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UTAH

Utah 15 at Oregon 37

ORE
2019 · Week 15 · Dec 6, 2019 · Levi's Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:14 · Blake Maimone punt for 49 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for no gain to the Utah 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Home team on offense+3.5Pregame prior−11.0Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:02: Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 45 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +14.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:56: Camden Lewis 30 yd FG GOOD — ORE win probability +7.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:52: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 24 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +16.2 pts (now 29%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:13: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Huntley pass to Samson Nacua for Two-Point Conversion) — UTAH win probability +9.7 pts (now 27%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:09: CJ Verdell run for 70 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +9.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 6 of 10UTAH made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:43UTAH 4th & 1 at ORE 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    63.9%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:00UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:17ORE 4th & 5 at UTAH 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:56UTAH 4th & 6 at ORE 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    54.3%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:27ORE 4th & 29 at ORE 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−2.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:14ORE 4th & 2 at ORE 28, up 10
    Close callPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:12UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:59UTAH 4th & 2 at ORE 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    34.1%−2.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:17ORE 4th & 1 at UTAH 47, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.8%−3.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:56ORE 4th & 12 at UTAH 12, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−2.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    59.9%−10.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:15UTAH 4th & 15 at ORE 43, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    15.5%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:19ORE 4th & 5 at ORE 15, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:41ORE 4th & 27 at ORE 1, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−6.4
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:45UTAH 4th & 2 at midfield, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.7%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:56ORE 4th & 2 at UTAH 7, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.2%−1.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−11.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:45ORE 4th & 4 at ORE 30, up 8
    Close callPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:28UTAH 4th & 4 at ORE 40, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−2.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%−2.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:57UTAH 4th & 18 at UTAH 9, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:34ORE 4th & 4 at midfield, up 15
    Close callPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:56UTAH 4th & 19 at UTAH 16, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:00ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:02ORE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:52UTAH Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:13UTAH Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    22.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    22.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:09ORE Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.5
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:33ORE Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:0865% → 64%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
35.5%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
35.6%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
35.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 20 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
35.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 6 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+3
36.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Derrick Vickers for 3 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
36.2%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Oregn 33Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 1
OPP 33
0
36.5%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Oregn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:3537% → 42%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
36.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 32Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+5
36.8%
Herbert, Justin rush for 4 yards to the OREGON36, PENALTY UTAH offside (Anae, Bradlee) 5 yards to the OREGON37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+9
37.2%
Justin Herbert run for 9 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
37.5%
Justin Herbert run for 13 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
37.8%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 8 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+10
38.3%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 10 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
38.6%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
38.6%
Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+12
38.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 12 yds to the Utah 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
41.6%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5459% → 58%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
41.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
41.5%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
41.9%
Ben Lennon punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jevon Holland at the Oregn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4FG
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:3542% → 45%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
42.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 9 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+50
42.7%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 50 yds to the Utah 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
43.1%
Justin Herbert run for 1 yd to the Utah 1Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
43.4%
CJ Verdell run for no gain to the Utah 1Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
43.6%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Hunter Kampmoyer) to the Utah 6Similar
Q1 4:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
43.9%
Penei Sewell run for 1 yd to the Utah 5Similar
Q1 4:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
44.6%
Camden Lewis 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:1157% → 54%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+28
43.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 18 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Defensive Holding (Nick Pickett) to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
42.8%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+4
43.9%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+3
44.6%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q1 2:09
4TH & 1
OPP 38
-5
45.5%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Hunter Thedford) to the Oregn 43Similar
Q1 1:56
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
46.0%
Ben Lennon punt blocked by Kayvon Thibodeaux blocked by Kayvon ThibodeauxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -19 yds · 0:2347% → 46%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
47.3%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-5
47.2%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Penei Sewell) to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 15
OPP 48
0
46.9%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Juwan JohnsonSimilar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 15
OWN 38
-14
46.2%
Justin Herbert sacked by Devin Lloyd for a loss of 14 yards to the OREGON 38 OREGON Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Justin Herbert) to the Oregn 38Similar
Q1 1:27
4TH & 29
OWN 38
0
45.5%
Blake Maimone punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7INT
2 plays · 42 yds · 0:3953% → 54%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+42
46.7%
Zack Moss run for 42 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
45.9%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted, touchback. Brady Breeze return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:2147% → 47%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
47.3%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Calvin Throckmorton) to the Oregn 15Similar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
47.3%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Juwan Johnson, broken up by Jaylon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 0:22
2ND & 15
OWN 15
-3
46.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 12Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+16
46.3%
CJ Verdell run for 16 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
46.6%
Blake Maimone punt for 49 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for no gain to the Utah 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5552% → 49%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
48.1%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
48.6%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
50.2%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 12:12
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+2
51.0%
Ben Lennon punt for 46 yds , Jevon Holland returns for 2 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:0250% → 65%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
49.5%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Bryan Addison for 5 yds to the Oregn 35Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+5
50.2%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Leki Fotu) to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
51.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 15 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
65.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 45 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:4739% → 38%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
61.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 20 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
60.5%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Oregn 37Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
61.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+6
61.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 6 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q2 8:59
4TH & 2
OPP 31
0
62.3%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Oregn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 3:5567% → 85%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
67.2%
CJ Verdell run for 13 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
68.9%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
67.8%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+5
67.2%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 5 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+5
67.0%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+33
69.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 33 yds to the Utah 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
70.1%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Shane Lemieux) to the Utah 14Similar
Q2 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+7
77.4%
Herbert, Justin pass incomplete to Johnson III, Johnny, PENALTY UTAH holding (Nurse, Josh) 7 yards to the UTAH7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.Similar
Q2 5:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
76.2%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for no gain to the Utah 7Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
77.0%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 5:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
76.1%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Calvin Throckmorton) to the Utah 12Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
77.4%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III, broken up by Terrell BurgessSimilar
Q2 4:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
85.0%
Camden Lewis 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:3421% → 18%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
79.1%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
78.1%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
79.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 10 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
79.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 14 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
78.9%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 43Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 15
OPP 43
0
81.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 15
OPP 43
0
82.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
82.4%
Ben Lennon punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jevon Holland at the Oregn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 16 yds · 2:0088% → 89%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
88.4%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Oregn 12Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+13
89.1%
CJ Verdell run for 13 yds to the Oregn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
89.3%
Justin Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 24Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
89.1%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2589% → 89%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
88.9%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 13Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+2
89.4%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 15Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
89.4%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Juwan JohnsonSimilar
Q3 13:19
4TH & 5
OWN 15
+1
88.8%
Blake Maimone punt for 39 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for 1 yd to the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:1912% → 29%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
88.5%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 7
50
+15
86.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 15 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
86.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
86.6%
Jaylen Dixon run for no gain to the Oregn 35Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+11
87.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 11 yds to the Oregn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
71.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 24 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 1:0376% → 76%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
75.7%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to CJ VerdellSimilar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
77.1%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 21Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 7
OWN 21
-20
76.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 20 yards to the Oregn 1 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Oregn Justin HerbertSimilar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 27
OWN 1
0
75.9%
Blake Maimone punt for 57 yds, downed at the Utah 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4925% → 24%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
74.9%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Popo Aumavae for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 39Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+1
77.2%
Derrick Vickers run for 1 yd to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+10
77.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 2
50
0
76.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari Simpkins, broken up by Thomas Graham Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:4181% → 88%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
50
+24
81.1%
CJ Verdell run for 24 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
81.4%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 1 yd to the Utah 25Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
82.4%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+10
81.2%
CJ Verdell run for 10 yds to the Utah 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
83.5%
Justin Herbert run for 8 yds to the Utah 7Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 2
OPP 7
0
83.7%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 2
OPP 7
0
83.2%
CJ Verdell run for no gain to the Utah 7Similar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+25
87.9%
Camden Lewis 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3616% → 27%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
83.8%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 23Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
84.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 9 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
84.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 5 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
84.2%
Huntley, Tyler rush for 17 yards to the OREGON46, PENALTY UTAH holding (Thedford, Hunter) 10 yards to the UTAH27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+48
84.0%
Zack Moss run for 33 yds to the OREGON 40 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tevin Jeannis) to the Oregn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
82.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Devin Brumfield for 1 yd to the Oregn 24Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-1
82.4%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 25Similar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+25
72.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Huntley pass to Samson Nacua for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1579% → 78%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
78.6%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q3 0:33
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+3
78.9%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
78.6%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Bryan AddisonSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+4
77.8%
Blake Maimone punt for 44 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for 4 yds to the Utah 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 5:1123% → 19%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
77.0%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-5
77.4%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Braeden Daniels) to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+7
79.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 7 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+5
78.8%
Huntley, Tyler pass complete to Enis, Solomon for 2 yards to the UTAH36, PENALTY OREGON offside (Thibodeaux, Kayvon) 5 yards to the UTAH39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
76.3%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
77.5%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Bryson Young for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 39Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 14
OWN 39
+15
79.9%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to Dixon, Jaylen, PENALTY OREGON pass interference (Wright, Mykael) 15 yards to the OREGON46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
75.9%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 48Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 12
OPP 48
-8
78.1%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Kayvon Thibodeaux and Isaac Slade-Matautia for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 20
OWN 44
+16
82.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 16 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
80.8%
Ben Lennon punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jevon Holland at the Oregn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 2:1384% → 96%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
84.2%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Bryan Addison for 9 yds to the Oregn 19Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+2
84.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 2 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
85.0%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+7
86.4%
CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+70
95.5%
CJ Verdell run for 70 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:556% → 5%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
94.2%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Kayvon Thibodeaux for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 9Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 18
OWN 9
0
95.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 18
OWN 9
0
95.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q4 5:57
4TH & 18
OWN 9
0
95.3%
Ben Lennon punt for 58 yds, downed at the Oregn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 2:1696% → 98%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
96.1%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 6 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+1
96.8%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 1 yd to the Oregn 40Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+4
96.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 4 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
97.3%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 2 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
97.7%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 2 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+2
98.1%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 4
50
0
98.0%
Blake Maimone punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:071% → 1%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.0%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted Troy Dye return for 1 yd to the Utah 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 27TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:4198% → 100%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
98.4%
Justin Herbert run for 4 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+31
99.8%
CJ Verdell run for 31 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 28DOWNS
7 plays · -18 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
99.8%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Kayvon Thibodeaux for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 17Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-5
99.8%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 12Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 23
OWN 12
-6
99.8%
Huntley, Tyler pass complete to Moss, Zack for 25 yards to the UTAH37, PENALTY UTAH holding (Umana, Orlando) 6 yards to the UTAH6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 29
OWN 6
+10
99.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 10 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 19
OWN 16
-9
99.8%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Troy Dye and La'Mar Winston Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · -25 yds · 0:18100% → 100%
Q4 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 12Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
-15
99.8%
OREGON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 27
-5
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:52
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 24 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
-16.2
TD · Q2 11:02
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 45 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)
+14
TD · Q3 1:13
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Huntley pass to Samson Nacua for Two-Point Conversion)
-9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com