem 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
68.1%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 14 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:3634% → 33%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
65.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 14 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
64.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-2
64.5%
Travis Etienne run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
66.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
67.2%
Will Spiers punt for 58 yds, downed at the LSU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16TD
14 plays · 95 yds · 3:2166% → 79%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+25
65.7%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 25 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-9
66.6%
Joe Burrow sacked by Tyler Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the LSU 21Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 19
OWN 21
0
65.9%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr.Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 19
OWN 21
+15
64.9%
Burrow, Joe pass incomplete to Marshall Jr., Terrace, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Kendrick, Derion) 15 yards to the LSU36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU, QB hurry by TEAM, QB hit by TEAM.Similar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
67.1%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 15 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
68.9%
Joe Burrow run for 2 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+3
69.0%
Joe Burrow run for 3 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+9
68.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 9 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
69.7%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr., broken up by James SkalskiSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
69.5%
Joe Burrow pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+29
68.2%
Joe Burrow run for 29 yds to the Clem 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
78.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 6 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
77.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2978% → 77%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.8%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Thaddeus MossSimilar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 6 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-7
77.6%
Joe Burrow sacked by James Skalski for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 24Similar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+26
76.6%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 41 yds, downed at the CLEMSON 35 LSU Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Jontre Kirklin) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:2124% → 41%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
50
+2
75.8%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+12
76.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 12 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+22
74.8%
Trevor Lawrence run for 7 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (K'Lavon Chaisson) to the LSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
74.9%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the LSU 9Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+6
75.1%
Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the LSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
59.0%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds for a TD (Trevor Lawrence pass to Amari Rodgers for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2865% → 65%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
65.3%
Joe Burrow sacked by Isaiah Simmons for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 20Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+13
65.4%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 13 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
66.1%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire, broken up by Nolan TurnerSimilar
Q3 9:12
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
64.8%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:2536% → 34%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
64.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 11 yds to the Clem 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
63.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Joe Ngata, broken up by Kristian FultonSimilar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
64.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 3 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
64.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q3 7:39
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
66.3%
Will Spiers punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Derek Stingley Jr. at the LSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:1967% → 83%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
66.5%
Joe Burrow run for 10 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
68.2%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Ja'Marr ChaseSimilar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-5
67.1%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LSU 37Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+4
66.2%
Joe Burrow run for 4 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+43
65.5%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 43 yds to the Clem 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+12
70.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 7 yds to the Clem 9 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (James Skalski) to the Clem 4 for a 1ST down, James Skalski ejected for targetingSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
82.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 4 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:3020% → 18%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.0%
Trevor Lawrence run for 6 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
79.7%
Lawrence, Trevor pass pass intercepted by Fulton, Kristian at the CLEMSON47, Fulton, Kristian return 0 yards to the CLEMSON47, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Fulton, Kristian) 14 yards to the CLEMSON45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
79.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
79.5%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Tremayne Anchrum) to the Clem 40Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 15
OWN 40
-1
80.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 39Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 16
OWN 39
0
81.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Joe NgataSimilar
Q3 3:36
4TH & 16
OWN 39
+8
82.5%
Will Spiers punt for 37 yds , Derek Stingley Jr. returns for 8 yds to the LSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 24MISSED FG
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:4582% → 85%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+35
82.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 35 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
83.9%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Ja'Marr ChaseSimilar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
83.9%
Joe Burrow run for 3 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+3
84.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 3 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q3 1:40
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+45
84.5%
Cade York 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4316% → 14%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
83.6%
Travis Etienne run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 25Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 12
OWN 25
0
84.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 12
OWN 25
0
85.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 12
OWN 25
0
86.0%
Will Spiers punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Justin Jefferson at the LSU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:3486% → 97%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
86.4%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 5 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+15
87.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 15 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-15
87.3%
LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (Adrian Magee) to the LSU 48Similar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
87.1%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for no gain to the LSU 48Similar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+13
86.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 13 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
87.5%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 8 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+6
88.2%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 6 yds to the Clem 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
88.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 1 yd to the Clem 24Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+24
96.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 24 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 1:455% → 4%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
95.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+12
95.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 12 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
95.4%
Lawrence, Trevor pass incomplete to Rodgers, Amari, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Vincent Jr., Kary) 10 yards to the LSU48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
95.3%
Lawrence, Trevor pass complete to Higgins, Tee for 48 yards to the LSU0, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Higgins, Tee) 15 yards to the CLEMSON37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 25
OWN 37
0
95.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 25
OWN 37
-1
96.0%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Patrick Queen and Glen Logan for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 36Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 26
OWN 36
0
96.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 26
OWN 36
0
96.3%
Will Spiers punt for 54 yds, downed at the LSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 28PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 5:1696% → 98%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
96.4%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 8 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+2
96.6%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 2 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
96.9%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 16 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.2%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 5 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
97.4%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 7 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
97.6%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Adrian Magee) to the LSU 43Similar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 15
OWN 43
0
97.7%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Ja'Marr ChaseSimilar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 15
OWN 43
-3
97.9%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 40Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 18
OWN 40
-2
97.9%
Joe Burrow sacked by Jake Venables for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 38Similar
Q4 4:46
4TH & 20
OWN 38
0
98.1%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 47 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for no gain to the Clem 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 29FUMBLE
3 plays · 33 yds · 0:442% → 2%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
97.8%
Trevor Lawrence run for 12 yds to the Clem 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+21
97.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 21 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
97.7%
Trevor Lawrence run for 12 yds to the LSU 45 Trevor Lawrence fumbled, forced by Grant Delpit, recovered by LSU Derek Stingley Jr. , return for 5 yds to the LSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 30END OF 4TH QUARTER
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:1699% → 99%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
98.5%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 21 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
98.7%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 4 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+3
98.7%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 3 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
99.0%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+14
98.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 14 yds to the Clem 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
99.1%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 9 yds to the Clem 4Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 1
OPP 4
-2
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 6Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 3
OPP 6
-1
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:49
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds for a TD (Trevor Lawrence pass to Amari Rodgers for Two-Point Conversion)
-16
TD · Q3 5:13
Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 4 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)
+12.1
TD · Q2 0:10
Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 6 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)
+10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com