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APP

App State 30 at South Alabama 3

USA
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:48 · Jack Brooks punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Pregame prior−6.4Home team on offense−54.9Score differential−39.0Garbage-time factor−21.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−14.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 12:15: Chandler Staton 19 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +0.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:36: Tra Minter run for 6 yds to the SAlab 26 — USA win probability +1.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:03: Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +4.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 3:45: Chandler Staton 46 yd FG GOOD — APP win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:48: Raykwon Anderson run for 67 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 9 of 12APP made the numbers' call on 5 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00APP 4th & 2 at APP 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:50USA 4th & 10 at USA 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 13:21APP 4th & 12 at APP 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:33USA 4th & 8 at USA 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:06USA 4th & 1 at USA 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:56APP 4th & 4 at USA 20, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.5%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00APP 4th & 1 at USA 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.4%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    90.9%−0.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:15APP 4th & 2 at USA 2, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.2%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:15USA 4th & 6 at USA 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:24APP 4th & 4 at USA 49, up 10
    Close callPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:44USA 4th & 4 at USA 26, down 10
    Close callPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:09APP 4th & 16 at USA 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00USA 4th & 4 at USA 27, down 13
    Close callPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:24APP 4th & 3 at USA 43, up 13
    Close callPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    90.2%−1.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:36USA 4th & 4 at USA 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:03USA 4th & 2 at USA 33, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:45APP 4th & 19 at USA 29, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−2.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:56APP 4th & 1 at APP 29, up 23
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:08USA 4th & 14 at USA 39, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:50APP 4th & 6 at APP 29, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 9:21USA 4th & 1 at APP 24, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−1.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:43USA 4th & 9 at APP 20, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.4
    average punt
  23. Q4 4:48USA 4th & 13 at USA 22, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:06APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:03APP Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:48APP Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
3.7%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
3.7%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
3.7%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
3.7%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 21 yds, downed at the SAlab 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
3.9%
Cephus Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
3.9%
Cephus Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
3.9%
Cephus Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+19
3.9%
Jack Brooks punt for 44 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 19 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
4.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 11 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
4.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+1
4.0%
Jalen Virgil run for 1 yd to the AppSt 45Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 12
OWN 45
0
4.0%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 12
OWN 45
+4
4.0%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 45 yds , Tra Minter returns for 4 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
4.5%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 12Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+2
4.5%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 2 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+2
4.5%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Tra Minter for 2 yds to the SAlab 16Similar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 8
OWN 16
+20
4.4%
Jack Brooks punt for 48 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 20 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:3095% → 95%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
4.9%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-5
4.9%
Thomas, Zac pass complete to Sutton, Corey for 12 yards to the USA29, out-of-bounds, PENALTY APP ineligible downfield on pass (Reed, Collin) 5 yards to the USA46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+6
4.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Collin Reed for 6 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+12
4.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 12 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
4.9%
Thomas, Zac pass complete to Sutton, Corey for 6 yards to the USA22, out-of-bounds (Rockette, Devin), PENALTY USA substitution infraction 5 yards to the USA23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 5
OPP 23
+4
4.9%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the SAlab 19Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+19
4.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 19 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
5.2%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the SAlab 27Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+2
5.1%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+5
5.1%
Johnson, Cephus pass incomplete to Wayne, Jalen, PENALTY APP offside defense (Blackstock, G.) 5 yards to the USA34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+2
5.2%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 36Similar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+46
5.1%
Jack Brooks punt for 36 yds, downed at the SOUTHALA 28 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the AppSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7MISSED FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:1194% → 94%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
5.6%
Jalen Virgil run for 10 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
5.5%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton, broken up by Tre YoungSimilar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
5.6%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+9
5.5%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 9 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
5.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 6 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
5.4%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+16
5.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 16 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
5.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Keishawn Waston for 10 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
5.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
5.3%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+1
5.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the SAlab 20Similar
Q1 0:56
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+37
6.4%
Chandler Staton 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8FUMBLE
1 play · -6 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
6.6%
Cephus Johnson run for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 14 Cephus Johnson fumbled, recovered by AppSt Elijah DiarrassoubaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9FG
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:3594% → 93%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
6.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the SAlab 11Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+2
6.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the SAlab 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+4
6.4%
Zac Thomas run for 4 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+1
6.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
6.3%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
6.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 3 yds to the SAlab 2Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
6.4%
Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the SAlab 2Similar
Q2 12:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
7.1%
Chandler Staton 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
6.8%
Cephus Johnson sacked by D'Marco Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 24Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
6.8%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
6.6%
Johnson, Cephus pass incomplete to Tolbert, Jalen, PENALTY APP offside defense (Hampton, Nick) 5 yards to the USA33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
6.8%
Kawaan Baker run for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 28Similar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+15
6.5%
Brooks, Jack punt 31 yards to the APP41, downed, PENALTY APP roughing the kicker (Bird, Tyler) 15 yards to the USA43, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
7.0%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
7.0%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
7.0%
Cephus Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
6.8%
Jack Brooks punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
8.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 10 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
7.8%
Darrynton Evans run for 8 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+4
7.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
7.6%
Zac Thomas run for 7 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 3
OPP 48
-1
7.5%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 49Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
7.7%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Williams, broken up by Jalen ThompsonSimilar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
7.8%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
7.9%
Jared Wilson run for no gain to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
7.9%
Johnson, Cephus pass complete to Baker, Kawaan for 5 yards to the USA25, out-of-bounds, PENALTY APP offside defense (Cook, Noel) 5 yards to the USA25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
8.0%
Jared Wilson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
7.8%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q2 6:44
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
7.5%
Jack Brooks punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:0992% → 93%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
8.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 10 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
7.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+6
7.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 6 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+13
8.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 13 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
7.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+4
7.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the SAlab 18Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+7
8.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 7 yds to the SAlab 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
7.8%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Collin ReedSimilar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-6
7.8%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 17Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 16
OPP 17
0
8.2%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 16
OPP 17
+34
7.5%
Chandler Staton 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:078% → 8%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
8.2%
Tra Minter run for 9 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+1
8.6%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
8.4%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+8
8.1%
Tra Minter run for 8 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
8.3%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
8.2%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+5
8.0%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Carlos Davis for 5 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
8.0%
Jack Brooks punt for 33 yds, downed at the AppSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
7.0%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
7.1%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Collin Reed for 7 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+3
7.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
50
-10
6.9%
Thomas, Zac rush for 11 yards to the USA39, out-of-bounds, PENALTY APP holding (Hodges, Cooper) 10 yards to the APP40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+8
7.2%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 8 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+9
7.0%
Zac Thomas run for 9 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
7.1%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Henry PearsonSimilar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
7.5%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
9.1%
Tra Minter run for 6 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
9.2%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the SAlab 26Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
9.0%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
8.7%
Jack Brooks punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:2693% → 98%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
7.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 20 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
7.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+35
7.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 35 yds to the SAlab 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
2.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
4.3%
Kawaan Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 24Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-4
4.2%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 20Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+13
4.2%
Tra Minter run for 13 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
4.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20FG
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:2197% → 98%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
2.7%
Jalen Virgil run for 21 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+29
2.5%
Zac Thomas run for 29 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
2.4%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 23Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 13
OPP 23
0
2.5%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 13
OPP 23
-6
2.5%
Zac Thomas sacked by Riley Cole for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 29Similar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 19
OPP 29
+46
1.6%
Chandler Staton 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21MISSED FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
2.1%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
2.1%
Tra Minter run for 11 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
2.1%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Tre'Veon HamiltonSimilar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
2.1%
Desmond Trotter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+45
2.1%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 30 yds to the SOUTHALA 30 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, horse collar tackle (Josh Thomas) to the AppSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
2.5%
Carlos Davis run for no gain to the AppSt 15Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-7
2.5%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Noel Cook for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 22Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 17
OPP 22
+7
2.3%
Tra Minter run for 7 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22PUNT
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
1.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the AppSt 23Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
1.5%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 28 yds, downed at the SAlab 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
1.6%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
1.6%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 44Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 9
OWN 44
-5
1.5%
Desmond Trotter run for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 39 Desmond Trotter fumbled, recovered by SAlab Tra MinterSimilar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 14
OWN 39
0
1.5%
Jack Brooks punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 26Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
1.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
1.2%
Zac Thomas sacked by Sean Brown and Jennings Shawn for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 29Similar
Q4 11:50
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
1.2%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tra Minter at the SAlab 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 25FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 3:381% → 1%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
1.4%
Desmond Trotter run for 8 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+7
1.5%
Desmond Trotter run for 7 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
1.5%
Tra Minter run for 11 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
1.6%
Tra Minter run for 14 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
1.7%
Jared Wilson run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
1.8%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
1.7%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Zac CrosbySimilar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+5
1.6%
Trotter,Desmond pass incomplete to Hamilton,TrVeon, PENALTY APP offside defense (Frizzell, Tim) 5 yards to the APP24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+3
1.7%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the AppSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
1.8%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
1.7%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 6 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
1.7%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the AppSt 15Similar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 4
OPP 15
-5
1.7%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Hadon Merchant) to the AppSt 20Similar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
1.2%
Frankie Onate 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 26TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:5599% → 100%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
1.1%
Raykwon Anderson run for 2 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+67
0.2%
Raykwon Anderson run for 67 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.2%
John Tank Miller run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-7
0.2%
Desmond Trotter sacked by George Blackstock for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 20Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-5
0.2%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Jalen Tolbert) to the SAlab 15Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+7
0.2%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to John Tank Miller for 7 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
0.2%
Jack Brooks punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 28END OF GAME
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+29
0.1%
Raykwon Anderson run for 29 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
0.1%
Nakendrick Clark run for 6 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+16
0.1%
Raykwon Anderson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Rocel McWilliams) to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-46
0.1%
Anderson, R. rush for 1 yard to the USA21 (Fisher, Strrlng), PENALTY APP holding (Garrison, Cole) 46 yards to the APP32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 56
OWN 32
+32
0.1%
Jackson Gibbs run for 32 yds to the SAlab 38 Jackson Gibbs fumbled, recovered by AppSt Jackson GibbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:03
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
-4.6
KEY PLAY · Q3 10:36
Tra Minter run for 6 yds to the SAlab 26
+1.6
TD · Q4 4:48
Raykwon Anderson run for 67 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
-1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com