Try the model
UL

Louisiana 27 at Miami (OH) 17

M-OH
2019 · LendingTree Bowl · Jan 6, 2020 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:32 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:25: Jaylon Bester 5 Yd Run (Sam Sloman Kick) — M-OH win probability +5.5 pts (now 32%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:05: Elijah Mitchell 2 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +8.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:51: Ja'Marcus Bradley 9 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +7.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:26: Ja'Marcus Bradley 12 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +9.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:35: Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +16.1 pts (now 28%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 11:10M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:33UL 4th & 10 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:43M-OH 4th & 14 at UL 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:01UL 4th & 13 at UL 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:32UL 4th & 12 at M-OH 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    54.2%−5.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:07M-OH 4th & 12 at M-OH 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−1.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:18M-OH 4th & 13 at UL 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−5.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:45UL 4th & 2 at UL 36, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:35UL 4th & 5 at M-OH 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    78.9%−6.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:07M-OH 4th & 1 at UL 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−5.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−10.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:44UL 4th & 1 at UL 33, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:58M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 10:25M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:05UL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:51UL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:26UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:35M-OH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:3514% → 15%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
13.7%
Jaylon Bester run for no gain to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
13.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 9 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
14.2%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
14.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
14.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 5 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+1
15.1%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
15.4%
Kyle Kramer punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:2685% → 82%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
15.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 7 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+7
15.5%
Raymond Calais run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
15.8%
Raymond Calais run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
16.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+27
16.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 27 yds Ja'Marcus Bradley fumbled, forced by Jackson Williamson, recovered by LaLaf Jarrod Jackson , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
50
+8
16.0%
Levi Lewis run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
16.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
16.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-4
16.8%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Max Mitchell) to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 5
OPP 45
-5
17.1%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 10
50
0
17.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 46 yds, downed at the MiaOh 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:4218% → 20%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+15
17.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 15 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
18.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 15 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
18.3%
Maurice Thomas run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
19.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
19.7%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Kris Moncrief for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 15
OPP 49
0
19.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Davion JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 15
OPP 49
+1
19.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 14
OPP 48
0
19.5%
Kyle Kramer punt for 46 yds, downed at the LaLaf 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 40 yds · 2:3180% → 79%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+43
19.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Calif Gossett for 43 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
19.1%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-8
19.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 37 lat. to Raymond Calais for a loss of 8 yards to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q1 0:44
3RD & 18
OWN 37
+5
20.7%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 13
OWN 42
+14
21.3%
Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds , Maurice Thomas returns for 14 yds to the MIAMIOH 44 LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:3522% → 32%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
21.8%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-5
22.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (Danny Godlevske) to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+26
21.6%
Tyre Shelton run for 26 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
23.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 8 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+2
24.1%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-8
24.6%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Joe Dillon for a loss of 8 yards to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 18
OPP 39
+7
24.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to James Maye for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+13
24.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 13 yds to the LaLaf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
26.1%
Jaylon Bester run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+9
26.5%
Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (Chauncey Manac) to the LaLaf 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
32.0%
Jaylon Bester 5 Yd Run (Sam Sloman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 3:4470% → 70%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
29.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 8 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
29.4%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+18
30.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 18 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
29.4%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
30.1%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Shane Vallot) to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+4
31.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Raymond Calais for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 11
50
+36
31.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Calif Gossett for 36 yds to the MiaOh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
29.7%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+2
30.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Raymond Calais for 2 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 7
OPP 11
-5
31.9%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Peter LeBlanc) to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 12
OPP 16
0
32.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+33
29.7%
Stevie Artigue 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:1831% → 31%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
30.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Tyre Shelton for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 13
OWN 20
-1
30.9%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 14
OWN 19
+2
30.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 2 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q2 4:07
4TH & 12
OWN 21
+12
30.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 48 yds , Eric Garror returns for 12 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 2:5270% → 80%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
30.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 1 yd to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+19
30.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 19 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
30.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 2 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+12
30.4%
Levi Lewis run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+19
29.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 19 yds to the MiaOh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
29.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
20.5%
Elijah Mitchell 2 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9END OF HALF
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:5425% → 26%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
25.0%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
25.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
26.1%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:0375% → 84%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
25.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+13
24.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 13 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
24.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+2
23.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
24.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 20 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
23.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 7 yds to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+6
23.6%
Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
23.9%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
24.1%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Kevin Dotson) to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
16.2%
Ja'Marcus Bradley 9 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 5:2017% → 22%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
17.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cam Blakely for 15 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
17.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 13 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
18.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 3 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+18
19.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 18 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
20.4%
Brett Gabbert run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+1
20.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 1 yd to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+6
19.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 6 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-6
20.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 16
OPP 24
+3
19.0%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 13
OPP 21
0
17.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Nick MansonSimilar
Q3 5:18
4TH & 13
OPP 21
+39
22.3%
Sam Sloman 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 2:3380% → 92%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
20.5%
Levi Lewis run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
19.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
19.2%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+27
19.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 27 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+22
17.4%
Raymond Calais run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Doug Costin) to the MiaOh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
17.5%
Levi Lewis run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
17.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Raymond CalaisSimilar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+12
8.1%
Ja'Marcus Bradley 12 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13TD
15 plays · 77 yds · 5:3710% → 28%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
10.4%
Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+18
10.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 18 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
11.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
12.2%
Jaylon Bester run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
12.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
11.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q3 0:06
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+14
11.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 14 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
12.7%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+10
12.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 10 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
12.7%
Jaylon Bester run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+4
12.3%
Tyre Shelton run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+3
11.9%
Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
12.3%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3781% → 83%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
18.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Calif GossettSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
19.6%
Raymond Calais run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+6
19.3%
Levi Lewis run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
17.3%
Rhys Byrns punt for 44 yds, downed at the MiaOh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 28 yds · 2:1321% → 24%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
21.2%
Jaylon Bester run for no gain to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+18
21.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 18 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
22.9%
Tyre Shelton run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 2
OWN 46
0
24.9%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
24.2%
Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 48 Jaylon Bester fumbled, forced by Percy Butler, recovered by LaLaf Ja'Quane NelsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16FG
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:4386% → 91%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
13.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
13.5%
Levi Lewis run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
12.8%
Levi Lewis run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+3
11.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+1
10.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 1 yd to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 1
OPP 17
-4
12.6%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Spencer Gardner) to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+38
9.1%
Stevie Artigue 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17FUMBLE
8 plays · 56 yds · 1:189% → 8%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
9.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
9.0%
Gabbert, Brett pass pass intercepted by Butler, Percy at the MIAMIOH46, Butler, Percy return 18 yards to the MIAMIOH28, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE pass interference (Boudreaux, Jacques) 15 yards to the MIAMIOH35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMIOH.Similar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+63
9.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to James Maye for 63 yds to the LaLaf 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
14.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andrew HomerSimilar
Q4 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
13.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson, broken up by Kam PedescleauxSimilar
Q4 3:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
12.1%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q4 3:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-23
8.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 23 yards to the LaLaf 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Jaylon BesterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:1893% → 95%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
7.1%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
6.7%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+4
6.3%
Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
5.2%
Rhys Byrns punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Maurice Thomas at the MiaOh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:394% → 3%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
3.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to James Maye for 4 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+4
3.8%
Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
3.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andrew Homer, broken up by Cameron SolomonSimilar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 2
OWN 27
-6
3.0%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Kris Moncrief and Zi'Yon Hill for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:2397% → 96%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
3.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 12
OPP 23
-1
3.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 13
OPP 24
-2
3.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:35
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)
+16.1
TD · Q3 2:26
Ja'Marcus Bradley 12 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Stevie Artigue Kick)
-9.4
TD · Q2 1:05
Elijah Mitchell 2 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)
-8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com