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ULM

UL Monroe 29 at Georgia Southern 51

GASO
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:41 · Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Home team on offense+26.8Pregame prior+4.1Score differential+19.9Garbage-time factor+7.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:00: Shai Werts run for 24 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +5.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:37: Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 33 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +9.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:41: Caleb Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Jared Porter KICK) — ULM win probability +9.6 pts (now 23%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:25: J.D. King run for 6 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +9.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:15: Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 1 yd for a TD (Caleb Evans pass to Josh Pederson for Two-Point Conversion) — ULM win probability +8.1 pts (now 11%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 8 of 8ULM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:07ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.1%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:56GASO 4th & 12 at GASO 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:53ULM 4th & 11 at ULM 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:29GASO 4th & 5 at ULM 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    64.0%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:29ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:00ULM 4th & 5 at GASO 39, down 10
    Close callPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    26.0%−0.8
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:40GASO 4th & 9 at GASO 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:40ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:30GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 36, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:00ULM 4th & 6 at GASO 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    11.4%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:34GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 9, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:01ULM 4th & 14 at ULM 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−2.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:19GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:41ULM 4th & 1 at GASO 20, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−1.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:15GASO 4th & 1 at ULM 1, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−4.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:48ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 26, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 11:07GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:56ULM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:00GASO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:37GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:41ULM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:25GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:41GASO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:15ULM Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:48GASO Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:20ULM Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.0%
J.D. King run for no gain to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.0%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+1
67.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 1 yd to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+8
67.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 44 yds , Perry Carter Jr. returns for 8 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
66.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Zach Jackson for 4 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+32
66.6%
Caleb Evans pass intercepted Rashad Byrd return for 32 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 1:1467% → 68%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
67.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for no gain to the LaMon 21Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+10
67.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 10 yds to the LaMon 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
68.3%
Shai Werts run for 11 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:1132% → 36%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.8%
Josh Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
67.7%
Caleb Evans run for 5 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
67.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
67.6%
Josh Johnson run for no gain to the LaMon 39Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
67.6%
Josh Johnson run for 8 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
67.5%
Austin Vaughn run for 1 yd to the LaMon 48Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+3
67.6%
Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
67.4%
Caleb Evans run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+5
67.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 5 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
67.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 4 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+14
67.2%
Josh Johnson run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
67.2%
Austin Vaughn run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+14
67.2%
Caleb Evans run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
64.2%
Austin Vaughn run for 3 yds for a TD (Jared Porter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
65.7%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 20 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
66.5%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
66.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 5
50
-7
66.4%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
65.2%
Anthony Beck II punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Perry Carter Jr. at the LaMon 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
65.4%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 9Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 9
OWN 9
-2
65.4%
Josh Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 7Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 11
OWN 7
0
65.9%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q1 2:53
4TH & 11
OWN 7
0
66.2%
Jared Porter punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the LaMon 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:0067% → 67%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
66.8%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+9
66.7%
J.D. King run for 9 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+5
66.6%
J. King rush for no gain to the ULM34 (Miller, Sam), PENALTY ULM offside 5 yards to the ULM29, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
67.1%
J.D. King run for 15 yds to the LaMon 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
67.1%
Matt LaRoche run for 3 yds to the LaMon 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+2
67.1%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the LaMon 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
66.6%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to J.D. KingSimilar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+26
66.6%
Tyler Bass 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.4%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Zach Jackson, broken up by Monquavion BrinsonSimilar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.5%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
66.9%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Zach Jackson, broken up by Lane EctonSimilar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
67.5%
Jared Porter punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 3:3066% → 74%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
66.2%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
66.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for no gain to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+30
65.7%
J.D. King run for 30 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
67.8%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 11 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
68.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the LaMon 24 Wesley Kennedy III fumbled, forced by Kerry Starks, recovered by GeoSo Wesley Kennedy IIISimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+24
74.0%
Shai Werts run for 24 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:0027% → 28%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
73.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 21 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
71.8%
Josh Johnson run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
71.5%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+6
71.8%
Caleb Evans run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
71.7%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
72.4%
Jared Porter punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0074% → 72%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
73.9%
Matt LaRoche run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
73.8%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-2
73.0%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 26 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal forward pass (Shai Werts) to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
72.3%
Anthony Beck II punt for 52 yds , Perry Carter Jr. returns for no gain to the LaMon 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
74.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 10 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
73.5%
Josh Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+1
73.2%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd to the LaMon 40Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
73.7%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Josh Johnson, broken up by Reynard EllisSimilar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
74.8%
Jared Porter punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:1375% → 87%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
74.9%
Shai Werts run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
75.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+5
75.1%
Malik Murray run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+7
75.1%
Shai Werts run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
76.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 8 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+1
77.4%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the LaMon 47Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+1
76.5%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
77.4%
Shai Werts pass complete to Dexter Carter Jr. for 13 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
87.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 33 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
84.3%
Caleb Evans sacked by Traver Vliem for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.5%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
85.2%
Josh Johnson run for no gain to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
85.8%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete, broken up by Jay BowdrySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
86.0%
Jared Porter punt for 51 yds, downed at the GeoSo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
86.2%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+9
86.2%
Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
86.3%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
86.6%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-3
86.2%
Wesley Kennedy III run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 41 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 5
OWN 41
-5
85.3%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
85.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Perry Carter Jr. at the LaMon 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 3:1911% → 23%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+49
88.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Perry Carter Jr. for 49 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
86.5%
Caleb Evans run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
86.2%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
87.3%
Josh Johnson run for no gain to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+13
87.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Johnson for 13 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
86.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 15 yds to the GeoSo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
86.2%
Austin Vaughn run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.6%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Jared Porter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
81.2%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 4
OWN 10
-1
81.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 5
OWN 9
0
80.2%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Darion AndersonSimilar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 5
OWN 9
0
79.5%
Anthony Beck II punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Perry Carter Jr. at the LaMon 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0020% → 17%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
80.0%
Caleb Evans run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 4
50
+2
78.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 2 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 2
OPP 48
-12
79.4%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 12 yards to the LaMon 40Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
82.9%
Jared Porter punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
82.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 13 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
83.1%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+3
82.6%
Matt LaRoche run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
81.9%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to J.D. KingSimilar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+5
81.3%
A. Beck II punt 48 yards to the ULM20, fair catch by Carter, Perry, PENALTY ULM roughing the kicker 5 yards to the GS37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
81.8%
Anthony Beck II punt for 51 yds , Perry Carter Jr. returns for no gain to the LaMon 6 Perry Carter Jr. fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Randy Wade Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:4486% → 95%
Q3 1:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
85.7%
J.D. King run for no gain to the LaMon 6Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.7%
J.D. King run for 6 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22INT TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:446% → 2%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Zach Jackson for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
93.1%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+42
97.9%
Caleb Evans pass intercepted for a TD Donald Rutledge Jr. return for 42 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:262% → 11%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+46
98.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Perry Carter Jr. for 46 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
97.5%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
97.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 5 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 5
OPP 24
-5
97.7%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (Josh Johnson) to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+9
97.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Johnson for 9 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q4 14:41
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+2
97.7%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
97.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 17 yds to the GeoSo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 1 yd for a TD (Caleb Evans pass to Josh Pederson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 9:2795% → 100%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
95.4%
J.D. King run for no gain to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
95.4%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
95.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
95.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+12
95.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 12 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
95.8%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+15
95.8%
W. Kennedy III rush for loss of 4 yards to the ULM42 (Hawley, Austin), PENALTY ULM face mask (Hawley, Austin) 15 yards to the ULM23, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
95.8%
J.D. King run for 11 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
95.8%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the LaMon 10 UL MONROE Penalty, face mask (5 yards) (Kerry Starks) to the LaMon 5Similar
Q4 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
95.8%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the LaMon 3Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
95.8%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 5Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
95.7%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the LaMon 1Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+11
95.2%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 6 yards to the LaMon 1 Shai Werts fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Shai Werts , return for 2 yds to the LaMon 0 UL MONROE Penalty, personal foul (Austin Hawley) to the LaMon 1Similar
Q4 2:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 25TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:281% → 4%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.4%
Caleb Evans sacked by Raymond Johnson III for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 21Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
99.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Austin Vaughn for 5 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.4%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Perry Carter Jr.Similar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+22
99.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 22 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Zach JacksonSimilar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Kayin White for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 8
50
+22
99.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Zach Jackson for 22 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Zach JacksonSimilar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
99.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Zach JacksonSimilar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+12
99.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jahquan Bloomfield for 12 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
95.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 16 yds for a TD (Jared Porter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
Austin Vaughn run for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:37
Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 33 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)
+9.6
TD · Q3 6:41
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Jared Porter KICK)
-9.6
TD · Q3 0:25
J.D. King run for 6 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)
+9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com