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CCU

Coastal Carolina 27 at Georgia Southern 30

GASO
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:45 · Anthony Beck II punt for 39 yds, downed at the CCaro 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseTime remainingDefense timeoutsOffense timeoutsScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+22.5+11.30−11.3−22.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 92Pregame prior+6.9Home team on offense+3.2Time remaining−0.3Defense timeouts+0.0Offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · OT 0:00: Shai Werts pass complete to Mark Michaud for 20 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +38.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. TD · OT 0:00: Shai Werts pass complete to Mark Michaud for 25 yds for a TD Shai Werts pass complete to Mark Michaud for 25 yds for a TD Shai Werts pass complete to Mark Michaud for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +27.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: CJ Marable 8 Yd Run (Massimo Biscardi Kick) — CCU win probability +36.4 pts (now 57%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Bryce Carpenter run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 8 Massimo Biscardi 25 yd FG GOOD — CCU win probability +12.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds for a TD — GASO win probability +48.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7CCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00CCU 4th & 14 at CCU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:18GASO 4th & 1 at CCU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−0.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:44GASO 4th & 5 at CCU 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    66.2%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:51CCU 4th & 14 at CCU 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−2.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:31GASO 4th & 8 at CCU 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00GASO 4th & 18 at GASO 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−2.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:12CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:45GASO 4th & 11 at GASO 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−3.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:47CCU 4th & 7 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.9%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:33CCU 4th & 3 at GASO 28, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.5%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−11.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:27GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−1.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:42CCU 4th & 16 at CCU 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−23.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:09GASO 4th & 3 at CCU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−5.5
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.4%
    42% to make
    Punt
    52.6%−12.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:54CCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:04GASO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
67.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 6 yds to the CCaro 31 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the CCaro 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+11
67.5%
Jacqez Hairston run for 11 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
67.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 10 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
67.5%
Jacqez Hairston run for 2 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+11
67.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
67.5%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-10
67.5%
Carpenter, B. pass complete to Heiligh, J. for no gain to the GS49 (R. Byrd), PENALTY CCU holding (Carter, T.) 10 yards to the CCU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 41
+2
67.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 2 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 43
+3
67.5%
Jacqez Hairston run for 3 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 46
0
67.5%
Myles Prosser punt for 47 yds, downed at the GeoSo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 7:3467% → 67%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
66.8%
Shai Werts pass incomplete, broken up by Chandler KrystSimilar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+17
66.7%
Malik Murray run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
66.9%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+5
66.9%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
66.9%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+6
67.3%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
67.3%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+1
67.5%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the CCaro 46Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
67.4%
J.D. King run for no gain to the CCaro 46Similar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+13
67.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 13 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
67.6%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 36Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+7
67.2%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+1
67.4%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the CCaro 28Similar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+45
67.0%
Tyler Bass 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5033% → 39%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
66.9%
Carpenter, B. pass intercepted by K. Vildor at the CCU35, K. Vildor return to the CCU35 (Likely, I.), PENALTY GS pass interference (K. Vildor) 10 yards to the CCU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
66.7%
Bryce Carpenter run for 8 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+15
65.9%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (Kenderick Duncan Jr.) to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+12
65.1%
Bryce Carpenter run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
65.2%
Hairston, J. rush for 5 yards to the GS25 (R. Byrd;C. Harris Jr.), PENALTY CCU illegal formation 5 yards to the GS35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+35
61.3%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 35 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:5063% → 70%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.7%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+18
62.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 18 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
64.1%
Matt LaRoche run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+25
64.0%
Khaleb Hood run for 25 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
65.0%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+3
65.0%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the CCaro 22Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+4
64.3%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the CCaro 18 Shai Werts fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Wesley Kennedy III for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
65.0%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 5 yds to the CCaro 13Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+2
65.0%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the CCaro 11Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+5
64.3%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the CCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
65.0%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the CCaro 4Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
65.0%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the CCaro 4Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
69.9%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 10 yds · 3:1333% → 29%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.3%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
67.4%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to CJ Marable for no gain to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+13
68.0%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to CJ Marable for 13 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
66.1%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-1
65.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 41Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-5
68.5%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 36Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 13
OWN 36
-1
69.7%
T'Qele Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 35 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:51
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
70.6%
Myles Prosser punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6MISSED FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 2:5369% → 68%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
68.7%
Matt LaRoche run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+3
70.0%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
69.8%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 17 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
70.2%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Wesley Kennedy IIISimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+10
70.0%
J.D. King run for 10 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
71.3%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the CCaro 32Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+1
71.2%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the CCaro 31Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
69.8%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
68.0%
Tyler Bass 48 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by KJ Johnson IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 36%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
64.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 1 yd to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-3
64.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 41 Bryce Carpenter fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Traver VliemSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0569% → 70%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
69.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
69.6%
TEAM run for no gain to the GeoSo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 12 yds · 0:0067% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.7%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
67.8%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
66.9%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+4
68.8%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
68.8%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-5
68.8%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Jarrod Leeds) to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+2
67.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-13
66.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 10 yds to the GASOUTHERN 46 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal block (-23 Yards) to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 31
+6
65.2%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 37
0
64.7%
Anthony Beck II punt for 21 yds, downed at the CCaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
63.7%
Bryce Carpenter run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 41Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+5
64.6%
Bryce Carpenter run for 5 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
63.9%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
66.3%
Myles Prosser punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0068% → 66%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
67.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+4
67.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 8
OWN 17
-3
66.1%
Shai Werts sacked by C.J. Brewer for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
65.5%
Anthony Beck II punt for 39 yds, downed at the CCaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:0338% → 33%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
62.5%
Carpenter, B. pass incomplete to Likely, I., PENALTY CCU holding (Stewart, K.) 10 yards to the CCU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+6
65.8%
CJ Marable run for 6 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+5
65.2%
CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+7
64.3%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 7 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 2
OPP 45
-5
65.1%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Kameren Stewart) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 7
50
0
66.6%
Myles Prosser punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13FUMBLE
8 plays · 61 yds · 0:0069% → 74%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+16
68.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
69.3%
Matt LaRoche run for no gain to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
68.6%
Shai Werts run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
70.4%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+14
70.9%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 14 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
72.4%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 10 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
72.4%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 2
OPP 28
0
73.7%
J.D. King run for no gain to the CCaro 28 J.D. King fumbled, recovered by CCaro Teddy GallagherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14FG
18 plays · 44 yds · 7:4632% → 47%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
68.3%
CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-1
67.1%
Jacqez Hairston run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 0
0
64.0%
PENALTY CCU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY GS unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
69.0%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Ky'Jon Tyler, broken up by Lane EctonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+5
70.5%
Prosser, M. punt 28 yards to the GS40, out-of-bounds, PENALTY GS offside 5 yards to the CCU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+3
69.1%
Jacqez Hairston run for 3 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
66.3%
Jacqez Hairston run for 2 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+7
66.1%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to CJ Marable for 7 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
64.5%
Jacqez Hairston run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-10
63.8%
Carpenter, B. rush for 3 yards to the GS47 (R. Wade Jr.), PENALTY CCU holding (Carter, T.) 10 yards to the CCU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 40
-5
68.0%
Bryce Carpenter sacked by Lane Ecton for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 35
+3
69.1%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 3 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 38
+12
69.2%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
50
+15
69.4%
Prosser, M. punt 50 yards to the GS0, touchback, PENALTY GS personal foul (C. Wright) 15 yards to the GS35, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
62.4%
Jacqez Hairston run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+1
62.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+4
64.3%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to CJ Marable for 4 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
53.0%
Massimo Biscardi 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
61.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+5
62.8%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
62.7%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-1
64.5%
Wesley Kennedy III run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+2
61.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 7:27
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
60.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Ky'Jon Tyler at the CCaro 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:3346% → 45%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
54.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the CCaro 10Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 9
OWN 10
-4
53.4%
Bryce Carpenter sacked by Dillon Springer for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 6Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 13
OWN 6
-3
56.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 3Similar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 16
OWN 3
+47
55.5%
Myles Prosser punt for 47 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17MISSED FG
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:2463% → 62%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
62.5%
Wesley Kennedy III run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 14
OWN 45
-4
58.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 18
OWN 41
+16
57.0%
S. Werts pass incomplete to K. Hood, PENALTY CCU pass interference (Spillum, A.) 16 yards to the CCU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
65.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 4 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+2
65.4%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+1
64.6%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the CCaro 36Similar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+53
62.1%
Tyler Bass 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
48.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 67%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
40.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+9
40.5%
Jacqez Hairston run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
40.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 2Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
40.5%
Jacqez Hairston run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 1Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
42.6%
Jacqez Hairston run for no gain to the GeoSo 1Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.1%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
28.1%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the CCaro 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+2
28.1%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
25.6%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Wesley Kennedy IIISimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+20
58.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Mark Michaud for 20 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
86.4%
Shai Werts pass complete to Mark Michaud for 25 yds for a TD Shai Werts pass complete to Mark Michaud for 25 yds for a TD Shai Werts pass complete to Mark Michaud for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 57%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
80.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-2
80.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 23Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+5
87.6%
Bryce Carpenter run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+4
88.9%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 4 yds to the GeoSo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
80.4%
Jacqez Hairston run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+2
79.3%
Jacqez Hairston run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 8Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
43.0%
CJ Marable 8 Yd Run (Massimo Biscardi Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Jacqez Hairston run for no gain to the GeoSo 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+9
41.1%
CJ Marable run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+2
42.6%
Jacqez Hairston run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
40.5%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
40.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to CJ Marable, broken up by Randy Wade Jr.Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
27.8%
Bryce Carpenter run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 8 Massimo Biscardi 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0041% → 86%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
41.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 4 yds to the CCaro 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+4
41.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 4 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+14
37.7%
J.D. King run for 14 yds to the CCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.4%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds for a TD
+48.7
TD · OT 0:00
Shai Werts pass complete to Mark Michaud for 20 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)
+38.4
TD · OT 0:00
CJ Marable 8 Yd Run (Massimo Biscardi Kick)
-36.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com