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UL

Louisiana 48 at Coastal Carolina 7

CCU
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 7, 2019 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:14 · Myles Prosser punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Home team on offense−23.0Pregame prior−19.9Score differential−11.3Garbage-time factor−5.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:19: Levi Lewis 6 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +0.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:31: Trey Ragas 1 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +2.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:17: Neal Johnson 1 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +5.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:47: Stevie Artigue 21 Yd Field Goal — UL win probability +0.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:50: Jalen Williams 10 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +2.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UL made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:00CCU 4th & 6 at UL 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:52CCU 4th & 15 at UL 38, down 14
    Close callPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    18.9%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:39CCU 4th & 17 at CCU 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:47UL 4th & 4 at CCU 4, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:14CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.7
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:07CCU 4th & 9 at CCU 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:30CCU 4th & 16 at UL 36, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    42% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:54CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 32, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:22UL 4th & 10 at CCU 10, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:19UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:31UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:17UL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:50UL Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:55UL Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:24UL Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:58CCU Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 3:2483% → 83%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
16.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for 14 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
16.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 7 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+3
16.9%
Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
17.2%
Lewis, Levi pass incomplete to Williams, Jalen, PENALTY COASTALCAR pass interference 15 yards to the COASTALCAR27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ULLAFAYTTE.Similar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
17.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+7
17.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 7 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+11
17.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 11 yds to the CCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
17.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the CCaro 6Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
17.3%
Levi Lewis 6 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2MISSED FG
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:0018% → 19%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
17.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 36 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
18.1%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 4 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+14
18.5%
CJ Marable run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
18.7%
Jacqez Hairston run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
19.0%
Jacqez Hairston run for no gain to the LaLaf 17 Jacqez Hairston fumbled, recovered by CCaroSimilar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
18.9%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
18.6%
Massimo Biscardi 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:0582% → 84%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
18.3%
Ragas, Trey rush for 6 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE26, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE holding (Robinson, Rico) 10 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+4
18.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for 4 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+2
18.7%
Levi Lewis run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+31
18.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 31 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
18.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 13 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
18.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 17 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
18.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 5 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+7
18.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Raymond Calais for 7 yds to the CCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
18.5%
Raymond Calais run for 10 yds to the CCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
16.2%
Trey Ragas 1 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4PUNT
14 plays · 45 yds · 5:0817% → 17%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
16.6%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+6
16.7%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
16.8%
CJ Marable run for 8 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+4
17.1%
Bryce Carpenter run for 4 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
17.4%
CJ Marable run for 6 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+4
17.5%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
17.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jeremiah MillerSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
17.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Reese White for 8 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+8
17.7%
Baden Pinson run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
17.8%
Ky'Jon Tyler run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 15
OPP 38
0
17.3%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to CJ MarableSimilar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 15
OPP 38
0
17.2%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to CJ Marable for no gain to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 15
OPP 38
0
16.9%
Myles Prosser punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:2784% → 91%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
16.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for 9 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
15.8%
Raymond Calais run for no gain to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
15.7%
Raymond Calais run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
15.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+21
15.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 21 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
15.1%
Levi Lewis run for 8 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+4
14.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for 4 yds to the CCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
14.6%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeblancSimilar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-5
14.6%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Shane Vallot) to the CCaro 36Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+5
14.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Calif Gossett for 5 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+21
15.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 21 yds to the CCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
14.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 9 yds to the CCaro 1Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.2%
Neal Johnson 1 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:1811% → 10%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
10.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Deon Fountain for 1 yd to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
10.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jai WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-8
10.4%
Bryce Carpenter sacked by Zi'Yon Hill for a loss of 8 yards to the CCaro 18Similar
Q2 5:39
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
10.3%
Myles Prosser punt for 41 yds, downed at the LaLaf 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7FG
16 plays · 55 yds · 4:4391% → 93%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
9.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Hunter Bergeron for 17 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
8.6%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+4
8.5%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 3
OPP 35
-5
8.4%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Shane Vallot) to the CCaro 40Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+15
8.5%
Lewis, Levi pass incomplete to Bradley, Ja'Marcus, PENALTY COASTALCAR personal foul (Spillum, Alex) 15 yards to the COASTALCAR25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ULLAFAYTTE.Similar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
8.0%
Trey Ragas run for 11 yds to the CCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
7.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 7 yds to the CCaro 7Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+1
7.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the CCaro 6Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+3
7.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the CCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
6.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Nick Ralston for 2 yds to the CCaro 1Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
6.5%
Levi Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 4Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
7.4%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jarrod JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
7.2%
Stevie Artigue 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:2311% → 10%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
11.3%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
11.5%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 29Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
12.7%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
10.2%
Myles Prosser punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
7.0%
Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:438% → 8%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
8.3%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 26Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
8.1%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jeremiah MillerSimilar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
8.0%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
8.0%
Myles Prosser punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jamal Bell at the LaLaf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:0394% → 97%
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
6.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for 2 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
6.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 9 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
5.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 8 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+8
5.6%
Raymond Calais run for 8 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
5.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Calif GossettSimilar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
5.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+28
5.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 28 yds to the CCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
2.9%
Jalen Williams 10 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12DOWNS
14 plays · 37 yds · 5:155% → 2%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
5.0%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+9
4.7%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (9 Yards) to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
4.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
4.2%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Shadell Bell for 5 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+13
4.0%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Shadell Bell for 13 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
4.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 8 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
4.5%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+4
4.4%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
2.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Shadell BellSimilar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
2.6%
Bryce Carpenter run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 8
OPP 28
-8
2.2%
Bryce Carpenter sacked by Joe Dillon for a loss of 8 yards to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 16
OPP 36
+3
2.0%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:2198% → 99%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
1.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+10
1.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 10 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
1.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 17 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
1.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+21
0.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 21 yds to the CCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
0.6%
Ja'Marcus Bradley 10 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14FUMBLE
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:071% → 0%
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.6%
Jacqez Hairston run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
0.5%
Jacqez Hairston run for 4 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
0.5%
Baden Pinson run for 5 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
0.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Ky'Jon TylerSimilar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-4
0.4%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to CJ Marable for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 35Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+15
0.4%
Carpenter, Bryce pass complete to Tyler, Ky'Jon for no gain to the COASTALCAR35, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE roughing passer (Butler, Percy) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COASTALCAR.Similar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
50
+2
0.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 48 Bryce Carpenter fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Zi'Yon HillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15TD
1 play · 52 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
0.5%
Chris Smith 52 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.3%
CJ Marable run for 8 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
0.3%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Shadell BellSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 2
OWN 42
-1
0.3%
CJ Marable run for 9 yds to the CCaro 42 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Shadell Bell) to the CCaro 32Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
0.3%
Bryce Carpenter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:54
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
0.3%
Myles Prosser punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chris Smith at the LaLaf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:23100% → 100%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+21
0.5%
Chris Smith run for 21 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
0.4%
Jai'ave Magalei pass complete to Calif Gossett for 7 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+11
0.3%
Jai'ave Magalei pass complete to Brian Smith Jr. for 11 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
0.3%
Jai'ave Magalei pass incomplete to Brian Smith Jr.Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
0.3%
Jai'ave Magalei pass complete to Brian Smith Jr. for 9 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
0.3%
Jai'ave Magalei run for 2 yds to the CCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
0.3%
Ashton Johnson run for 8 yds to the CCaro 14Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 2
OPP 14
0
0.3%
Jai'ave Magalei pass incomplete to Ashton JohnsonSimilar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+4
0.2%
Ashton Johnson run for 4 yds to the CCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
0.2%
Ashton Johnson run for 2 yds to the CCaro 8Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
0.2%
Chris Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 10Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
0.2%
Jai'ave Magalei pass incomplete to Brian Smith Jr.Similar
Q4 8:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
0.3%
Stevie Artigue 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:090% → 0%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.2%
Fred Payton run for 6 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
0.1%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
0.1%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
0.1%
Fred Payton pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 8 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+10
0.1%
Fred Payton pass complete to Deon Fountain for 10 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
0.1%
Baden Pinson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+44
0.1%
Sam Denmark 44 Yd pass from Fred Payton (Massimo Biscardi Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19END OF 4TH QUARTER
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:43100% → 100%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
50
+4
0.1%
Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+16
0.1%
Chris Smith run for 16 yds to the CCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
0.1%
Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+1
0.1%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+16
0.1%
Jai'ave Magalei pass complete to Cassius Allen for 16 yds to the CCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
0.1%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the CCaro 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:17
Neal Johnson 1 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Stevie Artigue Kick)
-5.5
TD · Q1 3:31
Trey Ragas 1 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)
-2.3
TD · Q3 11:50
Jalen Williams 10 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Stevie Artigue Kick)
-2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com