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OHIO

Ohio 30 at Nevada 21

NEV
2019 · Famous Idaho Potato Bowl · Jan 3, 2020 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-3.3NEV 19.9%Louie Zervos 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 20 - HOME 6 · Q2 2:17
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:17 · Louie Zervos 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Home team on offense−15.0Pregame prior−13.3Score differential−7.3Garbage-time factor−3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:28: Julian Ross run for 12 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +4.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:21: Nathan Rourke run for 35 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +7.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:26: De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +8.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:48: Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 8 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton PAT BLOCKED) — NEV win probability +9.3 pts (now 13%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:42: Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — NEV win probability +13.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 8 of 9OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 12:26NEV 4th & 6 at OHIO 34, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.1%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    28.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:00OHIO 4th & 3 at NEV 12, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.7%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    67.2%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:15NEV 4th & 3 at NEV 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55OHIO 4th & 1 at NEV 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    66.5%−0.7
    70% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:28OHIO 4th & 1 at NEV 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    65.3%−0.9
    86% to make
    Punt
    62.4%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:21NEV 4th & 9 at OHIO 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:19NEV 4th & 22 at NEV 8, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:17OHIO 4th & 7 at NEV 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00NEV 4th & 11 at OHIO 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−3.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:00OHIO 4th & 6 at NEV 9, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    71.6%−5.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:00NEV 4th & 9 at NEV 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:00NEV 4th & 1 at OHIO 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.5
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−2.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:12OHIO 4th & 10 at NEV 43, up 9
    Close callPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    86.5%−0.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:05NEV 4th & 1 at OHIO 39, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%−3.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−3.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:45OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 34, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%−1.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:47NEV 4th & 9 at OHIO 9, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.1%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    8.9%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−4.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 12:28OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:21OHIO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:26OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:48NEV Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:42NEV Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    16.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    16.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1FG
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:2627% → 29%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
27.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 18 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+24
27.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 24 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
27.8%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Ohio 38Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
28.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 4 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
28.4%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Brendan O'Leary-OrangeSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+51
28.5%
Brandon Talton 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 5:1071% → 70%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
28.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+18
29.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 18 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
29.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+6
29.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
29.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 14 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
29.8%
Nathan Rourke run for 10 yds to the Nevad 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
30.0%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan LuehrmanSimilar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-1
30.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 20Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+8
30.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 8 yds to the Nevad 12Similar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+29
30.2%
Louie Zervos 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3931% → 31%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Melquan StovallSimilar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
30.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 6 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
31.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 1 yd to the Nevad 32Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+5
31.1%
Quinton Conaway punt for 44 yds , DL Knock returns for 5 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
15 plays · 71 yds · 7:3769% → 72%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
31.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
31.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan LuehrmanSimilar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+12
31.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to DL Knock for 12 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
31.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the Ohio 46Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+10
31.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 10 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
31.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+6
31.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
31.2%
Julian Ross run for 3 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+5
31.3%
Julian Ross run for 5 yds to the Nevad 24Similar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+1
32.0%
Julian Ross run for 1 yd to the Nevad 23Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+2
32.7%
Julian Ross run for 2 yds to the Nevad 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
31.8%
Julian Ross run for no gain to the Nevad 21Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+9
32.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 9 yds to the Nevad 12Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 1
OPP 12
0
32.7%
Julian Ross run for no gain to the Nevad 12Similar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+12
28.1%
Julian Ross run for 12 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:4629% → 34%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
29.1%
Devonte Lee run for 4 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+23
29.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 23 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
30.7%
Carson Strong sacked by Kylen McCracken for a loss of 10 yards to the Nevad 39Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 20
OWN 39
+18
29.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 18 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+6
31.3%
Devonte Lee run for 6 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
31.1%
Toa Taua run for 17 yds to the Ohio 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
32.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 5 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 5
OPP 15
-15
32.3%
NEVADA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Aaron Frost) to the Ohio 30Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 20
OPP 30
+11
30.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 11 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
30.5%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Justin LockhartSimilar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
33.7%
Brandon Talton 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 0:4568% → 76%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+38
32.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 38 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
30.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+35
23.8%
Nathan Rourke run for 35 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:4724% → 23%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
24.4%
Toa Taua pass complete to Melquan Stovall for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 19Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+2
24.2%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 21Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-13
23.3%
Carson Strong sacked by Jack McCrory for a loss of 13 yards to the Nevad 8Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 22
OWN 8
+14
22.6%
Quinton Conaway punt for 42 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 14 yds to the Nevad 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8FG
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:5476% → 80%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
23.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 17 yds to the Nevad 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
23.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 21Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 12
OPP 21
0
23.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 12
OPP 21
+5
23.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Nevad 16Similar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
19.9%
Louie Zervos 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9END OF HALF
17 plays · 67 yds · 2:0520% → 23%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
20.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 2 yds to the Nevad 19Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+15
20.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 15 yds to the Nevad 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
20.2%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Brendan O'Leary-OrangeSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+21
20.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 21 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
21.7%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Toa TauaSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
21.7%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Kelton MooreSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+13
21.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 13 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
21.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 17 yds to the Ohio 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
21.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 6 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
21.2%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Toa TauaSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 4
OPP 9
-7
20.1%
Carson Strong sacked by Javon Hagan for a loss of 7 yards to the Ohio 16Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+33
22.5%
Brandon Talton 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10FG
10 plays · 66 yds · 3:5077% → 84%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
23.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 19 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
22.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 14 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
21.7%
Julian Ross run for no gain to the Nevad 42Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
21.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler WaltonSimilar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+29
21.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 16 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, Personal Foul (Christian D - Swint) to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
20.7%
Julian Ross run for 6 yds to the Nevad 7Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-2
20.6%
Julian Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 9Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
20.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan LuehrmanSimilar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
16.4%
Louie Zervos 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11FUMBLE
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:0318% → 17%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
17.5%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
17.4%
Toa Taua run for 8 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
16.9%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Nevad 36Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-3
16.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 33Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+15
15.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 15 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
17.3%
Carson Strong run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line Carson Strong fumbled, forced by Austin Conrad, recovered by Ohio Keye Thompson , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:3488% → 97%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
50
+27
12.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 27 yds to the Nevad 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
11.7%
Tyler Walton run for 1 yd to the Nevad 22Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+15
11.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 15 yds to the Nevad 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
11.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Nevad 2Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:186% → 5%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
5.6%
Strong, Carson pass incomplete to Lockhart, Justin, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (Brooks, Marlin) 15 yards to the NEVADA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEVADA.Similar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
5.9%
Strong, Carson pass complete to Putman, Ben for 11 yards to the OHIO49, PENALTY NEVADA pass interference (O'Leary-Orange, Brendan) 15 yards to the NEVADA25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 25
OWN 25
0
5.3%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Melquan StovallSimilar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 25
OWN 25
+16
5.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 16 yds to the Nevad 41Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
5.4%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Melquan StovallSimilar
Q3 4:00
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+3
5.2%
Quinton Conaway punt for 53 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 3 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14FUMBLE
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:3997% → 98%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
3.3%
NEVADA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jayce Godley) to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
3.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Julian Ross for 14 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
3.0%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to DL KnockSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+18
2.9%
Nathan Rourke run for 18 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
2.8%
Julian Ross run for 4 yds to the Nevad 40Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+8
2.0%
Julian Ross run for 8 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
1.9%
Julian Ross run for 5 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+6
1.8%
Nathan Rourke run for 6 yds to the Nevad 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
1.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Shane HooksSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
1.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 6 yds to the Nevad 15Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 4
OPP 15
-7
1.7%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 7 yards to the Nevad 22 Nathan Rourke fumbled, recovered by Nevad Sam HammondSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 3:223% → 13%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+22
3.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 22 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
3.4%
OHIO Penalty, Substitution Infraction (TEAM) to the Nevad 49Similar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 5
OWN 49
0
3.6%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+12
3.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 12 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
3.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 12 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
3.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 6 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 4
OPP 21
0
3.5%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Ben PutmanSimilar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+3
3.3%
Devonte Lee run for 3 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+5
3.3%
Devonte Lee run for 5 yds to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
3.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Henry Ikahihifo for 5 yds to the Ohio 8Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
12.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 8 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0495% → 95%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
5.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 7 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
4.9%
Julian Ross run for 4 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
4.7%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Dom Peterson for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 21 Nathan Rourke fumbled, forced by Dom Peterson, recovered by Nevad Sam Hammond , return for 0 yards , return for 5 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:389% → 22%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+19
9.1%
Toa Taua run for 19 yds to the Ohio 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
9.0%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Ohio 1Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
22.2%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:2385% → 87%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
14.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 32 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
12.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the Nevad 42Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
11.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 9
OPP 42
-1
12.4%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 43Similar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
12.6%
Michael Farkas punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19FUMBLE
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:5513% → 17%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
13.4%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Ben PutmanSimilar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
12.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 10 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
13.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 22 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
16.0%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
14.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 1 yd to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+8
14.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 8 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 4:05
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+7
13.4%
Devonte Lee run for 7 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+26
17.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 26 yds to the Ohio 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-19
17.1%
Devonte Lee run for a loss of 19 yards to the Ohio 25 Devonte Lee fumbled, forced by Austin Conrad, recovered by Ohio Marcus ColemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:2190% → 93%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
9.6%
Julian Ross run for 3 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
8.3%
Julian Ross run for 5 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
7.6%
Julian Ross run for 1 yd to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+9
7.3%
Michael Farkas punt for 42 yds , Ben Putman returns for 9 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 58 yds · 0:525% → 5%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
4.7%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+16
4.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 16 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+42
5.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 42 yds to the Ohio 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
6.9%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q4 1:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
6.6%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Brendan O'Leary-OrangeSimilar
Q4 1:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
5.7%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q4 1:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
0
4.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Brendan O'Leary-OrangeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22Uncategorized
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:4095% → 95%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
5.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 8Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 11
OWN 8
-1
5.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 7Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 7
-1
4.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:42
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+13.2
TD · Q4 10:48
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 8 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton PAT BLOCKED)
+9.3
TD · Q3 5:26
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)
-8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com