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ULM

UL Monroe 30 at Louisiana 31

UL
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:41 · Jared Porter punt for 48 yds , Eric Garror returns for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+30.8Home team on offense+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.7Blowout margin+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:24: Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 47 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter KICK) — ULM win probability +9.5 pts (now 25%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:17: Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 40 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter KICK) — ULM win probability +13.2 pts (now 31%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:34: Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for 2 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +9.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:56: Austin Vaughn run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter PAT MISSED) — ULM win probability +29.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:21: Stevie Artigue 27 yd FG GOOD — UL win probability +25.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 11ULM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00ULM 4th & 8 at UL 24, tied
    Close callWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    10.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:02UL 4th & 6 at ULM 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    88.7%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:02ULM 4th & 16 at ULM 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:34UL 4th & 23 at UL 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:03UL 4th & 2 at UL 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:41ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:04UL 4th & 21 at ULM 31, up 7
    Close callPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−1.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    85.6%
    54% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:24UL 4th & 1 at UL 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:52ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00UL 4th & 12 at UL 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−1.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:27ULM 4th & 2 at UL 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%−0.8
    74% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−6.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:20UL 4th & 3 at ULM 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.3%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:34UL 4th & 2 at ULM 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    72.3%−2.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    63.0%−11.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:05ULM 4th & 6 at UL 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−10.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00UL 4th & 9 at ULM 38, up 4
    Close callPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    78.4%−0.5
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:45UL 4th & 9 at ULM 42, down 2
    Close callWent for it · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.9%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    40.7%
    30% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−4.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:21UL 4th & 4 at ULM 10, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−27.5
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−45.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:43ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.9%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ULM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:02UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:03ULM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:41UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:24ULM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:28UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:17ULM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:34UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:56ULM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−1.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1INT
10 plays · 51 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
90.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Johnson for 26 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
90.8%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (Josh Johnson) to the LaMon 46Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+4
90.8%
Austin Vaughn run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
50
+14
90.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 14 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
90.8%
Austin Vaughn run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
90.8%
Austin Vaughn run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
90.8%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Austin VaughnSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
90.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Zach Jackson for no gain to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+54
90.8%
Caleb Evans pass intercepted Bralen Trahan return for 54 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:1990% → 90%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
90.0%
Raymond Calais run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 41Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+5
90.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 5 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
90.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Raymond CalaisSimilar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+36
90.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 36 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.1%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Zach Jackson, broken up by Eric GarrorSimilar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
90.1%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 20Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
90.1%
Josh Johnson run for 7 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-8
90.2%
Caleb Evans sacked by Kris Moncrief for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 19Similar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
90.2%
Jared Porter punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
90.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for 2 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-5
90.1%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+3
89.9%
Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-13
89.9%
Levi Lewis sacked by Cortez Sisco Jr. for a loss of 13 yards to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 23
OWN 25
+15
89.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 38 , Perry Carter Jr. returns for 15 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:1711% → 14%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
89.4%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 39Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+5
89.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Zach Jackson for 5 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+6
89.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Tyler Lamm for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
50
+21
89.2%
Markis McCray run for 6 yds to the ULLAFAYTTE 44 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, personal foul (Cameron Solomon) to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
89.0%
Josh Johnson run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+3
89.0%
Perry Carter Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
86.2%
Caleb Evans run for 19 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.1%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
87.1%
Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
87.1%
Raymond Calais run for no gain to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
86.9%
Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds, downed at the LaMon 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1414% → 14%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
86.1%
Caleb Evans run for no gain to the LaMon 26 Caleb Evans fumbled, recovered by LaMon Caleb Evans , return for 2 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
86.1%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+1
86.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 1 yd to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
86.1%
Jared Porter punt for 72 yds, downed at the LaLaf 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 4:0386% → 88%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+26
85.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for 26 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
86.0%
Levi Lewis run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+5
86.3%
UL MONROE Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
86.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 16 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
86.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 7 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+10
86.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Calif Gossett for 10 yds to the LaMon 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
86.9%
Lewis, Levi rush for 5 yards to the ULM25, out-of-bounds (Newton, Josh), PENALTY LA illegal block (Williams, Jalen) 15 yards to the ULM45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 25
OPP 45
+3
86.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 3 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 22
OPP 42
+42
88.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 42 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0012% → 13%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
87.6%
Josh Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaMon 12Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 4
OWN 28
-6
87.9%
Jared Porter punt for 48 yds , Eric Garror returns for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+10
87.6%
Caleb Evans run for 10 yds to the LaMon 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
87.4%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Jonathan Hodoh, broken up by Michael Jacquet IIISimilar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
87.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 6 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
87.5%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Zach JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:3187% → 86%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
87.4%
Raymond Calais run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+4
87.8%
Raymond Calais run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
87.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 21 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
88.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 18 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
87.5%
Lewis, Levi pass incomplete to Bradley, Ja'Marcus, PENALTY LA ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, PENALTY ULM pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
88.3%
Raymond Calais run for 11 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
88.3%
Raymond Calais run for 2 yds to the LaMon 18Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+6
88.3%
Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the LaMon 12Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+1
88.0%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the LaMon 11Similar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 16
OPP 26
-5
86.8%
LOUISIANA Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 4:04
4TH & 21
OPP 31
0
86.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 31 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:3414% → 25%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
86.2%
Caleb Evans run for 24 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
85.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Tyler Lamm for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 4
50
+3
84.7%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+47
75.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 47 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeblancSimilar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
79.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 2:24
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
79.2%
Rhys Byrns punt for 44 yds, downed at the LaMon 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:3723% → 23%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
77.0%
Caleb Evans run for 8 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 2
OWN 30
0
75.7%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+1
76.8%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+51
77.1%
Jared Porter punt for 51 yds , Eric Garror returns for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14TD
1 play · 83 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+83
85.7%
Raymond Calais run for 83 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15END OF HALF
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:2115% → 14%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
85.3%
Josh Johnson run for 7 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
85.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Jonathan Hodoh, broken up by Bralen TrahanSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+9
85.8%
Josh Johnson run for 9 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
86.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Johnson for 26 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-3
86.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 5Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 5
0
85.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeblancSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 5
+1
85.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 6
+22
84.8%
Rhys Byrns punt for 45 yds , Perry Carter Jr. returns for 22 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0018% → 16%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
82.5%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Markis McCraySimilar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
82.8%
Josh Johnson run for no gain to the LaLaf 29 UL MONROE Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+8
83.8%
Caleb Evans run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+1
84.2%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
85.6%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
85.5%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+22
84.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 22 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
86.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
86.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jarrod JacksonSimilar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+1
86.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Nick Ralston for 1 yd to the LaMon 48Similar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+2
85.6%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaMon 46 LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:3817% → 31%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
83.0%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 41Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+15
84.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 15 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
82.6%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Zach JacksonSimilar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
82.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+40
69.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 40 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:4375% → 87%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+74
74.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 74 yds to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.7%
Raymond Calais run for no gain to the LaMon 1Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
78.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 2Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
77.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the LaMon 2Similar
Q3 5:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for 2 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21FG
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:2916% → 25%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
83.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 9 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 1
OWN 23
0
82.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for no gain to the LaMon 23Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+2
83.8%
Josh Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
83.6%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (Zach Jackson) to the LaMon 20Similar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
83.7%
Josh Johnson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
83.6%
Caleb Evans run for 11 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
82.8%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Tyler LammSimilar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-7
83.0%
Kayin White run for 3 yds to the LaMon 40 UL MONROE Penalty, Offensive holding (Bobby Reynolds) to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+66
83.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Perry Carter Jr. for 66 yds to the LaLaf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
79.5%
Kayin White run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
79.5%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
80.9%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q3 0:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
74.6%
Jared Porter 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 0:0579% → 79%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
79.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
80.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+11
81.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 11 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
82.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-5
82.7%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 40
-5
81.8%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (Kevin Dotson) to the LaMon 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 45
+8
80.6%
Trey Ragas run for 8 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 37
-1
81.3%
Levi Lewis sacked by Sam Miller for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 38Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
78.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 37 yds, downed at the LaMon 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23TD
8 plays · 99 yds · 3:2124% → 59%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
76.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 3 yds to the LaMon 4Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+9
76.4%
Josh Johnson run for 9 yds to the LaMon 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+53
75.5%
Josh Johnson run for 53 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
69.2%
Austin Vaughn run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
68.5%
Caleb Evans run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+5
68.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 5 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+4
70.1%
Austin Vaughn run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
41.1%
Austin Vaughn run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24FG
18 plays · 62 yds · 6:3556% → 80%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
55.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Nick Ralston, broken up by Tyler GlassSimilar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+8
55.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 8 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+7
57.5%
Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
59.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+2
60.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+5
59.0%
Lewis, Levi pass incomplete to Gossett, Calif, PENALTY ULM offside defense (White, Ivin) 5 yards to the ULM48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+5
60.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
61.6%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the LaMon 42Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
61.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Nick Ralston for no gain to the LaMon 42Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
59.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus Bradley, broken up by Austin HawleySimilar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 9
OPP 42
+14
47.6%
Levi Lewis run for 14 yds to the LaMon 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
57.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 12 yds to the LaMon 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
57.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaMon 13Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+3
57.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaMon 10Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 4
OPP 10
0
54.2%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus Bradley, broken up by Josh NewtonSimilar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+27
79.7%
Stevie Artigue 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 25MISSED FG
17 plays · 57 yds · 1:1931% → 35%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
68.9%
Caleb Evans sacked by Lorenzo McCaskill and Jacques Boudreaux for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 24Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
69.4%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+21
71.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 21 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
64.0%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (Zach Jackson) to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+9
69.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 9 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
62.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Jonathan Hodoh, broken up by Jacques BoudreauxSimilar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
64.1%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 6
OWN 49
+7
68.9%
Caleb Evans run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
61.1%
TEAM pass incomplete, PENALTY LA substitution infraction 5 yards to the LA39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+4
60.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 4 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+17
62.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 17 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+35
64.8%
Jared Porter 35 yd FG MISSED UL MONROE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the LaLaf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
93.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:56
Austin Vaughn run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter PAT MISSED)
-29
FG · Q4 1:21
Stevie Artigue 27 yd FG GOOD
+25.5
TD · Q3 8:17
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 40 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter KICK)
-13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com