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OSU

Ohio State 34 at Wisconsin 21

WIS
2019 · Week 15 · Dec 7, 2019 · Lucas Oil Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:46 · Justin Fields run for no gain to the Wisc 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior−32.3Home team on offense+0.8Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:42: J.K. Dobbins 2 Yd Run (Blake Haubeil Kick) — OSU win probability +10.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:10: Jack Coan 1 Yd Run (Zach Hintze Kick) — WIS win probability +9.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:21: Jeremy Ruckert 16 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Blake Haubeil Kick) — OSU win probability +14.9 pts (now 58%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:23: K.J. Hill 16 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Blake Haubeil Kick) — OSU win probability +19.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:09: K.J. Hill 13 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Blake Haubeil Kick) — OSU win probability +12.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 8:46OSU 4th & 7 at WIS 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    80.2%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:27WIS 4th & 7 at OSU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:45OSU 4th & 1 at WIS 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    75.7%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:20OSU 4th & 18 at WIS 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:06WIS 4th & 4 at OSU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:04OSU 4th & 9 at OSU 26, down 14
    Numbers favored punt by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.9%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:18WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:56WIS 4th & 15 at WIS 20, up 7
    Numbers favored punt by 3.6 ptsWent for it · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.1%−3.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    48.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:45OSU 4th & 4 at WIS 10, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%−0.5
    88% to make
    Punt
    40.2%−11.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:36WIS 4th & 21 at OSU 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−4.4
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    47.3%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:11WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.3
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:36WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:39OSU 4th & 7 at WIS 7, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−5.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:39WIS 4th & 2 at OSU 32, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−0.8
    51% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:35OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 42, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:57WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:41WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:42OSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:10WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:21OSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:23OSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:09OSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 2:0016% → 17%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+27
15.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 27 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
15.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
16.4%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+9
16.4%
Jack Coan run for 9 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
17.3%
Jonathan Taylor 44 Yd Run (Zach Hintze Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 41 yds · 4:1083% → 80%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
17.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 12 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
17.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
50
+6
17.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
17.8%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Luke FarrellSimilar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+7
18.0%
Justin Fields run for 7 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
18.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-10
18.7%
Justin Fields sacked by Keeanu Benton for a loss of 10 yards to the Wisc 45Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 18
OPP 45
+11
19.7%
Justin Fields run for 11 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 7
OPP 34
0
20.1%
Justin Fields run for no gain to the Wisc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:1820% → 22%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
20.4%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 9 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+5
21.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
21.5%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
21.7%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
22.2%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
22.0%
Anthony Lotti punt for 41 yds, downed at the OhSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 50 yds · 5:0778% → 73%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
22.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the OhSt 17Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+5
22.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+34
22.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 34 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
22.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
22.9%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+7
23.1%
Justin Fields run for 7 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+1
23.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
23.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the Wisc 34Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
23.8%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-8
24.5%
Justin Fields sacked by Matt Henningsen for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 42Similar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 18
OPP 42
0
26.6%
Drue Chrisman punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:3926% → 43%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
26.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+17
27.0%
Aron Cruickshank run for 17 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
28.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
28.3%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Cole Van Lanen) to the Wisc 36Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+6
27.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 6 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+17
28.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 17 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
30.4%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
30.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+4
30.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+5
30.9%
Danny Davis III run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
32.8%
Kendric Pryor run for 1 yd to the OhSt 29Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
33.5%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+9
33.1%
Jack Coan run for 9 yds to the OhSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
34.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the OhSt 14Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
42.7%
Jack Coan 14 Yd Run (Zach Hintze Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6FUMBLE
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:3560% → 59%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the OhSt 25Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
40.8%
Justin Fields sacked by Zack Baun for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 18Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+8
42.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+21
43.2%
Drue Chrisman pass complete to Luke Farrell for 21 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
41.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 21 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
40.7%
Justin Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+24
41.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 24 yds to the Wisc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
41.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Wisc 7Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
41.4%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 0
OPP 7
+3
41.5%
Justin Fields run for 3 yds to the Wisc 4 Justin Fields fumbled, forced by Isaiahh Loudermilk, recovered by Wisc Matt HenningsenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:4745% → 49%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
44.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
46.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+17
46.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 17 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
48.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
51.1%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
50.1%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jonathan TaylorSimilar
Q2 3:18
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+1
49.1%
Anthony Lotti punt for 34 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 1 yd to the OhSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 2:3651% → 62%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
49.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 11 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
49.1%
Justin Fields run for 7 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
48.6%
Justin Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+6
49.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 6 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
49.5%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
50.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+16
52.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 16 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+27
49.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 27 yds to the Wisc 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
48.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Wisc 2Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
38.5%
J.K. Dobbins 2 Yd Run (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:3144% → 61%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
44.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 45 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
47.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+24
50.1%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 24 yds to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.5%
Jack Coan 1 Yd Run (Zach Hintze Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
59.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3841% → 58%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
59.6%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q3 14:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+50
60.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 50 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
56.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 6 yds to the Wisc 16Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+16
41.6%
Jeremy Ruckert 16 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:2448% → 47%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
48.4%
Kendric Pryor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
49.0%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-9
47.8%
Jack Coan sacked by Jashon Cornell for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 20Similar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 15
OWN 20
-4
47.4%
Anthony Lotti run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 16 Anthony Lotti fumbled, recovered by Wisc Anthony LottiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1157% → 58%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
43.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 4 yds to the Wisc 12Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+2
43.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Wisc 10Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 4
OPP 10
0
46.1%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Luke FarrellSimilar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+27
42.0%
Blake Haubeil 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14MISSED FG
13 plays · 44 yds · 5:0946% → 50%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
46.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jahsen Wint) to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
48.1%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Mason StokkeSimilar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
47.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 41Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+26
48.4%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 11 yds to the WISCONSIN 48 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Damon Arnette) to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
51.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+2
52.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 2 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+8
51.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the OhSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
54.1%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyler Biadasz) to the OhSt 30Similar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 20
OPP 30
-2
54.3%
Jack Coan sacked by Zach Harrison for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 32Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 22
OPP 32
+1
53.6%
Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the OhSt 31Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 21
OPP 31
0
52.6%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 21
OPP 31
+48
49.6%
Zach Hintze 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:1351% → 73%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
49.0%
Justin Fields sacked by Jack Sanborn for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 30Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+4
50.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 4 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+10
50.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 10 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
47.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+17
45.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 17 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
45.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Wisc 31Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+15
45.7%
Fields, Justin pass incomplete to Mack, Austin, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Williams, Caesar) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
26.7%
K.J. Hill 16 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0633% → 32%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
33.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 5
OWN 20
-2
33.7%
Jack Coan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 18Similar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+5
32.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q3 0:11
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
31.9%
Anthony Lotti punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:5169% → 87%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
31.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
29.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
29.7%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-8
30.2%
Justin Fields sacked by Isaiahh Loudermilk for a loss of 8 yards to the OhSt 38Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 18
OWN 38
+28
33.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 28 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
28.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+12
27.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 12 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
26.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 2 yds to the Wisc 13Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
13.5%
K.J. Hill 13 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3216% → 11%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
15.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
15.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 25Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
13.8%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q4 10:36
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
11.3%
Anthony Lotti punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 5:5786% → 95%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
13.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+7
11.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
11.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+11
11.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 11 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
10.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+9
10.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
9.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 11 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
8.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Wisc 13Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+11
8.8%
Fields, Justin pass incomplete to Mack, Austin, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Hicks, Faion) 11 yards to the WISCONSIN2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q4 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
8.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the Wisc 2Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
8.7%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Jeremy RuckertSimilar
Q4 4:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
9.1%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Thayer Munford) to the Wisc 7Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
9.0%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Luke FarrellSimilar
Q4 4:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
5.3%
Blake Haubeil 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 37 yds · 1:597% → 6%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
7.3%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 17 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
7.8%
Jack Coan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
7.6%
Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+19
5.4%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 19 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
6.7%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Garrett GroshekSimilar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
6.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 9 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 1
OPP 31
-1
7.7%
Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 32Similar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 2
OPP 32
-6
5.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 6 yards to the OhSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:0497% → 98%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
3.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 39Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+3
2.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
2.4%
Justin Fields run for no gain to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 1:35
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
2.4%
Drue Chrisman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22Uncategorized
11 plays · 76 yds · 1:262% → 3%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
1.6%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+18
1.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 18 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
1.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 9 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+5
1.8%
Coan, Jack pass incomplete, PENALTY OHIOST offside (Young, Chase) 5 yards to the WISCONSIN46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.Similar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
1.7%
Jack Coan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
1.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 15 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
2.0%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
2.0%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 5 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+24
2.3%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 24 yds to the OhSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
2.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:23
K.J. Hill 16 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Blake Haubeil Kick)
-19.1
TD · Q3 13:21
Jeremy Ruckert 16 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Blake Haubeil Kick)
-14.9
TD · Q4 12:09
K.J. Hill 13 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Blake Haubeil Kick)
-12.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com