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UL

Louisiana 37 at Georgia Southern 24

GASO
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+2.7GASO 23.7%Tyler Bass 31 yd FG GOODAWAY 31 - HOME 24 · Q4 5:35
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:35 · Tyler Bass 31 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Play 159Home team on offense−14.0Pregame prior−1.2Score differential−3.9Garbage-time factor−9.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:05: Trey Ragas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +8.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:58: Logan Wright run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +12.1 pts (now 47%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:04: Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +13.0 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:15: J.D. King run for 1 yd for a TD, (J. King Run For Two-point Conversion) — GASO win probability +24.8 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 2:34: Trey Ragas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares PAT MISSED) — UL win probability +3.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 6UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:20GASO 4th & 7 at UL 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−2.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:20UL 4th & 10 at GASO 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    56.3%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00GASO 4th & 14 at GASO 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:09GASO 4th & 4 at UL 27, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.3%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−3.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:05GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 34, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00GASO 4th & 26 at GASO 19, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−3.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00UL 4th & 1 at GASO 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.3%−3.0
    56% to make
    Punt
    55.2%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:48UL 4th & 1 at GASO 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.1%−3.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    54.3%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:04UL 4th & 1 at GASO 1, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    54.5%−4.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−16.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:35GASO 4th & 4 at UL 14, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.5%−0.4
    84% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−5.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 1 of 2UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:42UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:05UL Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:58GASO Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:04UL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:15GASO Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    34.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    34.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:34UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1864% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
36.5%
Trey Ragas run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+51
36.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 51 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
36.5%
Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+7
36.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
36.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2FG
17 plays · 64 yds · 8:2237% → 39%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
36.5%
Logan Wright run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
36.6%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
36.6%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
36.6%
Malik Murray run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+3
36.5%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+19
36.5%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, illegal helmet contact (Joe Dillon) to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
36.7%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+2
36.7%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+9
36.8%
Khaleb Hood run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
37.2%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+21
36.8%
Shai Werts run for 21 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
37.2%
Matt LaRoche run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+2
37.2%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
36.9%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:20
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
38.6%
Tyler Bass 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
37.9%
Raymond Calais run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
37.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 14 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
37.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Calif Gossett, broken up by Jay BowdrySimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
37.3%
Raymond Calais run for no gain to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
37.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jamal BellSimilar
Q1 5:20
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
38.2%
Rhys Byrns punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jessie Liptrot at the GeoSo 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 3:0538% → 38%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
38.1%
Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+7
38.3%
Shai Werts run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
38.4%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+3
38.5%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 3
OWN 28
-11
38.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the GeoSo 17 TEAM fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Shai WertsSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 17
0
37.7%
Anthony Beck II punt for 39 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 43 Eric Garror fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Randy Wade Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:4241% → 42%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
40.8%
Shai Werts run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
41.3%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
41.3%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
40.6%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+44
42.2%
Tyler Bass 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0460% → 71%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
40.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
39.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Nick Ralston for 3 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
39.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
39.5%
Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+6
38.9%
Raymond Calais run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
38.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Calif Gossett for 16 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
38.5%
Levi Lewis run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+18
37.7%
Trey Ragas run for 18 yds to the GeoSo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
37.7%
Trey Ragas run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
29.3%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
31.3%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
31.6%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
31.1%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 8:05
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
31.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 59 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 7 Eric Garror fumbled, recovered by GeoSo NaJee ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:4934% → 47%
Q2 5:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
34.4%
Logan Wright run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
46.5%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9FG
16 plays · 67 yds · 4:5860% → 66%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.3%
Raymond Calais run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
40.1%
Raymond Calais run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
39.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 21 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
37.8%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+4
36.7%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
36.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+2
36.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+4
37.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
36.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+1
36.7%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+4
37.7%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
36.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jarrod Jackson, broken up by Donald Rutledge Jr.Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
36.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
34.3%
Stevie Artigue 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -16 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
40.1%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-9
40.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 28
-9
38.2%
Shai Werts sacked by Kam Pedescleaux for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 26
OWN 19
+12
37.7%
Anthony Beck II punt for 48 yds , Jamal Bell returns for 12 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11TD
30 plays · 55 yds · 6:5665% → 77%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
35.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
34.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 6 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+5
33.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
34.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+3
33.8%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
33.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Nick Ralston for 9 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 10
0
33.8%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+9
34.3%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
34.1%
Trey Ragas run for no gain to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
36.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 16 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
35.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+5
35.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 5 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+5
36.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+8
37.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
34.6%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+9
34.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Nick Ralston for 9 yds to the GeoSo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
34.6%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
34.6%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
35.7%
Trey Ragas run for no gain to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
36.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 16 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
35.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+5
35.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 5 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+5
36.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+8
37.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
34.7%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+9
34.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Nick Ralston for 9 yds to the GeoSo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
34.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Hunter BergeronSimilar
Q3 12:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
34.7%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
35.8%
Trey Ragas run for no gain to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q3 8:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
22.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12TD
24 plays · 78 yds · 22:4130% → 49%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
29.7%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+10
29.7%
Shai Werts run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
30.0%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+9
30.9%
Logan Wright run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
31.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+23
30.8%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the GASOUTHERN 44 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jacques Boudreaux) to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
32.4%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+7
32.0%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
23.5%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+10
23.5%
Shai Werts run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
24.0%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+9
25.2%
Logan Wright run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
25.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+23
25.0%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the GASOUTHERN 44 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jacques Boudreaux) to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
27.4%
Shai Werts sacked by Kris Moncrief for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+7
26.7%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+12
25.9%
Shai Werts run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
27.4%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+2
27.3%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+9
25.9%
J.D. King run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
24.3%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.1%
J.D. King run for 1 yd for a TD, (J. King Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4561% → 69%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.8%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.0%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
40.0%
Levi Lewis run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
36.5%
Raymond Calais run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+24
39.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for 24 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
35.1%
Raymond Calais run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+15
33.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Monquavion Brinson) to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
30.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 19 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14FG
15 plays · 74 yds · 6:5019% → 24%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
18.9%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+21
18.7%
Logan Wright run for 21 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
19.8%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+1
19.6%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+11
19.0%
Shai Werts run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
21.5%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 7
50
+20
22.0%
Shai Werts run for 20 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
24.3%
Matt LaRoche run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+3
24.6%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-9
24.6%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 19 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 19
OPP 29
0
23.2%
Shai Werts pass incomplete, broken up by Asjlin WashingtonSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 19
OPP 29
+6
22.8%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 13
OPP 23
+9
21.0%
J.D. King run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+31
23.7%
Tyler Bass 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0184% → 97%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
15.7%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+20
15.1%
Trey Ragas run for 20 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+32
13.2%
Trey Ragas run for 32 yds to the GeoSo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
13.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
12.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.0%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 21 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
4.3%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
4.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to NaJee Thompson for 6 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
4.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to Colby Ransom for 9 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+6
5.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to NaJee Thompson for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
50
+8
5.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to NaJee Thompson for 8 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+4
5.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to NaJee Thompson for 4 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
5.3%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Mark MichaudSimilar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-10
5.2%
S. Werts pass incomplete to 15, QB hurry by Dillon, Joe, PENALTY GS holding (J. Leeds) 10 yards to the LA48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 20
OPP 48
0
4.7%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Mark MichaudSimilar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 26
OPP 48
-6
4.5%
Shai Werts sacked by Terik Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 32
OWN 46
0
4.2%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Colby RansomSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
2.2%
TEAM run for no gain to the GeoSo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:15
J.D. King run for 1 yd for a TD, (J. King Run For Two-point Conversion)
+24.8
TD · Q3 8:04
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
-13
TD · Q2 4:58
Logan Wright run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)
+12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com