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AF

Air Force 31 at Washington State 21

WSU
2019 · Cheez-It Bowl · Dec 27, 2019 · Chase Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadAF aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreAF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:15 · Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ben Peterson at the AFA 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Home team on offense−12.7Score differential−5.7Garbage-time factor−3.3Pregame prior−2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:19: Taven Birdow run for 3 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK) — AF win probability +8.6 pts (now 70%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:24: Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +17.6 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 8:19: Donald Hammond III run for 7 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK) — AF win probability +10.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:59: Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 13 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +28.9 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 3:50: Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK) — AF win probability +13.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6AF made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:15WSU 4th & 2 at AF 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    45.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:09AF 4th & 1 at WSU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    52.6%−0.7
    83% to make
    Punt
    50.6%−2.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:43WSU 4th & 2 at AF 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    41.1%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    34.9%−7.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:39AF 4th & 10 at WSU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−1.0
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−5.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:20AF 4th & 1 at AF 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.1%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:15WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:27AF 4th & 13 at WSU 39, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    74.8%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:10WSU 4th & 2 at AF 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    21.8%−1.6
    92% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−10.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:15AF 4th & 15 at AF 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−5.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:50AF 4th & 3 at WSU 3, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    70.7%−4.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−27.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:58WSU 4th & 5 at AF 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:51WSU 4th & 23 at WSU 48, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3AF made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 14:52AF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:43WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:19AF Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:24WSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:19AF Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:59WSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.3%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:50AF Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:3043% → 44%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
43.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 5 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+21
43.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 21 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
43.5%
Max Borghi run for 17 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+23
43.7%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Renard Bell for 23 yds to the AFA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
44.0%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
44.0%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q1 12:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
44.0%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the AFA 2Similar
Q1 12:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
44.1%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd to the AFA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 2TD
22 plays · 98 yds · 12:0856% → 61%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
44.0%
Taven Birdow run for 8 yds to the AFA 10Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 2
OWN 10
+6
44.0%
Donald Hammond III run for 6 yds to the AFA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
44.2%
Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the AFA 20Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+4
44.4%
Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the AFA 24Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+3
44.7%
Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the AFA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
44.5%
Christian Mallard run for 6 yds to the AFA 33Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+13
44.4%
Kadin Remsberg run for 13 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
44.2%
Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
44.2%
Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+6
44.3%
Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
44.4%
Donald Hammond III run for 5 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+10
44.4%
Kadin Remsberg run for 10 yds to the WshSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
44.4%
AIR FORCE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+2
44.7%
Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+2
44.7%
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 2 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+10
45.2%
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 10 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q1 2:09
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+2
45.5%
Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
44.4%
Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the WshSt 8Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+5
44.4%
Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
44.5%
Christian Mallard run for 2 yds to the WshSt 1Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.5%
Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 3:4442% → 50%
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
41.6%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Travell Harris for 3 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
41.6%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+13
41.0%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 13 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
42.4%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
41.8%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+28
41.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 28 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
44.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 16 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
44.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 4 yds to the AFA 6Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
44.2%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 4 yds to the AFA 2Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
43.2%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q2 10:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
50.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 2 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 4FG
19 plays · 65 yds · 6:5452% → 57%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
47.7%
Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the AFA 28Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
48.0%
Kadin Remsberg run for 9 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
47.6%
Kadin Remsberg run for 7 yds to the AFA 44 Kadin Remsberg fumbled, recovered by AFASimilar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+10
46.0%
Taven Birdow run for 10 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
45.5%
Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+9
44.6%
Kadin Remsberg run for 9 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
43.6%
Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+5
43.4%
Christian Mallard run for 5 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
44.3%
Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
43.4%
Nolan Eriksen run for 8 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+5
42.5%
Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the WshSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
42.5%
Kadin Remsberg run for no gain to the WshSt 10Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
42.5%
Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Benjamin WatersSimilar
Q2 3:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
44.1%
Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Benjamin WatersSimilar
Q2 3:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
43.3%
Jake Koehnke 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
44.5%
Anthony Gordon sacked by Grant Donaldson for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 23 Anthony Gordon fumbled, recovered by AFA Christopher Herrera , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 6TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:5660% → 70%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
40.3%
Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+8
40.0%
Kadin Remsberg run for 8 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
38.6%
Taven Birdow run for 9 yds to the WshSt 3Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
30.0%
Taven Birdow run for 3 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:4732% → 49%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
31.7%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 12 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
32.5%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Easop Winston Jr.Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
32.3%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Max BorghiSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+58
31.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 58 yds to the AFA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
48.7%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 8INT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:1558% → 60%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
42.4%
Kadin Remsberg run for 17 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
40.6%
Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Dane KinamonSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
40.7%
Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+31
40.1%
Donald Hammond III pass intercepted Skyler Thomas return for 31 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 9TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:2657% → 73%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
42.7%
Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 24Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
42.9%
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 10 yds to the AFA 34Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
42.0%
Taven Birdow run for no gain to the AFA 34Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
43.5%
Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
41.6%
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Ben Peterson for 8 yds to the AFA 44Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+3
40.8%
Christian Mallard run for 3 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
40.6%
Kadin Remsberg run for 13 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
40.2%
Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud SandersSimilar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+18
40.2%
Kadin Remsberg run for 18 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
38.7%
Donald Hammond III run for 6 yds to the WshSt 16Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+6
37.4%
Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the WshSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
37.2%
Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the WshSt 7Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
26.7%
Donald Hammond III run for 7 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5228% → 26%
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
28.1%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
27.6%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
26.2%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
25.6%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ben Peterson at the AFA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 4:4072% → 75%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
27.8%
Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the AFA 30Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
26.5%
Donald Hammond III run for 6 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
26.1%
Taven Birdow run for no gain to the AFA 36Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
25.1%
Hammond III, Donald pass incomplete to Sanders, Geraud, PENALTY WASHST personal foul 15 yards to the WASHST49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AIRFORCE.Similar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
23.2%
Taven Birdow run for 13 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
22.8%
Taven Birdow run for no gain to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-10
22.3%
Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the WshSt 31 AIR FORCE Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the WshSt 46Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 20
OPP 46
+7
22.9%
Kadin Remsberg run for 7 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
22.9%
Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Benjamin WatersSimilar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 13
OPP 39
0
25.1%
Charlie Scott punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0824% → 25%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
24.4%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 13 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+30
24.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 30 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
27.6%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 6 yds to the AFA 31Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+18
29.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 18 yds to the AFA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
28.9%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
28.8%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 4 yds to the AFA 9Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+4
26.8%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Renard Bell for 4 yds to the AFA 5Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 2
OPP 5
0
24.6%
Max Borghi run for no gain to the AFA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:4375% → 80%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
25.2%
Donald Hammond III run for 9 yds to the AFA 14Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+3
23.5%
Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
20.3%
Taven Birdow run for 11 yds to the AFA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
19.6%
Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 23 Kadin Remsberg fumbled, recovered by AFA Kadin RemsbergSimilar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 15
OWN 23
0
20.1%
Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Benjamin WatersSimilar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 15
OWN 23
0
20.6%
Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Benjamin WatersSimilar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 15
OWN 23
+29
19.6%
Charlie Scott punt for 37 yds , Easop Winston Jr. returns for 29 yds to the AFA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 0:4124% → 50%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
24.2%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 3 yds to the AFA 28Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+15
21.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 15 yds to the AFA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
20.8%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
49.7%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 13 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 15TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 5:5168% → 91%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
31.6%
Kadin Remsberg run for 22 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
30.3%
Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+13
28.0%
Kadin Remsberg run for 13 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
27.8%
Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 22Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+10
26.4%
Taven Birdow run for 10 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
26.5%
Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
22.8%
Donald Hammond III run for 5 yds to the WshSt 4Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
21.9%
Christian Mallard run for 1 yd to the WshSt 3Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
22.2%
Kadin Remsberg run for no gain to the WshSt 3Similar
Q4 3:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
8.6%
Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16FUMBLE
14 plays · 24 yds · 2:429% → 4%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
8.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 9 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+9
7.2%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 9 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
7.2%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Max BorghiSimilar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
6.9%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+5
6.5%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 5 yds to the AFA 46Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 5
OPP 46
+7
5.6%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 7 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
6.3%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-15
5.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the WshSt 46Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 25
OWN 46
+10
4.7%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 10 yds to the AFA 44Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 15
OPP 44
-8
4.8%
Anthony Gordon sacked by Mosese Fifita for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 23
OWN 48
+7
3.5%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 7 yds Easop Winston Jr. fumbled, recovered by WshStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3297% → 97%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
3.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 44Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-1
3.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:59
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 13 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)
+28.9
TD · Q2 0:24
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)
+17.6
TD · Q4 3:50
Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)
-13.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com