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WKU

Western Kentucky 23 at Western Michigan 20

WMU
2019 · SERVPRO First Responder Bowl · Dec 30, 2019 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:28 · Nick Mihalic punt for 46 yds , Clayton Bush returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+13.0+6.50−6.5−13.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Home team on offense+9.3Pregame prior−2.6Score differential+2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Garbage-time factor+4.4Blowout margin−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:59: Kareem Ali 88 Yd Interception Return (Thiago Kapps Kick) — WMU win probability +11.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:18: Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 6 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +14.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:40: Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 5 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +28.3 pts (now 54%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 4:58: Thiago Kapps 20 yd FG GOOD — WMU win probability +13.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:36: Cory Munson 31 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +24.3 pts (now 53%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:48WMU 4th & 23 at WMU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:17WMU 4th & 5 at WKU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:01WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:22WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 36, up 3
    Close callPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:47WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:22WKU 4th & 1 at WMU 7, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.3%−2.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    50.1%−9.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:48WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−3.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:27WMU 4th & 1 at WKU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.9%−2.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:33WKU 4th & 22 at WKU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−4.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:28WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 18, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.9%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:07WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.7%−3.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:12WMU 4th & 7 at WKU 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    74.8%−1.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:35WKU 4th & 8 at WMU 48, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.0%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:58WMU 4th & 3 at WKU 3, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.5%−4.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−29.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:36WKU 4th & 9 at WMU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−17.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−26.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:27WMU 4th & 3 at WKU 30, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.9 ptsWent for it · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.6%−3.9
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    60.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    45.0%−15.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 10:54WKU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:59WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:18WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:40WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 3:0242% → 43%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
42.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
42.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
42.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 7 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
42.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 49Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
42.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to DaShon BussellSimilar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-15
42.6%
Wassink, Jon pass complete to Ricci, Giovanni for 9 yards to the WESTERNKY42, PENALTY WESTMICH unnecessary roughness (Caliendo, Mike) 15 yards to the WESTMICH34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 25
OWN 34
+2
42.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 2 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 23
OWN 36
+10
42.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 53 yds , Jahcour Pearson returns for 10 yds to the WKent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:1257% → 57%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
42.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 12 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
42.9%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
43.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 1 yd to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
43.4%
Ty Storey pass intercepted Alex Grace return for no gain to the WMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 6:0843% → 47%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
43.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 4 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+9
43.7%
Davon Tucker run for 9 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
44.2%
Jon Wassink run for 3 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+11
44.3%
Davon Tucker run for 11 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
44.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 8 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+3
45.1%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
45.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+1
45.3%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WKent 30Similar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+13
45.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 13 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
45.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+3
46.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
46.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni Ricci, broken up by Roger CraySimilar
Q1 4:17
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+30
46.5%
Thiago Kapps 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5954% → 53%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
46.3%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
46.5%
Ty Storey run for 5 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
46.0%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q1 3:01
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
47.1%
John Haggerty punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3447% → 47%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
46.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
46.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+4
46.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Corey Crooms for 4 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
46.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 57 yds, downed at the WKent 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 93 yds · 5:2153% → 59%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+10
47.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 10 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
47.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 2 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+7
47.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 7 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+2
47.8%
Ty Storey run for 2 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
47.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 8 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+9
47.3%
Gaej Walker run for 9 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
47.1%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+8
46.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 8 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
47.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 4 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+20
46.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 20 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
40.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 17 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 3:0444% → 42%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
43.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keith Mixon Jr., broken up by Ta'Corian DardenSimilar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+1
43.4%
Davon Tucker run for 1 yd to the WMich 13Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+11
42.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Davon Tucker for 11 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
43.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 1 yd to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
43.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-2
42.4%
Jon Wassink sacked by Juwuan Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 23 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaylon Moore) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 11
OWN 23
+15
41.8%
Mihalic, Nick punt 44 yards to the WESTERNKY33, out-of-bounds, PENALTY WESTERNKY roughing the kicker (Bishop, Beanie) 15 yards to the WESTMICH38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.Similar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
44.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
43.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
42.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
41.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jacquez Sloan at the WKent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 5:1958% → 66%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 5 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
41.5%
Ty Storey run for 2 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+16
42.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 16 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
40.4%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
40.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for no gain to the WKent 48Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+15
41.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 15 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
40.0%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+21
40.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 21 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
39.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for no gain to the WMich 16Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
39.0%
Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the WMich 9Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+2
38.8%
Ty Storey run for 2 yds to the WMich 7Similar
Q2 2:22
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+26
33.6%
Cory Munson 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9INT
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:2237% → 39%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
36.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 15 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
38.8%
Jon Wassink pass intercepted Kyle Bailey return for no gain to the WKent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10INT TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 0:4768% → 58%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
32.2%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
32.6%
Ty Storey run for 6 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+11
32.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 11 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
31.3%
Ty Storey run for 2 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+19
31.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 19 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
30.7%
Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+88
41.7%
Kareem Ali 88 Yd Interception Return (Thiago Kapps Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 54 yds · 0:5354% → 59%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
45.9%
Gaej Walker run for 14 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
43.7%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
45.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 7 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+9
44.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 9 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+24
42.6%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 24 yds to the WMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
42.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+29
40.9%
Cory Munson 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:0353% → 51%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
46.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 5 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+5
46.0%
Storey, Ty pass incomplete to Jackson, Lucky, PENALTY WESTMICH offside (Fayad, Ali) 5 yards to the WESTERNKY34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNKY.Similar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
46.2%
Ty Storey run for 6 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-7
44.5%
Ty Storey sacked by Antonio Balabani for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 33Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 11
OWN 33
0
48.4%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 11
OWN 33
+2
49.3%
John Haggerty punt for 50 yds , Keith Mixon Jr. returns for 2 yds to the WMich 35 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (9 Yards) to the WMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 4:2451% → 71%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
50.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to DaShon BussellSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+32
50.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 32 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
53.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+2
53.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+5
52.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 5 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q3 10:27
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+7
52.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
55.5%
Jon Wassink run for 13 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
56.7%
Moore, Skyy pass incomplete to Wassink, Jon, PENALTY WESTERNKY roughing passer (Jones, Juwuan) 15 yards to the WESTERNKY14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.Similar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
56.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+2
57.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WKent 6Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
71.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 6 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:2734% → 31%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+39
66.2%
Gaej Walker run for 39 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
63.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 2 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+10
62.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 10 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
63.2%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
63.3%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 10
OPP 37
-13
64.8%
Ty Storey run for 2 yds to the WKent 37 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jacquez Sloan) to the WKent 48Similar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 22
OWN 48
+3
69.0%
John Haggerty punt for 44 yds , Keith Mixon Jr. returns for 3 yds to the WMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0272% → 70%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
71.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to DaShon Bussell, broken up by Roger CraySimilar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
71.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Corey Crooms, broken up by Devon KeySimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+7
70.8%
Jon Wassink run for 7 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 3
OWN 18
-2
69.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 46 yds , Clayton Bush returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1532% → 31%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
67.8%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
68.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 3 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+6
69.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 6 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 3:07
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
68.9%
Ty Storey run for no gain to the WKent 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5076% → 75%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
76.4%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
76.3%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
77.1%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keith Mixon Jr.Similar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
75.1%
Nick Mihalic punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 6:3030% → 54%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
70.0%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+26
70.6%
Ty Storey run for 11 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Treshaun Hayward) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
50
+3
68.3%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-5
68.6%
Ty Storey sacked by Ralph Holley for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+4
73.0%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 14:35
4TH & 8
OPP 48
+13
73.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 13 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
70.3%
Storey, Ty pass incomplete to Jackson, Lucky, PENALTY WESTMICH pass interference (Lupro, Patrick) 15 yards to the WESTMICH20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNKY.Similar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
69.8%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the WMich 20Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+8
70.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 8 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+4
72.6%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 4 yds to the WMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
71.3%
Ty Storey run for 4 yds to the WMich 4Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
74.2%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 5Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
45.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 5 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:3758% → 77%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
57.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+20
58.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Corey Crooms for 20 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
62.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 7 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+5
62.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
64.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+6
64.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
65.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+8
64.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Sean Tyler for 8 yds to the WKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
65.2%
Davon Tucker run for no gain to the WKent 4Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
65.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WKent 3Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
63.4%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q4 4:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
76.7%
Thiago Kapps 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 3:1333% → 53%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
67.5%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+30
68.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 30 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
67.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 11 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
65.1%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+14
67.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 14 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
70.0%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
70.7%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the WMich 13Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
71.8%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 1:36
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+31
47.5%
Cory Munson 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 55 yds · 0:5858% → 59%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
57.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 8 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 2
OWN 23
0
58.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+6
56.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 6 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+34
58.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 34 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
64.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 2 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+7
67.7%
Jon Wassink run for 7 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 1
OPP 28
-2
63.2%
Jon Wassink run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 30 Jon Wassink fumbled, recovered by WMich Jon WassinkSimilar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 3
OPP 30
0
58.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22Uncategorized
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:2052% → 60%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
48.3%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+11
49.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 11 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
44.3%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+20
45.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 20 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
39.7%
Storey, Ty pass incomplete to Simon, Joshua, PENALTY WESTMICH 12 men on the field 5 yards to the WESTMICH34, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-39.7
TD · Q4 10:40
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 5 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)
-28.3
FG · Q4 1:36
Cory Munson 31 yd FG GOOD
-24.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com