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CIN

Cincinnati 24 at Memphis 29

MEM
2019 · Week 15 · Dec 7, 2019 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadCIN aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreCIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:34 · James Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Traveon Samuel at the Memph 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Pregame prior+17.9Home team on offense+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.1Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:37: Desmond Ridder run for 15 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK) — CIN win probability +10.1 pts (now 43%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:59: Brady White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +9.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:21: Michael Warren II run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK) — CIN win probability +16.5 pts (now 54%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 4:23: Sam Crosa 33 yd FG GOOD — CIN win probability +24.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:14: Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — MEM win probability +39.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CIN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:21MEM 4th & 8 at CIN 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    69.1%−1.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:05CIN 4th & 12 at midfield, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:34CIN 4th & 7 at CIN 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:52MEM 4th & 4 at MEM 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00MEM 4th & 29 at MEM 43, down 4
    Numbers favored punt by 4.3 ptsWent for it · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.3%−4.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:54MEM 4th & 12 at CIN 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−1.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:47MEM 4th & 14 at CIN 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−3.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−2.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:31CIN 4th & 5 at CIN 30, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:50MEM 4th & 17 at MEM 40, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−6.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:24CIN 4th & 1 at MEM 26, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.5%−0.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−17.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:23CIN 4th & 1 at MEM 16, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−4.7
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−22.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:26CIN 4th & 15 at MEM 26, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.7%
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    10.0%−3.7
    64% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−4.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CIN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:27CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:36MEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:37CIN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:59MEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:21CIN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:14MEM Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    82.8%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    84.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CINDrive 1TD
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:1827% → 28%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
73.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 10 yds to the Memph 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
72.9%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Memph 15Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
72.8%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
72.8%
Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Memph 15Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+5
72.9%
Crosa, Sam field goal attempt from 32 GOOD, clock 13:00, PENALTY MEMPHIS running into kicker (Claybrooks, Chris) 5 yards to the MEMPHIS10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CINCINNATI.Similar
Q1 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
72.6%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Memph 6Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
71.9%
Michael Warren II run for 6 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 3:3972% → 71%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
71.9%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 12 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
71.7%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 12 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
71.7%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 13 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
71.7%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 7 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+7
71.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 7 yds to the Cincy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
71.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 1 yd to the Cincy 23Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+8
71.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 8 yds to the Cincy 15Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
71.1%
Brady White run for 2 yds to the Cincy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
70.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cincy 11Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
70.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Joey MagnificoSimilar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
70.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+29
71.4%
Riley Patterson 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 3:1029% → 30%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
70.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 8 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
70.4%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
70.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
70.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 2 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+12
70.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 12 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
69.5%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
69.4%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tre TuckerSimilar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-2
69.5%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Austin Hall for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 12
50
0
70.1%
James Smith punt for 47 yds, downed at the Memph 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4TD
8 plays · 97 yds · 1:3969% → 72%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
69.2%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 5 yds to the Memph 8Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+2
69.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 2 yds to the Memph 10Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 3
OWN 10
0
68.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Antonio GibsonSimilar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 3
OWN 10
+5
68.3%
Williams, Adam punt 44 yards to the CINCINNATI46, Montgomery, Ryan return 4 yards to the CINCINNATI50, PENALTY CINCINNATI running into kicker (Kopaygorodsky, Michael) 5 yards to the MEMPHIS15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.Similar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
68.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the Memph 22Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+13
68.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 13 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
68.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+65
71.6%
Antonio Gibson run for 65 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:5428% → 28%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
71.7%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Bruno LabelleSimilar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+11
71.7%
Desmond Ridder run for 11 yds to the Cincy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
71.4%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Thomas GeddisSimilar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-10
71.5%
Warren II, Michael rush for 13 yards to the CINCINNATI46, PENALTY CINCINNATI holding (Labelle, Bruno) 10 yards to the CINCINNATI23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 20
OWN 23
0
71.8%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 20
OWN 23
+13
72.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 13 yds to the Cincy 36Similar
Q1 0:34
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
72.1%
James Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Traveon Samuel at the Memph 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:2371% → 70%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q1 0:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
71.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kenneth GainwellSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
70.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+1
70.4%
Adam Williams punt for 39 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 1 yd to the Cincy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:4529% → 29%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
71.1%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+2
70.9%
Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 34 Desmond Ridder fumbled, recovered by Cincy Desmond Ridder Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
71.4%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8PUNT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:4071% → 70%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
71.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
70.9%
Kenneth Gainwell run for no gain to the Memph 35Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
70.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kedarian JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:0029% → 30%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
70.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 8 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+1
70.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Cincy 36Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+3
70.2%
Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10PUNT
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:0170% → 70%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
70.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 15Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
70.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the Memph 15Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 7
OWN 15
0
69.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:1831% → 31%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
68.9%
Desmond Ridder run for 14 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
68.3%
Tre Tucker run for 2 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+2
68.5%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
68.7%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Thomas GeddisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:0271% → 70%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
70.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 9Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+7
70.3%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 7 yds to the Memph 16Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+4
69.7%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 4 yds to the Memph 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
70.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the Memph 23Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
70.4%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 3 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
69.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kenneth GainwellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 13TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:5829% → 43%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
70.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 15 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
70.3%
Michael Warren II run for 18 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-9
68.4%
Tre Tucker run for 1 yd to the Cincy 46 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Cincy 44Similar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 19
OWN 44
+32
70.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 32 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
67.4%
Michael Warren II run for 9 yds to the Memph 15Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 1
OPP 15
0
67.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+15
57.1%
Desmond Ridder run for 15 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14PUNT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:1262% → 60%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
61.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 31Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
60.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 12
OWN 31
0
59.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:3541% → 43%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
58.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 2 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+6
58.5%
Desmond Ridder run for 6 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+15
56.2%
Ridder, Desmond pass incomplete to Mbodj, Malick, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Claybrooks, Chris) 15 yards to the MEMPHIS45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CINCINNATI.Similar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
54.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
55.0%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Illegal Procedure (Daeshon Martin) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 13
OPP 48
0
56.8%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Malick MbodjSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16INT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:5659% → 57%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
59.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+19
58.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 19 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+30
59.5%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 30 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 12
OPP 40
-12
61.9%
Brady White sacked by Myjai Sanders for a loss of 12 yards to the Memph 48Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 24
OWN 48
0
58.4%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 24
OWN 48
-5
57.7%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 43Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 29
OWN 43
+70
57.0%
Brady White pass intercepted Ja'von Hicks return for 70 yds to the Memph 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4159% → 72%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
58.9%
Antonio Gibson run for 14 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
59.6%
Antonio Gibson run for 2 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+45
60.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 45 yds to the Cincy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
63.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the Cincy 1Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the Cincy 1Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.4%
Brady White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0931% → 54%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
68.9%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
68.9%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Lorenz Metz) to the Cincy 21Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+10
69.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 10 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
68.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 4 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
67.9%
Desmond Ridder run for 11 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
65.7%
Desmond Ridder run for 5 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+10
64.9%
Michael Warren II run for 10 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+31
64.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 31 yds to the Memph 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
63.0%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Memph 3Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
46.5%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:0653% → 57%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
53.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 24Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
52.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Joey MagnificoSimilar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+21
50.5%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 21 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
55.8%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
53.9%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 5
50
+18
55.5%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 18 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
57.3%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 34Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 12
OPP 34
0
56.3%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for no gain to the Cincy 34Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 12
OPP 34
0
51.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 12
OPP 34
+52
56.6%
Riley Patterson 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
55.7%
Desmond Ridder pass intercepted Chris Claybrooks return for no gain to the Memph 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21FG
11 plays · 31 yds · 3:4859% → 65%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
59.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Antonio GibsonSimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
58.5%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 11 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
61.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
61.2%
Antonio Gibson run for 8 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+5
61.7%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 5 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
60.9%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 6 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+5
62.4%
Antonio Gibson run for 5 yds to the Cincy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
62.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for no gain to the Cincy 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-4
61.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 32Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 14
OPP 32
0
56.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 14
OPP 32
+50
65.3%
Riley Patterson 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:1635% → 32%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
65.4%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Lorenz Metz) to the Cincy 20Similar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
65.7%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Cincy 25Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.5%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
65.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Bruno LabelleSimilar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
68.0%
James Smith punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Traveon Samuel at the Memph 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:3767% → 66%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
67.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Joey MagnificoSimilar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+20
68.5%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 20 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
72.2%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 1 yd to the Memph 48Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-1
71.8%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 47Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-7
68.9%
Brady White sacked by Cole Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 40Similar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 17
OWN 40
+30
65.7%
Adam Williams punt blocked by Wilson Huber blocked by Wilson HuberSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 24FG
14 plays · 54 yds · 5:3735% → 60%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
65.3%
Michael Warren II run for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 25Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+28
66.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 28 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
59.9%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
59.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 4 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
60.4%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
58.9%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+6
56.0%
Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
58.0%
Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Memph 26Similar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
61.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
56.8%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Memph 22Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+4
56.6%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Memph 18Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+2
59.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Memph 16Similar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+33
39.8%
Sam Crosa 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:5252% → 95%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
51.6%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 14 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
54.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 42 Patrick Taylor Jr. fumbled, recovered by Memph Scottie DillSimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+26
55.6%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 26 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
59.9%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the Cincy 29Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+9
59.9%
Antonio Gibson run for 9 yds to the Cincy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
59.8%
Antonio Gibson run for 1 yd to the Cincy 19Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+11
60.5%
Antonio Gibson run for 11 yds to the Cincy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
60.4%
Antonio Gibson run for 1 yd to the Cincy 7Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
59.3%
Antonio Gibson run for 1 yd to the Cincy 6Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.8%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 0:3410% → 11%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
90.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 30 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
87.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
87.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+24
88.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 24 yds to the Memph 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
81.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
82.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-5
86.7%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Lorenz Metz) to the Memph 26Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 15
OPP 26
0
87.7%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 15
OPP 26
0
89.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:14
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+39.3
FG · Q4 4:23
Sam Crosa 33 yd FG GOOD
-24
TD · Q3 7:21
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)
-16.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com