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UAB

UAB 6 at Florida Atlantic 49

FAU
2019 · Week 15 · Dec 7, 2019 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:03 · Daniel Leconte run for 2 yds to the UAB 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:25: BJ Emmons run for 1 yd for a TD UAB Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +1.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:32: Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 75 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +4.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:09: Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 18 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +6.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 4:59: Nick Vogel 36 yd FG GOOD — FAU win probability +6.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:26: Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 8 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +3.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UAB made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:54FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:04UAB 4th & 20 at UAB 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:25FAU 4th & 1 at UAB 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    69.4%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:45UAB 4th & 6 at FAU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:09UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:56FAU 4th & 8 at UAB 31, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:46UAB 4th & 13 at UAB 28, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:59UAB 4th & 12 at FAU 18, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−3.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:59FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 39, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:49UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 5, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 34, up 29
    Close callPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:25UAB 4th & 10 at FAU 38, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:02UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 32, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:57UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 25, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:28FAU 4th & 3 at UAB 27, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:51FAU 4th & 7 at UAB 20, up 36
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:11UAB 4th & 4 at FAU 49, down 43
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 5:25FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:32FAU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:09FAU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:26FAU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:57FAU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:51FAU Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
71.6%
Lucious Stanley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
71.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Austin Watkins for 10 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
71.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
71.3%
BJ Emmons run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+9
71.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 9 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
71.3%
BJ Emmons run for no gain to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
71.3%
Chris Robison run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
71.2%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
71.1%
Matthew Hayball punt for 44 yds, downed at the UAB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
70.9%
Dylan Hopkins run for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 14 Dylan Hopkins fumbled, recovered by UAB Dylan HopkinsSimilar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+3
70.9%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 12
OWN 17
-8
71.0%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Damian Horton for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 9Similar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 20
OWN 9
0
71.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:4171% → 73%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
71.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 5 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+3
71.3%
BJ Emmons run for 3 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+3
71.1%
BJ Emmons run for 3 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+18
71.2%
BJ Emmons run for 18 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
71.4%
BJ Emmons run for no gain to the UAB 22Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+20
71.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for 20 yds to the UAB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
71.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the UAB 2Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
71.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the UAB 1Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
71.2%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the UAB 1Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.1%
BJ Emmons run for 1 yd for a TD UAB Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:4027% → 30%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
72.8%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+2
72.5%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+15
72.7%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (Akileis Leroy) to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
72.1%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+14
72.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Austin Watkins for 14 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
72.0%
HOPKINS, Dylan pass incomplete to WATKINS, Austin, PENALTY FAU holding (BROWN, Da'Von) 10 yards to the FAU30, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
71.6%
BROWN, Spencer rush for 2 yards to the FAU28 (HORTON, Damian;LEROY, Akileis), PENALTY UAB illegal formation 5 yards to the FAU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 15
OPP 35
0
71.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+9
72.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 9 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
71.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Lucious StanleySimilar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+44
70.0%
Nick Vogel 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
74.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 75 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+21
73.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted Meiko Dotson return for 6 yds to the FlAtl 38 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal block (Hosea Barnwell V) to the FlAtl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:2775% → 82%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
74.7%
Malcolm Davidson run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+23
75.3%
Malcolm Davidson run for 23 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
75.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 14 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
75.7%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
75.7%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
81.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 18 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
81.3%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
80.9%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
80.9%
Lucious Stanley run for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-4
81.2%
UAB Penalty, false start (Hayden Pittman) to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
81.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10MISSED FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:0083% → 84%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
82.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo AntoineSimilar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+21
82.8%
Willie Wright run for 6 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Will Boler) to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
83.4%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+14
83.3%
Chris Robison run for 14 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
83.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete, broken up by Antonio MoultrieSimilar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
83.3%
BJ Emmons run for 2 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 8
OPP 31
-5
83.0%
ROBISON, Chris pass complete to RAINE, John for 16 yards to the UAB15 (TURNER, Dy'jonn), PENALTY FAU ineligible downfield on pass (WALTON, Brandon) 5 yards to the UAB36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 13
OPP 36
+5
82.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 5 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+49
84.2%
Vladimir Rivas 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11PUNT TD
4 plays · -3 yds · 2:1016% → 16%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-7
83.7%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Kevin McCrary for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 17
OWN 24
+2
84.2%
Larry Wooden run for 2 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 15
OWN 26
+2
84.3%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 13
OWN 28
+7
83.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt blocked by Tyrek Tisdale blocked by Tyrek Tisdale Eddie Williams return for 7 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12FG
7 plays · 57 yds · 1:4715% → 9%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
84.7%
Spencer Brown run for 11 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+48
84.1%
Tyler Johnston III run for 33 yds to the FLAATLANTC 31 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal use of hands (Ray Ellis) to the FlAtl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
82.3%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 18 Spencer Brown fumbled, forced by Akileis Leroy,Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 12
OPP 18
0
82.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 12
OPP 18
0
84.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+36
90.7%
Nick Vogel 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.0%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
92.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 11 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.2%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
92.1%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+3
91.9%
Chris Robison run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
91.6%
Matthew Hayball punt for 58 yds , Spencer Brown returns for no gain to the UAB 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:348% → 8%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
91.6%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 4Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 9
OWN 4
-2
91.7%
UAB Penalty, false start (Noah Wilder) to the UAB 2Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 11
OWN 2
0
91.7%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 2Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 11
OWN 2
+3
91.7%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 8
OWN 5
0
91.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 1:1694% → 98%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
94.1%
Brandon Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
94.0%
Malcolm Davidson run for 9 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+17
93.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 17 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
94.1%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison Bryant, broken up by Grayson CashSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
94.1%
Chris Robison run for 12 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
94.1%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Brandon RobinsonSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+5
94.1%
BJ Emmons run for 5 yds to the UAB 8Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
97.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 8 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.6%
Tyler Johnston III run for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+16
97.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 16 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
BJ Emmons run for no gain to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 9 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.1%
Matthew Hayball punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
98.6%
Tyler Johnston III run for 8 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
98.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+7
98.4%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.5%
Spencer Brown run for 8 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+19
98.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 19 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
98.4%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by Ray Ellis for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+4
98.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 4 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
98.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
98.5%
Gerrit Prince pass incomplete to Larry WoodenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.3%
Chris Robison pass intercepted Will Dawkins return for no gain to the UAB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-1
99.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-5
99.2%
UAB Penalty, false start (Lee Dufour) to the UAB 25Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+7
99.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Markus Grossman for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 5
OWN 32
+4
99.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 44 yds , Dante Cousart returns for 4 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 2:36100% → 100%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.5%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
99.5%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo Antoine, broken up by Dy'jonn TurnerSimilar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.5%
UAB Penalty, Defensive offside (Jordan Smith) to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+15
99.5%
UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jordan Smith) to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
99.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 9 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+11
99.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 11 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
99.5%
Malcolm Davidson run for 13 yds to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.5%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+16
99.5%
Malcolm Davidson run for 16 yds to the UAB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
Q3 6:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.4%
ROBISON, Chris rush for 1 yard to the UAB2 (FAIR, Tony), PENALTY UAB personal foul (SMITH, Jordan) 2 yards to the UAB1, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Garrett Marino) to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
BJ Emmons run for no gain to the UAB 1Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
BJ Emmons run for 1 yd for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Markus Grossman, broken up by Da'Von BrownSimilar
Q3 3:57
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 47 yds , Dante Cousart returns for 3 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 42 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.6%
Larry McCammon III run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+31
99.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 31 yds Willie Wright fumbled, forced by Grayson Cash, recovered by FlAtl for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.6%
Larry McCammon III run for 5 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+2
99.6%
Chauncey Mason run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
99.6%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:28
4TH & 3
OPP 27
0
99.6%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24INT
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:580% → 0%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.8%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Tyler Johnston III run for no gain to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 1:26
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+13
99.8%
Tyler Johnston III run for 13 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.8%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+27
99.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Thair Blakes for 12 yds to the FLAATLANTC 42 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, roughing passer (Akileis Leroy) to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
99.8%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+10
99.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted Chris Tooley return for 10 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:28100% → 100%
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 9 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+30
99.8%
Malcolm Davidson run for 30 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo AntoineSimilar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+18
99.8%
Chauncey Mason run for 18 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.9%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 8
OPP 21
-15
99.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (John Raine) to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 23
OPP 36
+11
99.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Chauncey Mason for 11 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 12
OPP 25
+5
99.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Chauncey Mason for 5 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Chauncey Mason for 20 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:400% → 0%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Spencer Brown run for 9 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
100.0%
Jonathan Haden run for 10 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
100.0%
Tyler Johnston III run for 1 yd to the UAB 46Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-4
100.0%
Jonathan Haden run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+9
100.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 9 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dante Cousart at the FlAtl 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 27END OF GAME
11 plays · 85 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
99.9%
Nick Tronti run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+3
99.9%
Daniel Leconte run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+32
99.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 32 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Daniel Leconte run for 3 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+10
99.9%
Nick Tronti run for 10 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Daniel Leconte run for 5 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+12
99.9%
Tyrek Tisdale run for 12 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
99.9%
Tyrek Tisdale run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+1
99.9%
Daniel Leconte run for 1 yd to the UAB 24Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+18
99.9%
Nick Tronti run for 18 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.9%
Daniel Leconte run for 2 yds to the UAB 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 4:59
Nick Vogel 36 yd FG GOOD
+6.7
TD · Q2 14:09
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 18 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q1 1:32
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 75 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com