Try the model
BAY

Baylor 23 at Oklahoma 30

OU
2019 · Week 15 · Dec 7, 2019 · AT&T Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGFGFGTDFGFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameTD-18.9OU 69.2%Jacob Zeno pass complete to TrestanEbner for 81 yds for a TD (John MayersKICK)AWAY 20 - HOME 23 · Q4 9:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:41 · Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 81 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 142Pregame prior+4.3Home team on offense+3.1Garbage-time factor+0.3Score differential+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Time remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:59: Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 33 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +9.7 pts (now 35%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:09: Nick Basquine 18 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick) — OU win probability +13.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:41: Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 81 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +18.9 pts (now 31%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 3:25: John Mayers 27 yd FG GOOD — BAY win probability +14.6 pts (now 53%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Rhamondre Stevenson run for 5 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +16.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9BAY made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 13:22OU 4th & 1 at OU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:52BAY 4th & 7 at BAY 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:57BAY 4th & 14 at BAY 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:51OU 4th & 18 at BAY 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:25BAY 4th & 10 at BAY 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:45OU 4th & 19 at OU 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−1.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:27BAY 4th & 10 at BAY 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:20BAY 4th & 7 at OU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−3.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:06OU 4th & 18 at OU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−1.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:07BAY 4th & 14 at OU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    22.2%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:22OU 4th & 9 at OU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:08BAY 4th & 10 at OU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−1.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    32.3%−4.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:32BAY 4th & 9 at BAY 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:53OU 4th & 3 at BAY 6, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.7%−1.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−12.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:55BAY 4th & 10 at BAY 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−2.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:14BAY 4th & 15 at BAY 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−3.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:31OU 4th & 7 at BAY 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    76.4%−9.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:11OU 4th & 7 at BAY 44, up 3
    Close callPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    71.5%−3.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%−0.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:25BAY 4th & 3 at OU 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−6.4
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    16.6%−20.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:02OU 4th & 3 at BAY 47, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.5 ptsPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%−4.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BAY made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 9:31OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:59BAY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:09OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:41BAY Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.0%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3376% → 75%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
75.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
75.5%
CeeDee Lamb run for 2 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
75.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 4 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
75.2%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Grayland Arnold at the Bayl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:2225% → 25%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
75.2%
John Lovett run for 12 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-7
75.1%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Nik Bonitto for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 22Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 17
OWN 22
+3
75.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 3 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+7
74.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Christoph Henle for 7 yds to the Bayl 32Similar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+3
74.8%
Issac Power punt for 49 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 3 yds to the Okla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 1:0675% → 77%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+71
74.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 71 yds to the Bayl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
75.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Bayl 6Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
76.5%
Kennedy Brooks 6 Yd Run (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:3424% → 24%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
75.9%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (Rob Saulin) to the Bayl 20Similar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-1
76.0%
Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 19Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+2
76.0%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Bayl 21Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
76.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Chris PlattSimilar
Q1 7:57
4TH & 14
OWN 21
-2
76.4%
Issac Power punt for 38 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 39 CeeDee Lamb fumbled, recovered by Okla CeeDee LambSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:5776% → 76%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
76.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+13
76.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 13 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+26
76.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 26 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
76.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Bayl 19Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
76.9%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-8
76.7%
Jalen Hurts sacked by James Lockhart for a loss of 8 yards to the Bayl 27Similar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 18
OPP 27
+44
76.4%
Gabe Brkic 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 18
OWN 35
-15
76.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Marquis Hayes) to the Okla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1224% → 23%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
75.6%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Bayl 49Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-2
75.5%
John Lovett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 47Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
76.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
77.0%
Issac Power punt for 37 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:2877% → 76%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
77.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 2 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+17
76.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Brayden Willis for 17 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
77.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Okla 35Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
76.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-10
76.8%
Brooks, Kennedy rush for 11 yards to the OKLAHOMA48, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Hayes, Marquis) 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 18
OWN 27
-5
76.4%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Creed Humphrey) to the Okla 22Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 23
OWN 22
+4
76.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 19
OWN 26
0
76.1%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 42 yds, downed at the Bayl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:0423% → 22%
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
76.8%
Charlie Brewer run for 7 yds to the Bayl 39Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
76.6%
Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the Bayl 39Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 3
OWN 39
-7
76.9%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Kenneth Murray for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 32Similar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
78.2%
Issac Power punt for 39 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:3577% → 78%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
77.4%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Lee MorrisSimilar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+11
77.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 11 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-11
78.1%
Jalen Hurts sacked by James Lynch for a loss of 11 yards to the Okla 29 Jalen Hurts fumbled, forced by James Lynch, recovered by Bayl Terrel Bernard , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5624% → 25%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
75.6%
Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+5
75.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 5 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
76.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh FleeksSimilar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
75.4%
John Mayers 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11FUMBLE
12 plays · 15 yds · 4:0077% → 76%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
76.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-3
76.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 22Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+7
76.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
76.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 7 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+6
78.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
78.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-5
78.7%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Creed Humphrey) to the Okla 42Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-3
78.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 13
OWN 39
0
77.2%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Parnell MotleySimilar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 13
OWN 39
-5
76.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Tre Brown) to the Okla 34Similar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 18
OWN 34
+12
76.1%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 37 yds , Grayland Arnold returns for 12 yds to the Bayl 41 Grayland Arnold fumbled, forced by Delarrin Turner-Yell, recovered by Bayl JT WoodsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5524% → 23%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
75.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Christoph HenleSimilar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
76.0%
Gerry Bohanon run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 1
50
+9
75.0%
John Lovett run for 9 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
74.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 14
OPP 45
0
75.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Josh FleeksSimilar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 14
OPP 45
0
76.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q2 4:07
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
77.5%
Issac Power punt for 33 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
77.5%
Jalen Hurts pass intercepted Jordan Williams return for 5 yds to the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:5127% → 35%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
73.5%
Gerry Bohanon sacked by Neville Gallimore for a loss of 10 yards to the Okla 33Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 20
OPP 33
0
74.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 20
OPP 33
+33
65.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 33 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2469% → 66%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
68.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 2
OWN 21
-7
68.8%
Jalen Hurts sacked by James Lynch for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 14Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 9
OWN 14
0
66.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Nick BasquineSimilar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
66.0%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Grayland Arnold at the Bayl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 0:5938% → 40%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
62.4%
Gerry Bohanon run for 8 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+6
61.1%
Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
61.1%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
61.4%
Gerry Bohanon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+29
63.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 29 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
60.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to JaMycal HastySimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
60.7%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
61.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
59.9%
John Mayers 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
63.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2340% → 39%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
60.1%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Josh Fleeks for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 23Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
59.8%
Gerry Bohanon run for 3 yds to the Bayl 26Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
60.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (Xavier Newman) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
61.5%
Issac Power punt for 43 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 5:3361% → 67%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
61.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+19
62.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 19 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
63.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 4 yds to the Bayl 42Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+2
63.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+12
62.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Austin Stogner for 12 yds to the Bayl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
64.1%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Bayl 28Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+15
63.8%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 15 yds to the Bayl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
63.8%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Bayl 13Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
63.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Bayl 11Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+5
60.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Bayl 6Similar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+24
66.5%
Gabe Brkic 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4739% → 36%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.4%
JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the Bayl 25Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
61.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Chris PlattSimilar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
62.7%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
64.0%
Issac Power punt for 49 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:3965% → 82%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
64.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+6
64.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Nick Basquine for 6 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+17
64.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 17 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
68.2%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 17 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
68.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 10 yds to the Bayl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
68.8%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 2 yds to the Bayl 20Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+2
68.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Bayl 18Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+18
82.2%
Nick Basquine 18 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4023% → 19%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
77.3%
Gerry Bohanon run for 4 yds to the Bayl 20Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+13
77.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for 13 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
76.2%
JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 32Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 11
OWN 32
-1
78.8%
Gerry Bohanon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 31Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 12
OWN 31
-3
80.3%
Gerry Bohanon sacked by Jalen Redmond for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 28Similar
Q3 0:14
4TH & 15
OWN 28
0
81.2%
Issac Power punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:2987% → 87%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
86.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-2
86.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 46Similar
Q4 14:27
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+20
85.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 20 yds to the Bayl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
87.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Bayl 23Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-1
87.4%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 24Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+17
86.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 17 yds to the Bayl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
87.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Bayl 4Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
88.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 7Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
87.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Brayden WillisSimilar
Q4 10:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
86.9%
Gabe Brkic 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 24TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3712% → 31%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
88.1%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Isaiah Thomas for a loss of 6 yards to the Bayl 19Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+81
69.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 81 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:2273% → 74%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
72.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 9 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
74.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
73.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+14
75.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 14 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
77.0%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for no gain to the Bayl 47Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
76.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Bayl 46Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+2
75.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
73.9%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Grayland Arnold at the Bayl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 26FG
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:2131% → 53%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
68.8%
Zeno, Jacob pass complete to Mims, Denzel for 18 yards to the BAYLOR28, PENALTY BAYLOR ineligible downfield on pass (Keith, Khalil) 5 yards to the BAYLOR5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+78
71.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Chris Platt for 78 yds to the Okla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
60.1%
Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 18Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+8
61.0%
Trestan Ebner run for 8 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 3
OPP 10
0
61.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Chris PlattSimilar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
47.3%
John Mayers 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:1758% → 59%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
57.6%
Brooks, Kennedy rush for 11 yards to the OKLAHOMA36, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Proctor, R.J.) 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+31
57.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 31 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
62.5%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 2 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+5
62.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Bayl 47Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
61.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
58.8%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 46 yds, downed at the Bayl 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 28END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:5550% → 49%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
50.4%
Jacob Zeno run for 2 yds to the Bayl 3Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+2
50.7%
Jacob Zeno run for 2 yds to the Bayl 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 29TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 82%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
64.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 2 yds to the Bayl 23 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (Jordan Williams) to the Bayl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
64.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the Bayl 5Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
81.6%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 5 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 30Uncategorized
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0020% → 7%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
80.4%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
82.4%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-10
88.2%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Nik Bonitto and Jalen Redmond for a loss of 10 yards to the Okla 35Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 20
OPP 35
0
93.1%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:41
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 81 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)
-18.9
TD · OT 0:00
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 5 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)
+16.9
FG · Q4 3:25
John Mayers 27 yd FG GOOD
-14.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com