Try the model
UTAH

Utah 10 at Texas 38

TEX
2019 · Postseason · Dec 31, 2019 · Alamodome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:42 · Ben Lennon punt for 47 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 10 yds to the Texas 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Home team on offense+0.2Pregame prior−15.8Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:24: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 5 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +5.8 pts (now 48%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:30: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 11 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +13.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:58: Jadon Redding 32 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +5.3 pts (now 19%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:06: Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +6.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:34: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 4 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +7.3 pts (now 10%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:26TEX 4th & 6 at UTAH 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    35.0%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:42UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:56TEX 4th & 14 at TEX 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:46UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:07TEX 4th & 11 at TEX 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:07UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 28, down 3
    Close callPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:04UTAH 4th & 7 at midfield, down 10
    Close callPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:24TEX 4th & 2 at UTAH 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.0%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    57.5%−1.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−8.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:07UTAH 4th & 23 at TEX 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:34UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.7%−2.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:58UTAH 4th & 3 at TEX 15, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.2%−0.7
    83% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−10.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:07UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:20UTAH 4th & 23 at UTAH 12, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 13:24TEX Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:30TEX Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:06TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:34UTAH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:58TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:54TEX Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:2732% → 35%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+34
32.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 34 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
32.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+6
33.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+4
33.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for 4 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
33.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 9 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+3
33.8%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
34.2%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Devin Lloyd for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 15Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+5
34.5%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
34.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Cade BrewerSimilar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+29
35.0%
Cameron Dicker 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:4365% → 64%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
34.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 12 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
34.9%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 36Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+9
35.5%
Tyler Huntley run for 9 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-4
35.4%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 41Similar
Q1 7:42
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+10
36.5%
Ben Lennon punt for 47 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 10 yds to the Texas 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4636% → 36%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
36.1%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete, PENALTY UTAH holding (Guidry, Javelin) 10 yards to the TEXAS32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
36.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-1
36.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 31Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 11
OWN 31
-3
36.2%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Leki Fotu for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 28Similar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 14
OWN 28
+1
36.4%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 49 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for 1 yd to the Utah 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:1063% → 61%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
37.4%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+8
37.6%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
37.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
37.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 6 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
37.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Devonta'e Henry-ColeSimilar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 4
OWN 41
-4
38.6%
Ben Lennon punt for 47 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 8 D'Shawn Jamison fumbled, recovered by Texas D'Shawn JamisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:3938% → 38%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
38.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+7
38.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for 7 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
38.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+17
38.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 17 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
39.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
38.9%
Roschon Johnson run for no gain to the Texas 36Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-1
38.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 35Similar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
38.4%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0060% → 58%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
39.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 6 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
39.9%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+1
40.3%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+71
41.6%
Ben Lennon punt for 49 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 71 yds to the Utah 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:4342% → 48%
Q2 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
42.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 1 yd to the Utah 5Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
48.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 5 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 5:1953% → 47%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
47.1%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Ta'Quon Graham for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 16Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+9
48.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 9 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
49.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 10 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
48.2%
Terrell Perriman run for 5 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+7
47.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 7 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
48.3%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 7
50
-5
49.0%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Joseph Ossai for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 12
OWN 45
-5
51.7%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Nick Ford) to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 17
OWN 40
+10
52.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 7
50
0
52.7%
Ben Lennon punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9INT
9 plays · 78 yds · 4:4052% → 57%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+23
52.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 23 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
53.5%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
54.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 5 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+40
54.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 40 yds to the Utah 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-8
56.9%
Devin Duvernay run for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 24Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 18
OPP 24
+7
57.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Al'Vonte Woodard for 7 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+9
57.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 9 yds to the Utah 8Similar
Q2 3:24
4TH & 2
OPP 8
0
57.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass intercepted Javelin Guidry return for no gain to the Utah 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 43 yds · 3:1743% → 39%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
57.3%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 4Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+7
58.7%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+19
58.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 19 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
57.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 8 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+1
56.5%
Tyler Huntley run for 1 yd to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+26
57.2%
Zack Moss run for 26 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
54.4%
Huntley, Tyler pass complete to Enis, Solomon for 8 yards to the TEXAS27, PENALTY UTAH ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TEXAS40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 15
OPP 40
0
56.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Derrick VickersSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 15
OPP 40
-16
57.5%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Joseph Ossai for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 48 UTAH Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tyler Huntley) to the Texas 48Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 23
OPP 48
0
58.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 23
OPP 48
0
60.6%
Ben Lennon punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
60.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 15 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:2539% → 32%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
60.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 6 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
62.9%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 36Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
63.8%
Derrick Vickers run for 4 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+5
64.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 5 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 1
OWN 45
-2
67.8%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13TD
3 plays · 43 yds · 1:0471% → 85%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
70.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+27
72.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 15 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (Francis Bernard) to the Utah 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
85.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 11 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 5:3120% → 19%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+27
79.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 12 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Joseph Ossai) to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
79.0%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
79.6%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
80.1%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
80.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 8 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 2
OPP 28
-3
80.1%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 31Similar
Q3 7:09
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+9
83.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 9 yds to the Texas 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
83.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 23Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 11
OPP 23
0
84.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+8
85.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 8 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
80.7%
Jadon Redding 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5185% → 98%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
85.1%
Ehlinger, Sam pass complete to Duvernay, Devin for 6 yards to the TEXAS31, PENALTY TEXAS holding (Eagles, Brennan) 10 yards to the TEXAS15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+8
85.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for 8 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+10
86.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 10 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+31
86.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 31 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
90.0%
Devin Duvernay pass complete to Sam Ehlinger for 6 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+20
91.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for 10 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (Maxs Tupai) to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
91.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 12Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
91.6%
Johnson, Roschon rush for loss of 3 yards to the UTAH15, PENALTY UTAH face mask (Lloyd, Devin) 6 yards to the UTAH6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q3 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:263% → 10%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
97.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 26 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
97.2%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+29
97.1%
Brant Kuithe run for 29 yds to the Texas 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
97.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 9 yds to the Texas 5Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 1
OPP 5
-6
97.4%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Joseph Ossai for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 11Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
97.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Terrell PerrimanSimilar
Q4 12:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+9
97.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 6 yds to the Texas 5 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Keondre Coburn) to the Texas 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
97.7%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 4Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
90.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 4 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3593% → 99%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
93.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 20 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
94.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+37
94.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 37 yds to the Utah 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
95.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+5
95.2%
Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Utah 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
95.3%
Ehlinger, Sam rush for 5 yards to the UTAH0, PENALTY TEXAS holding (Cosmi, Samuel) 10 yards to the UTAH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
0
95.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q4 8:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
98.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 15 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+25
98.8%
Ben Lennon punt for 49 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 25 yds to the Utah 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19TD
1 play · 49 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
99.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for 49 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 2:330% → 0%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.9%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 21Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-3
99.9%
Derrick Vickers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 18Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-5
99.9%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Braeden Daniels) to the Utah 13Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 22
OWN 13
-1
99.9%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Malcolm Roach for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 12Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 23
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Ben Lennon punt for 54 yds, downed at the Texas 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21END OF GAME
9 plays · 19 yds · 5:20100% → 100%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+7
99.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Daniel Young run for 3 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Daniel Young run for no gain to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+8
100.0%
Casey Thompson run for 8 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
100.0%
Daniel Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-7
100.0%
Casey Thompson sacked by Mika Tafua and Viane Moala for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 18
OWN 47
+6
100.0%
Casey Thompson run for 6 yds to the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:30
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 11 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+13.4
TD · Q4 11:34
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 4 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
-7.3
TD · Q3 0:06
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com