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UGA

Georgia 26 at Baylor 14

BAY
2019 · Allstate Sugar Bowl · Jan 1, 2020 · Caesars Superdome
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Win probability · BAY
modelBAY aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playBAY scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:12 · Jake Camarda punt for 42 yds , Grayland Arnold returns for 17 yds to the Bayl 49 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trestan Ebner) to the Bayl 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Home team on offense−14.9Pregame prior−6.3Score differential−6.8Garbage-time factor−4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:51: Jake Fromm pass complete to Matt Landers for 16 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UGA win probability +12.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:14: Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 12 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +10.2 pts (now 28%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:16: Zamir White run for 13 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +13.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:54: JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the Bayl 28 — BAY win probability +5.2 pts (now 13%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:10: Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd for a TD (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +7.9 pts (now 21%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BAY made the numbers' call on 6 of 9UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:22UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:44BAY 4th & 1 at BAY 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:20UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:02UGA 4th & 14 at UGA 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:03BAY 4th & 8 at BAY 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:49UGA 4th & 2 at BAY 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:00BAY 4th & 2 at BAY 33, down 3
    Close callPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:08UGA 4th & 3 at BAY 14, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.2%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−2.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:43BAY 4th & 11 at BAY 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:30BAY 4th & 6 at BAY 40, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:12UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 32, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:02BAY 4th & 4 at UGA 46, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    25.3%−2.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:20UGA 4th & 2 at BAY 19, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    77.2%−1.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−10.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:51UGA 4th & 11 at UGA 23, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−3.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:47BAY 4th & 3 at UGA 48, down 12
    Close callPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:48UGA 4th & 13 at BAY 48, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−2.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:03BAY 4th & 11 at UGA 47, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.6%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:54UGA 4th & 8 at BAY 47, up 12
    Close callPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:39BAY 4th & 10 at BAY 22, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BAY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 12:28UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:51UGA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:14BAY Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:16UGA Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:10BAY Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:3364% → 63%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
35.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 7 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
36.0%
Zamir White run for no gain to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
36.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 4 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
36.3%
Zamir White run for 4 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
36.4%
Zamir White run for no gain to the Geo 40Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
36.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
36.9%
Jake Camarda punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Grayland Arnold at the Bayl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:1637% → 38%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
37.0%
John Lovett run for 9 yds to the Bayl 26Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+3
37.3%
John Lovett run for 3 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
37.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to John Lovett for 2 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+3
37.5%
JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+4
37.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 4 yds to the Bayl 38Similar
Q1 9:44
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
37.8%
Issac Power punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0562% → 61%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
37.9%
James Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 17Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
38.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Tyler SimmonsSimilar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+4
38.3%
James Cook run for 4 yds to the Geo 21Similar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 7
OWN 21
+9
38.7%
Jake Camarda punt for 43 yds , Grayland Arnold returns for 9 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4INT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:2739% → 40%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
39.0%
John Lovett run for 6 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+8
39.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 8 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
39.4%
Brewer, Charlie pass incomplete to Mims, Denzel, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Daniel, DJ) 15 yards to the GEORGIA26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR.Similar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
39.7%
Charlie Brewer run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+8
39.5%
Charlie Brewer pass intercepted Richard LeCounte return for 8 yds to the Geo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2861% → 60%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
38.8%
Zamir White run for 6 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-19
38.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards to the Geo 13Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 23
OWN 13
+9
39.7%
James Cook run for 9 yds to the Geo 22Similar
Q1 5:02
4TH & 14
OWN 22
0
40.1%
Jake Camarda punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Grayland Arnold at the Bayl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5240% → 40%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
39.7%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Bayl 32Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
39.8%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+11
39.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 11 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
40.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for no gain to the Bayl 43Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
40.8%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+2
40.3%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
40.0%
Issac Power punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7FG
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:1060% → 61%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
40.0%
Tyler Simmons run for 5 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jackson Gleeson) to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+46
39.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 46 yds to the Bayl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
38.2%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Bayl 12Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+6
38.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 6 yds to the Bayl 6Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 2
OPP 6
0
38.8%
Zamir White run for no gain to the Bayl 6Similar
Q1 0:49
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+24
38.7%
Rodrigo Blankenship 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4439% → 39%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.2%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Chris PlattSimilar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
39.1%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
38.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 8 yds to the Bayl 33Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
38.8%
Issac Power punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Tyler Simmons at the Geo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 2:2761% → 67%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
39.0%
Kenny McIntosh run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 14Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+10
39.2%
Zamir White run for 10 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+19
39.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 19 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
38.0%
BAYLOR Penalty, Neutral Zone Infraction (Gabe Hall) to the Geo 48Similar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 5
OWN 48
+8
37.8%
Zamir White run for 8 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
37.8%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
37.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 9 yds to the Bayl 35Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+8
37.8%
Kenny McIntosh run for 8 yds to the Bayl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
32.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 27 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 0:4433% → 32%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
32.7%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (Khalil Keith) to the Bayl 20Similar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 5
OWN 20
+10
32.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 10 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
32.8%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
32.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-15
31.9%
BAYLOR Penalty, Personal Foul (Blake Bedier) to the Bayl 15Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 25
OWN 15
0
31.8%
Issac Power punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler Simmons at the Geo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:2967% → 70%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
33.0%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
32.5%
Zamir White run for 5 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+11
32.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 11 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
32.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 6 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+13
32.1%
Tyler Simmons run for 13 yds to the Bayl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
32.0%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+7
32.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 7 yds to the Bayl 14Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
31.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+31
29.9%
Rodrigo Blankenship 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 3:1730% → 28%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
30.1%
Josh Fleeks run for 4 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
30.2%
JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the Bayl 32Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-10
29.8%
Brewer, Charlie pass complete to Hasty, JaMycal for 6 yards to the BAYLOR38, PENALTY BAYLOR holding (Newman, Xavier) 10 yards to the BAYLOR22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+13
28.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 13 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
30.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
28.9%
Charlie Brewer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 34Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
27.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Christoph Henle for no gain to the Bayl 34Similar
Q2 4:43
4TH & 11
OWN 34
+9
27.6%
Issac Power punt for 46 yds , Tyler Simmons returns for 9 yds to the Geo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:3972% → 88%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
28.0%
Zamir White run for 4 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+27
27.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 27 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
25.9%
Zamir White run for 10 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
25.8%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Pickens, George, PENALTY BAYLOR offside (Lynch, James) 5 yards to the BAYLOR25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 5
OPP 25
+3
25.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Matt Landers for 3 yds to the Bayl 22Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+4
25.3%
Demetris Robertson run for 4 yds to the Bayl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
25.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 2 yds to the Bayl 16Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+16
12.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Matt Landers for 16 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 1:1019% → 19%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 4 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
18.6%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
18.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 7 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
19.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 5 yds to the Bayl 41Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+3
18.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 3 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
18.7%
Issac Power punt for 56 yds, downed at the Geo 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+8
15.7%
Zamir White run for 8 yds to the Geo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4117% → 28%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+40
16.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 40 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
18.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 3 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+8
18.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 8 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
18.7%
Trestan Ebner run for 3 yds to the Geo 21Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+1
18.5%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Geo 20Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+8
17.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 8 yds to the Geo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
27.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 12 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5876% → 76%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
23.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 6 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
23.2%
Zamir White run for 1 yd to the Geo 32Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
23.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Tyler SimmonsSimilar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+17
24.2%
Jake Camarda punt for 42 yds , Grayland Arnold returns for 17 yds to the Bayl 49 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trestan Ebner) to the Bayl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18FUMBLE
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:5925% → 24%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
24.7%
GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Malik Herring) to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
25.7%
JaMycal Hasty run for 6 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
26.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to JaMycal HastySimilar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
25.4%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Christoph HenleSimilar
Q3 10:02
4TH & 4
OPP 46
-7
23.8%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Azeez Ojulari for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 47 Charlie Brewer fumbled, forced by Azeez Ojulari, recovered by Geo Peyton Mercer , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:2980% → 93%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
20.1%
Kenny McIntosh run for 8 yds to the Bayl 39Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+12
19.8%
Kenny McIntosh run for 12 yds to the Bayl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
19.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-3
19.2%
Kenny McIntosh run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 30Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+11
19.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 11 yds to the Bayl 19Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+6
20.1%
Jake Camarda run for 6 yds to the Bayl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
6.9%
Zamir White run for 13 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:4413% → 21%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.0%
JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
12.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 17 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
14.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+39
14.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 24 yds to the BAYLOR 31 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (William Mote) to the Geo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-15
14.9%
BAYLOR Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Geo 31Similar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
14.7%
Trestan Ebner run for 17 yds to the Geo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
14.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Mark Webb) to the Geo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
14.1%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Geo 1Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
13.5%
Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the Geo 1 Charlie Brewer fumbled, recovered by Bayl Charlie BrewerSimilar
Q3 4:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.3%
Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:0482% → 83%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
18.1%
Jake Fromm sacked by James Lockhart for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 19Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 15
OWN 19
-2
16.3%
Jake Fromm sacked by Bravvion Roy for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 17
OWN 17
+6
16.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Matt Landers for 6 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
16.8%
Jake Camarda punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:5318% → 17%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
18.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 8 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-4
18.8%
JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 39Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+6
17.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 6 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
18.1%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
17.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Christoph Henle for 7 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
18.4%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
16.9%
Issac Power punt for 47 yds, downed at the Geo 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23PUNT
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:5286% → 90%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
13.9%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+7
14.5%
Zamir White run for 7 yds to the Geo 8Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+24
14.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 24 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
13.8%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
13.3%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (James Lynch) to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+5
12.5%
Zamir White run for 5 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
10.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Zamir WhiteSimilar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+10
10.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 10 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
9.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for 2 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
9.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 8
OPP 43
-5
9.1%
Jake Fromm sacked by James Lynch for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 48Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
9.7%
Jake Camarda punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 24DOWNS
13 plays · 39 yds · 4:3912% → 7%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
12.2%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+11
11.9%
Charlie Brewer run for 11 yds to the Bayl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
12.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 3 yds to the Bayl 24Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
12.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-5
11.5%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (Sam Tecklenburg) to the Bayl 19Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+24
11.4%
Charlie Brewer run for 9 yds to the Bayl 28 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Travon Walker) to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
12.1%
JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the Bayl 46Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+6
10.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 6 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
10.9%
JaMycal Hasty run for 2 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
10.7%
JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 49Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 13
OPP 49
0
7.7%
Jacob Zeno run for no gain to the Geo 49Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+2
7.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 2 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 11
OPP 47
-4
6.5%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Travon Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:0194% → 96%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
5.8%
Tyler Simmons run for 4 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-10
5.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Warren Ericson) to the Geo 45Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+5
5.5%
Zamir White run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 11
50
+3
4.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 3 yds to the Bayl 47Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
4.0%
Jake Camarda punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Grayland Arnold at the Bayl 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 26INT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:093% → 2%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
2.7%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+7
2.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Denzel Mims for 7 yds to the Bayl 14Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+8
2.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 8 yds to the Bayl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
2.5%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
2.2%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Jared AtkinsonSimilar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
2.1%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 10
OWN 22
-3
2.1%
Jacob Zeno pass intercepted Richard LeCounte return for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 27Uncategorized
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:1097% → 97%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
2.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 46Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-1
2.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 47Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 47
-1
2.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:16
Zamir White run for 13 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
-13.2
TD · Q2 1:51
Jake Fromm pass complete to Matt Landers for 16 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-12.8
TD · Q3 12:14
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 12 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)
+10.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com