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OU

Oklahoma 28 at LSU 63

LSU
2019 · Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl - CFP Semifinal · Dec 28, 2019 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:47 · Reeves Mundschau punt for 48 yds, downed at the LSU 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Home team on offense+1.9Pregame prior+27.2Score differential+0.4Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:16: Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 35 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:13: Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 42 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +4.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:17: Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 30 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +3.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:45: Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +5.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:18: Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 62 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:55OU 4th & 16 at OU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:09OU 4th & 11 at OU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:55LSU 4th & 2 at LSU 35, up 7
    Close callPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:47OU 4th & 10 at OU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:15OU 4th & 5 at OU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:54OU 4th & 15 at OU 20, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:55LSU 4th & 2 at OU 17, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:11LSU 4th & 1 at OU 3, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:19OU 4th & 9 at LSU 12, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:06LSU 4th & 9 at OU 28, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:01OU 4th & 2 at LSU 20, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:10OU 4th & 4 at OU 31, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:03LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:34OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:24LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:16LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:13LSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:17LSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 4:45OU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 4:18LSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 0:50LSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 10:11LSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 4:19OU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 9:39OU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:0018% → 18%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
82.5%
Jalen Hurts sacked by K'Lavon Chaisson for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 19Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 16
OWN 19
-1
82.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 18Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+1
82.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Okla 19Similar
Q1 12:55
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
82.1%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 42 yds · 0:4782% → 83%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+17
82.1%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 17 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
82.1%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 6 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+19
82.6%
Justin Jefferson 19 Yd pass from Joe Burrow (Cade York Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:5418% → 18%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
82.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (CeeDee Lamb) to the Okla 20Similar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
82.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
82.3%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
82.4%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
82.4%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Derek Stingley Jr. at the LSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0882% → 82%
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
82.4%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr., broken up by Tre BrownSimilar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
82.3%
Chris Curry run for 7 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+1
82.3%
Joe Burrow run for 1 yd to the LSU 35Similar
Q1 9:55
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
82.2%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:1118% → 21%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
82.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+12
82.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 12 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
81.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Creed Humphrey) to the Okla 43Similar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+3
82.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Brayden Willis for 3 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+51
82.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 51 yds to the LSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
79.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0480% → 83%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
80.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 19 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
80.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 13 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
80.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 8 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+5
80.6%
Chris Curry run for 5 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
80.5%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Stephen Sullivan, broken up by Parnell MotleySimilar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+8
80.5%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 8 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+14
80.2%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 14 yds to the Okla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
80.4%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for no gain to the Okla 8Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
82.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2419% → 18%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
81.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
81.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hall, broken up by JaCoby StevensSimilar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
81.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Jadon HaselwoodSimilar
Q1 3:47
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
82.1%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 48 yds, downed at the LSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 2:1982% → 86%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
81.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Chris Curry for 9 yds to the LSU 23Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 1
OWN 23
-1
82.0%
Chris Curry run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 22Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+24
81.5%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 24 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
82.3%
Chris Curry run for 19 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
82.4%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
85.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 35 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:5716% → 16%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.4%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Kennedy BrooksSimilar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
84.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
84.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
84.3%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Kennedy BrooksSimilar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
84.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
84.1%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
84.5%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:5886% → 91%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
85.6%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Chris CurrySimilar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
85.6%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+11
85.3%
Joe Burrow run for 11 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
85.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Targeting (Brendan Radley-Hiles) to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down. Radley-Hiles ejected Similar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
86.4%
Joe Burrow run for 12 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
86.5%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Thaddeus MossSimilar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+42
91.4%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 42 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.9%
Jalen Hurts pass intercepted Kary Vincent Jr. return for no gain to the LSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:2892% → 96%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
91.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 11 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-13
91.9%
Chris Curry run for 2 yds to the LSU 42 LSU Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the LSU 43Similar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 23
OWN 43
+10
91.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 10 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+10
92.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 10 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-15
91.9%
LSU Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (-15 Yards) to the LSU 48Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 18
OWN 48
+22
92.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 22 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
96.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 30 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:234% → 9%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
95.9%
Jalen Hurts sacked by K'Lavon Chaisson for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 22Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+44
96.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 29 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Roughing Passer (Patrick Queen) to the LSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
96.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for 7 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+4
96.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
96.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 13 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
96.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
96.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the LSU 6Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
96.6%
Hurts, Jalen pass incomplete to Haselwood, Jadon (Fulton, Kristian), PENALTY LSU pass interference (Fulton, Kristian) 4 yards to the LSU2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q2 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
96.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the LSU 2Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2294% → 98%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
94.1%
Chris Curry run for 13 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
97.5%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 62 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:192% → 2%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
98.4%
Hurts, Jalen rush for 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA30, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Proctor, R.J.) 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
98.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+5
97.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 5 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
98.0%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Derek Stingley Jr. at the LSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:0098% → 99%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
97.6%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+9
97.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 9 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+39
98.4%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 39 yds to the Okla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
98.5%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 6 yds to the Okla 4Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
98.5%
Davis-Price, Tyrion rush for 2 yards to the OKLAHOMA2, PENALTY OKLAHOMA substitution infraction 2 yards to the OKLAHOMA2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:101% → 1%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
98.7%
Hurts, Jalen pass complete to Haselwood, Jadon for 7 yards to the OKLAHOMA32, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Humphrey, Creed) 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+8
98.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 8 yds to the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18TD
14 plays · 74 yds · 4:3499% → 100%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
98.8%
Chris Curry run for 2 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+12
98.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 12 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
98.9%
Chris Curry run for 3 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
99.2%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Ja'Marr Chase, broken up by Parnell MotleySimilar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+32
99.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 32 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.2%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
99.2%
Joe Burrow pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+8
99.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 8 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+5
99.3%
Ja'Marr Chase run for 5 yds to the Okla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
99.4%
Chris Curry run for 5 yds to the Okla 7Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+3
99.4%
Chris Curry run for 3 yds to the Okla 4Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+1
99.4%
Chris Curry run for 1 yd to the Okla 3Similar
Q3 10:11
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
99.5%
Joe Burrow run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:451% → 0%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+26
99.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 26 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
99.5%
Jeremiah Hall run for 8 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+12
99.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Austin Stogner for 12 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
99.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 9 yds to the LSU 17Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 1
OPP 17
-2
99.5%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 19Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+6
99.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 6 yds to the LSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+1
99.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the LSU 12Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
99.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to T.J. Pledger for no gain to the LSU 12Similar
Q3 4:19
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+12
99.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 12 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20MISSED FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 5:04100% → 100%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 5 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
99.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 10 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 6 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+9
99.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Stephen Sullivan for 9 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Tory Carter for 8 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+8
99.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 8 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.8%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 6 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
-5
99.8%
Joe Burrow sacked by Jalen Redmond for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 28 Joe Burrow fumbled, recovered by LSUSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+46
99.8%
Cade York 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:210% → 0%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+21
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Theo Wease for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
50
+9
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Drake Stoops for 9 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+2
99.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 2 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 11 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
99.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the LSU 27Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+3
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Nick Basquine for 3 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+19
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Drake Stoops for 19 yds to the LSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
T.J. Pledger run for 1 yd for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 5:10100% → 100%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Chris Curry run for 4 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+20
99.9%
Chris Curry run for 20 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.9%
Chris Curry run for 3 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+10
99.9%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 10 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
99.9%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 12 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
99.9%
Chris Curry run for 2 yds to the Okla 24 Chris Curry fumbled, recovered by LSUSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+1
99.9%
Chris Curry run for 1 yd to the Okla 23Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+17
100.0%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Racey McMath for 17 yds to the Okla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
100.0%
Hurts, Jalen pass incomplete to Lamb, CeeDee, dropped pass, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+8
100.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 8 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
100.0%
Spencer Rattler run for 8 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to T.J. PledgerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 24Uncategorized
3 plays · -1 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
100.0%
John Emery Jr. run for 1 yd to the Okla 30Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 9
OPP 30
-1
100.0%
John Emery Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 31Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 10
OPP 31
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:45
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)
-5.6
TD · Q2 12:13
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 42 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q2 9:17
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 30 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com