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APP

App State 31 at UAB 17

UAB
2019 · R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl · Dec 21, 2019 · Caesars Superdome
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:28 · Xavier Subotsch punt for 29 yds, downed at the UAB 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Pregame prior−34.2Home team on offense+3.3Score differential+1.2Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:59: Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 17 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +7.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 12:14: Zac Thomas rush for no gain to the UAB 30, Zac Thomas fumbled, recovered by AppSt Darrynton Evans for a TD Darrynton Evans run for 31 yds, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +9.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:19: Nick Vogel 49 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +3.4 pts (now 34%) (top driver: 4th down).
  4. SACK · Q3 6:16: Tyler Johnston III sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 7 yards Tyler Johnston III fumbled, recovered by AppSt Trey Cobb , return for 0 yards , return for 24 yds UAB Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the UAB 2 (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +17.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:44: Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 27 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +8.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 9APP made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 11:51APP 4th & 2 at APP 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:32APP 4th & 10 at APP 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:23UAB 4th & 11 at UAB 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:28APP 4th & 11 at UAB 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    74.2%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:32UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:11APP 4th & 4 at UAB 17, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.9%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−5.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:23UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 46, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:09APP 4th & 13 at UAB 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:02UAB 4th & 17 at UAB 1, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−4.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:52APP 4th & 8 at APP 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:14APP 4th & 1 at UAB 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.4%−2.5
    56% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−4.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:19UAB 4th & 19 at APP 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−3.0
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    27.6%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:35APP 4th & 6 at APP 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:40UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:44APP 4th & 3 at UAB 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    78.9%−0.9
    62% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−6.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:16UAB 4th & 9 at APP 31, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−1.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:40APP 4th & 29 at APP 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:54UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%−0.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:57UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2APP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:46UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:28UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:59APP Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:44APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5913% → 13%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
12.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 35 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
12.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 12 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
13.0%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+25
13.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 25 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3387% → 86%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
13.4%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
13.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 6 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
14.0%
Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the AppSt 33Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
14.4%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 1:1515% → 17%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
14.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 11 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+41
14.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 41 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
15.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+25
16.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 25 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5184% → 83%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.3%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
16.5%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for no gain to the AppSt 25Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
17.1%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
17.3%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:3718% → 19%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
17.9%
Austin Watkins sacked by Ryan Huff and Tommy Dawkins for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
18.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
18.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Kevin DavisSimilar
Q1 8:23
4TH & 11
OWN 34
+49
18.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 33 yds, downed at the APPALCHAN 33 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jourdan Heilig) to the AppSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 3:4281% → 77%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
18.7%
Darrynton Evans run for 6 yds to the AppSt 23Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+1
19.3%
Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 24Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+8
20.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 8 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+32
20.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 32 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
20.4%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the UAB 35Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
20.5%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 9
OPP 24
-4
20.9%
Zac Thomas run for 11 yds to the UAB 24 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Baer Hunter) to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
21.2%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
21.5%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
22.4%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
22.8%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 29 yds, downed at the UAB 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4224% → 25%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+14
23.9%
Spencer Brown run for 14 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
24.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Lucious Stanley for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-14
25.3%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 32 UAB Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the UAB 17Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+9
25.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 9 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
25.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8FG
8 plays · -2 yds · 3:0875% → 74%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
25.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+20
25.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 20 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
50
0
26.0%
PENALTY UAB pass interference 0 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APPALCHAN.Similar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
50
+27
26.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 27 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
26.3%
Zac Thomas run for 7 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+1
26.7%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the UAB 15Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 15
-2
27.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 17Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
25.8%
Chandler Staton 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:4727% → 29%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
26.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 18 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
29.6%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
29.7%
Tyler Johnston III run for 3 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
30.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:23
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
29.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 4:0571% → 74%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+57
29.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 57 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-12
27.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the UAB 21 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 22
OPP 36
-10
28.2%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 32
OPP 46
-1
28.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 47Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 33
OPP 47
+6
30.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Daetrich Harrington for 6 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 27
OPP 41
+10
34.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 10 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 8:42
4TH & 17
OPP 31
+15
36.3%
UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
33.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 17Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+17
26.1%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 17 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11INT
11 plays · 26 yds · 2:3429% → 33%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
29.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
30.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
30.3%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
31.4%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
32.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-5
31.0%
UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+17
30.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kevin Davis for 17 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
33.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+11
33.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted Shemar Jean-Charles return for 11 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:4369% → 66%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+23
30.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for 23 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
29.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 3 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
29.8%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-5
30.1%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 12
OPP 48
-1
32.1%
Zac Thomas sacked by Noah Wilder for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 3:09
4TH & 13
OPP 49
0
33.9%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 41 yds, downed at the UAB 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:5833% → 34%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
33.4%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 9Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 9
OWN 9
-2
33.5%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 7Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 11
OWN 7
-6
34.9%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by Elijah Diarrassouba for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 1Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 17
OWN 1
0
34.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0064% → 60%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
35.8%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 42Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+6
38.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 6 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
37.8%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
39.8%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3037% → 37%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
37.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 19Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-1
37.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4165% → 75%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
35.4%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
35.3%
UAB Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (7 Yards) to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
35.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+24
35.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 24 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
33.2%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
33.4%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+6
34.4%
Zac Thomas run for 6 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 12:14
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+31
25.5%
Zac Thomas rush for no gain to the UAB 30, Zac Thomas fumbled, recovered by AppSt Darrynton Evans for a TD Darrynton Evans run for 31 yds, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:5127% → 34%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
26.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 12 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
28.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Markus Grossman for 9 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+17
30.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Dy'jonn Turner for 17 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
31.1%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the AppSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
32.8%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 7
OPP 19
-1
33.1%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by Tommy Dawkins and Akeem Davis-Gaither for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 20Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 8
OPP 20
-11
31.0%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by George Blackstock for a loss of 11 yards to the AppSt 31Similar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 19
OPP 31
+49
34.4%
Nick Vogel 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4067% → 64%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.8%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
33.3%
Malik Williams run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
33.4%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
35.6%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1636% → 20%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
36.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 10 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
37.2%
Tyler Johnston III run for 1 yd to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
37.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+24
19.9%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 7 yards Tyler Johnston III fumbled, recovered by AppSt Trey Cobb , return for 0 yards , return for 24 yds UAB Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the UAB 2 (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1023% → 22%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
23.2%
Tyler Johnston III run for 2 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
23.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+4
21.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 4 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 4
OWN 48
+4
21.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 41 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 4 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 3:5081% → 92%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
19.5%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+19
19.8%
Darrynton Evans run for 19 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
18.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+15
17.0%
UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
16.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+8
16.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 8 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
16.2%
Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
16.4%
Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+7
17.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 7 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+27
8.5%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 27 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:2210% → 10%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
9.5%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
10.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 9 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+2
11.0%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-8
10.8%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by Tommy Dawkins for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 18
OWN 48
+16
9.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 16 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+4
10.6%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
10.9%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the AppSt 31Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
10.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
10.3%
Lucious Stanley run for no gain to the AppSt 31Similar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+5
10.0%
Tyler Johnston III run for 5 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23PUNT
13 plays · 20 yds · 6:3094% → 96%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
5.7%
UAB Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
5.3%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
5.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+7
4.9%
Zac Thomas run for 7 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
4.5%
Zac Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+13
4.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 13 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
4.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 15
OPP 40
-10
4.4%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 25
50
+1
4.1%
Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the UAB 49Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 24
OPP 49
+1
3.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 23
OPP 48
-10
4.0%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AppSt 42Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 33
OWN 42
+4
4.0%
Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 29
OWN 46
0
3.7%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24FUMBLE
13 plays · 39 yds · 3:104% → 3%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
3.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 11 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
3.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
3.1%
Tyler Johnston III run for 3 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+6
3.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Markus Grossman for 6 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+2
3.0%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
3.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
3.0%
Tyler Johnston III run for 6 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
2.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Markus Grossman for no gain to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 4
OWN 48
+5
2.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Markus Grossman for 5 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
2.4%
Tyler Johnston III run for 6 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
2.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
2.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for no gain Austin Watkins fumbled, recovered by AppSt Shaun JollySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25Uncategorized
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:2598% → 98%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
1.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 34Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 17
OWN 34
-1
2.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
SACK · Q3 6:16
Tyler Johnston III sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 7 yards Tyler Johnston III fumbled, recovered by AppSt Trey Cobb , return for 0 yards , return for 24 yds UAB Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the UAB 2 (Chandler Staton KICK)
-17.7
TD · Q3 12:14
Zac Thomas rush for no gain to the UAB 30, Zac Thomas fumbled, recovered by AppSt Darrynton Evans for a TD Darrynton Evans run for 31 yds, (Chandler Staton KICK)
-9
TD · Q3 0:44
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 27 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)
-8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com