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BC

Boston College 6 at Cincinnati 38

CIN
2019 · TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl · Jan 2, 2020 · Legion Field
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.6CIN 73.8%Sam Crosa 32 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 10 · Q2 8:20
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:20 · Sam Crosa 32 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Home team on offense+5.5Pregame prior+13.0Score differential+0.8Garbage-time factor+1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:26: Desmond Ridder run for 13 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK) — CIN win probability +3.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:05: Desmond Ridder run for 14 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK) — CIN win probability +8.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:02: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 8 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK) Ryan Jones kickoff for 60 yds (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CIN win probability +4.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. MISSED FG · Q3 4:56: Cole Smith 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mike Palmer Brandon Sebastian return for 67 yds for a TD — BC win probability +3.3 pts (now 6%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:56: Timeout CINCINNATI, clock 04:56 — BC win probability +3.8 pts (now 10%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6BC made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 14:09BC 4th & 9 at BC 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:24CIN 4th & 11 at CIN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:47BC 4th & 21 at BC 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:55CIN 4th & 9 at CIN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:11BC 4th & 3 at BC 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:51BC 4th & 14 at CIN 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:20CIN 4th & 15 at BC 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−3.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:51BC 4th & 9 at BC 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:37BC 4th & 7 at BC 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−1.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:55BC 4th & 10 at BC 35, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:56CIN 4th & 8 at BC 26, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:31CIN 4th & 3 at BC 22, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−3.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:58BC 4th & 9 at BC 26, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:52BC 4th & 8 at CIN 38, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:05CIN 4th & 5 at BC 11, up 25
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 1:26CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:05CIN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:02CIN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:06CIN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:39CIN Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4430% → 30%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
70.2%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to David BaileySimilar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
70.1%
David Bailey run for 1 yd to the BC 22Similar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
70.1%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q1 14:09
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
70.1%
Grant Carlson punt for 33 yds, downed at the Cincy 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2570% → 70%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
70.1%
Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the Cincy 46Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-2
70.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 44Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
69.9%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
69.7%
James Smith punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:1430% → 30%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.7%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
69.7%
Ben Glines run for 9 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
69.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BC 26Similar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 20
OWN 26
-9
69.5%
Dennis Grosel run for a loss of 9 yards to the BC 17 Dennis Grosel fumbled, recovered by BC Dennis GroselSimilar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 29
OWN 17
-3
69.5%
Zay Flowers run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 14Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 32
OWN 14
+11
69.6%
Dennis Grosel run for 11 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 21
OWN 25
0
69.7%
Grant Carlson punt for 39 yds, downed at the Cincy 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:4570% → 69%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
69.6%
Desmond Ridder run for 10 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
69.6%
Michael Warren II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 45Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+2
69.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
69.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
68.9%
James Smith punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Travis Levy at the BC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:2931% → 32%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
68.8%
David Bailey run for 11 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
68.7%
David Bailey run for 10 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
68.6%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
68.4%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the BC 35Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+3
68.5%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 3 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
68.5%
Grant Carlson punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:2968% → 73%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
68.4%
Michael Warren II run for 9 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+9
68.9%
Desmond Ridder run for 9 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
68.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for no gain to the Cincy 39Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
68.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+17
68.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 17 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
69.3%
Michael Warren II run for 11 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
69.6%
Michael Warren II run for 10 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
69.7%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+6
69.6%
Gerrid Doaks run for 6 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
73.2%
Desmond Ridder run for 13 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7MISSED FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 1:0929% → 28%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
71.3%
Dennis Grosel run for 1 yd to the BC 42Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+40
71.3%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Hunter Long for 40 yds to the Cincy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-4
69.9%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 22Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 14
OPP 22
0
70.6%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Danny DaltonSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 14
OPP 22
0
71.5%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+40
72.5%
Aaron Boumerhi 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 6:2372% → 74%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
72.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 15 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
73.0%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 41Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
73.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 4 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+2
73.2%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
73.8%
Michael Warren II run for 7 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 3
OPP 46
0
74.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+5
73.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 5 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
74.2%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+8
74.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 8 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
74.5%
Gerrid Doaks run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 30Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 12
OPP 30
0
74.5%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+22
73.5%
Desmond Ridder run for 22 yds to the BC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
74.8%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
74.9%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q2 8:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-9
74.4%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Mike Ciaffoni for a loss of 9 yards to the BC 15Similar
Q2 8:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
73.8%
Sam Crosa 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:4925% → 24%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.3%
David Bailey run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
75.5%
David Bailey run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
76.2%
Dennis Grosel sacked by Ethan Tucky for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 19 Dennis Grosel fumbled, recovered by Cincy Bryan Wright , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:0677% → 85%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
76.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BC 14Similar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 5
OPP 14
+14
85.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 14 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5517% → 16%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.4%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-3
83.2%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 26Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
83.9%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:51
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
84.1%
Grant Carlson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:5886% → 87%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+32
85.8%
Tre Tucker run for 32 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
86.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 9 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
86.7%
Michael Warren II run for no gain to the BC 31Similar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
86.6%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-13
87.3%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Vinny DePalma for a loss of 13 yards to the BC 42 CINCINNATI Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the BC 42Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 23
OPP 42
-2
87.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 44Similar
Q2 2:29
4TH & 33
OWN 48
0
86.1%
James Smith punt for 48 yds, downed at the BC 4Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 25
OPP 44
-8
86.9%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Marcus Valdez and Joseph Sparacio for a loss of 8 yards to the Cincy 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 1:2914% → 14%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
86.4%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 2Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 12
OWN 2
+30
86.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 30 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
85.5%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-13
86.1%
Dennis Grosel sacked by Jabari Taylor for a loss of 13 yards to the BC 19Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 23
OWN 19
+16
86.2%
Dennis Grosel run for 16 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+3
86.0%
Grant Carlson punt for 49 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 3 yds to the Cincy 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
87.8%
Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the Cincy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:3687% → 96%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.9%
Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
87.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Malick MbodjSimilar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
86.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 14 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
87.5%
Desmond Ridder run for 7 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+3
88.1%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
89.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 46Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+14
89.2%
Michael Warren II run for 14 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
89.6%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
91.2%
Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the BC 30Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+16
91.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 16 yds to the BC 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
91.6%
Desmond Ridder run for 6 yds to the BC 8Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
95.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 8 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK) Ryan Jones kickoff for 60 yds (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:555% → 4%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
95.4%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to David Bailey for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 34Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+1
95.7%
David Bailey run for 1 yd to the BC 35Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
95.8%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+12
95.9%
Grant Carlson punt for 45 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 12 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17TD
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:4496% → 94%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+24
96.0%
Rashad Medaris run for 24 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
96.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Malick MbodjSimilar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
96.4%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+14
96.9%
Desmond Ridder run for 14 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
97.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
97.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
97.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+67
93.9%
Cole Smith 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mike Palmer Brandon Sebastian return for 67 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 6:3593% → 99%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
93.4%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
93.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 6 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
94.0%
Michael Warren II run for 14 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
94.3%
Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 44Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+13
94.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 13 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
94.4%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
95.1%
Michael Warren II run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 30Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 11
OPP 30
-1
95.5%
Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 31Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+9
95.7%
Desmond Ridder run for 9 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q4 14:31
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+4
95.7%
Desmond Ridder run for 4 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
96.8%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+13
99.3%
Desmond Ridder run for 13 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:573% → 3%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.3%
Dennis Grosel run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
97.4%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Pat Garwo III for no gain to the BC 26Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
97.5%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q4 11:58
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
97.5%
Grant Carlson punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:0899% → 100%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Myjai Sanders for 7 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
99.4%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+9
99.4%
Gerrid Doaks run for 9 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
99.5%
Gerrid Doaks run for 10 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.5%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Myjai SandersSimilar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.5%
Ben Bryant run for 1 yd to the BC 37Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
99.5%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
99.5%
James Smith punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Travis Levy at the BC 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:281% → 1%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.0%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+5
99.0%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BC 17Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+7
99.0%
Travis Levy run for 7 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+24
99.0%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Kobay White for 24 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
99.1%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Kobay White for 12 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.0%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the Cincy 36Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 6
OPP 32
-6
98.9%
Dennis Grosel run for 4 yds to the Cincy 32 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Cincy 42Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+5
99.1%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Hunter Long for 5 yds to the Cincy 37Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-5
99.1%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 42Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+4
99.2%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 4 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 8
OPP 38
+1
99.2%
Dennis Grosel run for 1 yd to the Cincy 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 22TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 5:02100% → 100%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
99.6%
Ryan Montgomery run for 20 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
99.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Trent Cloud for 7 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+3
99.8%
Ryan Montgomery run for 3 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
99.8%
Ryan Montgomery run for 9 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
99.7%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Myjai SandersSimilar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+8
99.8%
Ryan Montgomery run for 8 yds to the BC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.8%
Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-4
99.8%
Ben Bryant run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 18Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 12
OPP 18
+7
99.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Wyatt Fischer for 7 yds to the BC 11Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+6
99.8%
Ben Bryant run for 6 yds to the BC 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.8%
Ryan Montgomery run for 4 yds to the BC 1Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23Uncategorized
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:320% → 0%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Matt Valecce pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Matt Valecce pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
100.0%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:05
Desmond Ridder run for 14 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)
+8.4
TD · Q3 9:02
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 8 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK) Ryan Jones kickoff for 60 yds (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+4.3
TD · Q3 4:56
Timeout CINCINNATI, clock 04:56
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com