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PITT

Pittsburgh 34 at Eastern Michigan 30

EMU
2019 · Quick Lane Bowl · Dec 26, 2019 · Ford Field
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:43 · Jake Julien punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Pregame prior−1.4Home team on offense+15.1Garbage-time factor+10.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score differential+1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:20: Vincent Davis run for 8 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +8.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:45: Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 10 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +25.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:22: Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 19 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +30.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 6:00: Chad Ryland 48 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +11.5 pts (now 70%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:47: Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 25 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +57.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9PITT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:04EMU 4th & 12 at PITT 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:13PITT 4th & 8 at EMU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    66.4%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:08EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:43PITT 4th & 8 at EMU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    58.6%−3.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:13EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:32EMU 4th & 4 at PITT 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.0%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:11PITT 4th & 25 at PITT 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−4.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:14EMU 4th & 13 at EMU 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−3.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:40PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:16PITT 4th & 14 at EMU 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−2.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:16EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−2.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:24PITT 4th & 9 at PITT 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−3.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:00EMU 4th & 6 at PITT 31, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.0%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−5.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:24PITT 4th & 3 at PITT 32, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:43EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 37, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%−2.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:05EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.7%−5.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3PITT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:46EMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:57PITT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:04EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:20PITT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:45EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−1.0
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:22PITT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:47PITT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−2.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1FG
16 plays · 57 yds · 4:3021% → 24%
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
21.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
21.3%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
21.5%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
21.8%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Breck TurnerSimilar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
21.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 9 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
22.0%
Mike Glass III run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
50
+19
22.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 19 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
22.7%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
23.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 9 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+6
23.0%
Mike Glass III run for 6 yds to the Pitt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
23.4%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Breck TurnerSimilar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-2
23.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 18Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 12
OPP 18
0
23.6%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q1 10:04
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+35
23.6%
Chad Ryland 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:0776% → 76%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
23.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for 5 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
23.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 6 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
24.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 13 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
24.1%
Kenny Pickett run for 10 yds to the EMich 46 Kenny Pickett fumbled, forced by Jerodd Vines, recovered by EMich Brody Hoying , return for 5 yds to the EMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:5025% → 29%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
25.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Shaq Vann for 3 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+35
25.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 35 yds to the Pitt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
25.8%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the Pitt 12Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+8
26.0%
Glass III, Mike pass incomplete to Daugherty, Eddie, PENALTY PITTSBURGH pass interference (Mathis, Damarri) 8 yards to the PITTSBURGH4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTMICH.Similar
Q1 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
26.1%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the Pitt 3Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
28.8%
Mike Glass III run for 3 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4MISSED FG
13 plays · 44 yds · 3:2673% → 69%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
27.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 13 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
27.3%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Jake Kradel) to the Pitt 33Similar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+13
27.9%
Vincent Davis run for 13 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-7
27.6%
Vincent Davis run for a loss of 7 yards to the Pitt 39Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+15
29.0%
Pickett, Kenny pass sacked for loss of 3 yards to the PITTSBURGH36 (Hoying, Brody), PENALTY EASTMICH personal foul (Hunt, CJ) 15 yards to the EASTMICH46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.Similar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
28.4%
Vincent Davis run for 5 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
28.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Nakia Griffin-StewartSimilar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+8
28.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 8 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
28.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Will GraggSimilar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
28.7%
Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
30.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q1 3:13
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+49
30.9%
Alex Kessman 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5931% → 31%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
31.4%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Thomas OdukoyaSimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
31.4%
Mike Glass III run for no gain to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
31.3%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+9
31.1%
Jake Julien punt for 47 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for 9 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:1768% → 67%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
31.9%
Shocky Jacques-Louis run for 17 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
31.7%
Kenny Pickett run for 4 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+7
32.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 7 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
32.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 9 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+4
31.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 4 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
31.9%
A.J. Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 30Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+5
32.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 5 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 7
OPP 25
-1
33.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+44
33.5%
Alex Kessman 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:2635% → 35%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.6%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
34.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Shaq Vann for 14 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
35.8%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
35.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 7 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
35.8%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
35.2%
Jake Julien punt for 50 yds, downed at the Pitt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8TD
1 play · 96 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+96
29.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 96 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4531% → 39%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
30.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Jairus Grissom for 10 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
31.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
50
0
33.0%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 10
50
+50
38.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 50 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3662% → 72%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
37.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 32 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
35.8%
Kenny Pickett run for 8 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+3
35.1%
Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
35.8%
Kenny Pickett run for 6 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+9
36.4%
Vincent Davis run for 9 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
36.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Will Gragg for 5 yds to the EMich 12Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+4
37.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 4 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+8
28.4%
Vincent Davis run for 8 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:4134% → 41%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
33.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
35.5%
Shaq Vann run for 8 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
36.3%
Mike Glass III run for 9 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+7
37.5%
Mike Glass III run for 7 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
38.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 11 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
39.4%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
39.4%
Mike Glass III run for 5 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+1
38.8%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the Pitt 27Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+45
41.4%
Chad Ryland 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -15 yds · 0:1761% → 58%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.3%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
39.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-15
40.7%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Mikey Haney for a loss of 15 yards to the Pitt 10Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
41.7%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the Pitt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:0243% → 44%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
42.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 13 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
43.2%
Breck Turner run for 2 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+8
43.8%
Glass III, Mike pass incomplete to Jackson III, Arthur, PENALTY PITTSBURGH pass interference (Jackson, Dane) 8 yards to the PITTSBURGH26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTMICH.Similar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
43.9%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-4
44.0%
Mike Glass III sacked by Phil Campbell III for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 30Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+16
41.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 16 yds to the Pitt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
44.3%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd to the Pitt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1859% → 56%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
41.4%
Maurice Ffrench run for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 21Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
42.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 6 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
43.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:5944% → 46%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
44.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for no gain to the EMich 14Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+14
44.3%
Shaq Vann run for 14 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
44.9%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+2
46.4%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+5
46.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
48.3%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-4
47.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+1
45.9%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
45.7%
Jake Julien punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Maurice Ffrench at the Pitt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:2954% → 51%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
46.1%
V'Lique Carter run for 5 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+1
46.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 1 yd to the Pitt 24Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+8
47.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 8 yds to the Pitt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
45.8%
V'Lique Carter run for 1 yd to the Pitt 33Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
46.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+4
48.7%
Kenny Pickett run for 4 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+6
49.4%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 45 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for 6 yds to the EMich 43 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (Carthell Flowers) to the EMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17FG
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3858% → 57%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
42.5%
Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the EMich 28Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+6
43.0%
Vincent Davis run for 6 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
-11
44.3%
Vincent Davis run for a loss of 11 yards to the EMich 33 Vincent Davis fumbled, forced by Turan Rush, recovered by Pitt Grant CarriganSimilar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 14
OPP 33
+51
42.6%
Alex Kessman 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:5545% → 43%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
44.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 8 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
47.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 2 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
45.9%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Shaq VannSimilar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
45.7%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
45.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 2:16
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
43.3%
Jake Julien punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4658% → 54%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
42.3%
Fumble by Kenny Pickett, recovered by Kenny Pickett, Kenny Pickett pass incomplete (Thrown Away)Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+1
42.9%
Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the Pitt 15Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 9
OWN 15
0
44.5%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
46.1%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 48 yds, downed at the EMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 5:3048% → 83%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-6
48.1%
Jairus Grissom run for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+8
46.8%
Mike Glass III run for 8 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+11
47.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
50
+5
52.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 5 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+3
53.7%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q4 13:16
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
53.3%
Mike Glass III run for 3 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
54.5%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+24
55.0%
Mike Glass III run for 24 yds to the Pitt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
56.8%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
56.8%
Mike Glass III run for 3 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
82.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 10 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1024% → 58%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
75.6%
Vincent Davis run for 15 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
73.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 14 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+28
71.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 28 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-12
69.2%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Shawn Simeon for a loss of 12 yards to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 22
OPP 30
+11
72.5%
Vincent Davis run for 11 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+19
42.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 19 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:1852% → 70%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.7%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
51.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 11 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
53.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 18 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
58.2%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+5
58.3%
Mike Glass III run for 5 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
59.9%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
59.9%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
58.5%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+48
70.1%
Chad Ryland 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3136% → 33%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.4%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
63.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 5 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
62.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 32Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
67.1%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3675% → 84%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
74.6%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
78.0%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+2
81.4%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 2:43
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
84.4%
Jake Julien punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 1:5027% → 92%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
73.4%
Vincent Davis run for 9 yds to the Pitt 18Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+15
72.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 15 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
72.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
74.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+10
76.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to V'Lique Carter for 10 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
71.3%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
73.0%
V'Lique Carter run for 6 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+23
70.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 23 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
66.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 3 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+25
8.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 25 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26DOWNS
10 plays · 15 yds · 0:3720% → 12%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
19.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Shaq Vann for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-9
19.9%
Mike Glass III sacked by Phil Campbell III for a loss of 9 yards to the EMich 21Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+19
13.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 19 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
17.4%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q4 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
15.9%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
14.2%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
12.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 27Uncategorized
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:47
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 25 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
-57.9
TD · Q4 8:22
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 19 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
-30.3
TD · Q4 10:45
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 10 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
+25.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com