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GASO

Georgia Southern 20 at South Alabama 17

USA
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 3, 2019 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2FGTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:52 · Jack Brooks punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseTime remainingDefense timeoutsOffense timeoutsScore differential
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2Play 55Pregame prior−16.5Home team on offense+2.4Time remaining+0.1Defense timeouts+0.0Offense timeouts+0.0Score differential+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:11: J.D. King run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +13.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:41: Cephus Johnson pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 60 yds for a TD, (Frankie Onate KICK) — USA win probability +22.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:20: Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +41.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · OT2 0:00: J.D. King run for 2 yds to the SAlab 23 — GASO win probability +24.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. FG · OT2 0:00: Tyler Bass 37 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +15.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 11
  1. Q1 12:46GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:50USA 4th & 2 at USA 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:37GASO 4th & 5 at USA 31, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:28USA 4th & 2 at USA 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:03GASO 4th & 8 at USA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:00GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.2%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:25GASO 4th & 8 at USA 41, down 4
    Close callPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    57.0%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:52USA 4th & 13 at USA 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:15USA 4th & 9 at USA 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:06GASO 4th & 9 at USA 38, up 3
    Close callPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    62.6%−0.4
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:57USA 4th & 9 at USA 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−2.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:23GASO 4th & 6 at USA 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    62.9%−2.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:42GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 34, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%−1.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:05USA 4th & 5 at USA 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−1.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:29GASO 4th & 9 at USA 41, down 4
    Close callPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    37.3%−1.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:02USA 4th & 6 at USA 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−2.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:50GASO 4th & 21 at GASO 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−5.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:26USA 4th & 12 at USA 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−6.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:22GASO 4th & 11 at GASO 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−1.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:24USA 4th & 7 at GASO 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−13.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:52USA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:11GASO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:41USA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:20GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.7%−2.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:0976% → 75%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
24.1%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
24.4%
Matt LaRoche run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 22 Matt LaRoche fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Matt LaRocheSimilar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+5
24.6%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
24.8%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+5
25.2%
Anthony Beck II punt for 46 yds , Tra Minter returns for 5 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5025% → 26%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
25.2%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 27Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+4
25.4%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+3
25.7%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Tra Minter for 3 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
26.0%
Jack Brooks punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jessie Liptrot at the GeoSo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3MISSED FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 6:0874% → 72%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
26.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Colby Ransom for 10 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
26.3%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
26.6%
Logan Wright run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
26.5%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 2
50
+4
26.4%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
26.9%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+6
26.8%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
27.1%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
27.0%
Wesley Kennedy III run for no gain to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
27.5%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+48
28.5%
Tyler Bass 48 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Sean BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5229% → 30%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
29.1%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 4 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+5
29.3%
Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 1
OWN 27
-1
29.3%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 26Similar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
29.5%
Jack Brooks punt for 64 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 6:1270% → 70%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
29.7%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+7
30.0%
Matt LaRoche run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+10
30.5%
Logan Wright run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
30.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 9 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+5
29.5%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
29.5%
Shai Werts run for 11 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
29.3%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the SAlab 45Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+14
29.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 14 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
29.3%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+1
29.4%
Matt LaRoche run for 1 yd to the SAlab 28Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 7
OPP 28
-1
30.7%
Shai Werts pass complete to Logan Wright for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 29Similar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
30.5%
Tyler Bass 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
36.7%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 75 yds for a TD, (Frankie Onate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 4:2063% → 60%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
36.6%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
37.1%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+5
37.1%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+1
37.6%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
36.9%
Logan Wright run for 12 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
37.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-1
37.6%
Shai Werts sacked by Gi'Narious Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
38.6%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to NaJee ThompsonSimilar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
40.4%
Anthony Beck II punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2341% → 40%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
41.1%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 16Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+1
41.3%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Tra Minter for 1 yd to the SAlab 17Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
40.9%
Cephus Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:52
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
40.1%
Jack Brooks punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:3961% → 72%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
39.3%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 3 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
39.6%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+6
40.4%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
39.1%
Shai Werts run for 12 yds to the SAlab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
39.1%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SAlab 29Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 20
OPP 29
+6
40.8%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 14
OPP 23
+19
41.5%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 19 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
27.8%
J.D. King run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:3033% → 33%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
32.6%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
32.7%
Desmond Trotter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:4034% → 32%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.3%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by Kindle VildorSimilar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
33.9%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
32.7%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 22Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+4
32.6%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 4 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
32.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:5467% → 65%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
33.1%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+12
32.6%
Matt LaRoche run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
31.9%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+19
32.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 19 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
31.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd to the SAlab 38Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
31.8%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Mark MichaudSimilar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
32.2%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to NaJee ThompsonSimilar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
34.8%
Anthony Beck II punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:0335% → 33%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
34.9%
Jared Wilson run for no gain to the SAlab 15Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-1
35.0%
Jared Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 14Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+2
33.8%
Kawaan Baker run for 2 yds to the SAlab 16Similar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
33.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2769% → 66%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
31.1%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Mark MichaudSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
31.2%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the SAlab 46Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+3
31.9%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
33.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:3936% → 59%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
36.3%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+20
36.3%
Tra Minter run for 20 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
58.6%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 60 yds for a TD, (Frankie Onate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4846% → 44%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
54.4%
Matt LaRoche run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
54.4%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 6 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
54.5%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
56.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tra Minter at the SAlab 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3059% → 60%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
58.8%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 30Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
59.1%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+4
59.2%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Tra Minter for 4 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
60.4%
Jack Brooks punt for 56 yds, downed at the GeoSo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:1139% → 37%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+24
60.9%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 24 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
56.0%
Shai Werts run for 23 yds to the SOUTHALA 43 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
57.3%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
57.0%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:15
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+9
59.3%
Shai Werts pass complete to Mark Michaud for 9 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
57.1%
NaJee Thompson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-1
57.3%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 41Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
60.0%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Shai WertsSimilar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
63.5%
Anthony Beck II punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1865% → 64%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
65.4%
Tra Minter run for 6 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-2
66.2%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 24Similar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
64.7%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
63.9%
Jack Brooks punt for 29 yds, downed at the GeoSo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:5540% → 32%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-8
60.5%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSo 39 Shai Werts fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Wesley Kennedy IIISimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 18
OWN 39
+2
64.7%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 16
OWN 41
-5
66.1%
Shai Werts sacked by Jeffery Whatley for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 21
OWN 36
+2
68.4%
Anthony Beck II punt for 49 yds , Tra Minter returns for 2 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:1968% → 72%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
68.1%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 7
OWN 20
-10
68.4%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SAlab 10Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 17
OWN 10
+3
69.0%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 14
OWN 13
+2
70.6%
Cephus Johnson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 12
OWN 15
+8
72.1%
Jack Brooks punt for 51 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for 8 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5334% → 29%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
65.9%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Cam Brown, broken up by Keith GallmonSimilar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
66.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 4 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
65.8%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Mark Michaud, broken up by Jalen ThompsonSimilar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 6
OWN 46
-5
69.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 6:22
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
71.4%
Anthony Beck II punt for 33 yds, downed at the SAlab 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23FG
5 plays · 46 yds · 1:4978% → 92%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+43
77.5%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 43 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
82.8%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
84.0%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
84.8%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+45
91.6%
Frankie Onate 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:4014% → 60%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.1%
J.D. King run for no gain to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
87.5%
Shai Werts run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
85.3%
J.D. King run for 9 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+16
84.5%
Matt LaRoche run for 16 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+22
82.8%
Shai Werts run for 22 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
82.9%
J.D. King run for no gain to the SAlab 4Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
81.4%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the SAlab 1Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.4%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
55.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 26MISSED FG
9 plays · 10 yds · 0:0060% → 47%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
40.5%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
40.5%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the SAlab 18Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+4
42.7%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
40.5%
J.D. King run for 8 yds to the SAlab 6Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+1
40.5%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the SAlab 5Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 5
-5
42.6%
King, J.D. rush for 1 yard to the SOUTHALA4, PENALTY GASOUTHERN illegal formation 5 yards to the SOUTHALA10, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 10
-5
43.0%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the SAlab 10 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Shai Werts) to the SAlab 15Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+32
52.7%
Tyler Bass 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 27MISSED FG
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0065% → 54%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
64.7%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 26Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
-5
64.5%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Hadon Merchant) to the GeoSo 31Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 31
0
61.0%
Cephus Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 16
OPP 31
+3
58.1%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+45
54.4%
Frankie Onate 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ty PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 28FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-9
64.7%
Cephus Johnson sacked by Randy Wade Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSo 20 Cephus Johnson fumbled, recovered by GeoSoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 29FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
40.5%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+3
40.5%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+1
43.0%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the SAlab 19Similar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
27.8%
Tyler Bass 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:20
Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)
-41
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-27.8
KEY PLAY · OT2 0:00
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the SAlab 23
-24.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com