Try the model
GRAM

Grambling 9 at UL Monroe 31

ULM
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Malone Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadGRAM aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreGRAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-1ULM 92.0%Garrett Urban 41 yd FG GOODAWAY 9 - HOME 17 · Q2 0:07
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:07 · Garrett Urban 41 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Pregame prior+30.8Home team on offense+6.5Score differential+2.3Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:31: Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Lyndon Rash for 15 yds for a TD, (Garrett Urban PAT MISSED) — GRAM win probability +1.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: GRAM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:07: Garrett Urban 41 yd FG GOOD — GRAM win probability +1.0 pts (now 8%) (top driver: GRAM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:59: Austin Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Meeks KICK) — ULM win probability +2.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:21: Timeout GRAMBLING, clock 02:21 — ULM win probability +1.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GRAM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:52: Josh Johnson 37 Yd Run (Jacob Meeks Kick) — ULM win probability +2.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GRAM made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:27GRAM 4th & 3 at ULM 23, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.0%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:47ULM 4th & 7 at GRAM 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:47GRAM 4th & 6 at GRAM 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:10GRAM 4th & 13 at ULM 43, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:16ULM 4th & 14 at GRAM 23, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:07GRAM 4th & 10 at ULM 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:59ULM 4th & 1 at GRAM 1, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    89.6%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    86.0%−5.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:59GRAM 4th & 6 at ULM 27, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:25ULM 4th & 5 at GRAM 29, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:11GRAM 4th & 29 at ULM 41, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:52GRAM 4th & 4 at ULM 4, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    -1.0%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:50ULM 4th & 3 at GRAM 27, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:38GRAM 4th & 4 at ULM 44, down 22
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GRAM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:42ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:31GRAM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:50ULM Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:59ULM Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:52ULM Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GRAMDrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 2:334% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
96.3%
GRAMBLING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Gramb 30Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
96.3%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+1
96.3%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Darqueze Brutton for 1 yd to the Gramb 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+5
96.3%
Hickbottom,Ger. pass complete to Davis,De'Vante for 9 yards to the GRAM40 (Straughter, C;Webster, T), PENALTY ULM offside (Louis, D) 5 yards to the GRAM36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+34
96.3%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Quintin Guice for 34 yds to the LaMon 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.1%
Charles Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
96.1%
Charles Wright pass complete to Darqueze Brutton for 7 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
96.1%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
95.8%
Garrett Urban 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2MISSED FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:4096% → 95%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
95.9%
Austin Vaughn run for 1 yd to the LaMon 24Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+3
95.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 3 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+27
95.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 27 yds Markis McCray fumbled, forced by Devanir Martin, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
95.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 10 yds to the Gramb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
95.9%
Austin Vaughn run for no gain to the Gramb 32Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+11
95.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 11 yds to the Gramb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
95.9%
Austin Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Gramb 18Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
95.4%
Austin Vaughn run for no gain to the Gramb 18Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
95.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for no gain to the Gramb 18Similar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
95.0%
Jacob Meeks 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
94.8%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 6 yds to the Gramb 26Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
94.8%
Kevin Dominique run for 3 yds to the Gramb 29Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
94.8%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Dorrell James for no gain to the Gramb 29Similar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-5
94.9%
GRAMBLING Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Gramb 24Similar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
94.9%
Miguel Mendez punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Gramb 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:1195% → 95%
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
94.6%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (Markis McCray) to the LaMon 49Similar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+51
95.2%
Josh Johnson 51 Yd Run (Jacob Meeks Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 5TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 5:115% → 7%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
95.1%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 18 yds to the Gramb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
95.0%
Kevin Dominique run for 5 yds to the Gramb 47Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+6
94.9%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Raylon Richardson for 6 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
94.9%
Kevin Dominique run for 14 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
94.8%
Kevin Dominique run for 6 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+3
94.7%
Kevin Dominique run for 3 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+4
94.8%
Justin Richard run for 4 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
94.7%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Kalif Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 21Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
94.8%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+11
94.4%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Raylon Richardson for 11 yds to the LaMon 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
94.1%
GRAMBLING Penalty, illegal participation (Kalif Jackson) to the LaMon 15Similar
Q1 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
0
94.2%
Geremy Hickbottom run for no gain to the LaMon 15Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
92.7%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Lyndon Rash for 15 yds for a TD, (Garrett Urban PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:4194% → 95%
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
93.5%
Johnson, J rush for 8 yards to the ULM41 (Fields,Dan.;Lodge,Xavier), PENALTY GRAM encroachment (Dillard,Cody) 5 yards to the ULM38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 38
+2
93.6%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+10
93.6%
Isaiah Phillips run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
93.7%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+9
93.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 9 yds to the Gramb 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+25
93.7%
Isaiah Phillips run for 25 yds to the Gramb 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
94.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 16 yds for a TD, (Jacob Meeks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 3:406% → 6%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
94.2%
Kevin Dominique run for 6 yds to the Gramb 44Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
94.0%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Devante Davis for 5 yds to the Gramb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
94.0%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Devante Davis for no gain to the Gramb 49Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
94.1%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Kevin Dominique for 2 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+9
94.1%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Dequarius Thomas for 9 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
93.9%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Dequarius Thomas, broken up by Tyler GlassSimilar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-3
93.9%
Kevin Dominique run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 43Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 13
OPP 43
0
94.3%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Raylon RichardsonSimilar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 13
OPP 43
0
93.9%
Miguel Mendez punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
93.3%
Isaiah Phillips run for 4 yds to the LaMon 13Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+2
93.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Perry Carter Jr. for 2 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+13
93.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 13 yds to the LaMon 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
93.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
93.3%
Isaiah Phillips run for 3 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+3
93.2%
Caleb Evans pass intercepted Danquarian Fields return for 3 yds to the Gramb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 9INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
93.1%
Justin Richard run for 3 yds to the Gramb 48Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+1
92.9%
Justin Richard run for 1 yd to the Gramb 49Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+29
93.0%
Charles Wright pass intercepted Chase Day return for 13 yds to the ULMONROE 38 UL MONROE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Rashaad Harding) to the LaMon 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:1493% → 94%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
93.2%
Austin Vaughn run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
50
+1
93.5%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd to the Gramb 49Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+5
93.5%
Evans, C pass complete to McCray, M for 4 yards to the GRAM45 (Richardson,Cam.;Freeman,Donald), PENALTY GRAM offside (Freeman,Donald) 5 yards to the GRAM44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+2
93.5%
Austin Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Gramb 42Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+6
93.3%
Austin Vaughn run for 6 yds to the Gramb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
93.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 17 yds to the Gramb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
93.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 20Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 11
OPP 20
-5
93.6%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Gramb 25Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 16
OPP 25
-3
93.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jakyle Holmes for a loss of 3 yards to the Gramb 28Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 19
OPP 28
+5
93.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Zach Jackson for 5 yds to the Gramb 23Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 14
OPP 23
+40
93.6%
Jacob Meeks 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 11FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 1:096% → 8%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
93.9%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Jakarie Nichols for 17 yds to the Gramb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
93.6%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Donald Johnson III for 7 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+12
92.9%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 12 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
92.6%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Jakarie Nichols for 10 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
92.5%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Devante DavisSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
92.7%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Donald Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
93.1%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Raylon RichardsonSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+41
92.0%
Garrett Urban 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
92.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:0192% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
92.4%
Austin Vaughn run for 1 yd to the LaMon 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+54
92.4%
Markis McCray run for 39 yds to the ULMONROE 36 for a 1ST down GRAMBLING Penalty, personal foul (Devanir Martin) to the Gramb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+18
93.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brandius Batiste for 18 yds to the Gramb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
93.2%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the Gramb 1Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
93.2%
UL MONROE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Gramb 6Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
93.2%
Austin Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Gramb 2Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
92.8%
Austin Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Gramb 1Similar
Q3 11:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.0%
Austin Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Meeks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 56 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
94.6%
Keilon Elder run for 7 yds to the Gramb 29Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+7
94.2%
Keilon Elder run for 7 yds to the Gramb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
94.3%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 6 yds to the Gramb 42Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+6
94.0%
Keilon Elder run for 6 yds to the Gramb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
94.0%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 6 yds to the ULMONROE 46 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cortez Sisco Jr.) to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
93.6%
Kevin Dominique run for 4 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
93.4%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Devante DavisSimilar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
93.8%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Lyndon RashSimilar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+5
94.2%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 5 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
95.1%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+6
95.1%
Jabari Johnson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+8
94.9%
Caleb Evans run for 8 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Zach JacksonSimilar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+13
95.3%
Jabari Johnson run for 13 yds to the Gramb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
95.4%
Evans, C pass incomplete to Batiste, B, PENALTY GRAM unsportsmanlike conduct (Mullins,Anferne) 15 yards to the GRAM34, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
95.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 2 yds to the Gramb 32Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-5
95.4%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Gramb 37Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+5
95.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 5 yds to the Gramb 32Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+3
95.2%
Jabari Johnson run for 3 yds to the Gramb 29Similar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 5
OPP 29
0
94.9%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Zach JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 3:006% → 4%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
94.4%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Donald Johnson III for 2 yds to the Gramb 31Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
94.4%
Jakarie Nichols run for no gain to the Gramb 31Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+17
94.8%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Devante Davis for 17 yds to the Gramb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
94.0%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 11 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
93.8%
UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive offside (John Washington) to the LaMon 36Similar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 5
OPP 36
+14
93.6%
Jakarie Nichols run for 14 yds to the LaMon 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
93.2%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Devante Davis for 8 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 2
OPP 14
-2
93.2%
Jakarie Nichols run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 16Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 4
OPP 16
0
93.7%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Devante DavisSimilar
Q3 2:11
4TH & 4
OPP 0
-15
95.4%
Hickbottom,Ger. pass complete to Rash,Lyndon for 16 yards to the ULM0, clock 02:11, PENALTY GRAM holding (Franklin,Edgard) 10 yards to the ULM26, NO PLAY, PENALTY GRAM personal foul (Davis,De'Vante) 15 yards to the ULM41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:11
4TH & 29
OPP 41
0
96.0%
Miguel Mendez punt for 38 yds, downed at the LaMon 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17TD
7 plays · 97 yds · 2:0897% → 99%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+26
96.7%
Jabari Johnson run for 26 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
96.8%
Jabari Johnson run for 12 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
96.9%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Markis McCraySimilar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-1
96.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 40Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+5
96.7%
Evans, C pass intercepted by Fields,Dan. at the ULM47, Fields,Dan. return to the ULM47, PENALTY GRAM offside (Mullins,Anferne) 5 yards to the ULM45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+18
96.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 18 yds to the Gramb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.2%
Josh Johnson 37 Yd Run (Jacob Meeks Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 18DOWNS
11 plays · 86 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
99.1%
Geremy Hickbottom run for a loss of 5 yards to the Gramb 5Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 15
OWN 5
+1
99.1%
Keilon Elder run for 1 yd to the Gramb 6Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 14
OWN 6
+14
99.1%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Devante Davis for 14 yds to the Gramb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.1%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 9 yds to the Gramb 29Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+10
99.0%
Keilon Elder run for 10 yds to the Gramb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+51
99.0%
Keilon Elder run for 51 yds to the LaMon 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
98.9%
Jakarie Nichols run for 6 yds to the LaMon 4Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.9%
Jakarie Nichols run for no gain to the LaMon 4Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.9%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Raylon Richardson, broken up by Corey StraughterSimilar
Q4 14:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.0%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Dorrell James, broken up by Rashaad HardingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 69 yds · 3:3299% → 100%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
99.3%
Jabari Johnson run for 9 yds to the LaMon 13Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+16
99.3%
Jabari Johnson run for 16 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.4%
Isaiah Phillips run for 2 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+1
99.4%
Isaiah Phillips run for 1 yd to the LaMon 32Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+18
99.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
50
+9
99.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jabari Johnson for 9 yds to the Gramb 41Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+7
99.4%
Caleb Evans run for 7 yds to the Gramb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.7%
Jabari Johnson run for no gain to the Gramb 34Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
99.7%
Colby Suits run for 7 yds to the Gramb 27Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
99.7%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Zach JacksonSimilar
Q4 6:50
4TH & 3
OPP 27
0
99.6%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Zach JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.6%
Darqueze Brutton run for 4 yds to the Gramb 31Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+19
99.6%
Darqueze Brutton run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
50
0
99.5%
Darqueze Brutton run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 10
50
0
99.5%
Darqueze Brutton run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 10
50
+6
99.6%
Kevin Dominique run for 6 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Miguel Mendez punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.8%
Isaiah Phillips run for 1 yd to the LaMon 21Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
99.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Malik Jackson for 3 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-2
99.8%
Isaiah Phillips run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:52
Josh Johnson 37 Yd Run (Jacob Meeks Kick)
+2.4
TD · Q3 11:59
Austin Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Meeks KICK)
+2.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:21
Timeout GRAMBLING, clock 02:21
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com