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IU

Indiana 22 at Tennessee 23

TENN
2019 · TaxSlayer Gator Bowl · Jan 2, 2020 · EverBank Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:29: Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd for a TD (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +13.6 pts (now 53%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:26: Jarrett Guarantano pass intercepted for a TD Jamar Johnson return for 63 yds for a TD — IU win probability +17.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 10:27: Logan Justus 30 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +8.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:21: Quavaris Crouch run for 1 yd for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +22.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 3:51: Eric Gray run for 16 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +36.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:14TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:29TENN 4th & 2 at IU 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    60.9%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:53IU 4th & 5 at IU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49TENN 4th & 3 at IU 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.8%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    58.5%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:21TENN 4th & 12 at IU 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−1.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−5.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:44IU 4th & 12 at IU 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−2.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:46IU 4th & 1 at TENN 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    34.2%−1.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−3.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:11TENN 4th & 6 at IU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    21.8%−8.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:01IU 4th & 13 at TENN 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−2.0
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    64.9%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:21TENN 4th & 11 at TENN 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−2.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:27IU 4th & 6 at TENN 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−10.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:50TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:06IU 4th & 8 at IU 26, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:12IU 4th & 8 at TENN 34, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−7.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−11.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:55TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 38, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−4.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:18IU 4th & 10 at TENN 45, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 8.7 ptsWent for it · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%−8.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    27.7%
    25% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−9.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2IU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 9:29IU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 4:21TENN Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:51TENN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.5%−1.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:4162% → 62%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
61.9%
Chandler, Ty rush for 6 yards to the TENNESSEE31, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding (Carvin, Jerome) 10 yards to the TENNESSEE15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
61.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Tyler Byrd for 5 yds to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+9
61.9%
Ty Chandler run for 9 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
61.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 2 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+3
61.8%
Paxton Brooks punt for 42 yds , Whop Philyor returns for 3 yds to the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:5138% → 38%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
61.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 8 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 2
OWN 38
-2
61.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 36Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+15
61.8%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Philyor, Whop, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Warrior, Nigel) 15 yards to the TENNESSEE49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
61.5%
Sampson James run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 49Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
61.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Shawn Shamburger return for no gain to the Tenn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3DOWNS
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:3662% → 62%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+46
62.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 46 yds to the Ind 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
62.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 2 yds to the Ind 5Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
62.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q1 10:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
62.4%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 3 yds to the Ind 2Similar
Q1 9:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
62.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:2838% → 38%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
61.8%
Sampson James run for 6 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+15
61.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 15 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
61.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 5 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
61.3%
Sampson James run for 4 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 1
OWN 32
-5
61.2%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Matt Bjorson) to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+1
61.6%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 5:53
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
61.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 45 yds, downed at the Tenn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 5:5662% → 63%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
61.6%
Chandler, Ty rush for 1 yard to the TENNESSEE28, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding (Tillman, Cedric) 10 yards to the TENNESSEE17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 20
OWN 17
+13
61.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 13 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+1
61.6%
Tim Jordan run for 1 yd to the Tenn 31Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+14
61.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 14 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
62.4%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 44Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+22
61.9%
Eric Gray run for 22 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
63.1%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
63.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+19
62.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 19 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
63.3%
Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 6
0
63.4%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the Ind 6Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
62.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Eric GraySimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+23
62.8%
Brent Cimaglia 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 2:3437% → 37%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
62.7%
INDIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Ind 20Similar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
62.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Ind 21Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
63.0%
Peyton Ramsey run for 6 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
63.4%
Ramsey, Peyton pass sacked for loss of 8 yards to the INDIANA19 (Taylor, Darrell), PENALTY TENNESSEE offside (Middleton, Darel) 5 yards to the INDIANA32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
62.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
62.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to David EllisSimilar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
62.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-10
63.4%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Shawn Shamburger for a loss of 10 yards to the Ind 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 6:0563% → 69%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
62.8%
Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
64.0%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
64.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
63.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 9 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+5
64.3%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
64.8%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+11
64.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 11 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
66.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 4 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
66.3%
Tim Jordan run for 3 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+5
65.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 5 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
66.5%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 15Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 12
OPP 15
0
66.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-AndersonSimilar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
65.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Princeton FantSimilar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+32
68.6%
Brent Cimaglia 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2934% → 32%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
66.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-3
67.6%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Matthew Butler for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 23Similar
Q2 3:44
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
68.5%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:1270% → 71%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
70.2%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
71.3%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
70.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass intercepted Micah McFadden return for 3 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10END OF HALF
14 plays · 36 yds · 2:1636% → 37%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
63.8%
Sampson James run for 1 yd to the Tenn 41Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+3
63.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 3 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+5
66.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Miles Marshall for 5 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+2
67.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 2 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
65.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ronnie Walker Jr. for 2 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
64.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+10
66.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 10 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
64.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 13 yds to the Tenn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
64.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
62.7%
Logan Justus 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
17 plays · 69 yds · 5:1837% → 53%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
63.1%
Sampson James run for 5 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+7
61.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 7 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
61.3%
Sampson James run for 1 yd to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+4
61.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 4 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+16
61.0%
Peyton Ramsey run for 16 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
60.4%
Ramsey, Peyton pass complete to Hendershot, Peyton for no gain to the TENNESSEE36, PENALTY INDIANA holding (Philyor, Whop) 10 yards to the TENNESSEE46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+19
61.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 19 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+4
58.9%
Sampson James run for 4 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
58.8%
Sampson James run for 2 yds to the Tenn 21Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+7
58.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 7 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+5
60.0%
Ramsey, Peyton rush for no gain to the TENNESSEE14, PENALTY TENNESSEE offside (Garland, Kurott) 5 yards to the TENNESSEE9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q3 10:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
58.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Tenn 5Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
60.2%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Matthew Bedford) to the Tenn 10Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
60.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for 9 yds to the Tenn 1Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.6%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12INT TD
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:2456% → 39%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
55.8%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+63
38.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass intercepted for a TD Jamar Johnson return for 63 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:0335% → 42%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
35.4%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 24Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
34.9%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Tenn 24Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+17
32.9%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Josh Palmer for 17 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
36.1%
Eric Gray run for 17 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
35.5%
Brian Maurer run for 8 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+4
37.4%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
36.8%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
36.6%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
34.2%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
42.1%
Brent Cimaglia 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:0163% → 71%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
36.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+27
36.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
50
+2
32.2%
Ahrod Lloyd run for 2 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+20
32.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Miles Marshall for 20 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
30.7%
Sampson James run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 14
OPP 32
+5
30.8%
Ramsey, Peyton pass complete to Fryfogle, Ty for 11 yards to the TENNESSEE21, PENALTY TENNESSEE offside (Solomon, Aubrey) 5 yards to the TENNESSEE27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-4
30.2%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Roman Harrison for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 13
OPP 31
0
31.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ronnie Walker Jr.Similar
Q3 1:01
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+49
28.9%
Logan Justus 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3028% → 24%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.5%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
27.5%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-6
26.4%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Jerome Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 24Similar
Q4 14:21
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
24.0%
Paxton Brooks punt for 23 yds, downed at the Tenn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:4175% → 92%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
24.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 20 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
23.8%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+9
22.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 9 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-7
20.0%
Whop Philyor run for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 23Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 17
OPP 23
+2
19.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 2 yds to the Tenn 21Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 15
OPP 21
+9
16.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ronnie Walker Jr. for 9 yds to the Tenn 12Similar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+30
7.8%
Logan Justus 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2917% → 13%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.1%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-1
14.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Tim Jordan for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 26Similar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-7
12.6%
Paxton Brooks punt for 43 yds , Whop Philyor returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3394% → 95%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
6.3%
Sampson James run for 5 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-3
5.8%
Sampson James run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 26Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
5.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q4 7:06
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
5.5%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 56 yds, downed at the Tenn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 2:3710% → 36%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
10.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eric Gray for 11 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+23
10.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eric Gray for 23 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+22
11.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 22 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
14.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 8 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+5
14.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 5 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
14.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
14.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+6
12.0%
Guarantano, Jarrett pass incomplete to Jennings, Jauan, PENALTY INDIANA holding (Johnson, Jamar) 6 yards to the INDIANA7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q4 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
14.1%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Ind 3Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
13.5%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.5%
Quavaris Crouch run for 1 yd for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 0:1937% → 75%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+38
36.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 23 yds to the TENNESSEE 31 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Reakwon Jones) to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
38.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
75.0%
Eric Gray run for 16 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21MISSED FG
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:3337% → 36%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
63.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 39 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
56.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-9
56.8%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Darrell Taylor for a loss of 9 yards to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 19
OPP 45
+6
62.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for 5 yds to the Tenn 34 Sampson JamesSimilar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+52
64.0%
Logan Justus 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:1373% → 78%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
73.4%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+3
73.3%
Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+5
78.1%
Jauan Jennings run for 5 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 1
OWN 43
-5
79.6%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Riley Locklear) to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
78.1%
Paxton Brooks punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:3029% → 27%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+24
71.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 24 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
66.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 12 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
61.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ronnie Walker Jr.Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
63.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
66.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
73.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
95.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:51
Eric Gray run for 16 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
+36.8
TD · Q4 4:21
Quavaris Crouch run for 1 yd for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
+22
TD · Q3 8:26
Jarrett Guarantano pass intercepted for a TD Jamar Johnson return for 63 yds for a TD
-17.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com