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UL

Louisiana 37 at South Alabama 27

USA
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:41 · Elijah Mitchell run for 13 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior−17.1Home team on offense−6.8Score differential−3.7Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:51: Jared Wilson run for 1 yd Jared Wilson fumbled, forced by Mekhi Garner, recovered by SAlab Kawaan Baker for a TD (Frankie Onate KICK) — USA win probability +17.6 pts (now 36%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 2:44: Stevie Artigue 20 yd FG GOOD — UL win probability +6.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:51: Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd for a TD (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +13.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:12: Trey Ragas run for 23 yds for a TD (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +6.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:48: Tra Minter run for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — USA win probability +6.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UL 4th & 9 at USA 18, tied
    Close callWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    94.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:16UL 4th & 5 at USA 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:28UL 4th & 2 at UL 33, down 4
    Close callPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:39USA 4th & 6 at USA 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:47USA 4th & 10 at UL 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:41UL 4th & 8 at USA 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−8.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:41USA 4th & 2 at USA 30, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:44UL 4th & 2 at USA 2, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.2%−2.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−15.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:44USA 4th & 15 at UL 47, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−3.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:41UL 4th & 1 at UL 39, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.4%−5.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:51USA 4th & 4 at USA 47, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.1%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:50UL 4th & 10 at USA 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    93.5%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:41USA 4th & 7 at USA 19, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 6:28USA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:19UL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:44USA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:30UL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:51UL Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:12UL Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:48USA Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.3 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    8.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.7%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1FG
17 plays · 66 yds · 5:4496% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
3.7%
Raymond Calais run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
3.7%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+11
3.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for 11 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
3.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for 3 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
3.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
50
0
3.7%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
50
-5
3.7%
Byrns, Rhys punt 41 yards to the USA9, Minter, Tra return to the USA11 (Johnson, Brennd), PENALTY LA roughing the kicker 5 yards to the USA45, 1ST DOWN LA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+26
3.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 26 yds to the SAlab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
3.7%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-4
3.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 23
+5
3.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the SAlab 18Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+9
3.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 9 yds to the SAlab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
3.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the SAlab 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
3.7%
Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
3.7%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
5.0%
Stevie Artigue 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:485% → 7%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
5.0%
Tra Minter run for 18 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
5.1%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 7
50
+8
5.1%
Kawaan Baker run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
5.2%
Desmond Trotter run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+9
5.1%
Carlos Davis run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+15
5.1%
Trotter,Desmond pass incomplete to Wayne, Jalen, PENALTY LA roughing passer (Mapieu, Masry) 15 yards to the LA20, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
6.6%
Carlos Davis run for 20 yds for a TD (Frankie Onate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
6.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
6.2%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
6.3%
Trey Ragas run for no gain to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q1 6:28
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
6.4%
Rhys Byrns punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tra Minter at the SAlab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
7.0%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
7.1%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Tra MinterSimilar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
6.9%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
6.8%
Jack Brooks punt for 42 yds, downed at the LaLaf 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:2893% → 93%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
7.4%
Raymond Calais run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 39 Raymond Calais fumbled, forced by Riley Cole,Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+9
7.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
7.2%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
7.2%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+18
7.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 18 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
7.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 2 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+11
7.0%
Levi Lewis run for 11 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
7.0%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the SAlab 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
8.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Trey RagasSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+7
8.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 7 yds to the SAlab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
7.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 9 yds for a TD (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:358% → 14%
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
8.2%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Brandon Crum) to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
8.2%
Carlos Davis run for 14 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
8.6%
Tra Minter run for 8 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
8.7%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+1
8.7%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Tra Minter for 1 yd to the SAlab 46Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+14
8.5%
Desmond Trotter run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
8.8%
Trotter,Desmond rush for loss of 14 yards to the USA46, fumble forced by Manac, Chauncey, fumble by Trotter,Desmond recovered by USA McCulloch, Josh at USA47, PENALTY LA illegal helmet contact (Moncrief, Kris) 15 yards to the LA25, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
9.0%
Tra Minter run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+12
9.0%
Carlos Davis run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
13.8%
Jared Wilson run for 4 yds for a TD (Frankie Onate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7TD
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:1489% → 90%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
11.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeblancSimilar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+13
11.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 13 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
11.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 8 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+13
11.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 13 yds to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
11.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the SAlab 1Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Hunter Bergeron for 1 yd for a TD (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8MISSED FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:4312% → 14%
Q2 7:30
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+7
12.1%
Damean Bivins run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
12.1%
Carlos Davis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+7
12.4%
Tra Minter run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
12.4%
Jared Wilson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+4
12.4%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 3
OPP 19
-7
11.9%
Desmond Trotter run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 16 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding (Zac Crosby) to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
11.9%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
11.0%
Tra Minter run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, personal foul (Ferrod Gardner) to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
12.0%
Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+43
14.4%
Frankie Onate 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Bennie HigginsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:1187% → 88%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
13.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 14 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
12.5%
Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+12
12.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 12 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
12.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 3 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
12.3%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
12.5%
Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
14.7%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
14.6%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 1 yd to the SAlab 21Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+20
14.2%
Tra Minter run for 20 yds to the SAlab 41 Tra Minter fumbled, forced by Percy Butler, recovered by LaLaf Asjlin Washington , return for 1 yd to the SAlab 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11Uncategorized
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-8
13.0%
Levi Lewis sacked by Rocel McWilliams for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 5:0915% → 36%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
15.2%
Kawaan Baker run for 4 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+5
15.4%
Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+4
15.7%
Carlos Davis run for 4 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
15.7%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
15.5%
Desmond Trotter run for 6 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+4
16.2%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 4 yds Cade Sutherland fumbled, forced by Percy Butler, recovered by SAlab Cade Sutherland for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+21
17.2%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 21 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+18
17.9%
Carlos Davis run for 18 yds to the LaLaf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
17.9%
Desmond Trotter run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
35.5%
Jared Wilson run for 1 yd Jared Wilson fumbled, forced by Mekhi Garner, recovered by SAlab Kawaan Baker for a TD (Frankie Onate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:1071% → 71%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
29.3%
Raymond Calais run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
27.6%
Raymond Calais run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+5
27.5%
Raymond Calais run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+44
27.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 44 yds to the SAlab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
25.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the SAlab 7Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
25.4%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 8Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
26.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus Bradley, broken up by Travis ReedSimilar
Q3 6:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
29.2%
Stevie Artigue 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
31.2%
Tra Minter run for 6 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 4
OWN 28
-10
31.8%
Minter, Tra rush for 8 yards to the USA36 (Solomon, Camero), PENALTY USA holding (Albritton, Roy) 10 yards to the USA18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+9
30.7%
Tra Minter run for 9 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+3
30.3%
Desmond Trotter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q3 6:41
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+72
29.7%
Jack Brooks punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 4 , Eric Garror returns for 72 yds to the SAlab 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4072% → 77%
Q3 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
27.8%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 5Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
27.8%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
29.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the SAlab 2Similar
Q3 2:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
22.9%
Stevie Artigue 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
26.3%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the SAlab 22Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+36
26.1%
Carlos Davis run for 36 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
30.7%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
30.5%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-6
29.4%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Kam Pedescleaux for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 15
OPP 47
0
24.7%
Jack Brooks punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17TD
19 plays · 85 yds · 7:1275% → 91%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
25.3%
Raymond Calais run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+13
25.4%
Raymond Calais run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
24.7%
Raymond Calais run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+1
23.5%
Nick Ralston run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
23.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+13
26.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 13 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
23.8%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeblancSimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
24.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jamal BellSimilar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+11
25.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 11 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
23.8%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the SAlab 32Similar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 5
OPP 32
+3
22.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+2
22.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
22.6%
Raymond Calais run for 7 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+6
22.6%
Raymond Calais run for 6 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
22.6%
Raymond Calais run for 9 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+3
22.6%
Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
22.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the SAlab 1 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Riley Cole) to the SAlab 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd for a TD (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
12.0%
Tra Minter run for 6 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
12.6%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Zac Crosby for 10 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
13.2%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 42Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+2
12.9%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+3
12.6%
Desmond Trotter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
12.3%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Carlos DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 1:1291% → 98%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
8.7%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+20
8.7%
Trey Ragas run for 20 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
1.9%
Trey Ragas run for 23 yds for a TD (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:243% → 10%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.0%
Carlos Davis run for no gain to the SAlab 25Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
3.0%
Desmond Trotter run for 11 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+53
3.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 53 yds to the LaLaf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
9.5%
Tra Minter run for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:5695% → 96%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
5.3%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 45Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+3
4.9%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+3
4.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Nick Ralston for 3 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 5
OPP 39
-5
3.7%
LOUISIANA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 44Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
3.8%
Rhys Byrns punt for 41 yds, downed at the SAlab 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22END OF GAME
10 plays · 49 yds · 1:334% → 4%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
3.6%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+13
3.5%
Tra Minter run for 13 yds to the SAlab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
3.7%
Desmond Trotter run for 8 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 2
OWN 24
-11
4.0%
Trotter,Desmond pass incomplete to Wayne, Jalen, PENALTY USA holding (Ankerson, Brian) 11 yards to the USA13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+6
3.7%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 6 yds to the SAlab 19Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
3.6%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker, broken up by Jacques Boudreaux SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 7
OWN 19
+25
3.4%
Desmond Trotter run for 25 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
3.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 14 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-6
3.7%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Ferrod Gardner and Chauncey Manac for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:51
Jared Wilson run for 1 yd Jared Wilson fumbled, forced by Mekhi Garner, recovered by SAlab Kawaan Baker for a TD (Frankie Onate KICK)
+17.6
TD · Q4 7:51
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd for a TD (Stevie Artigue KICK)
-13.6
TD · Q4 4:12
Trey Ragas run for 23 yds for a TD (Stevie Artigue KICK)
-6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com